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[About This Newsletter]
DECISION POINT
ETF TRACKER DAILY REPORT
Tuesday, 6/30/2009
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The Decision Point ETF Tracker Report is a daily publication specializing in
exchange traded funds (ETFs). It provides momentum analysis, strength
ranking and BUY and SELL Signals. This newsletter is included as part of a
DecisionPoint.com PRIME web site subscription.
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INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS TO ASSIST FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY SECURITY. PAST
PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
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DISTRIBUTIONS: None today.
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TODAY'S RESULTS AND PRICE CHANGE ANALYSIS
06/30 WTD MTD YTD
Close $ % Volume %Price %Price %Price
Name Sym Price Change Change X 1000 Change Change Change
---------------- ---- ------ ------ ------ --------- ------ ------ ------
Diamonds DIA 84.66 -0.59 -0.7% 13417.1 +0.5% -0.9% -2%
Nasdaq 100 Shrs QQQQ 36.38 -0.07 -0.2% 96491.5 0.0% +3.0% +23%
SP500 LgCap SPDR SPY 91.95 -0.75 -0.8% 225769.2 +0.1% -0.6% +3%
SP100 iSh OEF 43.03 -0.35 -0.8% 1777.1 +0.3% +0.2% +1%
SP500 LgCp Grwth IVW 47.77 -0.39 -0.8% 2153.0 0.0% +0.6% +7%
SP500 LgCp Value IVE 43.66 -0.42 -1.0% 676.2 +0.1% -0.7% -2%
SP400 MidCp SPDR MDY 105.20 -0.39 -0.4% 6147.4 +0.6% +0.9% +9%
SP400 MdCp Grwth IJK 62.36 -0.27 -0.4% 173.5 +0.1% +0.5% +13%
SP400 MdCp Value IJJ 52.11 -0.29 -0.6% 94.1 +0.4% +0.8% +5%
SP600 SmlCp iSh IJR 44.43 -0.08 -0.2% 1417.0 0.0% +1.8% +2%
SP600 SmCp Grwth IJT 46.36 0.00 0.0% 232.4 +0.2% +2.2% +4%
SP600 SmCp Value IJS 47.08 -0.15 -0.3% 179.2 -0.2% +1.5% -2%
Russell 2000 iSh IWM 51.08 -0.15 -0.3% 44432.2 -0.3% +1.8% +4%
Rus2000 Grwth iS IWO 56.69 -0.24 -0.4% 2193.8 0.0% +3.0% +12%
Rus2000 Value iS IWN 46.53 -0.31 -0.7% 2022.7 -0.3% -0.2% -5%
SP500 Equal Wght RSP 30.81 -0.27 -0.9% 2215.5 +0.2% -1.2% +12%
NDX Equal Weight QQEW 15.22 -0.16 -1.0% 2.7 -0.7% +0.7% +22%
DJ Transports iS IYT 58.20 0.00 0.0% 504.2 -0.1% +1.7% -7%
DJ Sel Dividend DVY 35.36 -0.39 -1.1% 284.5 +0.1% -0.1% -12%
InvesTop CrpB iS LQD 100.28 -0.03 0.0% 967.6 -0.1% +2.9% +1%
Mini Bond iShrs MUB 99.66 -0.14 -0.1% 96.9 0.0% -1.5% +2%
T-Bond 1-3 Yr iS SHY 83.71 -0.01 0.0% 703.2 0.0% -0.1% 0%
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr iS IEF 90.67 -0.24 -0.3% 608.7 -0.1% -0.6% -7%
T-Bond 20+ Yr iS TLT 94.57 -0.16 -0.2% 3743.5 0.0% +0.8% -20%
TIPS Bond iShrs TIP 101.64 +0.68 +0.7% 1010.0 +0.7% +0.2% +4%
High Yield Bond JNK 35.19 +0.07 +0.2% 957.8 +1.0% +1.7% +16%
Aerospace/Def iS ITA 40.79 -0.51 -1.2% 121.7 +0.1% -2.8% -1%
Agribusiness MOO 34.45 -0.71 -2.0% 713.0 +0.1% -6.7% +24%
Bank Regional HL RKH 66.36 -0.63 -0.9% 1337.4 +0.4% -3.3% -11%
Biotech iShares IBB 72.76 -0.22 -0.3% 853.4 -0.1% +7.6% +2%
Broker/Dealer iS IAI 25.60 -0.27 -1.0% 140.4 -0.2% -0.3% +29%
Broadband HLDRs BDH 11.53 -0.19 -1.6% 11.0 -2.0% +4.8% +37%
Commodity iShare GSG 30.05 -0.46 -1.5% 348.3 -0.3% -0.2% +5%
Consumer Disc SP XLY 23.08 -0.17 -0.7% 6532.8 +0.5% -0.2% +8%
Consumer iShares IYC 44.32 -0.30 -0.7% 148.2 +0.1% -0.2% +5%
Consumer Non-Cyc IYK 46.73 -0.22 -0.5% 19.5 +0.4% +0.8% +2%
Consumer Stpl SP XLP 22.99 -0.18 -0.8% 3496.3 -0.2% -0.6% -3%
Crude Oil ETF USO 37.93 -0.74 -1.9% 13300.6 +1.1% +4.2% +15%
Energy SPDR XLE 48.05 -0.29 -0.6% 22843.7 +0.3% -7.0% +1%
Financial SPDR XLF 11.95 -0.12 -1.0% 101255.7 +0.3% -2.3% -4%
Gold GLD 91.18 -0.86 -0.9% 24131.1 -1.2% -5.2% +5%
Gold Miners GDX 37.82 -1.33 -3.4% 5486.3 -3.5% -14.4% +12%
Health Care SPDR XLV 26.31 -0.22 -0.8% 5413.7 -0.2% +1.9% 0%
Healthcare Prv IHF 38.60 -0.03 -0.1% 157.3 +0.3% +3.0% +8%
Home Const iShrs ITB 9.82 -0.06 -0.6% 151.7 +1.1% -1.0% 0%
Industrial SPDR XLI 21.96 -0.23 -1.0% 8985.0 0.0% -2.4% -5%
Insurance iShare IAK 21.02 -0.05 -0.2% 62.4 +1.1% -1.3% -11%
Internet HLDRs HHH 42.80 -0.16 -0.4% 25.1 -0.1% +3.0% +34%
Materials SPDR XLB 25.80 -0.25 -1.0% 7835.5 -0.1% -5.0% +14%
Medical Dev iShr IHI 44.25 -0.30 -0.7% 93.9 -0.7% +6.0% +16%
Natural Gas UNG 13.87 -0.33 -2.3% 50985.6 -6.2% -5.0% -40%
Natural Res iShr IGE 27.71 -0.18 -0.6% 278.2 -3.1% -8.6% +10%
Network iShares IGN 23.65 -0.11 -0.5% 27.3 +0.1% +2.8% +40%
Oil Svc HLDRs OIH 97.68 -1.45 -1.5% 10602.0 -1.4% -8.2% +34%
Oil/Gas Expl iSh IEO 41.13 -0.03 -0.1% 625.3 +0.7% -10.9% +7%
Pharmacutical HL PPH 59.93 -0.25 -0.4% 735.4 +0.5% +2.2% 0%
Real Estate iShr IYR 32.42 +0.21 +0.7% 18188.3 +0.9% -2.5% -10%
Retail Holders RTH 77.47 -0.94 -1.2% 1983.9 -0.5% -0.1% +4%
Semiconductor iS IGW 36.66 +0.02 +0.1% 213.4 0.0% +1.0% +30%
Silver ETF SLV 13.38 -0.28 -2.0% 8960.0 -3.7% -13.5% +19%
Software iShares IGV 38.51 -0.06 -0.2% 93.2 +0.4% +2.8% +21%
Technology SPDR XLK 18.21 -0.14 -0.8% 7748.8 +0.3% +3.2% +19%
Telecom iShares IYZ 17.79 -0.32 -1.8% 838.0 -0.6% +0.8% +10%
Utilities SPDR XLU 27.89 -0.21 -0.7% 6621.6 +0.5% +4.2% -3%
Wireless HLDRs WMH 45.38 -0.03 -0.1% 6000.0 +0.6% +0.4% +24%
Australian Doll FXA 80.74 -0.25 -0.3% 111.9 -0.1% +0.8% +14%
British Pound FXB 164.40 -1.11 -0.7% 55.6 -0.4% +1.8% +13%
