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[About This Newsletter]
DECISION POINT
DAILY DOW 30 STOCK REVIEW
TUESDAY 6/30/2009
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This report highlights daily results of the stocks in the DOW 30 Index.
Daily chart books of these stocks (6-Mo and 2-Yr) are also available (see
Main Menu). THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NOT A
SOLICITATION OR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
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DOW 30 RESULTS FOR TUESDAY 6/30/09
06/30 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
3M Company MMM 60.10 +0.14 +0.2% 6512.6 115% 3.4% 14 0.5
Alcoa AA 10.33 -0.11 -1.1% 35703.5 110% 1.2% D
American Express AXP 23.24 -0.76 -3.2% 19716.4 90% 3.1% 14 0.4
AT&T Corp T 24.84 -0.38 -1.5% 28134.7 86% 6.6% 12 0.8
BankAmerica Corp BAC 13.20 +0.01 +0.1% 304655.1 98% 0.3% 16
Boeing BA 42.50 -0.15 -0.4% 8225.3 102% 4.0% 15 0.6
Caterpillar CAT 33.04 -1.70 -4.9% 16769.2 131% 5.1% 8 0.4
Chevron Corp CVX 66.25 -0.63 -0.9% 12620.3 84% 3.9% 7 0.3
Cisco Systems CSCO 18.65 -0.34 -1.8% 53203.5 93% 16
Coca Cola KO 47.99 -0.30 -0.6% 15593.2 121% 3.4% 20 0.7
Disney DIS 23.33 -0.33 -1.4% 10623.3 70% 1.5% 13 0.2
Dupont DD 25.62 -0.39 -1.5% 8180.5 88% 6.4% 18 1.2
Exxon Mobil XOM 69.91 -0.67 -1.0% 27044.4 77% 2.4% 9 0.2
General Electric GE 11.72 -0.04 -0.3% 87143.5 72% 3.4% 8 0.3
Hewlett Packard HPQ 38.65 -0.33 -0.9% 16375.8 81% 0.8% 13 0.1
Home Depot HD 23.63 -0.24 -1.0% 12536.2 59% 3.8% 17 0.6
IBM IBM 104.42 -1.41 -1.3% 7417.8 77% 2.1% 12 0.2
Intel INTC 16.55 +0.17 +1.0% 65827.5 95% 3.4% 21 0.7
Johnson & Johns JNJ 56.80 -0.16 -0.3% 15648.1 100% 3.5% 12 0.4
JP Morgan Chase JPM 34.11 -0.49 -1.4% 39215.8 53% 0.6% 30 0.2
Kraft Foods KFT 25.34 -0.24 -0.9% 10181.2 81% 4.6% 13 0.6
McDonalds Corp MCD 57.49 +0.26 +0.5% 7249.1 71% 3.5% 15 0.5
Merck MRK 27.96 +0.11 +0.4% 21584.1 111% 5.4% 10 0.5
Microsoft MSFT 23.77 -0.09 -0.4% 65779.0 88% 2.2% 14 0.3
Pfizer PFE 15.00 -0.26 -1.7% 51667.5 88% 4.3% 13 0.5
Procter & Gamble PG 51.10 -1.13 -2.2% 14194.8 90% 3.4% 12 0.4
Travelers Cos TRV 41.04 +0.03 +0.1% 5358.7 83% 2.9% 9 0.3
United Technolgy UTX 51.96 -0.51 -1.0% 6897.6 98% 3.0% 11 0.3
Verizon VZ 30.73 -0.63 -2.0% 16839.3 94% 6.0% 14 0.8
Wal-Mart WMT 48.44 -0.32 -0.7% 16660.0 74% 2.3% 14 0.3
Average -0.36 -1.0% 33585.3 89% 3.2% 12 0.5
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DOW 30 SORTED BY PERCENTAGE CHANGE
06/30 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Intel INTC 16.55 +0.17 +1.0% 65827.5 95% 3.4% 21 0.7
McDonalds Corp MCD 57.49 +0.26 +0.5% 7249.1 71% 3.5% 15 0.5
