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[About This Newsletter]
DECISION POINT
PROFUNDS TRACKER DAILY REPORT
Wednesday, 4/30/2008
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The Decision Point ProFunds Tracker is a daily publication specializing in
the ProFunds mutual funds. It provides momentum analysis, strength
ranking and BUY and SELL Signals. This newsletter is included as part of a
DecisionPoint.com PRIME web site subscription.
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INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS TO ASSIST FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY SECURITY. PAST
PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
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DISTRIBUTIONS
Close $ % Distribution Adjustment
Name NAV Change Change Amount Factor
---------------------- ------ ------ ------ ---------- --------
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 32.27 +0.39 +1.2% 0.05 0.9984
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TODAY'S RESULTS AND PRICE CHANGE ANALYSIS
04/30 WTD MTD YTD
Close $ %age %Price %Price %Price
Name Sym NAV Change Change Change Change Change
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
ProFund Bull BLPIX 61.92 -0.25 -0.4% -0.9% +4.8% -6%
ProFund Bear BRPIX 26.85 +0.11 +0.4% +0.9% -4.8% +5%
UltraBull ULPIX 61.27 -0.52 -0.8% -1.9% +9.5% -12%
UltraBear URPIX 13.85 +0.13 +0.9% +2.0% -9.4% +9%
Nasdaq 100 OTPIX 69.44 -0.59 -0.8% -0.1% +7.5% -8%
Short NDX SOPIX 14.90 +0.12 +0.8% 0.0% -7.5% +7%
UltraDow UDPIX 40.01 -0.11 -0.3% -1.3% +8.8% -9%
UShrt Dow 30 UWPIX 16.57 +0.05 +0.3% +1.3% -9.4% +3%
Ultra NDX UOPIX 26.84 -0.46 -1.7% -0.1% +14.8% -19%
UltraShrtNDX USPIX 10.34 +0.16 +1.6% +0.1% -14.0% +13%
UltraMid-Cap UMPIX 47.49 -0.20 -0.4% -1.2% +15.2% -7%
UShrt MidCap UIPIX 12.90 +0.05 +0.4% +1.2% -14.3% 0%
UltraSmlCap UAPIX 23.80 -0.23 -1.0% -1.5% +8.2% -15%
UShrt SmlCap UCPIX 14.19 +0.13 +0.9% +1.5% -8.7% +7%
Mid-Cap MDPIX 44.94 -0.07 -0.2% -0.6% +7.6% -2%
Small-Cap SLPIX 40.38 -0.18 -0.4% -0.8% +4.3% -6%
Short Sm-Cap SHPIX 16.60 +0.06 +0.4% +0.8% -4.3% +5%
LgCap Growth LGPIX 40.67 -0.11 -0.3% -0.8% +5.8% -5%
LgCap Value LVPIX 45.13 -0.23 -0.5% -1.0% +3.5% -6%
Mid-Cap Gth MGPIX 39.05 +0.03 +0.1% -0.7% +7.9% -2%
Mid-Cap Val MLPIX 43.31 -0.15 -0.3% -0.5% +7.0% -3%
Sml-Cap Gth SGPIX 39.74 -0.01 0.0% -0.4% +5.2% -4%
Sml-Cap Val SVPIX 42.00 -0.26 -0.6% -0.9% +2.5% -5%
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 32.27 +0.39 +1.2% +2.3% -3.6% +1%
Rising Rates RRPIX 17.82 -0.19 -1.1% -2.2% +3.5% -1%
Rise Rate 10 RTPIX 27.30 -0.13 -0.5% -1.0% +2.5% -3%
Rise Dollar RDPIX 26.82 -0.10 -0.4% -0.3% +1.1% -5%
Fall Dollar FDPIX 31.52 +0.12 +0.4% +0.3% -1.0% +6%
Banks BKPIX 24.46 -0.36 -1.5% -2.8% +8.1% -10%
Basic Mat'l BMPIX 66.14 +0.97 +1.5% -5.4% +11.0% +3%
Biotech BIPIX 51.81 -0.34 -0.7% -2.5% -1.7% +1%
Consumer Gds CNPIX 37.17 -0.25 -0.7% -0.6% -1.2% -9%
Consumer Svc CYPIX 26.57 -0.38 -1.4% 0.0% +6.1% -6%
Financial FNPIX 19.83 -0.30 -1.5% -2.4% +8.5% -14%
Healthcare HCPIX 14.35 -0.08 -0.6% -1.2% +1.9% -15%
Industrial IDPIX 43.44 -0.22 -0.5% -1.3% +3.9% -7%
Internet INPIX 87.27 +0.36 +0.4% +1.5% +12.2% -8%
Mobile Tel WCPIX 7.63 -0.07 -0.9% +1.5% +29.8% -44%
Oil & Gas ENPIX 61.70 +0.85 +1.4% -1.5% +16.4% +4%
Shrt Oil&Gas SNPIX 15.85 -0.15 -0.9% +1.0% -10.0% -5%
Oil Eqp/Svcs OEPIX 44.28 +0.71 +1.6% -4.0% +18.9% +6%
Pharmaceutcl PHPIX 8.33 -0.02 -0.2% -1.8% +1.0% -17%
Precious Met PMPIX 46.19 +2.14 +4.9% -3.8% -2.7% -3%
Shrt Prec Mt SPPIX 18.71 -0.63 -3.3% +2.1% +0.2% -5%
Real Estate REPIX 39.44 -0.95 -2.4% -4.7% +8.7% +6%
