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[About This Newsletter]
ECISION POINT
DAILY DOW 30 STOCK REVIEW
MONDAY 3/31/2008
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This report highlights daily results of the stocks in the DOW 30 Index.
Daily chart books of these stocks (6-Mo and 2-Yr) are also available (see
Main Menu). THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NOT A
SOLICITATION OR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
*****************************************************************************
DOW 30 RESULTS FOR MONDAY 3/31/08
03/31 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
3M Company MMM 79.15 +1.20 +1.5% 3239.0 80% 2.5% 16 0.4
Alcoa AA 36.06 -0.05 -0.1% 12704.1 96% 1.9% 14 0.3
Amer Intl Group AIG 43.25 +0.45 +1.1% 16249.8 89% 1.8% 12 0.2
American Express AXP 43.72 +0.57 +1.3% 7816.1 81% 1.6% 13 0.2
AT&T Corp T 38.30 +0.64 +1.7% 29073.6 107% 4.2% 14 0.6
BankAmerica Corp BAC 37.91 -0.16 -0.4% 35527.8 102% 6.8% 11 0.8
Boeing BA 74.37 +0.90 +1.2% 7128.4 112% 2.2% 14 0.3
Caterpillar CAT 78.29 +1.20 +1.6% 6042.3 90% 1.8% 15 0.3
Chevron Corp CVX 85.36 +0.86 +1.0% 10191.4 91% 2.7% 10 0.3
Citigroup C 21.42 +0.59 +2.8% 89347.0 118% 6.0% 31 1.8
Coca Cola KO 60.87 -0.07 -0.1% 8870.5 93% 2.5% 23 0.6
Disney DIS 31.38 +0.38 +1.2% 11351.3 102% 1.1% 15 0.2
Dupont DD 46.76 +0.32 +0.7% 6550.2 105% 3.5% 14 0.5
Exxon Mobil XOM 84.58 -0.64 -0.8% 36836.6 145% 1.7% 12 0.2
General Electric GE 37.01 +0.40 +1.1% 40054.6 93% 3.4% 17 0.6
General Motors GM 19.05 +0.38 +2.0% 13563.9 80% 5.2% D
Hewlett Packard HPQ 45.66 -0.43 -0.9% 22322.8 139% 0.7% 15 0.1
Home Depot HD 27.97 +0.59 +2.2% 14197.2 73% 3.2% 12 0.4
IBM IBM 115.14 +0.57 +0.5% 9606.7 113% 1.4% 16 0.2
Intel INTC 21.18 +0.39 +1.9% 47206.3 66% 2.6% 18 0.5
Johnson & Johns JNJ 64.87 +0.69 +1.1% 12706.2 103% 2.6% 16 0.4
JP Morgan Chase JPM 42.95 +0.24 +0.6% 28899.7 99% 3.5% 10 0.3
McDonalds Corp MCD 55.77 +0.29 +0.5% 6275.4 68% 2.7% 19 0.5
Merck MRK 37.95 -6.56 -14.7% 81441.2 560% 4.0% 12 0.5
Microsoft MSFT 28.38 +0.47 +1.7% 46442.0 61% 1.6% 16 0.2
Pfizer PFE 20.93 +0.43 +2.1% 48452.7 118% 6.1% 10 0.6
Procter & Gamble PG 70.07 +0.63 +0.9% 13153.5 113% 2.0% 21 0.4
United Technolgy UTX 68.82 +0.27 +0.4% 5188.4 103% 1.9% 16 0.3
Verizon VZ 36.45 +0.60 +1.7% 11986.5 82% 4.7% 15 0.7
Wal-Mart WMT 52.68 +0.56 +1.1% 18821.1 91% 1.8% 17 0.3
Average +0.19 +0.5% 23374.9 112% 2.9% 14 0.4
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DOW 30 SORTED BY PERCENTAGE CHANGE
03/31 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Citigroup C 21.42 +0.59 +2.8% 89347.0 118% 6.0% 31 1.8
Home Depot HD 27.97 +0.59 +2.2% 14197.2 73% 3.2% 12 0.4