Merck MRK 27.96 +0.11 +0.4% 21584.1 111% 5.4% 10 0.5
3M Company MMM 60.10 +0.14 +0.2% 6512.6 115% 3.4% 14 0.5
BankAmerica Corp BAC 13.20 +0.01 +0.1% 304655.1 98% 0.3% 16
Travelers Cos TRV 41.04 +0.03 +0.1% 5358.7 83% 2.9% 9 0.3
Johnson & Johns JNJ 56.80 -0.16 -0.3% 15648.1 100% 3.5% 12 0.4
General Electric GE 11.72 -0.04 -0.3% 87143.5 72% 3.4% 8 0.3
Boeing BA 42.50 -0.15 -0.4% 8225.3 102% 4.0% 15 0.6
Microsoft MSFT 23.77 -0.09 -0.4% 65779.0 88% 2.2% 14 0.3
Coca Cola KO 47.99 -0.30 -0.6% 15593.2 121% 3.4% 20 0.7
Wal-Mart WMT 48.44 -0.32 -0.7% 16660.0 74% 2.3% 14 0.3
Hewlett Packard HPQ 38.65 -0.33 -0.9% 16375.8 81% 0.8% 13 0.1
Chevron Corp CVX 66.25 -0.63 -0.9% 12620.3 84% 3.9% 7 0.3
Kraft Foods KFT 25.34 -0.24 -0.9% 10181.2 81% 4.6% 13 0.6
Exxon Mobil XOM 69.91 -0.67 -1.0% 27044.4 77% 2.4% 9 0.2
United Technolgy UTX 51.96 -0.51 -1.0% 6897.6 98% 3.0% 11 0.3
Home Depot HD 23.63 -0.24 -1.0% 12536.2 59% 3.8% 17 0.6
Alcoa AA 10.33 -0.11 -1.1% 35703.5 110% 1.2% D
IBM IBM 104.42 -1.41 -1.3% 7417.8 77% 2.1% 12 0.2
Disney DIS 23.33 -0.33 -1.4% 10623.3 70% 1.5% 13 0.2
JP Morgan Chase JPM 34.11 -0.49 -1.4% 39215.8 53% 0.6% 30 0.2
Dupont DD 25.62 -0.39 -1.5% 8180.5 88% 6.4% 18 1.2
AT&T Corp T 24.84 -0.38 -1.5% 28134.7 86% 6.6% 12 0.8
Pfizer PFE 15.00 -0.26 -1.7% 51667.5 88% 4.3% 13 0.5
Cisco Systems CSCO 18.65 -0.34 -1.8% 53203.5 93% 16
Verizon VZ 30.73 -0.63 -2.0% 16839.3 94% 6.0% 14 0.8
Procter & Gamble PG 51.10 -1.13 -2.2% 14194.8 90% 3.4% 12 0.4
American Express AXP 23.24 -0.76 -3.2% 19716.4 90% 3.1% 14 0.4
Caterpillar CAT 33.04 -1.70 -4.9% 16769.2 131% 5.1% 8 0.4
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DOW 30 SORTED BY PERCENTAGE OF AVERAGE DAILY VOLUME
Each day Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the 250-EMA of
volume and report it as the percentage of average daily volume. High
percentages of average daily volume indicate that unusual interest is being
shown in a stock. Check news and other indicators.
06/30 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Caterpillar CAT 33.04 -1.70 -4.9% 16769.2 131% 5.1% 8 0.4
Coca Cola KO 47.99 -0.30 -0.6% 15593.2 121% 3.4% 20 0.7
3M Company MMM 60.10 +0.14 +0.2% 6512.6 115% 3.4% 14 0.5
Merck MRK 27.96 +0.11 +0.4% 21584.1 111% 5.4% 10 0.5
Alcoa AA 10.33 -0.11 -1.1% 35703.5 110% 1.2% D
Boeing BA 42.50 -0.15 -0.4% 8225.3 102% 4.0% 15 0.6
Johnson & Johns JNJ 56.80 -0.16 -0.3% 15648.1 100% 3.5% 12 0.4
United Technolgy UTX 51.96 -0.51 -1.0% 6897.6 98% 3.0% 11 0.3
BankAmerica Corp BAC 13.20 +0.01 +0.1% 304655.1 98% 0.3% 16
Intel INTC 16.55 +0.17 +1.0% 65827.5 95% 3.4% 21 0.7
Verizon VZ 30.73 -0.63 -2.0% 16839.3 94% 6.0% 14 0.8