Shrt Real Es SRPIX 24.61 +0.38 +1.6% +3.2% -6.3% -9%
Semiconductr SMPIX 15.42 -0.36 -2.3% -2.4% +10.0% -19%
Technology TEPIX 28.73 -0.38 -1.3% -1.0% +10.5% -15%
Telecom TCPIX 18.54 +0.08 +0.4% +2.3% +8.0% -17%
Utilities UTPIX 26.58 +0.03 +0.1% -1.3% +8.6% -8%
Europe 30 UEPIX 18.88 +0.09 +0.5% +0.3% +8.1% -5%
Ult Emer Mkt UUPIX 39.46 +2.21 +5.9% +1.9% +22.7% -8%
UlSht Emer M UVPIX 6.63 -0.42 -6.0% -2.4% -20.2% -8%
Ultra Intl UNPIX 32.80 +0.36 +1.1% 0.0% +6.7% -10%
UltShrt Intl UXPIX 20.10 -0.23 -1.1% -0.1% -7.5% +3%
Ultra Japan UJPIX 27.97 +0.17 +0.6% -0.7% +20.1% -16%
UltSht Japan UKPIX 35.02 -0.21 -0.6% +0.7% -18.2% +10%
Average -0.1% -0.5% +3.4% -5%
****************************************************************************
PROFUNDS FUNDS SORTED BY TODAY'S PERCENTAGE CHANGE
04/30 WTD MTD YTD
Close $ %age %Price %Price %Price
Name Sym NAV Change Change Change Change Change
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Ult Emer Mkt UUPIX 39.46 +2.21 +5.9% +1.9% +22.7% -8%
Precious Met PMPIX 46.19 +2.14 +4.9% -3.8% -2.7% -3%
UltraShrtNDX USPIX 10.34 +0.16 +1.6% +0.1% -14.0% +13%
Oil Eqp/Svcs OEPIX 44.28 +0.71 +1.6% -4.0% +18.9% +6%
Shrt Real Es SRPIX 24.61 +0.38 +1.6% +3.2% -6.3% -9%
Basic Mat'l BMPIX 66.14 +0.97 +1.5% -5.4% +11.0% +3%
Oil & Gas ENPIX 61.70 +0.85 +1.4% -1.5% +16.4% +4%
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 32.27 +0.39 +1.2% +2.3% -3.6% +1%
Ultra Intl UNPIX 32.80 +0.36 +1.1% 0.0% +6.7% -10%
UltraBear URPIX 13.85 +0.13 +0.9% +2.0% -9.4% +9%
UShrt SmlCap UCPIX 14.19 +0.13 +0.9% +1.5% -8.7% +7%
Short NDX SOPIX 14.90 +0.12 +0.8% 0.0% -7.5% +7%
Ultra Japan UJPIX 27.97 +0.17 +0.6% -0.7% +20.1% -16%
Europe 30 UEPIX 18.88 +0.09 +0.5% +0.3% +8.1% -5%
ProFund Bear BRPIX 26.85 +0.11 +0.4% +0.9% -4.8% +5%
UShrt MidCap UIPIX 12.90 +0.05 +0.4% +1.2% -14.3% 0%
Short Sm-Cap SHPIX 16.60 +0.06 +0.4% +0.8% -4.3% +5%
Fall Dollar FDPIX 31.52 +0.12 +0.4% +0.3% -1.0% +6%
Internet INPIX 87.27 +0.36 +0.4% +1.5% +12.2% -8%
Telecom TCPIX 18.54 +0.08 +0.4% +2.3% +8.0% -17%
UShrt Dow 30 UWPIX 16.57 +0.05 +0.3% +1.3% -9.4% +3%
Mid-Cap Gth MGPIX 39.05 +0.03 +0.1% -0.7% +7.9% -2%
Utilities UTPIX 26.58 +0.03 +0.1% -1.3% +8.6% -8%
Sml-Cap Gth SGPIX 39.74 -0.01 0.0% -0.4% +5.2% -4%
Mid-Cap MDPIX 44.94 -0.07 -0.2% -0.6% +7.6% -2%
Pharmaceutcl PHPIX 8.33 -0.02 -0.2% -1.8% +1.0% -17%
UltraDow UDPIX 40.01 -0.11 -0.3% -1.3% +8.8% -9%
LgCap Growth LGPIX 40.67 -0.11 -0.3% -0.8% +5.8% -5%
Mid-Cap Val MLPIX 43.31 -0.15 -0.3% -0.5% +7.0% -3%
ProFund Bull BLPIX 61.92 -0.25 -0.4% -0.9% +4.8% -6%
UltraMid-Cap UMPIX 47.49 -0.20 -0.4% -1.2% +15.2% -7%
Small-Cap SLPIX 40.38 -0.18 -0.4% -0.8% +4.3% -6%
Rise Dollar RDPIX 26.82 -0.10 -0.4% -0.3% +1.1% -5%
LgCap Value LVPIX 45.13 -0.23 -0.5% -1.0% +3.5% -6%
Rise Rate 10 RTPIX 27.30 -0.13 -0.5% -1.0% +2.5% -3%
Industrial IDPIX 43.44 -0.22 -0.5% -1.3% +3.9% -7%
Sml-Cap Val SVPIX 42.00 -0.26 -0.6% -0.9% +2.5% -5%
Healthcare HCPIX 14.35 -0.08 -0.6% -1.2% +1.9% -15%
UltSht Japan UKPIX 35.02 -0.21 -0.6% +0.7% -18.2% +10%
Biotech BIPIX 51.81 -0.34 -0.7% -2.5% -1.7% +1%
Consumer Gds CNPIX 37.17 -0.25 -0.7% -0.6% -1.2% -9%
UltraBull ULPIX 61.27 -0.52 -0.8% -1.9% +9.5% -12%
Nasdaq 100 OTPIX 69.44 -0.59 -0.8% -0.1% +7.5% -8%
Mobile Tel WCPIX 7.63 -0.07 -0.9% +1.5% +29.8% -44%
Shrt Oil&Gas SNPIX 15.85 -0.15 -0.9% +1.0% -10.0% -5%
UltraSmlCap UAPIX 23.80 -0.23 -1.0% -1.5% +8.2% -15%
Rising Rates RRPIX 17.82 -0.19 -1.1% -2.2% +3.5% -1%
UltShrt Intl UXPIX 20.10 -0.23 -1.1% -0.1% -7.5% +3%
Technology TEPIX 28.73 -0.38 -1.3% -1.0% +10.5% -15%
Consumer Svc CYPIX 26.57 -0.38 -1.4% 0.0% +6.1% -6%