Pfizer PFE 20.93 +0.43 +2.1% 48452.7 118% 6.1% 10 0.6
General Motors GM 19.05 +0.38 +2.0% 13563.9 80% 5.2% D
Intel INTC 21.18 +0.39 +1.9% 47206.3 66% 2.6% 18 0.5
AT&T Corp T 38.30 +0.64 +1.7% 29073.6 107% 4.2% 14 0.6
Microsoft MSFT 28.38 +0.47 +1.7% 46442.0 61% 1.6% 16 0.2
Verizon VZ 36.45 +0.60 +1.7% 11986.5 82% 4.7% 15 0.7
Caterpillar CAT 78.29 +1.20 +1.6% 6042.3 90% 1.8% 15 0.3
3M Company MMM 79.15 +1.20 +1.5% 3239.0 80% 2.5% 16 0.4
American Express AXP 43.72 +0.57 +1.3% 7816.1 81% 1.6% 13 0.2
Disney DIS 31.38 +0.38 +1.2% 11351.3 102% 1.1% 15 0.2
Boeing BA 74.37 +0.90 +1.2% 7128.4 112% 2.2% 14 0.3
General Electric GE 37.01 +0.40 +1.1% 40054.6 93% 3.4% 17 0.6
Johnson & Johns JNJ 64.87 +0.69 +1.1% 12706.2 103% 2.6% 16 0.4
Wal-Mart WMT 52.68 +0.56 +1.1% 18821.1 91% 1.8% 17 0.3
Amer Intl Group AIG 43.25 +0.45 +1.1% 16249.8 89% 1.8% 12 0.2
Chevron Corp CVX 85.36 +0.86 +1.0% 10191.4 91% 2.7% 10 0.3
Procter & Gamble PG 70.07 +0.63 +0.9% 13153.5 113% 2.0% 21 0.4
Dupont DD 46.76 +0.32 +0.7% 6550.2 105% 3.5% 14 0.5
JP Morgan Chase JPM 42.95 +0.24 +0.6% 28899.7 99% 3.5% 10 0.3
McDonalds Corp MCD 55.77 +0.29 +0.5% 6275.4 68% 2.7% 19 0.5
IBM IBM 115.14 +0.57 +0.5% 9606.7 113% 1.4% 16 0.2
United Technolgy UTX 68.82 +0.27 +0.4% 5188.4 103% 1.9% 16 0.3
Coca Cola KO 60.87 -0.07 -0.1% 8870.5 93% 2.5% 23 0.6
Alcoa AA 36.06 -0.05 -0.1% 12704.1 96% 1.9% 14 0.3
BankAmerica Corp BAC 37.91 -0.16 -0.4% 35527.8 102% 6.8% 11 0.8
Exxon Mobil XOM 84.58 -0.64 -0.8% 36836.6 145% 1.7% 12 0.2
Hewlett Packard HPQ 45.66 -0.43 -0.9% 22322.8 139% 0.7% 15 0.1
Merck MRK 37.95 -6.56 -14.7% 81441.2 560% 4.0% 12 0.5
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DOW 30 SORTED BY PERCENTAGE OF AVERAGE DAILY VOLUME
Each day Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the 250-EMA of
volume and report it as the percentage of average daily volume. High
percentages of average daily volume indicate that unusual interest is being
shown in a stock. Check news and other indicators.
03/31 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Merck MRK 37.95 -6.56 -14.7% 81441.2 560% 4.0% 12 0.5
Exxon Mobil XOM 84.58 -0.64 -0.8% 36836.6 145% 1.7% 12 0.2
Hewlett Packard HPQ 45.66 -0.43 -0.9% 22322.8 139% 0.7% 15 0.1
Citigroup C 21.42 +0.59 +2.8% 89347.0 118% 6.0% 31 1.8
Pfizer PFE 20.93 +0.43 +2.1% 48452.7 118% 6.1% 10 0.6
IBM IBM 115.14 +0.57 +0.5% 9606.7 113% 1.4% 16 0.2
Procter & Gamble PG 70.07 +0.63 +0.9% 13153.5 113% 2.0% 21 0.4
Boeing BA 74.37 +0.90 +1.2% 7128.4 112% 2.2% 14 0.3
AT&T Corp T 38.30 +0.64 +1.7% 29073.6 107% 4.2% 14 0.6
Dupont DD 46.76 +0.32 +0.7% 6550.2 105% 3.5% 14 0.5
United Technolgy UTX 68.82 +0.27 +0.4% 5188.4 103% 1.9% 16 0.3
