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[About This Newsletter]
DECISION POINT
ETF TRACKER DAILY REPORT
Monday, 3/31/2008
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The Decision Point Spider Web Report is a daily publication specializing in
exchange traded funds (ETFs). It provides momentum analysis, strength
ranking and BUY and SELL Signals. This newsletter is included as part of a
DecisionPoint.com PRIME web site subscription.
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INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS TO ASSIST FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY SECURITY. PAST
PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
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DISTRIBUTIONS: None today.
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TODAY'S RESULTS AND PRICE CHANGE ANALYSIS
03/31 WTD MTD YTD
Close $ % Volume %Price %Price %Price
Name Sym Price Change Change X 1000 Change Change Change
---------------- ---- ------ ------ ------ --------- ------ ------ ------
Diamonds DIA 122.40 +0.17 +0.1% 11653.4 +0.1% -0.3% -7%
Nasdaq 100 Shrs QQQQ 43.72 +0.23 +0.5% 113121.9 +0.5% +1.8% -15%
SP500 LgCap SPDR SPY 131.97 +0.46 +0.3% 165794.8 +0.4% -0.9% -9%
SP100 iSh OEF 61.35 +0.23 +0.4% 4635.3 +0.4% -0.7% -11%
SP500 LgCp Grwth IVW 62.70 +0.30 +0.5% 1078.0 +0.5% -0.7% -10%
SP500 LgCp Value IVE 69.24 +0.40 +0.6% 526.2 +0.6% -1.4% -9%
SP400 MidCp SPDR MDY 141.16 +0.42 +0.3% 4515.7 +0.3% -1.9% -9%
SP400 MdCp Grwth IJK 81.51 +0.73 +0.9% 69.9 +0.9% -1.5% -9%
SP400 MdCp Value IJJ 73.03 +1.08 +1.5% 53.5 +1.5% -0.3% -8%
SP600 SmlCp iSh IJR 59.93 +0.23 +0.4% 2690.2 +0.4% -0.2% -8%
SP600 SmCp Grwth IJT 123.64 +1.36 +1.1% 150.1 +1.1% -0.1% -8%
SP600 SmCp Value IJS 65.44 +0.65 +1.0% 125.7 +1.0% +0.8% -7%
Russell 2000 iSh IWM 68.29 +0.10 +0.1% 64187.2 +0.1% -0.8% -10%
Rus2000 Grwth iS IWO 72.45 -1.03 -1.4% 2030.6 -1.4% -1.1% -13%
Rus2000 Value iS IWN 65.57 +0.14 +0.2% 1218.8 +0.2% -0.1% -7%
SP500 Equal Wght RSP 42.81 +0.08 +0.2% 1305.2 +0.2% -1.9% -9%
NDX Equal Weight QQEW 19.23 +0.18 +0.9% 2.0 +0.9% -0.9% -13%
DJ Sel Dividend DVY 57.87 +0.20 +0.3% 1077.6 +0.3% -2.2% -10%
InvesTop CrpB iS LQD 105.20 +0.28 +0.3% 435.1 +0.3% -1.0% 0%
T-Bond 1-3 Yr iS SHY 84.24 +0.02 0.0% 474.3 0.0% +0.1% +2%
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr iS IEF 91.69 +0.16 +0.2% 431.0 +0.2% +1.0% +5%