Banks BKPIX 24.46 -0.36 -1.5% -2.8% +8.1% -10%
Financial FNPIX 19.83 -0.30 -1.5% -2.4% +8.5% -14%
Ultra NDX UOPIX 26.84 -0.46 -1.7% -0.1% +14.8% -19%
Semiconductr SMPIX 15.42 -0.36 -2.3% -2.4% +10.0% -19%
Real Estate REPIX 39.44 -0.95 -2.4% -4.7% +8.7% +6%
Shrt Prec Mt SPPIX 18.71 -0.63 -3.3% +2.1% +0.2% -5%
UlSht Emer M UVPIX 6.63 -0.42 -6.0% -2.4% -20.2% -8%
Average -0.1% -0.5% +3.4% -5%
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PROFUNDS FUNDS SORTED BY PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR (PMO) RANK
This section ranks the securities based on Decision Point's proprietary
PMO, a measure of internal and relative strength.
|-RankChg| |--% Price Change-| Hot/Cold PMO
PMO 5 15 On 5 15 Group & Xover
Name/Symbol Rank Day Day 04/30 Day Day Blinkers Sgnl/Days
---------------------- -- --- --- ----- ---- ---- |---------|---------
Oil Eqp/Svcs OEPIX 1 0 +1 +1.6% -5% +8% 3 ++ -+ BUY 33
Oil & Gas ENPIX 2 0 +2 +1.4% -3% +6% 3 ++ -+ BUY 29
Ult Emer Mkt UUPIX 3 +1 +23 +5.9% -1% +12% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 29
Ultra NDX UOPIX 4 +2 +4 -1.7% +1% +10% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 50
Real Estate REPIX 5 0 -4 -2.4% -1% +6% 3 ++ -+ BUY 14
Ultra Japan UJPIX 6 +3 +33 +0.6% +4% +13% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 35
Basic Mat'l BMPIX 7 -4 -4 +1.5% -4% 0% 5 -- -+ SELL 1
UltraMid-Cap UMPIX 8 0 +2 -0.4% +3% +9% 1 ++ ++ BUY 37
Ultra Intl UNPIX 9 -2 -4 +1.1% +2% +6% 1 ++ ++ BUY 37
Semiconductr SMPIX 10 0 +3 -2.3% -1% +4% 3 ++ -+ BUY 90
Mobile Tel WCPIX 11 +40 +46 -0.9% +6% +24% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 36
Technology TEPIX 12 0 +23 -1.3% -1% +7% 1 ++ ++ BUY 77
Internet INPIX 13 +8 +15 +0.4% +4% +8% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 37
UltraSmlCap UAPIX 14 0 -3 -1.0% +2% +5% 3 ++ -+ BUY 41
UltraBull ULPIX 15 +1 +4 -0.8% +1% +4% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 41
UltraDow UDPIX 16 -1 -2 -0.3% +1% +4% 1 ++ ++ BUY 43
Nasdaq 100 OTPIX 17 +1 0 -0.8% +1% +5% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 50
Utilities UTPIX 18 -7 +19 +0.1% -2% +3% 3 ++ -+ BUY 35
Mid-Cap Gth MGPIX 19 -2 -1 +0.1% +1% +4% 1 ++ ++ BUY 36
Mid-Cap MDPIX 20 -1 +1 -0.2% +2% +4% 1 ++ ++ BUY 37
Telecom TCPIX 21 +9 +2 +0.4% +4% +6% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 43
Europe 30 UEPIX 22 0 +9 +0.5% +1% +4% 1 ++ ++ BUY 35
Mid-Cap Val MLPIX 23 +1 +4 -0.3% +2% +4% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 37
Industrial IDPIX 24 -1 -18 -0.5% +2% +2% 1 ++ ++ BUY 12
LgCap Growth LGPIX 25 -5 +4 -0.3% -1% +3% 3 ++ -+ BUY 41
Financial FNPIX 26 +9 +6 -1.5% +5% +5% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 13
Sml-Cap Gth SGPIX 27 +1 -2 0.0% +2% +3% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 37
Small-Cap SLPIX 28 -2 -6 -0.4% +1% +3% 3 ++ -+ BUY 41
Shrt Prec Mt SPPIX 29 +10 -5 -3.3% +4% +6% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 6
Banks BKPIX 30 +10 +6 -1.5% +6% +5% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 12
ProFund Bull BLPIX 31 -4 -1 -0.4% 0% +2% 1 ++ ++ BUY 41
Biotech BIPIX 32 -19 -25 -0.7% -3% -1% 5 -- -+ SELL 6
Consumer Svc CYPIX 33 0 0 -1.4% +3% +5% 1 ++ ++ BUY 13
Sml-Cap Val SVPIX 34 -5 -19 -0.6% +1% +1% 3 ++ -+ BUY 14
LgCap Value LVPIX 35 -1 -1 -0.5% +1% +2% 1 ++ ++ BUY 14
Fall Dollar FDPIX 36 -11 -27 +0.4% -1% -1% 5 -- -+ SELL 29
Rising Rates RRPIX 37 +1 +9 -1.1% 0% +3% 3 ++ -+ + BUY 16
Rise Rate 10 RTPIX 38 -1 +5 -0.5% 0% +2% 1 ++ ++ BUY 29
Consumer Gds CNPIX 39 -7 -23 -0.7% -1% -1% 5 -- -+ SELL 8
Rise Dollar RDPIX 40 +3 +10 -0.4% +1% +1% 2 ++ +- + BUY 29