Johnson & Johns JNJ 64.87 +0.69 +1.1% 12706.2 103% 2.6% 16 0.4
BankAmerica Corp BAC 37.91 -0.16 -0.4% 35527.8 102% 6.8% 11 0.8
Disney DIS 31.38 +0.38 +1.2% 11351.3 102% 1.1% 15 0.2
JP Morgan Chase JPM 42.95 +0.24 +0.6% 28899.7 99% 3.5% 10 0.3
Alcoa AA 36.06 -0.05 -0.1% 12704.1 96% 1.9% 14 0.3
Coca Cola KO 60.87 -0.07 -0.1% 8870.5 93% 2.5% 23 0.6
General Electric GE 37.01 +0.40 +1.1% 40054.6 93% 3.4% 17 0.6
Chevron Corp CVX 85.36 +0.86 +1.0% 10191.4 91% 2.7% 10 0.3
Wal-Mart WMT 52.68 +0.56 +1.1% 18821.1 91% 1.8% 17 0.3
Caterpillar CAT 78.29 +1.20 +1.6% 6042.3 90% 1.8% 15 0.3
Amer Intl Group AIG 43.25 +0.45 +1.1% 16249.8 89% 1.8% 12 0.2
Verizon VZ 36.45 +0.60 +1.7% 11986.5 82% 4.7% 15 0.7
American Express AXP 43.72 +0.57 +1.3% 7816.1 81% 1.6% 13 0.2
3M Company MMM 79.15 +1.20 +1.5% 3239.0 80% 2.5% 16 0.4
General Motors GM 19.05 +0.38 +2.0% 13563.9 80% 5.2% D
Home Depot HD 27.97 +0.59 +2.2% 14197.2 73% 3.2% 12 0.4
McDonalds Corp MCD 55.77 +0.29 +0.5% 6275.4 68% 2.7% 19 0.5
Intel INTC 21.18 +0.39 +1.9% 47206.3 66% 2.6% 18 0.5
Microsoft MSFT 28.38 +0.47 +1.7% 46442.0 61% 1.6% 16 0.2
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DOW 30 STOCKS SORTED BY YIELD
03/31 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
BankAmerica Corp BAC 37.91 -0.16 -0.4% 35527.8 102% 6.8% 11 0.8
Pfizer PFE 20.93 +0.43 +2.1% 48452.7 118% 6.1% 10 0.6
Citigroup C 21.42 +0.59 +2.8% 89347.0 118% 6.0% 31 1.8
General Motors GM 19.05 +0.38 +2.0% 13563.9 80% 5.2% D
Verizon VZ 36.45 +0.60 +1.7% 11986.5 82% 4.7% 15 0.7
AT&T Corp T 38.30 +0.64 +1.7% 29073.6 107% 4.2% 14 0.6
Merck MRK 37.95 -6.56 -14.7% 81441.2 560% 4.0% 12 0.5
JP Morgan Chase JPM 42.95 +0.24 +0.6% 28899.7 99% 3.5% 10 0.3
Dupont DD 46.76 +0.32 +0.7% 6550.2 105% 3.5% 14 0.5
General Electric GE 37.01 +0.40 +1.1% 40054.6 93% 3.4% 17 0.6
Home Depot HD 27.97 +0.59 +2.2% 14197.2 73% 3.2% 12 0.4
Chevron Corp CVX 85.36 +0.86 +1.0% 10191.4 91% 2.7% 10 0.3
McDonalds Corp MCD 55.77 +0.29 +0.5% 6275.4 68% 2.7% 19 0.5
Intel INTC 21.18 +0.39 +1.9% 47206.3 66% 2.6% 18 0.5
Johnson & Johns JNJ 64.87 +0.69 +1.1% 12706.2 103% 2.6% 16 0.4
3M Company MMM 79.15 +1.20 +1.5% 3239.0 80% 2.5% 16 0.4
Coca Cola KO 60.87 -0.07 -0.1% 8870.5 93% 2.5% 23 0.6
Boeing BA 74.37 +0.90 +1.2% 7128.4 112% 2.2% 14 0.3
Procter & Gamble PG 70.07 +0.63 +0.9% 13153.5 113% 2.0% 21 0.4
Alcoa AA 36.06 -0.05 -0.1% 12704.1 96% 1.9% 14 0.3
United Technolgy UTX 68.82 +0.27 +0.4% 5188.4 103% 1.9% 16 0.3
Amer Intl Group AIG 43.25 +0.45 +1.1% 16249.8 89% 1.8% 12 0.2
Caterpillar CAT 78.29 +1.20 +1.6% 6042.3 90% 1.8% 15 0.3
Wal-Mart WMT 52.68 +0.56 +1.1% 18821.1 91% 1.8% 17 0.3