Cisco Systems CSCO 18.65 -0.34 -1.8% 53203.5 93% 16
Procter & Gamble PG 51.10 -1.13 -2.2% 14194.8 90% 3.4% 12 0.4
American Express AXP 23.24 -0.76 -3.2% 19716.4 90% 3.1% 14 0.4
Pfizer PFE 15.00 -0.26 -1.7% 51667.5 88% 4.3% 13 0.5
Microsoft MSFT 23.77 -0.09 -0.4% 65779.0 88% 2.2% 14 0.3
Dupont DD 25.62 -0.39 -1.5% 8180.5 88% 6.4% 18 1.2
AT&T Corp T 24.84 -0.38 -1.5% 28134.7 86% 6.6% 12 0.8
Chevron Corp CVX 66.25 -0.63 -0.9% 12620.3 84% 3.9% 7 0.3
Travelers Cos TRV 41.04 +0.03 +0.1% 5358.7 83% 2.9% 9 0.3
Kraft Foods KFT 25.34 -0.24 -0.9% 10181.2 81% 4.6% 13 0.6
Hewlett Packard HPQ 38.65 -0.33 -0.9% 16375.8 81% 0.8% 13 0.1
Exxon Mobil XOM 69.91 -0.67 -1.0% 27044.4 77% 2.4% 9 0.2
IBM IBM 104.42 -1.41 -1.3% 7417.8 77% 2.1% 12 0.2
Wal-Mart WMT 48.44 -0.32 -0.7% 16660.0 74% 2.3% 14 0.3
General Electric GE 11.72 -0.04 -0.3% 87143.5 72% 3.4% 8 0.3
McDonalds Corp MCD 57.49 +0.26 +0.5% 7249.1 71% 3.5% 15 0.5
Disney DIS 23.33 -0.33 -1.4% 10623.3 70% 1.5% 13 0.2
Home Depot HD 23.63 -0.24 -1.0% 12536.2 59% 3.8% 17 0.6
JP Morgan Chase JPM 34.11 -0.49 -1.4% 39215.8 53% 0.6% 30 0.2
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DOW 30 STOCKS SORTED BY YIELD
06/30 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
AT&T Corp T 24.84 -0.38 -1.5% 28134.7 86% 6.6% 12 0.8
Dupont DD 25.62 -0.39 -1.5% 8180.5 88% 6.4% 18 1.2
Verizon VZ 30.73 -0.63 -2.0% 16839.3 94% 6.0% 14 0.8
Merck MRK 27.96 +0.11 +0.4% 21584.1 111% 5.4% 10 0.5
Caterpillar CAT 33.04 -1.70 -4.9% 16769.2 131% 5.1% 8 0.4
Kraft Foods KFT 25.34 -0.24 -0.9% 10181.2 81% 4.6% 13 0.6
Pfizer PFE 15.00 -0.26 -1.7% 51667.5 88% 4.3% 13 0.5
Boeing BA 42.50 -0.15 -0.4% 8225.3 102% 4.0% 15 0.6
Chevron Corp CVX 66.25 -0.63 -0.9% 12620.3 84% 3.9% 7 0.3
Home Depot HD 23.63 -0.24 -1.0% 12536.2 59% 3.8% 17 0.6
McDonalds Corp MCD 57.49 +0.26 +0.5% 7249.1 71% 3.5% 15 0.5
Johnson & Johns JNJ 56.80 -0.16 -0.3% 15648.1 100% 3.5% 12 0.4
Procter & Gamble PG 51.10 -1.13 -2.2% 14194.8 90% 3.4% 12 0.4
Coca Cola KO 47.99 -0.30 -0.6% 15593.2 121% 3.4% 20 0.7
General Electric GE 11.72 -0.04 -0.3% 87143.5 72% 3.4% 8 0.3
3M Company MMM 60.10 +0.14 +0.2% 6512.6 115% 3.4% 14 0.5
Intel INTC 16.55 +0.17 +1.0% 65827.5 95% 3.4% 21 0.7
American Express AXP 23.24 -0.76 -3.2% 19716.4 90% 3.1% 14 0.4
United Technolgy UTX 51.96 -0.51 -1.0% 6897.6 98% 3.0% 11 0.3
Travelers Cos TRV 41.04 +0.03 +0.1% 5358.7 83% 2.9% 9 0.3
Exxon Mobil XOM 69.91 -0.67 -1.0% 27044.4 77% 2.4% 9 0.2
Wal-Mart WMT 48.44 -0.32 -0.7% 16660.0 74% 2.3% 14 0.3
Microsoft MSFT 23.77 -0.09 -0.4% 65779.0 88% 2.2% 14 0.3
IBM IBM 104.42 -1.41 -1.3% 7417.8 77% 2.1% 12 0.2
Disney DIS 23.33 -0.33 -1.4% 10623.3 70% 1.5% 13 0.2