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 41 -5 -29 +1.2% 0% -3% 4 -- +- SELL 16
Healthcare HCPIX 42 +2 +12 -0.6% 0% -1% 3 +- +- + BUY 36
ProFund Bear BRPIX 43 -2 -5 +0.4% 0% -2% 6 -- -- SELL 41
Short Sm-Cap SHPIX 44 -2 -2 +0.4% -1% -3% 6 -- -- SELL 41
Pharmaceutcl PHPIX 45 +3 +8 -0.2% +1% -2% 3 +- +- + BUY 6
Precious Met PMPIX 46 -15 -1 +4.9% -6% -10% 6 -- -- SELL 6
UltraBear URPIX 47 -2 -7 +0.9% -1% -4% 6 -- -- SELL 41
Short NDX SOPIX 48 -2 -4 +0.8% -1% -5% 6 -- -- SELL 50
UShrt SmlCap UCPIX 49 -2 0 +0.9% -2% -6% 4 -- +- SELL 41
UShrt Dow 30 UWPIX 50 -1 -3 +0.3% -1% -5% 6 -- -- SELL 43
Shrt Real Es SRPIX 51 +1 +5 +1.6% 0% -4% 4 -- +- + SELL 14
Shrt Oil&Gas SNPIX 52 +4 0 -0.9% +2% -4% 4 -- +- + SELL 29
UltShrt Intl UXPIX 53 +2 +2 -1.1% -2% -6% 5 -- -- + SELL 37
UShrt MidCap UIPIX 54 0 -6 +0.4% -3% -9% 6 -- -- SELL 37
UltSht Japan UKPIX 55 -5 -35 -0.6% -4% -12% 6 -- -- SELL 36
UltraShrtNDX USPIX 56 -3 -5 +1.6% -1% -9% 6 -- -- SELL 50
UlSht Emer M UVPIX 57 0 -16 -6.0% 0% -12% 6 -- -- SELL 29
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PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) CROSSOVER SIGNALS
The PMO generates a BUY or SELL Signals when it crosses up or down through
its 10-DMA. These signals tend to be short-term in duration, but they can
last for several weeks. Do not take them at face value because they can
whipsaw quite a bit. They should be used to alert you to possible trading
opportunities not used as a mechanical trading model. Always check our daily
stock charts to verify the price pattern and the configuration of the PMO.
Signals are best when price appears extended, is near support or resistance,
and the PMO is very overbought or oversold. These signals may also be used to
manage positions based on our ProFnd Top 5 signals or the longer-term
Price Momentum Model signals.
SUMMARY OF PMO CROSSOVER SIGNALS
ProFnd ProFnd
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 38 19
% of Total......: 67% 33%
Ave Days Elapsed: 33 29
Ave High Profit.: +9% +9%
Ave Profit......: +7% +7%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 56%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 67%
04/30 Cal
Close % Days High Today PMO
Name/Symbol NAV Change Signl Elap P/L P/L R/F Days
---------------------- ------ ------ ----- ---- ------- ------- --------
Pharmaceutcl PHPIX 8.33 -0.2% BUY 6 1.6% -0.4% R 6
Shrt Prec Mt SPPIX 18.71 -3.3% BUY 6 3.3% -0.1% R 7
Banks BKPIX 24.46 -1.5% BUY 12 3.5% 0.6% R 6
Industrial IDPIX 43.44 -0.5% BUY 12 0.8% -0.5% R 12
Consumer Svc CYPIX 26.57 -1.4% BUY 13 5.3% 3.8% R 7
Financial FNPIX 19.83 -1.5% BUY 13 5.2% 2.6% R 6
LgCap Value LVPIX 45.13 -0.5% BUY 14 2.7% 1.6% R 14
Sml-Cap Val SVPIX 42.00 -0.6% BUY 14 0.9% -0.6% F 0
Real Estate REPIX 39.44 -2.4% BUY 14 4.8% -0.1% F 1
Rising Rates RRPIX 17.82 -1.1% BUY 16 5.1% 2.8% F 0
Rise Rate 10 RTPIX 27.30 -0.5% BUY 29 2.3% 1.3% R 16
Rise Dollar RDPIX 26.82 -0.4% BUY 29 0.3% 0.0% R 7
Oil & Gas ENPIX 61.70 +1.4% BUY 29 17.9% 13.1% F 2
Ult Emer Mkt UUPIX 39.46 +5.9% BUY 29 15.1% 13.9% R 0
Oil Eqp/Svcs OEPIX 44.28 +1.6% BUY 33 31.6% 21.5% F 2
Utilities UTPIX 26.58 +0.1% BUY 35 12.1% 9.7% F 1
Europe 30 UEPIX 18.88 +0.5% BUY 35 8.1% 8.1% R 15
Ultra Japan UJPIX 27.97 +0.6% BUY 35 23.4% 22.1% R 15
Mid-Cap Gth MGPIX 39.05 +0.1% BUY 36 6.9% 6.0% R 15
Healthcare HCPIX 14.35 -0.6% BUY 36 2.5% -0.3% R 7
Mobile Tel WCPIX 7.63 -0.9% BUY 36 31.6% 30.4% R 41
UltraMid-Cap UMPIX 47.49 -0.4% BUY 37 14.7% 12.8% R 15
Mid-Cap MDPIX 44.94 -0.2% BUY 37 7.4% 6.5% R 15
Mid-Cap Val MLPIX 43.31 -0.3% BUY 37 6.4% 5.6% R 14