T-Bond 20+ Yr iS TLT 95.89 +0.34 +0.4% 2546.3 +0.4% +1.8% +3%
TIPS Bond iShrs TIP 109.90 +0.26 +0.2% 1296.4 +0.2% -0.6% +4%
Aerospace/Def iS ITA 59.07 +0.10 +0.2% 76.0 +0.2% -2.0% -13%
Bank Regional HL RKH 118.01 -0.15 -0.1% 752.0 -0.1% -2.0% -8%
Biotech iShares IBB 75.78 +1.25 +1.7% 1180.8 +1.7% -0.6% -7%
Broker/Dealer iS IAI 37.26 +0.33 +0.9% 1432.4 +0.9% -10.9% -27%
Broadband HLDRs BDH 12.33 +0.17 +1.4% 80.8 +1.4% -3.1% -11%
Commodity iShare GSG 57.86 -1.40 -2.4% 174.6 -2.4% -0.9% +10%
Consumer Disc SP XLY 30.72 +0.19 +0.6% 5190.8 +0.6% -1.8% -6%
Consumer iShares IYC 57.54 +0.65 +1.1% 74.3 +1.1% -1.3% -7%
Consumer Non-Cyc IYK 60.58 +0.20 +0.3% 17.7 +0.3% +1.6% -5%
Consumer Stpl SP XLP 27.86 -0.02 -0.1% 2037.8 -0.1% +3.2% -3%
Crude Oil ETF USO 81.36 -3.01 -3.6% 7804.0 -3.6% +1.2% +7%
Energy SPDR XLE 74.06 +0.66 +0.9% 21926.1 +0.9% -2.3% -6%
Financial SPDR XLF 24.87 +0.22 +0.9% 87802.4 +0.9% -2.9% -13%
Gold GLD 90.41 -1.47 -1.6% 11154.5 -1.6% -6.0% +10%
Gold Miners GDX 47.70 -1.38 -2.8% 2756.2 -2.8% -10.2% +4%
Health Care SPDR XLV 31.17 -0.16 -0.5% 3496.8 -0.5% -4.5% -11%
Healthcare Prv IHF 47.06 +0.03 +0.1% 34.7 +0.1% -14.2% -26%
Home Const iShrs ITB 20.09 +0.66 +3.4% 881.1 +3.4% +8.6% +14%
Industrial SPDR XLI 37.40 +0.56 +1.5% 4198.9 +1.5% +3.6% -4%
Insurance iShare IAK 42.47 +0.49 +1.2% 2.7 +1.2% -1.6% -14%
Internet HLDRs HHH 55.09 +0.30 +0.5% 286.9 +0.5% +5.2% -7%
Intnet Arch HLDR IAH 45.85 +0.19 +0.4% 9.9 +0.4% +0.1% -10%
Intnet Infra HLD IIH 5.36 -0.01 -0.2% 12.1 -0.2% -5.1% -3%
Materials SPDR XLB 40.17 -0.05 -0.1% 12262.0 -0.1% -1.4% -3%
Medical Dev iShr IHI 56.80 +0.26 +0.5% 13.7 +0.5% -1.1% -6%
Natural Gas UNG 48.50 +1.01 +2.1% 1433.6 +2.1% +6.4% +34%
Natural Res iShr IGE 127.72 +0.19 +0.1% 87.3 +0.1% -3.7% -5%
Network iShares IGN 27.24 +0.08 +0.3% 59.9 +0.3% -3.4% -20%
Oil Svc HLDRs OIH 176.80 +2.64 +1.5% 8106.7 +1.5% +0.3% -6%
Oil/Gas Expl iSh IEO 68.95 +0.49 +0.7% 28.1 +0.7% -1.8% +4%
Pharmacutical HL PPH 69.74 -1.37 -1.9% 982.0 -1.9% -3.8% -11%
Real Estate iShr IYR 65.10 +0.43 +0.7% 6473.9 +0.7% +3.3% -1%
Retail Holders RTH 91.65 +0.75 +0.8% 4557.8 +0.8% +2.4% -1%
Semiconductor iS IGW 49.56 +0.53 +1.1% 159.9 +1.1% -1.3% -17%
Silver ETF SLV 170.41 -7.09 -4.0% 1595.2 -4.0% -13.4% +16%
Software iShares IGV 44.82 +0.01 0.0% 200.8 0.0% +0.5% -13%