Alcoa AA 10.33 -0.11 -1.1% 35703.5 110% 1.2% D
Hewlett Packard HPQ 38.65 -0.33 -0.9% 16375.8 81% 0.8% 13 0.1
JP Morgan Chase JPM 34.11 -0.49 -1.4% 39215.8 53% 0.6% 30 0.2
BankAmerica Corp BAC 13.20 +0.01 +0.1% 304655.1 98% 0.3% 16
Cisco Systems CSCO 18.65 -0.34 -1.8% 53203.5 93% 16
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DOW 30 STOCKS SORTED BY P/E RATIO
06/30 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Chevron Corp CVX 66.25 -0.63 -0.9% 12620.3 84% 3.9% 7 0.3
General Electric GE 11.72 -0.04 -0.3% 87143.5 72% 3.4% 8 0.3
Caterpillar CAT 33.04 -1.70 -4.9% 16769.2 131% 5.1% 8 0.4
Exxon Mobil XOM 69.91 -0.67 -1.0% 27044.4 77% 2.4% 9 0.2
Travelers Cos TRV 41.04 +0.03 +0.1% 5358.7 83% 2.9% 9 0.3
Merck MRK 27.96 +0.11 +0.4% 21584.1 111% 5.4% 10 0.5
United Technolgy UTX 51.96 -0.51 -1.0% 6897.6 98% 3.0% 11 0.3
IBM IBM 104.42 -1.41 -1.3% 7417.8 77% 2.1% 12 0.2
Procter & Gamble PG 51.10 -1.13 -2.2% 14194.8 90% 3.4% 12 0.4
AT&T Corp T 24.84 -0.38 -1.5% 28134.7 86% 6.6% 12 0.8
Johnson & Johns JNJ 56.80 -0.16 -0.3% 15648.1 100% 3.5% 12 0.4
Hewlett Packard HPQ 38.65 -0.33 -0.9% 16375.8 81% 0.8% 13 0.1
Pfizer PFE 15.00 -0.26 -1.7% 51667.5 88% 4.3% 13 0.5
Disney DIS 23.33 -0.33 -1.4% 10623.3 70% 1.5% 13 0.2
Kraft Foods KFT 25.34 -0.24 -0.9% 10181.2 81% 4.6% 13 0.6
American Express AXP 23.24 -0.76 -3.2% 19716.4 90% 3.1% 14 0.4
Verizon VZ 30.73 -0.63 -2.0% 16839.3 94% 6.0% 14 0.8
Microsoft MSFT 23.77 -0.09 -0.4% 65779.0 88% 2.2% 14 0.3
3M Company MMM 60.10 +0.14 +0.2% 6512.6 115% 3.4% 14 0.5
Wal-Mart WMT 48.44 -0.32 -0.7% 16660.0 74% 2.3% 14 0.3
Boeing BA 42.50 -0.15 -0.4% 8225.3 102% 4.0% 15 0.6
McDonalds Corp MCD 57.49 +0.26 +0.5% 7249.1 71% 3.5% 15 0.5
Cisco Systems CSCO 18.65 -0.34 -1.8% 53203.5 93% 16
BankAmerica Corp BAC 13.20 +0.01 +0.1% 304655.1 98% 0.3% 16
Home Depot HD 23.63 -0.24 -1.0% 12536.2 59% 3.8% 17 0.6
Dupont DD 25.62 -0.39 -1.5% 8180.5 88% 6.4% 18 1.2
Coca Cola KO 47.99 -0.30 -0.6% 15593.2 121% 3.4% 20 0.7
Intel INTC 16.55 +0.17 +1.0% 65827.5 95% 3.4% 21 0.7
JP Morgan Chase JPM 34.11 -0.49 -1.4% 39215.8 53% 0.6% 30 0.2
Alcoa AA 10.33 -0.11 -1.1% 35703.5 110% 1.2% D
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DOW 30 DAILY BLUE CHIP STOCK PMO STRENGTH RANK ANALYSIS
This report presents ranking of DOW 30 stocks based on Decision
Point's proprietary PMO (Price Momentum Oscillator). The PMO measures a
stock's absolute strength based on price momentum. THIS REPORT IS TO ASSIST
RESEARCH AND IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL SECURITIES.
The Hot/Cold Groups & Blinkers are explained at the end of this report.