Sml-Cap Gth SGPIX 39.74 0.0% BUY 37 4.6% 3.7% R 7
Internet INPIX 87.27 +0.4% BUY 37 6.3% 6.3% R 12
Ultra Intl UNPIX 32.80 +1.1% BUY 37 15.9% 14.5% R 0
ProFund Bull BLPIX 61.92 -0.4% BUY 41 5.1% 4.2% R 14
UltraBull ULPIX 61.27 -0.8% BUY 41 10.3% 8.2% R 14
UltraSmlCap UAPIX 23.80 -1.0% BUY 41 13.1% 10.2% F 0
Small-Cap SLPIX 40.38 -0.4% BUY 41 6.6% 5.3% F 0
LgCap Growth LGPIX 40.67 -0.3% BUY 41 7.4% 6.4% F 0
UltraDow UDPIX 40.01 -0.3% BUY 43 7.7% 6.4% R 14
Telecom TCPIX 18.54 +0.4% BUY 43 13.0% 13.0% R 12
Nasdaq 100 OTPIX 69.44 -0.8% BUY 50 11.1% 10.1% R 14
Ultra NDX UOPIX 26.84 -1.7% BUY 50 21.5% 19.4% R 14
Technology TEPIX 28.73 -1.3% BUY 77 7.8% 4.9% R 14
Semiconductr SMPIX 15.42 -2.3% BUY 90 9.4% 6.1% F 0
Basic Mat'l BMPIX 66.14 +1.5% SELL 1 0.0% -1.5% F 2
Biotech BIPIX 51.81 -0.7% SELL 6 2.8% 2.8% F 9
Precious Met PMPIX 46.19 +4.9% SELL 6 5.2% 0.6% F 7
Consumer Gds CNPIX 37.17 -0.7% SELL 8 0.7% 0.7% F 8
Shrt Real Es SRPIX 24.61 +1.6% SELL 14 3.2% 0.1% R 1
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 32.27 +1.2% SELL 16 5.1% 2.9% R 0
Fall Dollar FDPIX 31.52 +0.4% SELL 29 0.3% -0.1% F 7
Shrt Oil&Gas SNPIX 15.85 -0.9% SELL 29 10.6% 8.2% R 2
UlSht Emer M UVPIX 6.63 -6.0% SELL 29 14.0% 13.6% F 0
UltSht Japan UKPIX 35.02 -0.6% SELL 36 17.7% 16.8% F 15
UShrt MidCap UIPIX 12.90 +0.4% SELL 37 13.9% 12.5% F 15
UltShrt Intl UXPIX 20.10 -1.1% SELL 37 14.9% 14.0% F 0
ProFund Bear BRPIX 26.85 +0.4% SELL 41 5.1% 4.2% F 14
UltraBear URPIX 13.85 +0.9% SELL 41 10.2% 8.4% F 14
UShrt SmlCap UCPIX 14.19 +0.9% SELL 41 13.3% 11.0% R 0
Short Sm-Cap SHPIX 16.60 +0.4% SELL 41 6.6% 5.4% F 7
UShrt Dow 30 UWPIX 16.57 +0.3% SELL 43 9.0% 7.8% F 14
Short NDX SOPIX 14.90 +0.8% SELL 50 10.6% 9.9% F 14
UltraShrtNDX USPIX 10.34 +1.6% SELL 50 20.4% 19.2% F 14
Average -0.1% 32 9.1% 7.3% 8
*****************************************************************************
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
The SWENLIN PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL is intended to catch long-term price moves.
Model Signals are mechanically generated by a 200-day exponential moving
average crossover in conjunction with a 10% price move in the opposite
direction of the current signal extreme. For example, assume that the current
signal is a BUY. If the price drops 10% from the signal high, and also drops
below the 200 DMA, a SELL Signal will be generated automatically. The
MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS work best when prices are trending and changing
direction smoothly. When prices are volatile, particularly in a 10% range,
results will be extremely poor. By design, these signals will always miss at
least the first 10% of a move. Rather than wait for a signal reversal, it is
best to use trend analysis and other indicators to decide when to exit a
position. New signals should alert you to the possibility that a change in
direction is taking place. Once alerted, watch price movement and other
indicators to determine an optimum entry point, if any.
SUMMARY OF PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
ProFnd ProFnd
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 20 37
% of Total......: 35% 65%
Ave Days Elapsed: 74 135
Ave High Profit.: +8% +20%
Ave Profit......: +4% +12%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +9% -8%
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
This is a list of PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS for the ProFunds Funds.
The newest signals give notice that the trend may be in the process of
making a long-term change of direction.