Exxon Mobil XOM 84.58 -0.64 -0.8% 36836.6 145% 1.7% 12 0.2
American Express AXP 43.72 +0.57 +1.3% 7816.1 81% 1.6% 13 0.2
Microsoft MSFT 28.38 +0.47 +1.7% 46442.0 61% 1.6% 16 0.2
IBM IBM 115.14 +0.57 +0.5% 9606.7 113% 1.4% 16 0.2
Disney DIS 31.38 +0.38 +1.2% 11351.3 102% 1.1% 15 0.2
Hewlett Packard HPQ 45.66 -0.43 -0.9% 22322.8 139% 0.7% 15 0.1
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DOW 30 STOCKS SORTED BY P/E RATIO
03/31 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Pfizer PFE 20.93 +0.43 +2.1% 48452.7 118% 6.1% 10 0.6
JP Morgan Chase JPM 42.95 +0.24 +0.6% 28899.7 99% 3.5% 10 0.3
Chevron Corp CVX 85.36 +0.86 +1.0% 10191.4 91% 2.7% 10 0.3
BankAmerica Corp BAC 37.91 -0.16 -0.4% 35527.8 102% 6.8% 11 0.8
Exxon Mobil XOM 84.58 -0.64 -0.8% 36836.6 145% 1.7% 12 0.2
Merck MRK 37.95 -6.56 -14.7% 81441.2 560% 4.0% 12 0.5
Amer Intl Group AIG 43.25 +0.45 +1.1% 16249.8 89% 1.8% 12 0.2
Home Depot HD 27.97 +0.59 +2.2% 14197.2 73% 3.2% 12 0.4
American Express AXP 43.72 +0.57 +1.3% 7816.1 81% 1.6% 13 0.2
AT&T Corp T 38.30 +0.64 +1.7% 29073.6 107% 4.2% 14 0.6
Alcoa AA 36.06 -0.05 -0.1% 12704.1 96% 1.9% 14 0.3
Boeing BA 74.37 +0.90 +1.2% 7128.4 112% 2.2% 14 0.3
Dupont DD 46.76 +0.32 +0.7% 6550.2 105% 3.5% 14 0.5
Caterpillar CAT 78.29 +1.20 +1.6% 6042.3 90% 1.8% 15 0.3
Hewlett Packard HPQ 45.66 -0.43 -0.9% 22322.8 139% 0.7% 15 0.1
Disney DIS 31.38 +0.38 +1.2% 11351.3 102% 1.1% 15 0.2
Verizon VZ 36.45 +0.60 +1.7% 11986.5 82% 4.7% 15 0.7
Microsoft MSFT 28.38 +0.47 +1.7% 46442.0 61% 1.6% 16 0.2
Johnson & Johns JNJ 64.87 +0.69 +1.1% 12706.2 103% 2.6% 16 0.4
3M Company MMM 79.15 +1.20 +1.5% 3239.0 80% 2.5% 16 0.4
IBM IBM 115.14 +0.57 +0.5% 9606.7 113% 1.4% 16 0.2
United Technolgy UTX 68.82 +0.27 +0.4% 5188.4 103% 1.9% 16 0.3
Wal-Mart WMT 52.68 +0.56 +1.1% 18821.1 91% 1.8% 17 0.3
General Electric GE 37.01 +0.40 +1.1% 40054.6 93% 3.4% 17 0.6
Intel INTC 21.18 +0.39 +1.9% 47206.3 66% 2.6% 18 0.5
McDonalds Corp MCD 55.77 +0.29 +0.5% 6275.4 68% 2.7% 19 0.5
Procter & Gamble PG 70.07 +0.63 +0.9% 13153.5 113% 2.0% 21 0.4
Coca Cola KO 60.87 -0.07 -0.1% 8870.5 93% 2.5% 23 0.6
Citigroup C 21.42 +0.59 +2.8% 89347.0 118% 6.0% 31 1.8
General Motors GM 19.05 +0.38 +2.0% 13563.9 80% 5.2% D
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DOW 30 DAILY BLUE CHIP STOCK PMO STRENGTH RANK ANALYSIS
This report presents ranking of DOW 30 stocks based on Decision
Point's proprietary PMO (Price Momentum Oscillator). The PMO measures a
stock's absolute strength based on price momentum. THIS REPORT IS TO ASSIST
RESEARCH AND IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL SECURITIES.
The Hot/Cold Groups & Blinkers are explained at the end of this report.