STOCKS SORTED BY PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) RANK
|RankChg-| |---- % Price Change ----| Hot/Cold
PMO 5 15 On 5 15 Group &
Stock Name/Symbol Rank Day Day 06/30 Day Day YTD Blinkers
--------------------- ---- ---- ---- ------ ----- ----- ------ |---------|
BankAmerica Corp BAC 1 0 0 +0.1% +8% +9% -6% 4 -+ -+
Microsoft MSFT 2 +1 +8 -0.4% +2% +8% +24% 4 -+ -+ +
Alcoa AA 3 -1 +1 -1.1% +3% -7% -6% 5 -- -+ -
American Express AXP 4 +1 -2 -3.2% -1% -14% +28% 5 -- -+ +
Hewlett Packard HPQ 5 +3 +14 -0.9% +3% +5% +7% 1 ++ ++ +
Coca Cola KO 6 +1 +5 -0.6% 0% -1% +8% 4 -+ -+ +
JP Morgan Chase JPM 7 +3 -1 -1.4% +2% -3% +10% 5 -- -+ +
3M Company MMM 8 +3 +5 +0.2% +5% 0% +7% 4 -+ ++ +
Pfizer PFE 9 +9 +16 -1.7% +2% +6% -13% 3 ++ -+ +
Intel INTC 10 +7 +11 +1.0% +5% +1% +15% 1 ++ ++ +
Merck MRK 11 +12 +12 +0.4% +11% +9% -5% 1 ++ ++ +
Disney DIS 12 -3 -7 -1.4% +2% -8% +3% 5 -- -+ -
Kraft Foods KFT 13 0 -1 -0.9% 0% -2% -3% 5 -- -+
United Technolgy UTX 14 -8 -7 -1.0% 0% -6% -2% 5 -- -+ -
Johnson & Johns JNJ 15 +4 +7 -0.3% +3% +2% -3% 1 ++ ++ +
Boeing BA 16 -12 -13 -0.4% -3% -19% +1% 5 -- -+ -
McDonalds Corp MCD 17 -2 -1 +0.5% +1% -3% -6% 4 -+ -+ -
IBM IBM 18 -2 0 -1.3% 0% -3% +25% 5 -- -+ -
Cisco Systems CSCO 19 -5 -5 -1.8% 0% -7% +14% 5 -- -+ -
Verizon VZ 20 +6 +9 -2.0% +1% +4% -7% 1 ++ ++ +
Travelers Cos TRV 21 -9 -4 +0.1% 0% -7% -8% 5 -- -+ -
Exxon Mobil XOM 22 -2 +2 -1.0% +1% -4% -11% 5 -- -+ -
Procter & Gamble PG 23 +1 -3 -2.2% +1% -3% -16% 5 -- -+ +
Chevron Corp CVX 24 -3 +2 -0.9% 0% -6% -9% 5 -- -+ -
AT&T Corp T 25 +4 +5 -1.5% +1% +3% -10% 2 ++ +- +
Caterpillar CAT 26 -4 -17 -4.9% 0% -14% -24% 6 -- -- -
Home Depot HD 27 +1 +1 -1.0% +3% -3% +5% 4 -- +- +
Wal-Mart WMT 28 -1 -1 -0.7% 0% -4% -13% 6 -- -- -
Dupont DD 29 +1 -14 -1.5% +5% -5% +5% 4 -- +- +
General Electric GE 30 -5 -22 -0.3% +1% -13% -25% 6 -- -- -
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DOW 30 STOCKS PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) CROSSOVER SIGNALS
The PMO generates a BUY or SELL Signals when it crosses up or down through
its 10-DMA. These signals tend to be short-term in duration, but they can
last for several weeks. Do not take them at face value because they can
whipsaw quite a bit. They should be used to alert you to possible trading
opportunities not used as a mechanical trading model. Always check our daily
stock charts to verify the price pattern and the configuration of the PMO.
Signals are best when price appears extended, is near support or resistance,
and the PMO is very overbought or oversold. These signals may also be used to
manage positions based on our Price Momentum Model signals.
SUMMARY OF PMO CROSSOVER SIGNALS
DJIA DJIA
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 7 23
% of Total......: 23% 77%
Ave Days Elapsed: 9 24
Ave High Profit.: +2% +5%
Ave Profit......: 0% +3%
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
06/30 Cal
Close % Days High Today PMO
Name/Symbol Price Change Signl Elap P/L P/L R/F Days
---------------------- ------ ------ ----- ---- ------- ------- --------
Intel INTC 16.55 +1.0% BUY 0 0.0% -4.4% R 5
Johnson & Johns JNJ 56.80 -0.3% BUY 0 0.0% -2.0% R 5
Merck MRK 27.96 +0.4% BUY 4 3.6% 3.6% R 5
Pfizer PFE 15.00 -1.7% BUY 5 0.0% -2.2% F 0
AT&T Corp T 24.84 -1.5% BUY 7 2.3% 0.7% R 7
Verizon VZ 30.73 -2.0% BUY 19 5.4% 3.3% R 21
Hewlett Packard HPQ 38.65 -0.8% BUY 25 4.6% 3.7% R 1
Microsoft MSFT 23.77 -0.4% SELL 0 0.0% 11.1% F 8
Alcoa AA 10.33 -1.1% SELL 11 9.1% 6.1% F 15
Chevron Corp CVX 66.25 -0.9% SELL 11 3.4% 2.7% F 14
Travelers Cos TRV 41.04 +0.1% SELL 11 3.1% 2.5% F 15
Exxon Mobil XOM 69.91 -0.9% SELL 12 4.2% 2.1% F 15
Boeing BA 42.50 -0.4% SELL 13 14.9% 12.5% F 19
Cisco Systems CSCO 18.65 -1.8% SELL 14 3.5% 2.3% F 15
Coca Cola KO 47.99 -0.6% SELL 14 0.7% -0.3% F 11
IBM IBM 104.42 -1.3% SELL 14 3.0% 2.7% F 18
McDonalds Corp MCD 57.49 +0.5% SELL 14 1.3% -0.7% F 20