Euro Currency iS FXE 140.33 -0.49 -0.3% 366.2 -0.3% -0.7% +1%
Japanese Yen FXY 103.27 -0.34 -0.3% 71.1 -1.2% -1.1% -6%
US Dollar Index UUP 23.90 +0.09 +0.4% 215.2 +0.3% +0.7% -3%
Australia iShrs EWA 16.80 -0.17 -1.0% 1952.3 -0.1% +2.3% +20%
Brazil iShares EWZ 52.97 -0.47 -0.9% 19182.7 -1.2% -3.2% +53%
China 25 iShares FXI 38.37 -0.41 -1.1% 27988.9 0.0% +3.6% +33%
Canada iShares EWC 21.42 -0.43 -2.0% 3036.3 -0.7% -6.9% +23%
EAFE Index iShrs EFA 45.81 -0.54 -1.2% 31291.6 -0.3% -1.4% +4%
Emerging Mkts iS EEM 32.23 -0.33 -1.0% 92001.8 -0.3% -2.2% +30%
EMU iShares EZU 30.31 -0.16 -0.5% 204.1 +1.1% -2.2% +2%
France iShares EWQ 20.47 -0.29 -1.4% 91.8 +0.4% -4.3% 0%
Germany iShares EWG 17.98 -0.25 -1.4% 451.4 +0.6% -4.1% -4%
HongKong iShares EWH 13.74 -0.35 -2.5% 7714.8 -1.9% -1.8% +34%
India ETN INP 48.96 -1.84 -3.6% 797.4 -2.8% -3.9% +55%
Japan iShares EWJ 9.43 -0.07 -0.7% 25393.2 -1.3% +1.2% -1%
Malaysia iShares EWM 8.90 0.00 0.0% 2237.5 +1.0% +2.1% +24%
Mexico iShares EWW 36.86 -0.15 -0.4% 2354.2 0.0% +0.9% +15%
Russia ETF RSX 20.88 -0.12 -0.6% 1896.3 +1.0% -12.9% +60%
Singapore iShrs EWS 9.02 -0.05 -0.6% 4206.9 -0.2% -2.5% +29%
South Africa EZA 47.27 +0.60 +1.3% 581.2 +2.3% +0.7% +26%
South Korea iShr EWY 34.79 -0.25 -0.7% 4485.3 -0.2% -3.1% +25%
Switzerland iShr EWL 17.71 -0.08 -0.4% 84.7 +0.5% -0.8% -3%
Taiwan iShares EWT 10.09 +0.03 +0.3% 21751.3 +0.3% -10.5% +33%
United Kgdm iShr EWU 13.21 -0.08 -0.6% 645.7 +0.8% -2.0% +10%
Average -0.7% -0.2% -0.9% +10%
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ETFs SORTED BY TODAY'S PERCENTAGE CHANGE
06/30 WTD MTD YTD
Close $ % Volume %Price %Price %Price
Name Sym Price Change Change X 1000 Change Change Change
---------------- ---- ------ ------ ------ --------- ------ ------ ------
South Africa EZA 47.27 +0.60 +1.3% 581.2 +2.3% +0.7% +26%
TIPS Bond iShrs TIP 101.64 +0.68 +0.7% 1010.0 +0.7% +0.2% +4%
Real Estate iShr IYR 32.42 +0.21 +0.7% 18188.3 +0.9% -2.5% -10%
US Dollar Index UUP 23.90 +0.09 +0.4% 215.2 +0.3% +0.7% -3%
Taiwan iShares EWT 10.09 +0.03 +0.3% 21751.3 +0.3% -10.5% +33%
High Yield Bond JNK 35.19 +0.07 +0.2% 957.8 +1.0% +1.7% +16%
Semiconductor iS IGW 36.66 +0.02 +0.1% 213.4 0.0% +1.0% +30%
SP600 SmCp Grwth IJT 46.36 0.00 0.0% 232.4 +0.2% +2.2% +4%
DJ Transports iS IYT 58.20 0.00 0.0% 504.2 -0.1% +1.7% -7%
InvesTop CrpB iS LQD 100.28 -0.03 0.0% 967.6 -0.1% +2.9% +1%
T-Bond 1-3 Yr iS SHY 83.71 -0.01 0.0% 703.2 0.0% -0.1% 0%
Malaysia iShares EWM 8.90 0.00 0.0% 2237.5 +1.0% +2.1% +24%
Mini Bond iShrs MUB 99.66 -0.14 -0.1% 96.9 0.0% -1.5% +2%
Healthcare Prv IHF 38.60 -0.03 -0.1% 157.3 +0.3% +3.0% +8%
Oil/Gas Expl iSh IEO 41.13 -0.03 -0.1% 625.3 +0.7% -10.9% +7%
Wireless HLDRs WMH 45.38 -0.03 -0.1% 6000.0 +0.6% +0.4% +24%
Nasdaq 100 Shrs QQQQ 36.38 -0.07 -0.2% 96491.5 0.0% +3.0% +23%
SP600 SmlCp iSh IJR 44.43 -0.08 -0.2% 1417.0 0.0% +1.8% +2%
T-Bond 20+ Yr iS TLT 94.57 -0.16 -0.2% 3743.5 0.0% +0.8% -20%
Insurance iShare IAK 21.02 -0.05 -0.2% 62.4 +1.1% -1.3% -11%
Software iShares IGV 38.51 -0.06 -0.2% 93.2 +0.4% +2.8% +21%
SP600 SmCp Value IJS 47.08 -0.15 -0.3% 179.2 -0.2% +1.5% -2%
Russell 2000 iSh IWM 51.08 -0.15 -0.3% 44432.2 -0.3% +1.8% +4%
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr iS IEF 90.67 -0.24 -0.3% 608.7 -0.1% -0.6% -7%
Biotech iShares IBB 72.76 -0.22 -0.3% 853.4 -0.1% +7.6% +2%
Australian Doll FXA 80.74 -0.25 -0.3% 111.9 -0.1% +0.8% +14%
Euro Currency iS FXE 140.33 -0.49 -0.3% 366.2 -0.3% -0.7% +1%
Japanese Yen FXY 103.27 -0.34 -0.3% 71.1 -1.2% -1.1% -6%
SP400 MidCp SPDR MDY 105.20 -0.39 -0.4% 6147.4 +0.6% +0.9% +9%
SP400 MdCp Grwth IJK 62.36 -0.27 -0.4% 173.5 +0.1% +0.5% +13%
Rus2000 Grwth iS IWO 56.69 -0.24 -0.4% 2193.8 0.0% +3.0% +12%
Internet HLDRs HHH 42.80 -0.16 -0.4% 25.1 -0.1% +3.0% +34%
Pharmacutical HL PPH 59.93 -0.25 -0.4% 735.4 +0.5% +2.2% 0%
Mexico iShares EWW 36.86 -0.15 -0.4% 2354.2 0.0% +0.9% +15%
Switzerland iShr EWL 17.71 -0.08 -0.4% 84.7 +0.5% -0.8% -3%
Consumer Non-Cyc IYK 46.73 -0.22 -0.5% 19.5 +0.4% +0.8% +2%
Network iShares IGN 23.65 -0.11 -0.5% 27.3 +0.1% +2.8% +40%
EMU iShares EZU 30.31 -0.16 -0.5% 204.1 +1.1% -2.2% +2%
SP400 MdCp Value IJJ 52.11 -0.29 -0.6% 94.1 +0.4% +0.8% +5%
Energy SPDR XLE 48.05 -0.29 -0.6% 22843.7 +0.3% -7.0% +1%
Home Const iShrs ITB 9.82 -0.06 -0.6% 151.7 +1.1% -1.0% 0%
Natural Res iShr IGE 27.71 -0.18 -0.6% 278.2 -3.1% -8.6% +10%
Russia ETF RSX 20.88 -0.12 -0.6% 1896.3 +1.0% -12.9% +60%
Singapore iShrs EWS 9.02 -0.05 -0.6% 4206.9 -0.2% -2.5% +29%
United Kgdm iShr EWU 13.21 -0.08 -0.6% 645.7 +0.8% -2.0% +10%
Diamonds DIA 84.66 -0.59 -0.7% 13417.1 +0.5% -0.9% -2%
Rus2000 Value iS IWN 46.53 -0.31 -0.7% 2022.7 -0.3% -0.2% -5%
Consumer Disc SP XLY 23.08 -0.17 -0.7% 6532.8 +0.5% -0.2% +8%
Consumer iShares IYC 44.32 -0.30 -0.7% 148.2 +0.1% -0.2% +5%
Medical Dev iShr IHI 44.25 -0.30 -0.7% 93.9 -0.7% +6.0% +16%
Utilities SPDR XLU 27.89 -0.21 -0.7% 6621.6 +0.5% +4.2% -3%
British Pound FXB 164.40 -1.11 -0.7% 55.6 -0.4% +1.8% +13%
Japan iShares EWJ 9.43 -0.07 -0.7% 25393.2 -1.3% +1.2% -1%
South Korea iShr EWY 34.79 -0.25 -0.7% 4485.3 -0.2% -3.1% +25%
SP500 LgCap SPDR SPY 91.95 -0.75 -0.8% 225769.2 +0.1% -0.6% +3%
SP100 iSh OEF 43.03 -0.35 -0.8% 1777.1 +0.3% +0.2% +1%