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
04/30 Cal Price
Close % Days High Today Rel to
Name/Symbol NAV Change Sgnl Elap P/L P/L STOP Stop
---------------------- ------ ------ ---- ---- ------ ------ ------ -------
Ultra Intl UNPIX 32.80 +1.1% BUY 2 0.0% -1.1% 29.86 +9.8%
UltraMid-Cap UMPIX 47.49 -0.4% BUY 5 0.4% -1.2% 43.45 +9.3%
Mid-Cap Val MLPIX 43.31 -0.3% BUY 5 0.3% -0.5% 39.27 +10.3%
Real Estate REPIX 39.44 -2.4% BUY 6 0.6% -4.1% 37.23 +5.9%
Europe 30 UEPIX 18.88 +0.5% BUY 7 1.2% 1.2% 16.99 +11.1%
Nasdaq 100 OTPIX 69.44 -0.8% BUY 9 1.1% 0.2% 63.03 +10.2%
Mid-Cap MDPIX 44.94 -0.2% BUY 12 1.3% 0.5% 40.78 +10.2%
LgCap Growth LGPIX 40.67 -0.3% BUY 12 0.3% -0.7% 36.96 +10.0%
Mid-Cap Gth MGPIX 39.05 +0.1% BUY 14 2.2% 1.3% 35.44 +10.2%
Utilities UTPIX 26.58 +0.1% BUY 14 0.8% -1.4% 24.44 +8.7%
Industrial IDPIX 43.44 -0.5% BUY 26 0.0% -1.4% 39.65 +9.6%
Ult Emer Mkt UUPIX 39.46 +5.9% BUY 27 10.9% 9.7% 35.88 +10.0%
Oil & Gas ENPIX 61.70 +1.4% BUY 28 15.3% 10.7% 53.55 +15.2%
Biotech BIPIX 51.81 -0.7% BUY 29 1.7% -5.0% 49.89 +3.9%
Basic Mat'l BMPIX 66.14 +1.5% BUY 35 17.6% 8.1% 60.18 +9.9%
Oil Eqp/Svcs OEPIX 44.28 +1.6% BUY 35 30.4% 20.5% 37.91 +16.8%
Short Sm-Cap SHPIX 16.60 +0.4% BUY 170 18.2% 5.1% 16.31 +1.8%
ProFund Bear BRPIX 26.85 +0.4% BUY 259 11.6% 2.1% 26.41 +1.7%
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 32.27 +1.2% BUY 271 16.8% 9.7% 30.92 +4.4%
Fall Dollar FDPIX 31.52 +0.4% BUY 520 20.1% 18.1% 28.84 +9.3%
UltSht Japan UKPIX 35.02 -0.6% SELL 2 0.0% -1.2% 38.08 -8.0%
Precious Met PMPIX 46.19 +4.9% SELL 6 5.2% 0.6% 48.46 -4.7%
UltraBear URPIX 13.85 +0.9% SELL 12 1.0% -0.9% 14.94 -7.3%
Short NDX SOPIX 14.90 +0.8% SELL 12 1.7% 0.9% 16.26 -8.4%
UShrt SmlCap UCPIX 14.19 +0.9% SELL 12 1.7% -0.9% 15.21 -6.7%
UShrt MidCap UIPIX 12.90 +0.4% SELL 26 7.6% 6.1% 13.97 -7.7%
UShrt Dow 30 UWPIX 16.57 +0.3% SELL 29 4.3% 3.0% 18.00 -7.9%
UltraShrtNDX USPIX 10.34 +1.6% SELL 29 7.8% 6.3% 11.20 -7.7%
UltShrt Intl UXPIX 20.10 -1.1% SELL 30 8.5% 7.5% 21.88 -8.1%
Shrt Real Es SRPIX 24.61 +1.6% SELL 37 5.9% 2.9% 26.24 -6.2%
Shrt Oil&Gas SNPIX 15.85 -0.9% SELL 70 11.4% 9.0% 17.98 -11.9%
Healthcare HCPIX 14.35 -0.6% SELL 99 13.6% 8.9% 15.82 -9.3%
Pharmaceutcl PHPIX 8.33 -0.2% SELL 103 17.0% 14.4% 9.45 -11.9%
Consumer Gds CNPIX 37.17 -0.7% SELL 106 7.7% 2.6% 38.75 -4.1%
Telecom TCPIX 18.54 +0.4% SELL 113 25.4% 9.9% 19.79 -6.3%
UltraBull ULPIX 61.27 -0.8% SELL 117 19.4% 5.3% 64.89 -5.6%
Ultra NDX UOPIX 26.84 -1.7% SELL 117 28.7% 8.0% 27.60 -2.7%
Technology TEPIX 28.73 -1.3% SELL 117 18.2% 6.1% 29.61 -3.0%
Semiconductr SMPIX 15.42 -2.3% SELL 118 25.2% 12.2% 16.83 -8.4%
UltraDow UDPIX 40.01 -0.3% SELL 119 19.8% 5.5% 40.95 -2.3%
Internet INPIX 87.27 +0.4% SELL 135 19.5% 2.5% 88.11 -1.0%
ProFund Bull BLPIX 61.92 -0.4% SELL 156 9.4% 1.4% 62.81 -1.4%
Rise Rate 10 RTPIX 27.30 -0.5% SELL 156 4.7% 1.7% 29.10 -6.2%
Small-Cap SLPIX 40.38 -0.4% SELL 163 13.7% 4.0% 41.60 -2.9%
LgCap Value LVPIX 45.13 -0.5% SELL 163 11.4% 4.4% 46.70 -3.4%
Sml-Cap Gth SGPIX 39.74 0.0% SELL 170 13.5% 4.0% 40.15 -1.0%
Sml-Cap Val SVPIX 42.00 -0.6% SELL 175 13.4% 5.7% 43.68 -3.8%
Consumer Svc CYPIX 26.57 -1.4% SELL 175 22.1% 11.6% 28.46 -6.6%
Rise Dollar RDPIX 26.82 -0.4% SELL 176 5.7% 4.1% 29.01 -7.5%
UltraSmlCap UAPIX 23.80 -1.0% SELL 194 37.0% 23.0% 26.47 -10.1%
Financial FNPIX 19.83 -1.5% SELL 194 38.4% 26.9% 23.37 -15.1%
Mobile Tel WCPIX 7.63 -0.9% SELL 194 74.2% 60.1% 12.59 -39.4%
Ultra Japan UJPIX 27.97 +0.6% SELL 194 50.3% 31.3% 32.44 -13.8%
Rising Rates RRPIX 17.82 -1.1% SELL 238 12.8% 7.4% 18.47 -3.5%
Shrt Prec Mt SPPIX 18.71 -3.3% SELL 250 34.9% 25.2% 20.04 -6.6%
Banks BKPIX 24.46 -1.5% SELL 285 48.9% 39.0% 29.74 -17.8%
UlSht Emer M UVPIX 6.63 -6.0% SELL 685 80.9% 80.8% 9.59 -30.9%
Average -0.1% 113 15.3% 9.0% -2.3%
****************************************************************************
SHORT-TERM (PMO) and LONG-TERM (PMM) SIGNAL COMPARISONS
The Price Momentum Model (PMM) signal provides guidance regarding the
longer-term trend, and the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signals identify
the shorter-term trend. A logical trading methodology is to open positions
on new PMO signals when they are compatable with the PMM signals. Positions
may be closed or hedged when the PMM and PMO signals are in conflict.