3M Company MMM 60.10 +0.2% SELL 15 3.8% -1.3% R 1
Home Depot HD 23.63 -1.0% SELL 15 4.9% 0.9% R 5
United Technolgy UTX 51.96 -1.0% SELL 15 7.1% 5.0% F 21
Wal-Mart WMT 48.44 -0.7% SELL 15 0.6% 0.0% F 0
Kraft Foods KFT 25.34 -0.9% SELL 20 4.0% 0.9% F 22
Procter & Gamble PG 51.10 -2.2% SELL 21 4.6% 2.5% F 0
Disney DIS 23.33 -1.4% SELL 40 2.5% -0.4% F 27
BankAmerica Corp BAC 13.20 +0.1% SELL 46 0.0% -23.8% F 14
Caterpillar CAT 33.04 -4.9% SELL 46 9.5% 7.6% F 21
General Electric GE 11.72 -0.3% SELL 46 9.7% 8.2% F 28
American Express AXP 23.24 -3.2% SELL 48 4.8% 3.5% F 20
JP Morgan Chase JPM 34.11 -1.4% SELL 49 7.4% 3.5% F 42
Dupont DD 25.62 -1.5% SELL 55 15.0% 9.6% R 1
Average -1.0% 20 4.4% 2.0% 13
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DOW 30 STOCKS PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
The SWENLIN PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL is intended to catch long-term price moves.
Model Signals are mechanically generated by a 200-day exponential moving
average crossover in conjunction with a 10% price move in the opposite
direction of the current signal extreme. For example, assume that the current
signal is a BUY. If the price drops 10% from the signal high, and also drops
below the 200 DMA, a SELL Signal will be generated automatically. The
MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS work best when prices are trending and changing
direction smoothly. When prices are volatile, particularly in a 10% range,
results will be extremely poor. By design, these signals will always miss at
least the first 10% of a move. Rather than wait for a signal reversal, it is
best to use trend analysis and other indicators to decide when to exit a
position. New signals should alert you to the possibility that a change in
direction is taking place. Once alerted, watch price movement and other
indicators to determine an optimum entry point, if any.
SUMMARY OF MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
DJIA DJIA
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 16 14
% of Total......: 53% 47%
Ave Days Elapsed: 43 159
Ave High Profit.: +6% +29%
Ave Profit......: +2% +19%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +7% -9%
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
This is a list of PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS for the DOW 30 stocks.
The newest signals give notice that the trend may be in the process of
making a long-term change of direction.
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
06/30 Cal Price
Close % Days High Today Rel to
Name/Symbol Price Change Sgnl Elap P/L P/L STOP Stop
---------------------- ------ ------ ---- ---- ------ ------ ------ -------
Merck MRK 27.96 +0.4% BUY 1 0.4% 0.4% 25.16 +11.1%
Johnson & Johns JNJ 56.80 -0.3% BUY 5 1.2% 0.9% 51.26 +10.8%
Pfizer PFE 15.00 -1.7% BUY 5 0.0% -2.2% 13.80 +8.7%
Chevron Corp CVX 66.25 -0.9% BUY 19 1.1% -7.9% 65.40 +1.3%
Exxon Mobil XOM 69.91 -0.9% BUY 28 1.5% -4.1% 66.65 +4.9%
Kraft Foods KFT 25.34 -0.9% BUY 32 3.6% -1.9% 24.07 +5.3%
Microsoft MSFT 23.77 -0.4% BUY 32 15.2% 13.8% 21.14 +12.4%
Travelers Cos TRV 41.04 +0.1% BUY 35 6.4% -0.9% 39.64 +3.5%
Coca Cola KO 47.99 -0.6% BUY 43 8.5% 5.1% 44.60 +7.6%
Hewlett Packard HPQ 38.65 -0.8% BUY 57 5.2% 4.3% 35.08 +10.2%
Intel INTC 16.55 +1.0% BUY 57 0.2% 0.2% 14.90 +11.1%
3M Company MMM 60.10 +0.2% BUY 60 6.3% 4.7% 54.90 +9.5%
Cisco Systems CSCO 18.65 -1.8% BUY 63 7.7% -0.1% 18.09 +3.1%
JP Morgan Chase JPM 34.11 -1.4% BUY 68 17.3% 2.7% 32.45 +5.1%
McDonalds Corp MCD 57.49 +0.5% BUY 89 8.2% 2.9% 54.44 +5.6%
IBM IBM 104.42 -1.3% BUY 99 11.4% 6.3% 98.46 +6.1%
United Technolgy UTX 51.96 -1.0% SELL 6 0.0% -2.3% 55.89 -7.0%
Boeing BA 42.50 -0.4% SELL 7 5.8% 3.1% 46.32 -8.2%
Disney DIS 23.33 -1.4% SELL 8 0.0% -3.0% 24.93 -6.4%
American Express AXP 23.24 -3.2% SELL 13 4.3% 3.0% 25.22 -7.9%