SP500 LgCp Grwth IVW 47.77 -0.39 -0.8% 2153.0 0.0% +0.6% +7%
Consumer Stpl SP XLP 22.99 -0.18 -0.8% 3496.3 -0.2% -0.6% -3%
Health Care SPDR XLV 26.31 -0.22 -0.8% 5413.7 -0.2% +1.9% 0%
Technology SPDR XLK 18.21 -0.14 -0.8% 7748.8 +0.3% +3.2% +19%
SP500 Equal Wght RSP 30.81 -0.27 -0.9% 2215.5 +0.2% -1.2% +12%
Bank Regional HL RKH 66.36 -0.63 -0.9% 1337.4 +0.4% -3.3% -11%
Gold GLD 91.18 -0.86 -0.9% 24131.1 -1.2% -5.2% +5%
Brazil iShares EWZ 52.97 -0.47 -0.9% 19182.7 -1.2% -3.2% +53%
SP500 LgCp Value IVE 43.66 -0.42 -1.0% 676.2 +0.1% -0.7% -2%
NDX Equal Weight QQEW 15.22 -0.16 -1.0% 2.7 -0.7% +0.7% +22%
Broker/Dealer iS IAI 25.60 -0.27 -1.0% 140.4 -0.2% -0.3% +29%
Financial SPDR XLF 11.95 -0.12 -1.0% 101255.7 +0.3% -2.3% -4%
Industrial SPDR XLI 21.96 -0.23 -1.0% 8985.0 0.0% -2.4% -5%
Materials SPDR XLB 25.80 -0.25 -1.0% 7835.5 -0.1% -5.0% +14%
Australia iShrs EWA 16.80 -0.17 -1.0% 1952.3 -0.1% +2.3% +20%
Emerging Mkts iS EEM 32.23 -0.33 -1.0% 92001.8 -0.3% -2.2% +30%
DJ Sel Dividend DVY 35.36 -0.39 -1.1% 284.5 +0.1% -0.1% -12%
China 25 iShares FXI 38.37 -0.41 -1.1% 27988.9 0.0% +3.6% +33%
Aerospace/Def iS ITA 40.79 -0.51 -1.2% 121.7 +0.1% -2.8% -1%
Retail Holders RTH 77.47 -0.94 -1.2% 1983.9 -0.5% -0.1% +4%
EAFE Index iShrs EFA 45.81 -0.54 -1.2% 31291.6 -0.3% -1.4% +4%
France iShares EWQ 20.47 -0.29 -1.4% 91.8 +0.4% -4.3% 0%
Germany iShares EWG 17.98 -0.25 -1.4% 451.4 +0.6% -4.1% -4%
Commodity iShare GSG 30.05 -0.46 -1.5% 348.3 -0.3% -0.2% +5%
Oil Svc HLDRs OIH 97.68 -1.45 -1.5% 10602.0 -1.4% -8.2% +34%
Broadband HLDRs BDH 11.53 -0.19 -1.6% 11.0 -2.0% +4.8% +37%
Telecom iShares IYZ 17.79 -0.32 -1.8% 838.0 -0.6% +0.8% +10%
Crude Oil ETF USO 37.93 -0.74 -1.9% 13300.6 +1.1% +4.2% +15%
Agribusiness MOO 34.45 -0.71 -2.0% 713.0 +0.1% -6.7% +24%
Silver ETF SLV 13.38 -0.28 -2.0% 8960.0 -3.7% -13.5% +19%
Canada iShares EWC 21.42 -0.43 -2.0% 3036.3 -0.7% -6.9% +23%
Natural Gas UNG 13.87 -0.33 -2.3% 50985.6 -6.2% -5.0% -40%
HongKong iShares EWH 13.74 -0.35 -2.5% 7714.8 -1.9% -1.8% +34%
Gold Miners GDX 37.82 -1.33 -3.4% 5486.3 -3.5% -14.4% +12%
India ETN INP 48.96 -1.84 -3.6% 797.4 -2.8% -3.9% +55%
Average -0.7% -0.2% -0.9% +10%
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ETFs SORTED BY PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR (PMO) RANK
This section ranks the securities based on Decision Point's proprietary
PMO, a measure of internal and relative strength.
|-RankChg| |--% Price Change-| Hot/Cold PMO
PMO 5 15 On 5 15 Group & Xover
Name/Symbol Rank Day Day 06/30 Day Day Blinkers Sgnl/Days
--------------------- --- --- --- ----- ---- ---- |---------|---------
India ETN INP 1 0 0 -3.6% +5% -5% 5 -- -+ SELL 18
Crude Oil ETF USO 2 0 +3 -1.9% +1% -1% 4 -+ -+ SELL 11
China 25 iShares FXI 3 +2 +6 -1.1% +7% +2% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 15
Singapore iShrs EWS 4 0 -1 -0.6% +5% -2% 4 -+ -+ SELL 22
HongKong iShares EWH 5 +5 +3 -2.5% +5% -1% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 19
Brazil iShares EWZ 6 0 -2 -0.9% +4% -5% 4 -+ -+ SELL 21
Broadband HLDRs BDH 7 +6 +31 -1.6% +3% -2% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 14
Australia iShrs EWA 8 +1 +14 -1.0% +5% -1% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 14
Commodity iShare GSG 9 -2 +19 -1.5% +1% -3% 5 -- -+ - SELL 12
Network iShares IGN 10 -2 +3 -0.5% +5% -3% 4 -+ -+ - SELL 15
South Africa EZA 11 +6 +1 +1.3% +9% +2% 4 -+ ++ + SELL 22
Broker/Dealer iS IAI 12 +3 +2 -1.0% +6% -4% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 18
Medical Dev iShr IHI 13 +15 +52 -0.7% +3% +3% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 1
United Kgdm iShr EWU 14 -2 +4 -0.6% +1% -1% 4 -+ -+ - SELL 25
Mexico iShares EWW 15 +7 +6 -0.4% +6% +1% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 34
Russia ETF RSX 16 -13 -14 -0.6% +6% -10% 5 -- -+ - SELL 21
Emerging Mkts iS EEM 17 +2 -2 -1.0% +5% -2% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 22
Bank Regional HL RKH 18 0 -2 -0.9% +4% -3% 4 -+ -+ SELL 47
Financial SPDR XLF 19 -3 -9 -1.0% +4% -4% 4 -+ -+ - SELL 46
Biotech iShares IBB 20 +28 +55 -0.3% +5% +4% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 64
Malaysia iShares EWM 21 +6 +16 0.0% +5% +1% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 22
Canada iShares EWC 22 -8 -16 -2.0% +4% -7% 5 -- -+ - SELL 21
Rus2000 Grwth iS IWO 23 -3 +11 -0.4% +4% -3% 4 -+ -+ - SELL 14
High Yield Bond JNK 24 -1 +17 +0.2% +2% -1% 4 -+ -+ - SELL 25
EAFE Index iShrs EFA 25 -1 +7 -1.2% +2% -2% 4 -+ -+ - SELL 22
Semiconductor iS IGW 26 -5 +19 +0.1% +4% -5% 4 -+ -+ - SELL 13
British Pound FXB 27 +3 +43 -0.7% 0% +1% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 13
Australian Doll FXA 28 +3 +31 -0.3% +1% +1% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 22
Healthcare Prv IHF 29 +25 +31 -0.1% +5% +5% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 1
Japan iShares EWJ 30 +8 +32 -0.7% +2% +1% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 26
Nasdaq 100 Shrs QQQQ 31 +3 +23 -0.2% +4% -1% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 15
Software iShares IGV 32 +1 +24 -0.2% +3% -2% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 14