Technology SPDR XLK 22.40 -0.03 -0.1% 5812.0 -0.1% +1.2% -16%
Telecom iShares IYZ 23.37 +0.30 +1.3% 192.5 +1.3% -1.0% -21%
Utilities SPDR XLU 37.94 +0.31 +0.8% 3925.2 +0.8% +1.6% -10%
Wireless HLDRs WMH 60.20 +0.07 +0.1% 3000.0 +0.1% -3.1% -17%
Australia iShrs EWA 25.76 -0.02 -0.1% 1307.1 -0.1% -2.9% -11%
Brazil iShares EWZ 77.03 +0.16 +0.2% 9703.5 +0.2% -7.8% -5%
China 25 iShares FXI 135.14 -1.75 -1.3% 4412.5 -1.3% -6.9% -21%
Canada iShares EWC 30.31 +0.05 +0.2% 1227.9 +0.2% -5.3% -6%
EAFE Index iShrs EFA 71.90 +0.26 +0.4% 15065.4 +0.4% +0.4% -8%
Emerging Mkts iS EEM 134.38 +0.79 +0.6% 17069.2 +0.6% -3.8% -11%
EMU iShares EZU 108.80 +0.83 +0.8% 348.5 +0.8% +2.5% -9%
Euro Currency iS FXE 158.29 -0.21 -0.1% 635.0 -0.1% +3.9% +8%
France iShares EWQ 34.94 +0.44 +1.3% 256.3 +1.3% +3.0% -8%
Germany iShares EWG 31.51 +0.19 +0.6% 1117.4 +0.6% +1.7% -11%
HongKong iShares EWH 17.95 -0.07 -0.4% 3746.2 -0.4% -2.8% -18%
Japan iShares EWJ 12.37 -0.09 -0.7% 13822.3 -0.7% -1.3% -7%
Malaysia iShares EWM 11.85 +0.18 +1.5% 2156.1 +1.5% -5.4% -7%
Mexico iShares EWW 59.10 +1.46 +2.5% 3172.5 +2.5% +6.3% +6%
Singapore iShrs EWS 12.77 0.00 0.0% 3723.1 0.0% +5.1% -7%
South Korea iShr EWY 55.79 +0.65 +1.2% 2949.3 +1.2% -2.0% -14%
Switzerland iShr EWL 25.88 +0.28 +1.1% 109.2 +1.1% +1.8% 0%
Taiwan iShares EWT 15.85 -0.04 -0.3% 15001.5 -0.3% +2.7% +5%
United Kgdm iShr EWU 21.56 +0.11 +0.5% 593.2 +0.5% -1.6% -10%
Average +0.3% +0.3% -1.1% -6%
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ETFs SORTED BY TODAY'S PERCENTAGE CHANGE
03/31 WTD MTD YTD
Close $ % Volume %Price %Price %Price
Name Sym Price Change Change X 1000 Change Change Change
---------------- ---- ------ ------ ------ --------- ------ ------ ------
Home Const iShrs ITB 20.09 +0.66 +3.4% 881.1 +3.4% +8.6% +14%
Mexico iShares EWW 59.10 +1.46 +2.5% 3172.5 +2.5% +6.3% +6%
Natural Gas UNG 48.50 +1.01 +2.1% 1433.6 +2.1% +6.4% +34%
Biotech iShares IBB 75.78 +1.25 +1.7% 1180.8 +1.7% -0.6% -7%
SP400 MdCp Value IJJ 73.03 +1.08 +1.5% 53.5 +1.5% -0.3% -8%
Industrial SPDR XLI 37.40 +0.56 +1.5% 4198.9 +1.5% +3.6% -4%
Oil Svc HLDRs OIH 176.80 +2.64 +1.5% 8106.7 +1.5% +0.3% -6%
Malaysia iShares EWM 11.85 +0.18 +1.5% 2156.1 +1.5% -5.4% -7%
Broadband HLDRs BDH 12.33 +0.17 +1.4% 80.8 +1.4% -3.1% -11%
Telecom iShares IYZ 23.37 +0.30 +1.3% 192.5 +1.3% -1.0% -21%