STOCKS SORTED BY PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) RANK
|RankChg-| |---- % Price Change ----| Hot/Cold
PMO 5 15 On 5 15 Group &
Stock Name/Symbol Rank Day Day 03/31 Day Day YTD Blinkers
--------------------- ---- ---- ---- ------ ----- ----- ------ |---------|
Caterpillar CAT 1 +2 +3 +1.6% +3% +12% +9% 1 ++ ++ +
IBM IBM 2 -1 0 +0.5% -3% +1% +7% 5 -- -+ -
Wal-Mart WMT 3 +1 +3 +1.1% -2% +6% +11% 1 ++ ++ +
General Electric GE 4 +2 +16 +1.1% -1% +15% +1% 1 ++ ++ +
Alcoa AA 5 -3 -4 -0.1% +3% -1% -1% 5 -- -+ -
JP Morgan Chase JPM 6 +12 +16 +0.6% -8% +14% -2% 1 ++ ++ +
Dupont DD 7 0 -2 +0.7% 0% +4% +7% 4 -+ ++
Procter & Gamble PG 8 +1 +7 +0.9% 0% +6% -4% 1 ++ ++ +
Home Depot HD 9 +5 +4 +2.2% -4% +9% +5% 1 ++ ++ +
Coca Cola KO 10 +2 +1 -0.1% -1% +4% 0% 1 ++ ++ +
AT&T Corp T 11 +8 +10 +1.7% +1% +9% -7% 1 ++ ++ +
Hewlett Packard HPQ 12 -7 -9 -0.9% -5% -3% -9% 5 -- -+ -
Intel INTC 13 -5 +10 +1.9% -4% +6% -20% 3 ++ -+ -
Johnson & Johns JNJ 14 -3 +2 +1.1% 0% +5% -2% 2 ++ ++ -
McDonalds Corp MCD 15 0 -3 +0.5% 0% +7% -5% 1 ++ ++
Disney DIS 16 -6 -9 +1.2% -2% +2% -3% 5 -- -+ -
Chevron Corp CVX 17 -4 -9 +1.0% +2% 0% -8% 4 -+ +- -
3M Company MMM 18 -1 -8 +1.5% +1% +3% -6% 2 ++ +- -
Exxon Mobil XOM 19 -3 -10 -0.8% -2% +3% -9% 6 -- -- -
American Express AXP 20 +2 +6 +1.3% -8% +5% -16% 3 +- +- +
BankAmerica Corp BAC 21 -1 -2 -0.4% -11% +3% -7% 3 +- -- -
United Technolgy UTX 22 -1 -4 +0.4% -2% +2% -10% 3 +- +- -
Microsoft MSFT 23 0 +4 +1.7% -3% +2% -20% 3 +- +-
Verizon VZ 24 0 +1 +1.7% -1% +4% -16% 2 ++ +-
Pfizer PFE 25 0 -8 +2.1% +2% -2% -7% 4 -- +-
Boeing BA 26 0 -12 +1.2% -3% -3% -15% 4 -- +-
Merck MRK 27 0 +2 -14.7% -14% -9% -34% 3 +- --
Amer Intl Group AIG 28 0 0 +1.1% -6% +1% -25% 3 +- +-
Citigroup C 29 0 +1 +2.8% -8% +2% -26% 3 +- +-
General Motors GM 30 0 -6 +2.0% -7% -13% -23% 4 -- +-
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DOW 30 STOCKS PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) CROSSOVER SIGNALS
The PMO generates a BUY or SELL Signals when it crosses up or down through
its 10-DMA. These signals tend to be short-term in duration, but they can
last for several weeks. Do not take them at face value because they can
whipsaw quite a bit. They should be used to alert you to possible trading
opportunities not used as a mechanical trading model. Always check our daily
stock charts to verify the price pattern and the configuration of the PMO.
Signals are best when price appears extended, is near support or resistance,
and the PMO is very overbought or oversold. These signals may also be used to
manage positions based on our Price Momentum Model signals.
SUMMARY OF PMO CROSSOVER SIGNALS
DJIA DJIA
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 20 10
% of Total......: 67% 33%
Ave Days Elapsed: 20 16
Ave High Profit.: +4% +6%
Ave Profit......: 0% +3%
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
03/31 Cal
Close % Days High Today PMO
Name/Symbol Price Change Signl Elap P/L P/L R/F Days
---------------------- ------ ------ ----- ---- ------- ------- --------
Citigroup C 21.42 +2.8% BUY 7 0.6% -8.0% R 13
United Technolgy UTX 68.82 +0.4% BUY 7 0.0% -2.2% R 0
Amer Intl Group AIG 43.25 +1.1% BUY 11 2.4% -3.9% R 13
BankAmerica Corp BAC 37.91 -0.4% BUY 11 1.4% -9.4% F 4
Home Depot HD 27.97 +2.2% BUY 11 4.3% -0.3% R 13
Wal-Mart WMT 52.68 +1.1% BUY 11 0.8% -1.0% R 0
JP Morgan Chase JPM 42.95 +0.6% BUY 12 9.6% 1.1% R 14
3M Company MMM 79.15 +1.5% BUY 13 0.0% -2.2% R 0
American Express AXP 43.72 +1.3% BUY 13 8.7% 0.0% R 0
Merck MRK 37.95 -14.7% BUY 13 3.7% -12.1% F 0
Verizon VZ 36.45 +1.7% BUY 13 4.8% 3.3% R 14
McDonalds Corp MCD 55.77 +0.5% BUY 18 2.4% 1.6% R 11
Caterpillar CAT 78.29 +1.6% BUY 19 4.0% 4.0% R 7
General Electric GE 37.01 +1.1% BUY 19 10.4% 9.0% R 20
AT&T Corp T 38.30 +1.7% BUY 20 6.1% 6.1% R 20
Microsoft MSFT 28.38 +1.7% BUY 26 4.6% 0.9% R 0
