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Ominous Technicals for S&P 500 Friday October 30, 2009
By Mike Paulenoff MPTrader.com
Friday's action could have been one of the more destructive technical
sessions in recent memory. Not only did the day's weakness totally
reverse Thursday's upside reversal gains, it closed on the low for the
day and for the week. Furthermore, let's notice that on the enclosed
weekly chart that this week's close broke and sustained beneath 1) the
Aug-Oct support line; 2) the 10-week (or 50-day) MA; and 3) the major up
trendline that originated off of the March 2009 low at 666.79. Finally,
let's notice the very negative juxtaposition of the weekly slow
stochastics and the weekly RSI. The composite picture that we are
left with this evening is ominous for the SPX, and should result in a
relatively nasty correction that is similar, but more intense than the
88-point decline during the June-July period. Even so, if such a
decline emerges and equals the 10% June-July decline, the SPX will press
to 990 next. However, if the magnitude of the correction is
commensurate with the much more dramatic tops in the oscillators, I will
be expecting a decline to 960-930 before the dust settles. Mike
Paulenoff is author of MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com), a real-time diary of
his technical analysis and trading alerts on ETFs covering metals,
energy, equity indices, currencies, Treasuries, and specific industries
and international regions. Sign up for a free 15-day trial to Mike's ETF Trading
Diary today.
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