EMU iShares EZU 33 -4 -7 -0.5% +3% -2% 4 -+ -+ - SELL 22
Technology SPDR XLK 34 +9 +33 -0.8% +3% -1% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 14
NDX Equal Weight QQEW 35 0 +9 -1.0% +3% -3% 4 -+ -+ SELL 15
Internet HLDRs HHH 36 0 0 -0.4% +6% -3% 4 -+ -+ SELL 15
Wireless HLDRs WMH 37 -12 +16 -0.1% +3% 0% 4 -+ -+ - SELL 15
Switzerland iShr EWL 38 +1 +11 -0.5% 0% -1% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 25
Russell 2000 iSh IWM 39 +1 0 -0.3% +4% -3% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 15
France iShares EWQ 40 -8 -13 -1.4% +1% -4% 5 -- -+ - SELL 21
Utilities SPDR XLU 41 +18 +41 -0.8% +3% +4% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 1
Oil Svc HLDRs OIH 42 -31 -35 -1.5% +2% -11% 5 -- -+ - SELL 15
DJ Transports iS IYT 43 +8 +7 0.0% +6% -4% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 15
SP600 SmCp Grwth IJT 44 +1 -4 0.0% +5% -3% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 15
SP500 Equal Wght RSP 45 -4 -12 -0.9% +3% -4% 5 -- -+ - SELL 22
SP600 SmlCp iSh IJR 46 +1 0 -0.2% +5% -3% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 18
SP400 MdCp Grwth IJK 47 -1 +4 -0.4% +4% -3% 4 -+ -+ - SELL 15
Insurance iShare IAK 48 -6 -28 -0.2% +3% -5% 4 -+ -+ - SELL 40
Germany iShares EWG 49 -5 -20 -1.4% +2% -4% 5 -- -+ - SELL 21
Pharmacutical HL PPH 50 +28 +31 -0.4% +4% +5% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 5
Health Care SPDR XLV 51 +26 +28 -0.8% +3% +4% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 5
SP500 LgCp Grwth IVW 52 +3 +11 -0.8% +3% -3% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 15
SP400 MidCp SPDR MDY 53 +3 +2 -0.4% +5% -3% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 18
SP600 SmCp Value IJS 54 -1 -6 -0.3% +4% -4% 4 -+ -+ - SELL 18
Agribusiness MOO 55 -18 -38 -2.0% +3% -8% 5 -- -+ - SELL 25
SP100 iSh OEF 56 +6 +12 -0.8% +3% -2% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 15
Telecom iShares IYZ 57 +14 +17 -1.8% +1% +1% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 46
Consumer Non-Cyc IYK 58 +3 +8 -0.5% +2% -2% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 18
InvesTop CrpB iS LQD 59 +16 +24 -0.0% +1% +2% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 7
South Korea iShr EWY 59 -2 -16 -0.7% +3% 0% 5 -- -+ - SELL 48
Real Estate iShr IYR 61 -12 -38 +0.7% +5% -6% 4 -+ -+ - SELL 21
SP400 MdCp Value IJJ 62 +1 -4 -0.6% +5% -3% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 19
SP500 LgCp Value IVE 63 +5 -2 -1.0% +3% -2% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 46
Gold Miners GDX 64 +1 -53 -3.4% +1% -8% 5 -- -+ + SELL 21
SP500 LgCap SPDR SPY 65 -1 -1 -0.8% +3% -3% 4 -+ -+ - SELL 19
Rus2000 Value iS IWN 66 -8 -14 -0.7% +3% -5% 5 -- -+ - SELL 19
Aerospace/Def iS ITA 67 -41 -36 -1.2% 0% -9% 5 -- -+ - SELL 15
Euro Currency iS FXE 68 +6 +9 -0.4% 0% 0% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 19
DJ Sel Dividend DVY 69 +4 +3 -1.1% +3% -2% 5 -- -+ + SELL 20
Natural Res iShr IGE 70 -20 -45 -0.7% +3% -9% 5 -- -+ - SELL 20
Diamonds DIA 71 -1 -2 -0.7% +2% -4% 5 -- -+ - SELL 15
Consumer Disc SP XLY 72 0 -15 -0.7% +4% -5% 5 -- -+ SELL 20
Consumer Stpl SP XLP 73 +3 0 -0.8% +1% -2% 5 -- -+ + SELL 19
Industrial SPDR XLI 74 -5 -32 -1.0% +3% -7% 5 -- -+ - SELL 18
Materials SPDR XLB 75 -9 -40 -1.0% +3% -7% 5 -- -+ - SELL 47
Consumer iShares IYC 76 +3 -5 -0.7% +3% -4% 4 -+ -+ + SELL 48
Taiwan iShares EWT 77 +4 -53 +0.3% +5% -1% 4 -+ ++ + SELL 47
Japanese Yen FXY 78 +5 +7 -0.3% -1% +1% 3 +- -+ + BUY 8
Silver ETF SLV 79 -19 -49 -2.1% -2% -11% 5 -- -+ - SELL 18
Gold GLD 80 +2 -4 -0.9% 0% -3% 5 -- -+ + SELL 19
TIPS Bond iShrs TIP 81 +4 +3 +0.7% +1% +1% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 5
Energy SPDR XLE 82 -15 -35 -0.6% +2% -8% 5 -- -+ - SELL 14
Oil/Gas Expl iSh IEO 83 -31 -64 -0.1% +3% -10% 5 -- -+ - SELL 22
Retail Holders RTH 84 0 -6 -1.2% +2% -4% 5 -- -+ SELL 19
T-Bond 1-3 Yr iS SHY 85 +1 +2 -0.0% 0% +1% 2 ++ +- + BUY 7
Natural Gas UNG 86 -6 +2 -2.3% -4% -2% 6 -- -- - SELL 6
Mini Bond iShrs MUB 87 0 -1 -0.1% 0% 0% 4 -- +- SELL 35
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr iS IEF 88 +1 +1 -0.3% +1% +2% 2 ++ +- + BUY 13
T-Bond 20+ Yr iS TLT 89 +2 +2 -0.2% +1% +6% 2 ++ +- + BUY 14
Home Const iShrs ITB 90 0 -10 -0.6% +6% -4% 4 -+ +- SELL 50
US Dollar Index UUP 91 -3 -1 +0.4% 0% 0% 3 +- +- - BUY 21
****************************************************************************
PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) CROSSOVER SIGNALS
The PMO generates a BUY or SELL Signals when it crosses up or down through
its 10-DMA. These signals tend to be short-term in duration, but they can
last for several weeks. Do not take them at face value because they can
whipsaw quite a bit. They should be used to alert you to possible trading
opportunities not used as a mechanical trading model. Always check our daily
stock charts to verify the price pattern and the configuration of the PMO.
Signals are best when price appears extended, is near support or resistance,
and the PMO is very overbought or oversold. These signals may also be used to
manage positions based on our ETF Top 5 signals or the longer-term
Price Momentum Model signals.