This section compares the PMM and PMO signals side by side and provides
some mechanical analysis. A "Warn!" flag is an alert that the PMO signal is
in conflict with the PMM -- closing or hedging the PMM position may be
considered. A "Buy?" or "Sell?" flag is an alert that the PMO signal has
just changed and is the same as the PMM signal -- opening new PMM positions
may be considered.
SUMMARY OF SHORT-TERM AND LONG-TERM SIGNALS FOR PROFUNDS FUNDS
SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM
PMO PMO PMM PMM
BUY SELL BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 38 19 20 37
% of Total......: 67% 33% 35% 65%
Ave Days Elapsed: 33 29 74 135
Ave High Profit.: +9% +9% +8% +20%
Ave Profit......: +7% +7% +4% +12%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +9% -8%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 56%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 67%
|-- PMO Crossover Model ---|-- Price Momentum Model --|
| PMO High Today | PMM High Today|
Name Flag| Sgnl Day P/L P/L | Sgnl Days P/L P/L|
--------------- -----| ---- --- ------- ------- | ---- ---- ------- -------|
ProFund Bull Warn! BUY 41 +5.2% +4.2% SELL 156 +9.4% +1.4%
ProFund Bear Warn! SELL 41 +5.1% +4.2% BUY 259 +11.6% +2.1%
UltraBull Warn! BUY 41 +10.3% +8.2% SELL 117 +19.4% +5.3%
UltraBear SELL 41 +10.2% +8.4% SELL 12 +1.0% -1.0%
Nasdaq 100 BUY 50 +11.1% +10.1% BUY 9 +1.1% +0.2%
Short NDX SELL 50 +10.6% +9.9% SELL 12 +1.7% +0.9%
UltraDow Warn! BUY 43 +7.7% +6.4% SELL 119 +19.8% +5.5%
UShrt Dow 30 SELL 43 +9.0% +7.8% SELL 29 +4.3% +3.0%
Ultra NDX Warn! BUY 50 +21.5% +19.5% SELL 117 +28.7% +8.0%
UltraShrtNDX SELL 50 +20.4% +19.2% SELL 29 +7.8% +6.3%
UltraMid-Cap BUY 37 +14.7% +12.8% BUY 5 +0.4% -1.2%
UShrt MidCap SELL 37 +13.9% +12.5% SELL 26 +7.6% +6.1%
UltraSmlCap Warn! BUY 41 +13.1% +10.2% SELL 194 +37.0% +23.0%
UShrt SmlCap SELL 41 +13.3% +11.0% SELL 12 +1.7% -0.9%
Mid-Cap BUY 37 +7.4% +6.5% BUY 12 +1.3% +0.5%
Small-Cap Warn! BUY 41 +6.6% +5.3% SELL 163 +13.7% +4.0%
Short Sm-Cap Warn! SELL 41 +6.6% +5.4% BUY 170 +18.2% +5.1%
LgCap Growth BUY 41 +7.4% +6.4% BUY 12 +0.3% -0.7%
LgCap Value Warn! BUY 14 +2.7% +1.6% SELL 163 +11.4% +4.4%
Mid-Cap Gth BUY 36 +6.9% +6.0% BUY 14 +2.2% +1.4%
Mid-Cap Val BUY 37 +6.4% +5.6% BUY 5 +0.3% -0.5%
Sml-Cap Gth Warn! BUY 37 +4.6% +3.7% SELL 170 +13.5% +4.0%
Sml-Cap Val Warn! BUY 14 +0.9% -0.6% SELL 175 +13.4% +5.8%
US Gvt Plus Warn! SELL 16 +5.1% +2.9% BUY 271 +16.8% +9.7%
Rising Rates Warn! BUY 16 +5.1% +2.8% SELL 238 +12.8% +7.4%
Rise Rate 10 Warn! BUY 29 +2.3% +1.3% SELL 156 +4.7% +1.7%
Rise Dollar Warn! BUY 29 +0.3% -0.0% SELL 176 +5.7% +4.1%
Fall Dollar Warn! SELL 29 +0.3% -0.1% BUY 520 +20.1% +18.1%
Banks Warn! BUY 12 +3.5% +0.6% SELL 285 +48.9% +39.0%
Basic Mat'l Warn! SELL 1 0.0% -1.5% BUY 35 +17.6% +8.1%
Biotech Warn! SELL 6 +2.8% +2.8% BUY 29 +1.7% -5.0%
Consumer Gds SELL 8 +0.7% +0.7% SELL 106 +7.7% +2.6%
Consumer Svc Warn! BUY 13 +5.3% +3.8% SELL 175 +22.1% +11.6%
Financial Warn! BUY 13 +5.2% +2.6% SELL 194 +38.4% +26.9%
Healthcare Warn! BUY 36 +2.5% -0.4% SELL 99 +13.6% +8.9%
Industrial BUY 12 +0.9% -0.6% BUY 26 +0.0% -1.4%
Internet Warn! BUY 37 +6.3% +6.3% SELL 135 +19.5% +2.5%
Mobile Tel Warn! BUY 36 +31.6% +30.4% SELL 194 +74.2% +60.1%
Oil & Gas BUY 29 +17.9% +13.1% BUY 28 +15.3% +10.7%
Shrt Oil&Gas SELL 29 +10.6% +8.2% SELL 70 +11.4% +9.0%
Oil Eqp/Svcs BUY 33 +31.6% +21.5% BUY 35 +30.4% +20.5%
Pharmaceutcl Warn! BUY 6 +1.6% -0.4% SELL 103 +17.0% +14.4%
Precious Met SELL 6 +5.3% +0.7% SELL 6 +5.3% +0.7%
Shrt Prec Mt Warn! BUY 6 +3.3% -0.1% SELL 250 +34.9% +25.2%
Real Estate BUY 14 +4.8% -0.1% BUY 6 +0.6% -4.1%
Shrt Real Es SELL 14 +3.2% +0.1% SELL 37 +5.9% +2.9%
Semiconductr Warn! BUY 90 +9.4% +6.1% SELL 118 +25.2% +12.2%
Technology Warn! BUY 77 +7.8% +4.9% SELL 117 +18.2% +6.1%
Telecom Warn! BUY 43 +13.0% +13.0% SELL 113 +25.4% +9.9%
Utilities BUY 35 +12.1% +9.7% BUY 14 +0.8% -1.4%