France iShares EWQ 34.94 +0.44 +1.3% 256.3 +1.3% +3.0% -8%
Insurance iShare IAK 42.47 +0.49 +1.2% 2.7 +1.2% -1.6% -14%
South Korea iShr EWY 55.79 +0.65 +1.2% 2949.3 +1.2% -2.0% -14%
SP600 SmCp Grwth IJT 123.64 +1.36 +1.1% 150.1 +1.1% -0.1% -8%
Consumer iShares IYC 57.54 +0.65 +1.1% 74.3 +1.1% -1.3% -7%
Semiconductor iS IGW 49.56 +0.53 +1.1% 159.9 +1.1% -1.3% -17%
Switzerland iShr EWL 25.88 +0.28 +1.1% 109.2 +1.1% +1.8% 0%
SP600 SmCp Value IJS 65.44 +0.65 +1.0% 125.7 +1.0% +0.8% -7%
SP400 MdCp Grwth IJK 81.51 +0.73 +0.9% 69.9 +0.9% -1.5% -9%
NDX Equal Weight QQEW 19.23 +0.18 +0.9% 2.0 +0.9% -0.9% -13%
Broker/Dealer iS IAI 37.26 +0.33 +0.9% 1432.4 +0.9% -10.9% -27%
Energy SPDR XLE 74.06 +0.66 +0.9% 21926.1 +0.9% -2.3% -6%
Financial SPDR XLF 24.87 +0.22 +0.9% 87802.4 +0.9% -2.9% -13%
Retail Holders RTH 91.65 +0.75 +0.8% 4557.8 +0.8% +2.4% -1%
Utilities SPDR XLU 37.94 +0.31 +0.8% 3925.2 +0.8% +1.6% -10%
EMU iShares EZU 108.80 +0.83 +0.8% 348.5 +0.8% +2.5% -9%
Oil/Gas Expl iSh IEO 68.95 +0.49 +0.7% 28.1 +0.7% -1.8% +4%
Real Estate iShr IYR 65.10 +0.43 +0.7% 6473.9 +0.7% +3.3% -1%
SP500 LgCp Value IVE 69.24 +0.40 +0.6% 526.2 +0.6% -1.4% -9%
Consumer Disc SP XLY 30.72 +0.19 +0.6% 5190.8 +0.6% -1.8% -6%
Emerging Mkts iS EEM 134.38 +0.79 +0.6% 17069.2 +0.6% -3.8% -11%
Germany iShares EWG 31.51 +0.19 +0.6% 1117.4 +0.6% +1.7% -11%
Nasdaq 100 Shrs QQQQ 43.72 +0.23 +0.5% 113121.9 +0.5% +1.8% -15%
SP500 LgCp Grwth IVW 62.70 +0.30 +0.5% 1078.0 +0.5% -0.7% -10%
Internet HLDRs HHH 55.09 +0.30 +0.5% 286.9 +0.5% +5.2% -7%
Medical Dev iShr IHI 56.80 +0.26 +0.5% 13.7 +0.5% -1.1% -6%
United Kgdm iShr EWU 21.56 +0.11 +0.5% 593.2 +0.5% -1.6% -10%
SP100 iSh OEF 61.35 +0.23 +0.4% 4635.3 +0.4% -0.7% -11%
SP600 SmlCp iSh IJR 59.93 +0.23 +0.4% 2690.2 +0.4% -0.2% -8%
T-Bond 20+ Yr iS TLT 95.89 +0.34 +0.4% 2546.3 +0.4% +1.8% +3%
Intnet Arch HLDR IAH 45.85 +0.19 +0.4% 9.9 +0.4% +0.1% -10%
EAFE Index iShrs EFA 71.90 +0.26 +0.4% 15065.4 +0.4% +0.4% -8%
SP500 LgCap SPDR SPY 131.97 +0.46 +0.3% 165794.8 +0.4% -0.9% -9%
SP400 MidCp SPDR MDY 141.16 +0.42 +0.3% 4515.7 +0.3% -1.9% -9%
DJ Sel Dividend DVY 57.87 +0.20 +0.3% 1077.6 +0.3% -2.2% -10%
InvesTop CrpB iS LQD 105.20 +0.28 +0.3% 435.1 +0.3% -1.0% 0%
Consumer Non-Cyc IYK 60.58 +0.20 +0.3% 17.7 +0.3% +1.6% -5%
Network iShares IGN 27.24 +0.08 +0.3% 59.9 +0.3% -3.4% -20%
Rus2000 Value iS IWN 65.57 +0.14 +0.2% 1218.8 +0.2% -0.1% -7%