SUMMARY OF PMO CROSSOVER SIGNALS
ETF ETF
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 13 78
% of Total......: 14% 86%
Ave Days Elapsed: 12 22
Ave High Profit.: +2% +6%
Ave Profit......: +1% +2%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 18%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 92%
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
06/30 Cal
Close % Days High Today PMO
Name/Symbol Price Change Signl Elap P/L P/L R/F Days
--------------------- ------ ------ ----- ---- ------- ------- --------
Healthcare Prv IHF 38.60 -0.1% BUY 1 0.0% -0.1% R 5
Medical Dev iShr IHI 44.25 -0.7% BUY 1 0.0% -0.7% R 5
Utilities SPDR XLU 27.89 -0.7% BUY 1 0.0% -0.7% R 5
TIPS Bond iShrs TIP 101.64 +0.7% BUY 5 0.7% 0.7% R 5
Health Care SPDR XLV 26.31 -0.8% BUY 5 0.6% -0.2% R 5
Pharmacutical HL PPH 59.93 -0.4% BUY 5 0.8% 0.4% R 6
InvesTop CrpB iS LQD 100.28 0.0% BUY 7 0.7% 0.5% R 8
T-Bond 1-3 Yr iS SHY 83.71 0.0% BUY 7 0.2% 0.2% R 14
Japanese Yen FXY 103.27 -0.3% BUY 8 0.7% -0.5% F 1
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr iS IEF 90.67 -0.3% BUY 13 1.3% 1.0% R 11
T-Bond 20+ Yr iS TLT 94.57 -0.2% BUY 14 2.6% 2.4% R 18
US Dollar Index UUP 23.90 +0.4% BUY 21 2.4% 0.2% R 25
Biotech iShares IBB 72.76 -0.3% BUY 64 11.4% 11.1% R 5
Natural Gas UNG 13.87 -2.3% SELL 6 1.4% 1.4% F 1
Crude Oil ETF USO 37.93 -1.9% SELL 11 4.5% 0.1% F 15
Commodity iShare GSG 30.05 -1.5% SELL 12 5.8% 3.3% F 15
Semiconductor iS IGW 36.66 +0.1% SELL 13 5.1% 1.2% F 18
British Pound FXB 164.40 -0.7% SELL 13 0.3% -0.4% F 18
Rus2000 Grwth iS IWO 56.69 -0.4% SELL 14 2.5% -1.5% F 19
Broadband HLDRs BDH 11.53 -1.6% SELL 14 0.3% -2.9% F 1
Energy SPDR XLE 48.05 -0.6% SELL 14 8.3% 5.7% F 15
Software iShares IGV 38.51 -0.2% SELL 14 2.2% -1.3% F 15
Technology SPDR XLK 18.21 -0.8% SELL 14 1.6% -1.4% F 0
Australia iShrs EWA 16.80 -1.0% SELL 14 3.8% -0.8% F 15
Diamonds DIA 84.66 -0.7% SELL 15 4.0% 2.1% F 15
Nasdaq 100 Shrs QQQQ 36.38 -0.2% SELL 15 2.4% -1.5% F 19
SP100 iSh OEF 43.03 -0.8% SELL 15 2.8% 0.2% F 0
SP500 LgCp Grwth IVW 47.77 -0.8% SELL 15 3.4% 0.8% F 18
SP400 MdCp Grwth IJK 62.36 -0.4% SELL 15 4.8% 1.1% F 20
SP600 SmCp Grwth IJT 46.36 0.0% SELL 15 4.7% 0.2% F 20
Russell 2000 iSh IWM 51.08 -0.3% SELL 15 4.4% 0.5% F 20
NDX Equal Weight QQEW 15.22 -1.0% SELL 15 3.3% 0.1% F 18
DJ Transports iS IYT 58.20 0.0% SELL 15 4.6% -1.1% F 0
Aerospace/Def iS ITA 40.79 -1.2% SELL 15 7.2% 5.7% F 20
Internet HLDRs HHH 42.80 -0.4% SELL 15 6.4% 0.9% F 19
Network iShares IGN 23.65 -0.5% SELL 15 6.1% 0.6% F 18
Oil Svc HLDRs OIH 97.68 -1.5% SELL 15 12.5% 10.1% F 18
Wireless HLDRs WMH 45.38 -0.1% SELL 15 3.3% 0.3% F 18
China 25 iShares FXI 38.37 -1.1% SELL 15 5.5% -1.2% F 0
SP400 MidCp SPDR MDY 105.20 -0.4% SELL 18 7.1% 2.9% F 0
SP600 SmlCp iSh IJR 44.43 -0.2% SELL 18 6.8% 2.6% F 20
SP600 SmCp Value IJS 47.08 -0.3% SELL 18 7.5% 3.4% F 20
Broker/Dealer iS IAI 25.60 -1.0% SELL 18 8.9% 2.7% F 0
Consumer Non-Cyc IYK 46.73 -0.5% SELL 18 3.7% 1.5% F 0
Industrial SPDR XLI 21.96 -1.0% SELL 18 9.9% 6.9% F 20
Silver ETF SLV 13.38 -2.0% SELL 18 8.5% 8.5% F 25
India ETN INP 48.96 -3.6% SELL 18 11.2% 5.8% F 22
SP500 LgCap SPDR SPY 91.95 -0.8% SELL 19 5.8% 3.0% F 22
SP400 MdCp Value IJJ 52.11 -0.6% SELL 19 7.1% 2.9% F 0
Rus2000 Value iS IWN 46.53 -0.7% SELL 19 6.8% 3.9% F 21
Consumer Stpl SP XLP 22.99 -0.8% SELL 19 3.0% 1.5% F 21
Gold GLD 91.18 -0.9% SELL 19 3.4% 2.7% F 25
Retail Holders RTH 77.47 -1.2% SELL 19 4.3% 1.9% F 0
Euro Currency iS FXE 140.33 -0.3% SELL 19 2.2% 0.5% F 4
HongKong iShares EWH 13.74 -2.5% SELL 19 7.4% 2.8% F 0
DJ Sel Dividend DVY 35.36 -1.1% SELL 20 5.1% 2.3% F 0
Consumer Disc SP XLY 23.08 -0.7% SELL 20 7.5% 3.9% F 0
Natural Res iShr IGE 27.71 -0.6% SELL 20 12.8% 8.8% F 18
Gold Miners GDX 37.82 -3.4% SELL 21 13.0% 8.0% F 4
Real Estate iShr IYR 32.42 +0.7% SELL 21 11.4% 6.1% F 22
Brazil iShares EWZ 52.97 -0.9% SELL 21 10.8% 4.6% F 18
Canada iShares EWC 21.42 -2.0% SELL 21 10.9% 6.8% F 27
France iShares EWQ 20.47 -1.4% SELL 21 7.1% 4.3% F 25
Germany iShares EWG 17.98 -1.4% SELL 21 7.6% 3.9% F 25
Russia ETF RSX 20.88 -0.6% SELL 21 16.3% 10.4% F 27
SP500 Equal Wght RSP 30.81 -0.9% SELL 22 6.5% 3.3% F 19
Oil/Gas Expl iSh IEO 41.13 -0.1% SELL 22 13.0% 9.8% F 18
Australian Doll FXA 80.74 -0.3% SELL 22 0.0% -2.4% F 18
EAFE Index iShrs EFA 45.81 -1.2% SELL 22 3.8% 0.9% F 27
Emerging Mkts iS EEM 32.23 -1.0% SELL 22 7.5% 1.8% F 0
EMU iShares EZU 30.31 -0.5% SELL 22 6.0% 1.6% F 27
Malaysia iShares EWM 8.90 0.0% SELL 22 4.5% -0.5% F 22
Singapore iShrs EWS 9.02 -0.6% SELL 22 6.6% 2.0% F 27
South Africa EZA 47.27 +1.3% SELL 22 7.6% -2.3% R 4
High Yield Bond JNK 35.19 +0.2% SELL 25 1.9% -0.1% F 26
Agribusiness MOO 34.45 -2.0% SELL 25 11.5% 7.2% F 18
Switzerland iShr EWL 17.71 -0.4% SELL 25 2.7% -0.2% F 25
United Kgdm iShr EWU 13.21 -0.6% SELL 25 2.6% 0.2% F 27
Japan iShares EWJ 9.43 -0.7% SELL 26 1.3% -1.0% F 1
Mexico iShares EWW 36.86 -0.4% SELL 34 4.3% -1.5% F 0
Mini Bond iShrs MUB 99.66 -0.1% SELL 35 3.3% 2.4% R 4
Insurance iShare IAK 21.02 -0.2% SELL 40 4.0% 0.0% F 27
SP500 LgCp Value IVE 43.66 -1.0% SELL 46 0.0% -3.3% F 0
Financial SPDR XLF 11.95 -1.0% SELL 46 1.6% -3.6% F 42
Telecom iShares IYZ 17.79 -1.8% SELL 46 2.9% -2.7% F 0
Bank Regional HL RKH 66.36 -0.9% SELL 47 5.7% 0.6% F 49
Materials SPDR XLB 25.80 -1.0% SELL 47 3.8% -0.2% F 18
Taiwan iShares EWT 10.09 +0.3% SELL 47 5.9% 0.2% R 0
Consumer iShares IYC 44.32 -0.7% SELL 48 0.7% -2.4% F 0
South Korea iShr EWY 34.79 -0.7% SELL 48 3.2% 0.0% F 28
Home Const iShrs ITB 9.82 -0.6% SELL 50 14.7% 9.8% R 5
Average -0.7% 21 5.1% 1.9% 14
*****************************************************************************
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
The SWENLIN PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL is intended to catch long-term price moves.
Model Signals are mechanically generated by a 200-day exponential moving
average crossover in conjunction with a 10% price move in the opposite
direction of the current signal extreme. For example, assume that the current
signal is a BUY. If the price drops 10% from the signal high, and also drops
below the 200 DMA, a SELL Signal will be generated automatically. The
MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS work best when prices are trending and changing
direction smoothly. When prices are volatile, particularly in a 10% range,
results will be extremely poor. By design, these signals will always miss at
least the first 10% of a move. Rather than wait for a signal reversal, it is
best to use trend analysis and other indicators to decide when to exit a
position. New signals should alert you to the possibility that a change in
direction is taking place. Once alerted, watch price movement and other
indicators to determine an optimum entry point, if any.