Coca Cola KO 60.87 -0.1% BUY 35 5.2% 4.2% R 13
Johnson & Johns JNJ 64.87 +1.1% BUY 41 3.4% 2.6% R 20
Procter & Gamble PG 70.07 +0.9% BUY 48 4.3% 4.3% R 20
Intel INTC 21.18 +1.9% BUY 59 2.9% -2.1% F 4
Exxon Mobil XOM 84.58 -0.8% SELL 0 0.0% -1.9% F 3
Disney DIS 31.38 +1.2% SELL 4 1.2% 0.0% F 4
Hewlett Packard HPQ 45.66 -0.9% SELL 4 2.1% 2.1% F 5
IBM IBM 115.14 +0.5% SELL 4 0.8% 0.3% F 6
Chevron Corp CVX 85.36 +1.0% SELL 12 0.0% -4.2% R 0
Alcoa AA 36.06 -0.1% SELL 14 6.5% 2.8% F 12
Dupont DD 46.76 +0.7% SELL 24 1.8% -3.9% R 0
Boeing BA 74.37 +1.2% SELL 26 10.2% 7.9% R 0
Pfizer PFE 20.93 +2.1% SELL 28 7.9% 5.9% R 0
General Motors GM 19.05 +2.0% SELL 39 26.6% 21.6% R 0
Average +0.5% 19 4.6% 0.9% 7
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DOW 30 STOCKS PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
The SWENLIN PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL is intended to catch long-term price moves.
Model Signals are mechanically generated by a 200-day exponential moving
average crossover in conjunction with a 10% price move in the opposite
direction of the current signal extreme. For example, assume that the current
signal is a BUY. If the price drops 10% from the signal high, and also drops
below the 200 DMA, a SELL Signal will be generated automatically. The
MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS work best when prices are trending and changing
direction smoothly. When prices are volatile, particularly in a 10% range,
results will be extremely poor. By design, these signals will always miss at
least the first 10% of a move. Rather than wait for a signal reversal, it is
best to use trend analysis and other indicators to decide when to exit a
position. New signals should alert you to the possibility that a change in
direction is taking place. Once alerted, watch price movement and other
indicators to determine an optimum entry point, if any.
SUMMARY OF MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
DJIA DJIA
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 14 16
% of Total......: 47% 53%
Ave Days Elapsed: 136 112
Ave High Profit.: +9% +20%
Ave Profit......: +5% +15%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +7% -13%
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
This is a list of PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS for the DOW 30 stocks.
The newest signals give notice that the trend may be in the process of
making a long-term change of direction.
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
03/31 Cal Price
Close % Days High Today Rel to
Name/Symbol Price Change Sgnl Elap P/L P/L STOP Stop
---------------------- ------ ------ ---- ---- ------ ------ ------ -------
AT&T Corp T 38.30 +1.7% BUY 7 0.7% 0.7% 34.47 +11.1%
JP Morgan Chase JPM 42.95 +0.6% BUY 11 1.3% -6.6% 41.90 +2.5%
General Electric GE 37.01 +1.1% BUY 13 3.7% 2.4% 33.74 +9.7%
Exxon Mobil XOM 84.58 -0.8% BUY 34 0.0% -5.9% 80.90 +4.5%
Hewlett Packard HPQ 45.66 -0.9% BUY 40 3.7% -3.6% 44.21 +3.3%
Chevron Corp CVX 85.36 +1.0% BUY 41 4.9% 0.6% 80.12 +6.5%
Disney DIS 31.38 +1.2% BUY 47 1.0% -4.3% 29.79 +5.3%
Dupont DD 46.76 +0.7% BUY 48 1.9% 0.1% 42.85 +9.1%
McDonalds Corp MCD 55.77 +0.5% BUY 49 1.2% 0.3% 50.63 +10.1%
Caterpillar CAT 78.29 +1.6% BUY 59 9.1% 9.1% 70.46 +11.1%
IBM IBM 115.14 +0.5% BUY 59 9.6% 6.0% 107.15 +7.5%
Wal-Mart WMT 52.68 +1.1% BUY 172 15.4% 13.4% 47.64 +10.6%
Johnson & Johns JNJ 64.87 +1.1% BUY 189 4.9% 0.2% 61.16 +6.1%
Coca Cola KO 60.87 -0.1% BUY 1139 63.9% 53.1% 57.26 +6.3%
Alcoa AA 36.06 -0.1% SELL 11 0.0% -4.0% 38.15 -5.5%
United Technolgy UTX 68.82 +0.4% SELL 21 0.0% -3.9% 72.85 -5.5%
Microsoft MSFT 28.38 +1.7% SELL 59 11.0% 6.4% 30.42 -6.7%
Merck MRK 37.95 -14.7% SELL 69 25.4% 25.4% 49.32 -23.1%
Procter & Gamble PG 70.07 +0.9% SELL 69 0.7% -7.6% 71.15 -1.5%
Verizon VZ 36.45 +1.7% SELL 74 17.3% 10.9% 39.44 -7.6%