Dupont DD 25.62 -1.5% SELL 25 10.7% 5.1% 28.02 -8.6%
Home Depot HD 23.63 -1.0% SELL 40 0.8% -4.2% 24.74 -4.5%
Verizon VZ 30.73 -2.0% SELL 40 1.2% -5.4% 31.69 -3.0%
Wal-Mart WMT 48.44 -0.7% SELL 67 0.0% -1.7% 52.37 -7.5%
Procter & Gamble PG 51.10 -2.2% SELL 222 25.0% 12.5% 54.62 -6.4%
BankAmerica Corp BAC 13.20 +0.1% SELL 267 90.0% 57.9% 14.26 -7.4%
Caterpillar CAT 33.04 -4.9% SELL 330 66.4% 49.3% 39.73 -16.8%
Alcoa AA 10.33 -1.1% SELL 369 84.6% 69.4% 12.71 -18.7%
AT&T Corp T 24.84 -1.5% SELL 384 37.3% 27.2% 26.22 -5.3%
General Electric GE 11.72 -0.3% SELL 445 77.9% 60.8% 15.16 -22.7%
Average -1.0% 97 16.6% 9.9% -0.5%
****************************************************************************
DOW 30 SHORT-TERM (PMO) and LONG-TERM (PMM) SIGNAL COMPARISONS
The Price Momentum Model (PMM) signal provides guidance regarding the
longer-term trend, and the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signals identify
the shorter-term trend. A logical trading methodology is to open positions
on new PMO signals when they are compatable with the PMM signals. Positions
may be closed or hedged when the PMM and PMO signals are in conflict.
This section compares the PMM and PMO signals side by side and provides
some mechanical analysis. A "Warn!" flag is an alert that the PMO signal is
in conflict with the PMM -- closing or hedging the PMM position may be
considered. A "Buy?" or "Sell?" flag is an alert that the PMO signal has
just changed and is the same as the PMM signal -- opening new PMM positions
may be considered.
SUMMARY OF SHORT-TERM AND LONG-TERM SIGNALS FOR DOW 30 STOCKS
SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM
PMO PMO PMM PMM
BUY SELL BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 7 23 16 14
% of Total......: 23% 77% 53% 47%
Ave Days Elapsed: 9 24 43 159
Ave High Profit.: +2% +5% +6% +29%
Ave Profit......: 0% +3% +2% +19%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +7% -9%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 30%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 80%
|-- PMO Crossover Model ---|-- Price Momentum Model --|
| PMO High Today | PMM High Today|
Name Flag| Sgnl Day P/L P/L | Sgnl Days P/L P/L|
--------------- -----| ---- --- ------- ------- | ---- ---- ------- -------|
3M Company Warn! SELL 15 +3.8% -1.3% BUY 60 +6.3% +4.7%
Alcoa SELL 11 +9.1% +6.1% SELL 369 +84.6% +69.4%
American Expre SELL 48 +4.8% +3.5% SELL 13 +4.3% +3.0%
AT&T Corp Warn! BUY 7 +2.3% +0.7% SELL 384 +37.3% +27.2%
BankAmerica Co SELL 46 0.0% -23.8% SELL 267 +90.0% +58.0%
Boeing SELL 13 +14.9% +12.5% SELL 7 +5.8% +3.1%
Caterpillar SELL 46 +9.5% +7.6% SELL 330 +66.4% +49.3%
Chevron Corp Warn! SELL 11 +3.4% +2.7% BUY 19 +1.1% -7.9%
Cisco Systems Warn! SELL 14 +3.5% +2.3% BUY 63 +7.7% -0.1%
Coca Cola Warn! SELL 14 +0.7% -0.3% BUY 43 +8.5% +5.1%
Disney SELL 40 +2.5% -0.4% SELL 8 0.0% -3.0%
Dupont SELL 55 +15.0% +9.6% SELL 25 +10.7% +5.1%
Exxon Mobil Warn! SELL 12 +4.2% +2.1% BUY 28 +1.6% -4.1%
General Electr SELL 46 +9.7% +8.2% SELL 445 +77.9% +60.8%
Hewlett Packar BUY 25 +4.6% +3.7% BUY 57 +5.2% +4.3%
Home Depot SELL 15 +4.9% +0.9% SELL 40 +0.8% -4.2%
IBM Warn! SELL 14 +3.0% +2.7% BUY 99 +11.4% +6.3%
Intel Buy? * BUY 0 0.0% -4.4% BUY 57 +0.2% +0.2%
Johnson & John Buy? * BUY 0 0.0% -2.1% BUY 5 +1.2% +0.9%
JP Morgan Chas Warn! SELL 49 +7.4% +3.5% BUY 68 +17.3% +2.7%
Kraft Foods Warn! SELL 20 +4.0% +0.9% BUY 32 +3.6% -1.9%
McDonalds Corp Warn! SELL 14 +1.4% -0.7% BUY 89 +8.2% +2.9%
Merck BUY 4 +3.6% +3.6% BUY 1 +0.4% +0.4%
Microsoft Warn! *SELL 0 0.0% +11.1% BUY 32 +15.2% +13.8%
Pfizer BUY 5 0.0% -2.2% BUY 5 0.0% -2.2%
Procter & Gamb SELL 21 +4.6% +2.5% SELL 222 +25.0% +12.5%
Travelers Cos Warn! SELL 11 +3.1% +2.5% BUY 35 +6.4% -0.9%
United Technol SELL 15 +7.2% +5.0% SELL 6 0.0% -2.3%
Verizon Warn! BUY 19 +5.4% +3.3% SELL 40 +1.2% -5.4%
Wal-Mart SELL 15 +0.6% +0.0% SELL 67 0.0% -1.7%