SUMMARY OF PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
ETF ETF
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 62 29
% of Total......: 68% 32%
Ave Days Elapsed: 82 135
Ave High Profit.: +9% +22%
Ave Profit......: +5% +14%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +8% -7%
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
This is a list of PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS for the ETFs we follow.
The newest signals give notice that the trend may be in the process of
making a long-term change of direction.
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
06/30 Cal Price
Close % Days High Today Rel to
Name/Symbol Price Change Sgnl Elap P/L P/L STOP Stop
--------------------- ------- ------ ---- ---- ------ ------ ------ -------
Health Care SPDR XLV 26.31 -0.8% BUY 5 0.6% -0.2% 23.88 +10.2%
Pharmacutical HL PPH 59.93 -0.4% BUY 11 2.3% 1.9% 54.16 +10.6%
Diamonds DIA 84.66 -0.7% BUY 25 0.5% -3.7% 79.48 +6.5%
SP100 iSh OEF 43.03 -0.8% BUY 25 0.5% -1.8% 39.64 +8.6%
Biotech iShares IBB 72.76 -0.3% BUY 27 3.8% 3.5% 65.68 +10.8%
DJ Transports iS IYT 58.20 0.0% BUY 28 0.2% -3.8% 54.57 +6.7%
InvesTop CrpB iS LQD 100.28 0.0% BUY 28 2.3% 2.2% 90.38 +11.0%
Medical Dev iShr IHI 44.25 -0.7% BUY 28 1.5% 0.8% 40.10 +10.4%
SP500 LgCap SPDR SPY 91.95 -0.8% BUY 29 0.3% -3.0% 85.57 +7.5%
Consumer Stpl SP XLP 22.99 -0.8% BUY 29 1.0% -2.5% 21.44 +7.2%
SP500 LgCp Grwth IVW 47.77 -0.8% BUY 32 4.0% 0.6% 44.44 +7.5%
Broadband HLDRs BDH 11.53 -1.6% BUY 32 7.5% 4.8% 10.33 +11.6%
Semiconductor iS IGW 36.66 +0.1% BUY 34 8.6% 3.3% 34.70 +5.6%
Consumer Non-Cyc IYK 46.73 -0.5% BUY 35 3.8% 1.0% 43.25 +8.0%
Gold GLD 91.18 -0.9% BUY 40 2.7% -2.8% 86.72 +5.1%
British Pound FXB 164.40 -0.7% BUY 40 4.6% 3.8% 149.21 +10.2%
Euro Currency iS FXE 140.33 -0.3% BUY 40 3.0% 0.9% 128.92 +8.9%
EAFE Index iShrs EFA 45.81 -1.2% BUY 41 6.3% 1.4% 43.22 +6.0%
Japan iShares EWJ 9.43 -0.7% BUY 41 4.0% 2.7% 8.60 +9.7%
United Kgdm iShr EWU 13.21 -0.6% BUY 41 7.1% 1.4% 12.56 +5.1%
Switzerland iShr EWL 17.71 -0.4% BUY 42 4.2% 1.1% 16.42 +7.9%
SP600 SmCp Grwth IJT 46.36 0.0% BUY 53 3.9% -0.1% 43.42 +6.8%
Russell 2000 iSh IWM 51.08 -0.3% BUY 53 4.3% 0.1% 47.88 +6.7%
Rus2000 Value iS IWN 46.53 -0.7% BUY 53 1.6% -4.1% 44.40 +4.8%
Healthcare Prv IHF 38.60 -0.1% BUY 54 3.0% 2.4% 34.97 +10.4%
Mexico iShares EWW 36.86 -0.4% BUY 55 5.3% 3.1% 33.89 +8.8%
Silver ETF SLV 13.38 -2.0% BUY 56 19.9% 1.8% 13.19 +1.5%
SP400 MidCp SPDR MDY 105.20 -0.4% BUY 57 3.2% -0.1% 97.87 +7.5%
SP400 MdCp Grwth IJK 62.36 -0.4% BUY 57 4.2% 0.4% 58.26 +7.0%
SP400 MdCp Value IJJ 52.11 -0.6% BUY 57 2.1% -1.2% 48.47 +7.5%
SP600 SmlCp iSh IJR 44.43 -0.2% BUY 57 4.1% -0.3% 41.75 +6.4%
SP600 SmCp Value IJS 47.08 -0.3% BUY 57 2.4% -2.2% 44.36 +6.1%
Rus2000 Grwth iS IWO 56.69 -0.4% BUY 57 6.4% 3.2% 52.60 +7.8%
SP500 Equal Wght RSP 30.81 -0.9% BUY 57 5.5% 0.0% 29.27 +5.3%
Telecom iShares IYZ 17.79 -1.8% BUY 57 1.8% -1.1% 16.47 +8.0%
Australia iShrs EWA 16.80 -1.0% BUY 57 14.2% 7.8% 15.80 +6.3%
India ETN INP 48.96 -3.6% BUY 57 31.4% 21.5% 41.51 +18.0%
Singapore iShrs EWS 9.02 -0.6% BUY 57 19.4% 13.0% 8.08 +11.6%
Technology SPDR XLK 18.21 -0.8% BUY 60 5.4% 4.2% 16.59 +9.8%
Wireless HLDRs WMH 45.38 -0.1% BUY 60 9.4% 4.9% 42.61 +6.5%
Brazil iShares EWZ 52.97 -0.9% BUY 60 23.9% 14.2% 47.69 +11.1%
NDX Equal Weight QQEW 15.22 -1.0% BUY 61 8.9% 4.7% 14.25 +6.8%
Consumer iShares IYC 44.32 -0.7% BUY 61 4.4% -0.2% 41.72 +6.2%
Emerging Mkts iS EEM 32.23 -1.0% BUY 61 20.8% 13.3% 29.58 +9.0%
South Korea iShr EWY 34.79 -0.7% BUY 61 9.3% 2.3% 33.48 +3.9%
Nasdaq 100 Shrs QQQQ 36.38 -0.2% BUY 62 8.8% 7.3% 33.21 +9.5%
Consumer Disc SP XLY 23.08 -0.7% BUY 67 7.2% 1.3% 21.99 +5.0%
Gold Miners GDX 37.82 -3.4% BUY 67 28.6% 9.1% 35.87 +5.4%
Software iShares IGV 38.51 -0.2% BUY 67 9.1% 6.4% 35.55 +8.3%
HongKong iShares EWH 13.74 -2.5% BUY 67 23.7% 17.9% 12.22 +12.5%
Malaysia iShares EWM 8.90 0.0% BUY 68 14.9% 13.1% 8.10 +9.9%
High Yield Bond JNK 35.19 +0.2% BUY 75 13.7% 12.4% 32.05 +9.8%
Network iShares IGN 23.65 -0.5% BUY 75 22.1% 17.1% 21.18 +11.7%
Australian Doll FXA 80.74 -0.3% BUY 78 12.5% 10.5% 73.97 +9.2%
Taiwan iShares EWT 10.09 +0.3% BUY 78 25.3% 10.9% 9.47 +6.5%
Internet HLDRs HHH 42.80 -0.4% BUY 82 15.4% 11.3% 39.36 +8.7%
China 25 iShares FXI 38.37 -1.1% BUY 82 26.0% 21.5% 33.17 +15.7%
South Africa EZA 47.27 +1.3% BUY 88 22.8% 20.7% 40.89 +15.6%
Retail Holders RTH 77.47 -1.2% BUY 89 5.2% 0.2% 73.18 +5.9%
TIPS Bond iShrs TIP 101.64 +0.7% BUY 195 2.1% 1.9% 91.67 +10.9%
Mini Bond iShrs MUB 99.66 -0.1% BUY 228 7.3% 4.5% 92.11 +8.2%
T-Bond 1-3 Yr iS SHY 83.71 0.0% BUY 1566 21.3% 20.8% 75.59 +10.7%
Aerospace/Def iS ITA 40.79 -1.2% SELL 7 1.7% 0.1% 44.17 -7.6%
Industrial SPDR XLI 21.96 -1.0% SELL 7 0.0% -3.3% 23.47 -6.4%
Broker/Dealer iS IAI 25.60 -1.0% SELL 8 0.0% -6.8% 26.37 -2.9%
Energy SPDR XLE 48.05 -0.6% SELL 8 0.0% -2.8% 51.45 -6.6%
Materials SPDR XLB 25.80 -1.0% SELL 8 0.0% -4.2% 27.23 -5.2%
Canada iShares EWC 21.42 -2.0% SELL 8 0.0% -4.6% 22.52 -4.9%
EMU iShares EZU 30.31 -0.5% SELL 8 0.0% -4.6% 31.87 -4.9%
France iShares EWQ 20.47 -1.4% SELL 8 0.0% -3.0% 21.87 -6.4%
Germany iShares EWG 17.98 -1.4% SELL 8 0.0% -4.1% 19.01 -5.4%
Natural Res iShr IGE 27.71 -0.6% SELL 11 5.6% 1.3% 29.14 -4.9%
Oil Svc HLDRs OIH 97.68 -1.5% SELL 12 7.2% 4.6% 104.54 -6.6%
Oil/Gas Expl iSh IEO 41.13 -0.1% SELL 12 8.3% 5.0% 44.07 -6.7%
Russia ETF RSX 20.88 -0.6% SELL 12 8.6% 2.2% 21.60 -3.3%
Agribusiness MOO 34.45 -2.0% SELL 13 3.5% -1.1% 36.15 -4.7%
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr iS IEF 90.67 -0.3% SELL 22 0.2% -2.9% 96.80 -6.3%
US Dollar Index UUP 23.90 +0.4% SELL 39 2.0% 0.1% 25.80 -7.3%