3M Company MMM 79.15 +1.5% SELL 80 3.4% -2.7% 81.88 -3.3%
Intel INTC 21.18 +1.9% SELL 87 17.8% 6.0% 22.71 -6.7%
American Express AXP 43.72 +1.3% SELL 108 23.4% 16.4% 52.09 -16.1%
Pfizer PFE 20.93 +2.1% SELL 133 8.4% 6.5% 23.06 -9.2%
General Motors GM 19.05 +2.0% SELL 144 45.3% 41.5% 27.58 -30.9%
Amer Intl Group AIG 43.25 +1.1% SELL 158 35.1% 29.4% 56.71 -23.7%
BankAmerica Corp BAC 37.91 -0.4% SELL 158 22.5% 16.8% 43.17 -12.2%
Boeing BA 74.37 +1.2% SELL 168 23.0% 20.9% 86.75 -14.3%
Home Depot HD 27.97 +2.2% SELL 206 27.2% 16.8% 30.30 -7.7%
Citigroup C 21.42 +2.8% SELL 251 60.8% 55.0% 34.06 -37.1%
Average +0.5% 123 14.8% 10.0% -3.6%
****************************************************************************
DOW 30 SHORT-TERM (PMO) and LONG-TERM (PMM) SIGNAL COMPARISONS
The Price Momentum Model (PMM) signal provides guidance regarding the
longer-term trend, and the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signals identify
the shorter-term trend. A logical trading methodology is to open positions
on new PMO signals when they are compatable with the PMM signals. Positions
may be closed or hedged when the PMM and PMO signals are in conflict.
This section compares the PMM and PMO signals side by side and provides
some mechanical analysis. A "Warn!" flag is an alert that the PMO signal is
in conflict with the PMM -- closing or hedging the PMM position may be
considered. A "Buy?" or "Sell?" flag is an alert that the PMO signal has
just changed and is the same as the PMM signal -- opening new PMM positions
may be considered.
SUMMARY OF SHORT-TERM AND LONG-TERM SIGNALS FOR DOW 30 STOCKS
SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM
PMO PMO PMM PMM
BUY SELL BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 20 10 14 16
% of Total......: 67% 33% 47% 53%
Ave Days Elapsed: 20 16 136 112
Ave High Profit.: +4% +6% +9% +20%
Ave Profit......: 0% +3% +5% +15%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +7% -13%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 73%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 53%
|-- PMO Crossover Model ---|-- Price Momentum Model --|
| PMO High Today | PMM High Today|
Name Flag| Sgnl Day P/L P/L | Sgnl Days P/L P/L|
--------------- -----| ---- --- ------- ------- | ---- ---- ------- -------|
3M Company Warn! BUY 13 0.0% -2.2% SELL 80 +3.4% -2.7%
Alcoa SELL 14 +6.5% +2.8% SELL 11 0.0% -4.0%
Amer Intl Grou Warn! BUY 11 +2.4% -3.9% SELL 158 +35.1% +29.5%
American Expre Warn! BUY 13 +8.7% +0.0% SELL 108 +23.4% +16.4%
AT&T Corp BUY 20 +6.1% +6.1% BUY 7 +0.7% +0.7%
BankAmerica Co Warn! BUY 11 +1.4% -9.4% SELL 158 +22.5% +16.8%
Boeing SELL 26 +10.2% +7.9% SELL 168 +23.0% +20.9%
Caterpillar BUY 19 +4.0% +4.0% BUY 59 +9.1% +9.1%
Chevron Corp Warn! SELL 12 0.0% -4.2% BUY 41 +4.9% +0.6%
Citigroup Warn! BUY 7 +0.6% -8.0% SELL 251 +60.9% +55.0%
Coca Cola BUY 35 +5.2% +4.3% BUY 1139 +63.9% +53.1%
Disney Warn! SELL 4 +1.2% 0.0% BUY 47 +1.0% -4.3%
Dupont Warn! SELL 24 +1.8% -3.9% BUY 48 +1.9% +0.1%
Exxon Mobil Warn! *SELL 0 0.0% -2.0% BUY 34 0.0% -5.9%
General Electr BUY 19 +10.4% +9.0% BUY 13 +3.7% +2.4%
General Motors SELL 39 +26.6% +21.6% SELL 144 +45.3% +41.5%
Hewlett Packar Warn! SELL 4 +2.1% +2.1% BUY 40 +3.7% -3.6%
Home Depot Warn! BUY 11 +4.3% -0.3% SELL 206 +27.2% +16.8%
IBM Warn! SELL 4 +0.8% +0.3% BUY 59 +9.6% +6.0%
Intel Warn! BUY 59 +2.9% -2.1% SELL 87 +17.8% +6.0%
Johnson & John BUY 41 +3.4% +2.6% BUY 189 +4.9% +0.2%
JP Morgan Chas BUY 12 +9.6% +1.1% BUY 11 +1.3% -6.6%
McDonalds Corp BUY 18 +2.4% +1.6% BUY 49 +1.2% +0.3%
Merck Warn! BUY 13 +3.7% -12.1% SELL 69 +25.4% +25.4%
Microsoft Warn! BUY 26 +4.6% +0.9% SELL 59 +11.0% +6.4%
Pfizer SELL 28 +7.9% +5.9% SELL 133 +8.4% +6.5%
Procter & Gamb Warn! BUY 48 +4.3% +4.3% SELL 69 +0.7% -7.6%
United Technol Warn! BUY 7 0.0% -2.2% SELL 21 0.0% -3.9%
Verizon Warn! BUY 13 +4.8% +3.3% SELL 74 +17.3% +10.9%
Wal-Mart BUY 11 +0.8% -1.0% BUY 172 +15.4% +13.4%