SP500 Equal Wght RSP 42.81 +0.08 +0.2% 1305.2 +0.2% -1.9% -9%
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr iS IEF 91.69 +0.16 +0.2% 431.0 +0.2% +1.0% +5%
TIPS Bond iShrs TIP 109.90 +0.26 +0.2% 1296.4 +0.2% -0.6% +4%
Aerospace/Def iS ITA 59.07 +0.10 +0.2% 76.0 +0.2% -2.0% -13%
Brazil iShares EWZ 77.03 +0.16 +0.2% 9703.5 +0.2% -7.8% -5%
Canada iShares EWC 30.31 +0.05 +0.2% 1227.9 +0.2% -5.3% -6%
Diamonds DIA 122.40 +0.17 +0.1% 11653.4 +0.1% -0.3% -7%
Russell 2000 iSh IWM 68.29 +0.10 +0.1% 64187.2 +0.1% -0.8% -10%
Healthcare Prv IHF 47.06 +0.03 +0.1% 34.7 +0.1% -14.2% -26%
Natural Res iShr IGE 127.72 +0.19 +0.1% 87.3 +0.1% -3.7% -5%
Wireless HLDRs WMH 60.20 +0.07 +0.1% 3000.0 +0.1% -3.1% -17%
T-Bond 1-3 Yr iS SHY 84.24 +0.02 0.0% 474.3 0.0% +0.1% +2%
Software iShares IGV 44.82 +0.01 0.0% 200.8 0.0% +0.5% -13%
Singapore iShrs EWS 12.77 0.00 0.0% 3723.1 0.0% +5.1% -7%
Bank Regional HL RKH 118.01 -0.15 -0.1% 752.0 -0.1% -2.0% -8%
Consumer Stpl SP XLP 27.86 -0.02 -0.1% 2037.8 -0.1% +3.2% -3%
Materials SPDR XLB 40.17 -0.05 -0.1% 12262.0 -0.1% -1.4% -3%
Technology SPDR XLK 22.40 -0.03 -0.1% 5812.0 -0.1% +1.2% -16%
Australia iShrs EWA 25.76 -0.02 -0.1% 1307.1 -0.1% -2.9% -11%
Euro Currency iS FXE 158.29 -0.21 -0.1% 635.0 -0.1% +3.9% +8%
Intnet Infra HLD IIH 5.36 -0.01 -0.2% 12.1 -0.2% -5.1% -3%
Taiwan iShares EWT 15.85 -0.04 -0.3% 15001.5 -0.3% +2.7% +5%
HongKong iShares EWH 17.95 -0.07 -0.4% 3746.2 -0.4% -2.8% -18%
Health Care SPDR XLV 31.17 -0.16 -0.5% 3496.8 -0.5% -4.5% -11%
Japan iShares EWJ 12.37 -0.09 -0.7% 13822.3 -0.7% -1.3% -7%
China 25 iShares FXI 135.14 -1.75 -1.3% 4412.5 -1.3% -6.9% -21%
Rus2000 Grwth iS IWO 72.45 -1.03 -1.4% 2030.6 -1.4% -1.1% -13%
Gold GLD 90.41 -1.47 -1.6% 11154.5 -1.6% -6.0% +10%
Pharmacutical HL PPH 69.74 -1.37 -1.9% 982.0 -1.9% -3.8% -11%
Commodity iShare GSG 57.86 -1.40 -2.4% 174.6 -2.4% -0.9% +10%
Gold Miners GDX 47.70 -1.38 -2.8% 2756.2 -2.8% -10.2% +4%
Crude Oil ETF USO 81.36 -3.01 -3.6% 7804.0 -3.6% +1.2% +7%
Silver ETF SLV 170.41 -7.09 -4.0% 1595.2 -4.0% -13.4% +16%
Average +0.3% +0.3% -1.1% -6%
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ETFs SORTED BY PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR (PMO) RANK
This section ranks the securities based on Decision Point's proprietary
PMO, a measure of internal and relative strength.