Bank Regional HL RKH 66.36 -0.9% SELL 49 6.8% 1.7% 69.59 -4.6%
Home Const iShrs ITB 9.82 -0.6% SELL 49 11.9% 6.9% 10.99 -10.7%
T-Bond 20+ Yr iS TLT 94.57 -0.2% SELL 63 10.7% 4.2% 97.56 -3.1%
Japanese Yen FXY 103.27 -0.3% SELL 124 2.7% -2.0% 108.38 -4.7%
DJ Sel Dividend DVY 35.36 -1.1% SELL 274 48.9% 29.5% 37.94 -6.8%
Real Estate iShr IYR 32.42 +0.7% SELL 274 61.4% 41.6% 35.59 -8.9%
Crude Oil ETF USO 37.93 -1.9% SELL 301 74.4% 57.5% 42.73 -11.2%
Commodity iShare GSG 30.05 -1.5% SELL 326 62.6% 49.1% 33.14 -9.3%
Utilities SPDR XLU 27.89 -0.7% SELL 333 38.0% 23.1% 28.55 -2.3%
Natural Gas UNG 13.87 -2.3% SELL 343 72.6% 70.8% 21.85 -36.5%
SP500 LgCp Value IVE 43.66 -1.0% SELL 375 51.7% 31.2% 45.11 -3.2%
Insurance iShare IAK 21.02 -0.2% SELL 601 73.6% 55.8% 22.91 -8.2%
Financial SPDR XLF 11.95 -1.0% SELL 607 80.0% 61.0% 12.93 -7.6%
Average -0.7% 99 13.0% 7.6% +3.5%
****************************************************************************
SHORT-TERM (PMO) and LONG-TERM (PMM) SIGNAL COMPARISONS
The Price Momentum Model (PMM) signal provides guidance regarding the
longer-term trend, and the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signals identify
the shorter-term trend. A logical trading methodology is to open positions
on new PMO signals when they are compatable with the PMM signals. Positions
may be closed or hedged when the PMM and PMO signals are in conflict.
This section compares the PMM and PMO signals side by side and provides
some mechanical analysis. A "Warn!" flag is an alert that the PMO signal is
in conflict with the PMM -- closing or hedging the PMM position may be
considered. A "Buy?" or "Sell?" flag is an alert that the PMO signal has
just changed and is the same as the PMM signal -- opening new PMM positions
may be considered.
SUMMARY OF SHORT-TERM AND LONG-TERM SIGNALS FOR ETF
SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM
PMO PMO PMM PMM
BUY SELL BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 13 78 62 29
% of Total......: 14% 86% 68% 32%
Ave Days Elapsed: 12 22 82 135
Ave High Profit.: +2% +6% +9% +22%
Ave Profit......: +1% +2% +5% +14%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +8% -7%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 18%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 92%
|-- PMO Crossover Model ---|-- Price Momentum Model --|
| PMO High Today | PMM High Today|
Name Flag| Sgnl Day P/L P/L | Sgnl Days P/L P/L|
--------------- -----| ---- --- ------- ------- | ---- ---- ------- -------|
Diamonds Warn! SELL 15 +4.0% +2.1% BUY 25 +0.5% -3.7%
Nasdaq 100 Shr Warn! SELL 15 +2.4% -1.5% BUY 62 +8.9% +7.3%
SP500 LgCap SP Warn! SELL 19 +5.8% +3.0% BUY 29 +0.3% -3.0%
SP100 iSh Warn! SELL 15 +2.8% +0.2% BUY 25 +0.5% -1.8%
SP500 LgCp Grw Warn! SELL 15 +3.4% +0.8% BUY 32 +4.0% +0.6%
SP500 LgCp Val SELL 46 +0.1% -3.3% SELL 375 +51.7% +31.2%
SP400 MidCp SP Warn! SELL 18 +7.1% +2.9% BUY 57 +3.2% -0.1%
SP400 MdCp Grw Warn! SELL 15 +4.8% +1.1% BUY 57 +4.2% +0.4%
SP400 MdCp Val Warn! SELL 19 +7.1% +2.9% BUY 57 +2.1% -1.2%
SP600 SmlCp iS Warn! SELL 18 +6.8% +2.6% BUY 57 +4.1% -0.3%
SP600 SmCp Grw Warn! SELL 15 +4.7% +0.2% BUY 53 +3.9% -0.1%
SP600 SmCp Val Warn! SELL 18 +7.5% +3.4% BUY 57 +2.4% -2.2%
Russell 2000 i Warn! SELL 15 +4.4% +0.6% BUY 53 +4.3% +0.1%
Rus2000 Grwth Warn! SELL 14 +2.5% -1.5% BUY 57 +6.4% +3.2%
Rus2000 Value Warn! SELL 19 +6.8% +3.9% BUY 53 +1.7% -4.1%
SP500 Equal Wg Warn! SELL 22 +6.5% +3.3% BUY 57 +5.5% -0.0%
NDX Equal Weig Warn! SELL 15 +3.4% +0.1% BUY 61 +8.9% +4.7%
DJ Transports Warn! SELL 15 +4.6% -1.1% BUY 28 +0.2% -3.8%
DJ Sel Dividen SELL 20 +5.1% +2.3% SELL 274 +48.9% +29.5%
InvesTop CrpB BUY 7 +0.7% +0.5% BUY 28 +2.3% +2.2%
Mini Bond iShr Warn! SELL 35 +3.3% +2.4% BUY 228 +7.3% +4.5%
T-Bond 1-3 Yr BUY 7 +0.2% +0.2% BUY 1566 +21.3% +20.9%
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr Warn! BUY 13 +1.3% +1.1% SELL 22 +0.2% -2.9%
T-Bond 20+ Yr Warn! BUY 14 +2.6% +2.4% SELL 63 +10.7% +4.2%
TIPS Bond iShr BUY 5 +0.7% +0.7% BUY 195 +2.1% +1.9%
High Yield Bon Warn! SELL 25 +1.9% -0.1% BUY 75 +13.7% +12.4%
Aerospace/Def SELL 15 +7.2% +5.7% SELL 7 +1.7% +0.1%
Agribusiness SELL 25 +11.5% +7.2% SELL 13 +3.5% -1.2%
Bank Regional SELL 47 +5.7% +0.6% SELL 49 +6.8% +1.8%
Biotech iShare BUY 64 +11.4% +11.1% BUY 27 +3.8% +3.5%
Broker/Dealer SELL 18 +8.9% +2.7% SELL 8 0.0% -6.8%
Broadband HLDR Warn! SELL 14 +0.3% -3.0% BUY 32 +7.5% +4.8%
Commodity iSha SELL 12 +5.8% +3.3% SELL 326 +62.6% +49.1%
Consumer Disc Warn! SELL 20 +7.5% +3.9% BUY 67 +7.2% +1.3%
Consumer iShar Warn! SELL 48 +0.7% -2.4% BUY 61 +4.4% -0.2%
Consumer Non-C Warn! SELL 18 +3.7% +1.5% BUY 35 +3.9% +1.0%
Consumer Stpl Warn! SELL 19 +3.0% +1.5% BUY 29 +1.0% -2.5%
Crude Oil ETF SELL 11 +4.5% +0.1% SELL 301 +74.4% +57.5%
Energy SPDR SELL 14 +8.3% +5.8% SELL 8 0.0% -2.8%
Financial SPDR SELL 46 +1.7% -3.6% SELL 607 +80.0% +61.0%
Gold Warn! SELL 19 +3.4% +2.7% BUY 40 +2.7% -2.8%
Gold Miners Warn! SELL 21 +13.0% +8.0% BUY 67 +28.6% +9.2%
Health Care SP BUY 5 +0.6% -0.2% BUY 5 +0.6% -0.2%
Healthcare Prv BUY 1 0.0% -0.1% BUY 54 +3.0% +2.4%
Home Const iSh SELL 50 +14.7% +9.8% SELL 49 +11.9% +6.9%
Industrial SPD SELL 18 +9.9% +6.9% SELL 7 0.0% -3.3%
Insurance iSha SELL 40 +4.0% -0.1% SELL 601 +73.6% +55.8%
Internet HLDRs Warn! SELL 15 +6.4% +0.9% BUY 82 +15.4% +11.3%
Materials SPDR SELL 47 +3.9% -0.2% SELL 8 0.0% -4.2%
Medical Dev iS BUY 1 0.0% -0.7% BUY 28 +1.5% +0.8%
Natural Gas SELL 6 +1.4% +1.4% SELL 343 +72.6% +70.8%
Natural Res iS SELL 20 +12.8% +8.8% SELL 11 +5.6% +1.3%
Network iShare Warn! SELL 15 +6.1% +0.6% BUY 75 +22.1% +17.1%
Oil Svc HLDRs SELL 15 +12.5% +10.1% SELL 12 +7.2% +4.6%
Oil/Gas Expl i SELL 22 +13.0% +9.8% SELL 12 +8.3% +5.0%