Average 19 +4.6% +0.9% 123 +14.8% +10.0%
*****************************************************************************
EXPLANATION OF TABLE HEADINGS
Close Price: The last price at which the stock traded today.
% Change: Percentage that price has changed from prior day's close.
% Ave Daily Vol: Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the
Each day Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the 250-EMA of
250-EMA of volume and report it as the percentage of average daily volume.
High percentages of average daily volume indicate that unusual interest is
being shown in a stock. Check news and other indicators.
Yield: Dividend expressed as a percentage of the closing price.
Payout Ratio: Dividend divided by the earnings. If this number is greater
than 1.0 it means that the company is paying out more in dividends than it
is earning. Not good.
PMO Rank: Shows the rank of the PMO in relation to the other stocks
this group.
5 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) in the last 5 days.
15 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) in the last 15 days.
YTD Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) since the beginning of the year.
Signl: The signal designations of BUY and SELL indicate the current
direction of momentum and are not an indication that continuous buying or
selling should take place. Signals that are a few days or weeks old give the
best indication that profitable action MIGHT be taken.
Cal Days Elap: Indicates the number of calendar days that have elapsed since
the current signal was initiated.
High P/L: Highest profit or least loss experienced since the current signal
was initiated. On the first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the
closing P/L for the prior signal.
Today P/L: Profit or loss for the signal since it was initiated. On the
first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the closing P/L for the prior
signal.
STOP: The price at which the mechanical PMM signal will reverse.
Price Rel to Stop: This column shows the relationship of the current price
to the price at which the signal will change. (i.e. +5.3% means the current
price is 5.3% above the signal change price.
PMO R/F Days: The direction of the PMO (rising/falling) and number of
calendar days trend has been effect.
The Hot/Cold grouping ranks securities/indexes into six (6) groups ranging
from 1 (Hot) to 6 (Cold) according to price strength, internal strength,
and relative strength. We can quickly assess the condition of these
elements by the group number and "blinker" fields. Moving from left to
right: The first blinker tells us if the PMO is above (+) or below (-) its
10-day exponential moving average (EMA). The second blinker indicates if
the closing price is above (+) or below (-) it's 20-DMA. The third and
fourth blinkers tell us if the PMO is rising (+) or falling (-), and if it
is above (+) or below (-) zero. The fifth blinker tells us if the 5-day PMO
rank change is positive (+), negative (-), or no change ( ). Groups 1-3
should be considered as buy candidates, 4-6 as sell candidates.
CAVEAT
We make every effort to insure the accuracy of this information, but we
cannot guarantee it. It is always possible that errors will creep in. If it
doesn't make sense, let us know about it. Also, we make every effort to upload
this data each market day, but circumstances may be such that it is not
possible due to circumstances beyond our control.
End of Daily DOW 30 Stock Review for Monday 3/31/2008
Copyright 2008 Decision Point. This publication is not to be summarized,
reproduced, or rebroadcast in any fashion without our written permission.
Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or
sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee or imply future
results.
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