|-RankChg| |--% Price Change-| Hot/Cold PMO
PMO 5 15 On 5 15 Group & Xover
Name/Symbol Rank Day Day 03/31 Day Day Blinkers Sgnl/Days
--------------------- --- --- --- ----- ---- ---- |---------|---------
Natural Gas UNG 1 0 +1 +2.1% +6% +2% 4 -+ ++ SELL 13
Home Const iShrs ITB 2 +4 +10 +3.4% -4% +20% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 11
Taiwan iShares EWT 3 +1 +5 -0.3% -8% 0% 3 ++ -+ + BUY 7
Crude Oil ETF USO 4 -2 0 -3.6% +1% -3% 5 -- -+ - SELL 11
Commodity iShare GSG 5 0 -2 -2.4% +2% -3% 5 -- -+ SELL 12
Euro Currency iS FXE 6 +2 +9 -0.1% +2% +3% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 39
Silver ETF SLV 7 -4 -6 -4.0% +2% -15% 5 -- -+ - SELL 13
Oil/Gas Expl iSh IEO 8 +1 -1 +0.7% +4% +1% 4 -+ ++ + SELL 17
Mexico iShares EWW 9 +4 +9 +2.5% +3% +9% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 6
Real Estate iShr IYR 10 +6 +26 +0.7% -4% +8% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 13
Gold GLD 11 -4 -5 -1.6% 0% -6% 5 -- -+ - SELL 13
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr iS IEF 12 -1 +8 +0.2% +1% +1% 3 ++ -+ - BUY 28
Switzerland iShr EWL 13 +5 +9 +1.1% +3% +4% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 40
T-Bond 20+ Yr iS TLT 14 -2 +10 +0.4% +1% +4% 2 ++ ++ - BUY 21
Oil Svc HLDRs OIH 15 +6 -1 +1.5% +6% +2% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 3
Intnet Arch HLDR IAH 16 -1 +9 +0.4% -3% +1% 3 +- -+ - BUY 48
Singapore iShrs EWS 17 +21 +36 0.0% +1% +8% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 11
Consumer Stpl SP XLP 18 +6 +9 -0.1% 0% +3% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 12
Retail Holders RTH 19 +7 +9 +0.8% -4% +4% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 11
TIPS Bond iShrs TIP 20 -6 -1 +0.2% +1% -1% 4 -+ ++ - SELL 11
Industrial SPDR XLI 21 +6 +8 +1.5% 0% +5% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 13
T-Bond 1-3 Yr iS SHY 22 -5 -1 +0.0% 0% 0% 4 -+ -+ - SELL 12
Internet HLDRs HHH 22 +11 +27 +0.6% -1% +6% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 11
Energy SPDR XLE 24 -4 -13 +0.9% +3% +1% 4 -+ ++ - SELL 17
Materials SPDR XLB 25 0 -8 -0.1% +1% +2% 5 -- -+ SELL 24
Natural Res iShr IGE 26 -7 -16 +0.2% +3% -2% 5 -- -+ - SELL 14
France iShares EWQ 27 +8 +16 +1.3% +3% +5% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 45
Intnet Infra HLD IIH 28 -5 -15 -0.2% -4% -3% 5 -- -+ - SELL 26