Pharmacutical BUY 5 +0.8% +0.4% BUY 11 +2.3% +1.9%
Real Estate iS SELL 21 +11.4% +6.1% SELL 274 +61.4% +41.6%
Retail Holders Warn! SELL 19 +4.3% +1.9% BUY 89 +5.2% +0.2%
Semiconductor Warn! SELL 13 +5.2% +1.2% BUY 34 +8.6% +3.3%
Silver ETF Warn! SELL 18 +8.5% +8.5% BUY 56 +19.9% +1.8%
Software iShar Warn! SELL 14 +2.2% -1.3% BUY 67 +9.1% +6.4%
Technology SPD Warn! SELL 14 +1.6% -1.4% BUY 60 +5.4% +4.2%
Telecom iShare Warn! SELL 46 +2.9% -2.7% BUY 57 +1.8% -1.1%
Utilities SPDR Warn! BUY 1 0.0% -0.8% SELL 333 +38.0% +23.1%
Wireless HLDRs Warn! SELL 15 +3.3% +0.3% BUY 60 +9.4% +4.9%
Australian Dol Warn! SELL 22 0.0% -2.4% BUY 78 +12.5% +10.5%
British Pound Warn! SELL 13 +0.3% -0.4% BUY 40 +4.6% +3.8%
Euro Currency Warn! SELL 19 +2.2% +0.5% BUY 40 +3.0% +0.9%
Japanese Yen Warn! BUY 8 +0.7% -0.5% SELL 124 +2.7% -2.0%
US Dollar Inde Warn! BUY 21 +2.4% +0.2% SELL 39 +2.0% +0.1%
Australia iShr Warn! SELL 14 +3.8% -0.8% BUY 57 +14.2% +7.8%
Brazil iShares Warn! SELL 21 +10.8% +4.6% BUY 60 +23.9% +14.2%
China 25 iShar Warn! SELL 15 +5.5% -1.2% BUY 82 +26.0% +21.5%
Canada iShares SELL 21 +10.9% +6.8% SELL 8 0.0% -4.6%
EAFE Index iSh Warn! SELL 22 +3.8% +0.9% BUY 41 +6.3% +1.4%
Emerging Mkts Warn! SELL 22 +7.5% +1.8% BUY 61 +20.8% +13.3%
EMU iShares SELL 22 +6.0% +1.6% SELL 8 0.0% -4.6%
France iShares SELL 21 +7.1% +4.4% SELL 8 0.0% -3.0%
Germany iShare SELL 21 +7.6% +3.9% SELL 8 0.0% -4.1%
HongKong iShar Warn! SELL 19 +7.4% +2.8% BUY 67 +23.7% +17.9%
India ETN Warn! SELL 18 +11.2% +5.8% BUY 57 +31.4% +21.5%
Japan iShares Warn! SELL 26 +1.3% -1.0% BUY 41 +4.0% +2.7%
Malaysia iShar Warn! SELL 22 +4.5% -0.5% BUY 68 +14.9% +13.1%
Mexico iShares Warn! SELL 34 +4.3% -1.5% BUY 55 +5.3% +3.1%
Russia ETF SELL 21 +16.3% +10.4% SELL 12 +8.6% +2.2%
Singapore iShr Warn! SELL 22 +6.6% +2.0% BUY 57 +19.4% +13.0%
South Africa Warn! SELL 22 +7.6% -2.3% BUY 88 +22.8% +20.7%
South Korea iS Warn! SELL 48 +3.3% 0.0% BUY 61 +9.4% +2.3%
Switzerland iS Warn! SELL 25 +2.7% -0.2% BUY 42 +4.2% +1.1%
Taiwan iShares Warn! SELL 47 +5.9% +0.2% BUY 78 +25.3% +10.9%
United Kgdm iS Warn! SELL 25 +2.6% +0.2% BUY 41 +7.1% +1.4%
Average 21 +5.1% +1.9% 99 +13.0% +7.6%
*****************************************************************************
EXPLANATION OF TABLE HEADINGS
Close Price: The last price at which the security traded today.
% Change: Percentage that price has changed from prior day's close.
PMO Rank: Shows the rank of the PMO in relation to the other securities
in the list.
5 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) in the last 5 days.
15 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) in the last 15 days.
YTD Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) since the beginning of the year.
Signl: The signal designations of BUY and SELL indicate the current
direction of momentum and are not an indication that continuous buying or
selling should take place. Signals that are a few days or weeks old give the
best indication that profitable action MIGHT be taken.
Signal Flag: When the PMO signal disagrees with the PMM signal, the flag
will be "Warn!" On the day the PMO signal changes back into agreement
with the PMM signal, the flag will remind that new positions may be
considered by indicating "Buy?" or "Sell?"
Cal Days Elap: Indicates the number of calendar days that have elapsed since
the current signal was initiated.
High P/L: Highest profit or least loss experienced since the current signal
was initiated. On the first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the
closing P/L for the prior signal.
Today P/L: Profit or loss for the signal since it was initiated. On the
first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the closing P/L for the prior
signal.
STOP: The price at which the mechanical PMM signal will reverse.
Price Rel to Stop: This column shows the relationship of the current price
to the price at which the signal will change. (i.e. +5.3% means the current
price is 5.3% above the signal change price.
PMO R/F Days: The direction of the PMO (rising/falling) and number of
calendar days trend has been effect.
The Hot/Cold grouping ranks securities/indexes into six (6) groups ranging
from 1 (Hot) to 6 (Cold) according to price strength, internal strength,
and relative strength. We can quickly assess the condition of these
elements by the group number and "blinker" fields. Moving from left to
right: The first blinker tells us if the PMO is above (+) or below (-) its
10-day exponential moving average (EMA). The second blinker indicates if
the closing price is above (+) or below (-) it's 20-DMA. The third and
fourth blinkers tell us if the PMO is rising (+) or falling (-), and if it
is above (+) or below (-) zero. The fifth blinker tells us if the 5-day PMO
rank change is positive (+), negative (-), or no change ( ). Groups 1-3
should be considered as buy candidates, 4-6 as sell candidates.
CAVEAT
We make every effort to insure the accuracy of this information, but we
cannot guarantee it. It is always possible that errors will creep in. If it
doesn't make sense, let us know about it. Also, we make every effort to upload
this data each market day, but circumstances may be such that it is not
possible due to circumstances beyond our control.
End of Daily ETF Tracker Report for Tuesday 6/30/2009
Copyright 2009 Decision Point. This publication is not to be summarized,
reproduced, or rebroadcast in any fashion without our written permission.
Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or
sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee or imply future
results.
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