Average 20 +4.4% +2.0% 97 +16.6% +9.9%
*****************************************************************************
EXPLANATION OF TABLE HEADINGS
Close Price: The last price at which the stock traded today.
% Change: Percentage that price has changed from prior day's close.
% Ave Daily Vol: Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the
Each day Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the 250-EMA of
250-EMA of volume and report it as the percentage of average daily volume.
High percentages of average daily volume indicate that unusual interest is
being shown in a stock. Check news and other indicators.
Yield: Dividend expressed as a percentage of the closing price.
Payout Ratio: Dividend divided by the earnings. If this number is greater
than 1.0 it means that the company is paying out more in dividends than it
is earning. Not good.
PMO Rank: Shows the rank of the PMO in relation to the other stocks
this group.
5 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) in the last 5 days.
15 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) in the last 15 days.
YTD Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) since the beginning of the year.
Signl: The signal designations of BUY and SELL indicate the current
direction of momentum and are not an indication that continuous buying or
selling should take place. Signals that are a few days or weeks old give the
best indication that profitable action MIGHT be taken.
Cal Days Elap: Indicates the number of calendar days that have elapsed since
the current signal was initiated.
High P/L: Highest profit or least loss experienced since the current signal
was initiated. On the first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the
closing P/L for the prior signal.
Today P/L: Profit or loss for the signal since it was initiated. On the
first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the closing P/L for the prior
signal.
STOP: The price at which the mechanical PMM signal will reverse.
Price Rel to Stop: This column shows the relationship of the current price
to the price at which the signal will change. (i.e. +5.3% means the current
price is 5.3% above the signal change price.
PMO R/F Days: The direction of the PMO (rising/falling) and number of
calendar days trend has been effect.
The Hot/Cold grouping ranks securities/indexes into six (6) groups ranging
from 1 (Hot) to 6 (Cold) according to price strength, internal strength,
and relative strength. We can quickly assess the condition of these
elements by the group number and "blinker" fields. Moving from left to
right: The first blinker tells us if the PMO is above (+) or below (-) its
10-day exponential moving average (EMA). The second blinker indicates if
the closing price is above (+) or below (-) it's 20-DMA. The third and
fourth blinkers tell us if the PMO is rising (+) or falling (-), and if it
is above (+) or below (-) zero. The fifth blinker tells us if the 5-day PMO
rank change is positive (+), negative (-), or no change ( ). Groups 1-3
should be considered as buy candidates, 4-6 as sell candidates.
CAVEAT
We make every effort to insure the accuracy of this information, but we
cannot guarantee it. It is always possible that errors will creep in. If it
doesn't make sense, let us know about it. Also, we make every effort to upload
this data each market day, but circumstances may be such that it is not
possible due to circumstances beyond our control.
End of Daily DOW 30 Stock Review for Tuesday 6/30/2009
Copyright 2009 Decision Point. This publication is not to be summarized,
reproduced, or rebroadcast in any fashion without our written permission.
Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or
sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee or imply future
results.
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