Europe 30 BUY 35 +8.1% +8.1% BUY 7 +1.2% +1.2%
Ult Emer Mkt BUY 29 +15.1% +14.0% BUY 27 +10.9% +9.7%
UlSht Emer M SELL 29 +14.0% +13.6% SELL 685 +80.9% +80.8%
Ultra Intl BUY 37 +15.9% +14.5% BUY 2 0.0% -1.2%
UltShrt Intl SELL 37 +14.9% +14.0% SELL 30 +8.5% +7.5%
Ultra Japan Warn! BUY 35 +23.4% +22.1% SELL 194 +50.3% +31.3%
UltSht Japan SELL 36 +17.7% +16.8% SELL 2 0.0% -1.2%
Average 32 +9.1% +7.3% 113 +15.3% +9.0%
*****************************************************************************
EXPLANATION OF TABLE HEADINGS
Close NAV: The fund's net asset value as of today's close.
% Change: Percentage that price has changed from prior day's close.
PMO Rank: Shows the rank of the PMO in relation to the other securities
in the list.
5 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) in the last 5 days.
15 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) in the last 15 days.
YTD Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) since the beginning of the year.
Signl: The signal designations of BUY and SELL indicate the current
direction of momentum and are not an indication that continuous buying or
selling should take place. Signals that are a few days or weeks old give the
best indication that profitable action MIGHT be taken.
Signal Flag: When the PMO signal disagrees with the PMM signal, the flag
will be "Warn!" On the day the PMO signal changes back into agreement
with the PMM signal, the flag will remind that new positions may be
considered by indicating "Buy?" or "Sell?"
Cal Days Elap: Indicates the number of calendar days that have elapsed since
the current signal was initiated.
High P/L: Highest profit or least loss experienced since the current signal
was initiated. On the first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the
closing P/L for the prior signal.
Today P/L: Profit or loss for the signal since it was initiated. On the
first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the closing P/L for the prior
signal.
STOP: The price at which the mechanical PMM signal will reverse.
Price Rel to Stop: This column shows the relationship of the current price
to the price at which the signal will change. (i.e. +5.3% means the current
price is 5.3% above the signal change price.
PMO R/F Days: The direction of the PMO (rising/falling) and number of
calendar days trend has been effect.
The Hot/Cold grouping ranks securities/indexes into six (6) groups ranging
from 1 (Hot) to 6 (Cold) according to price strength, internal strength,
and relative strength. We can quickly assess the condition of these
elements by the group number and "blinker" fields. Moving from left to
right: The first blinker tells us if the PMO is above (+) or below (-) its
10-day exponential moving average (EMA). The second blinker indicates if
the closing price is above (+) or below (-) it's 20-DMA. The third and
fourth blinkers tell us if the PMO is rising (+) or falling (-), and if it
is above (+) or below (-) zero. The fifth blinker tells us if the 5-day PMO
rank change is positive (+), negative (-), or no change ( ). Groups 1-3
should be considered as buy candidates, 4-6 as sell candidates.
CAVEAT
We make every effort to insure the accuracy of this information, but we
cannot guarantee it. It is always possible that errors will creep in. If it
doesn't make sense, let us know about it. Also, we make every effort to upload
this data each market day, but circumstances may be such that it is not
possible due to circumstances beyond our control.
End of Profunds Tracker Daily Report for Wednesday 4/30/2008
Copyright 2008 Decision Point. This publication is not to be summarized,
reproduced, or rebroadcast in any fashion without our written permission.
Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or
sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee or imply future
results.
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