Gold Miners GDX 29 -19 -24 -2.8% +2% -11% 5 -- -+ - SELL 12
Consumer Non-Cyc IYK 30 -2 +3 +0.3% -1% +3% 2 ++ +- - BUY 12
EMU iShares EZU 31 +8 +19 +0.8% +3% +5% 2 ++ +- + BUY 46
SP600 SmCp Value IJS 32 0 +6 +1.0% -3% +4% 2 ++ +- BUY 11
Rus2000 Value iS IWN 33 +1 +18 +0.2% -3% +4% 3 +- +- + BUY 11
InvesTop CrpB iS LQD 34 -5 -11 +0.3% +1% +1% 2 ++ +- - BUY 7
Diamonds DIA 35 -4 +4 +0.1% -2% +3% 3 +- +- - BUY 13
Brazil iShares EWZ 36 -14 -27 +0.2% +2% -5% 6 -- -- - SELL 21
Japan iShares EWJ 37 +9 0 -0.7% 0% +3% 2 ++ +- + BUY 7
SP600 SmlCp iSh IJR 38 +3 +7 +0.4% -3% +3% 3 +- +- + BUY 7
EAFE Index iShrs EFA 39 +4 +3 +0.4% +2% +3% 2 ++ +- + BUY 7
Germany iShares EWG 40 +9 +16 +0.6% +2% +4% 2 ++ +- + BUY 7
Canada iShares EWC 41 -11 -25 +0.2% +2% -2% 6 -- -- - SELL 21
Consumer Disc SP XLY 42 -6 -12 +0.6% -5% +2% 3 +- -- - BUY 7
SP600 SmCp Grwth IJT 43 +12 +5 +1.1% -1% +3% 2 ++ +- + BUY 7
Medical Dev iShr IHI 44 +3 -12 +0.5% 0% +2% 2 ++ +- + BUY 6
SP500 LgCp Grwth IVW 45 -5 +2 +0.5% -2% +2% 3 +- +- - BUY 11
Russell 2000 iSh IWM 46 +13 +14 +0.2% -2% +4% 3 +- +- + BUY 11
Bank Regional HL RKH 47 -10 +19 -0.1% -8% +3% 3 +- -- - BUY 11
SP400 MdCp Grwth IJK 48 +2 -17 +0.9% -1% +2% 2 ++ +- + BUY 6
Nasdaq 100 Shrs QQQQ 49 +14 +25 +0.5% -2% +4% 2 ++ +- + BUY 20
SP500 LgCap SPDR SPY 49 -4 +3 +0.4% -2% +2% 3 +- +- - BUY 11
Consumer iShares IYC 51 -9 -17 +1.1% -4% +2% 3 +- +- - BUY 7
SP400 MidCp SPDR MDY 52 0 -17 +0.3% -1% +2% 3 +- +- BUY 6
SP400 MdCp Value IJJ 53 0 -7 +1.5% -1% +3% 2 ++ +- BUY 7
Technology SPDR XLK 54 +3 +19 -0.1% -3% +2% 3 +- +- + BUY 47
SP500 Equal Wght RSP 55 -7 -14 +0.2% -3% +1% 3 +- +- - BUY 7
SP100 iSh OEF 56 -12 +5 +0.4% -3% +2% 3 +- +- - BUY 13
Software iShares IGV 57 -1 +11 +0.0% -3% +2% 3 +- +- - BUY 13
United Kgdm iShr EWU 58 0 -18 +0.5% +1% 0% 2 ++ +- BUY 5
Rus2000 Grwth iS IWO 59 +7 +10 -1.4% -2% +3% 3 +- +- + BUY 7
SP500 LgCp Value IVE 60 -6 -2 +0.6% -4% +2% 3 +- +- - BUY 11
Semiconductor iS IGW 61 -10 +3 +1.1% -4% +1% 3 +- -- - BUY 19
Emerging Mkts iS EEM 62 -1 -36 +0.6% +1% +1% 3 +- +- - BUY 3
NDX Equal Weight QQEW 63 +1 +2 +0.9% -3% +1% 3 +- +- + BUY 7
Biotech iShares IBB 64 +7 +3 +1.7% +1% +4% 2 ++ +- + BUY 7
Utilities SPDR XLU 65 -3 -2 +0.8% +1% +1% 2 ++ +- - BUY 13
DJ Sel Dividend DVY 66 -6 +4 +0.4% -5% +1% 3 +- -- - BUY 11
Australia iShrs EWA 67 +1 -23 -0.1% +1% +2% 3 +- +- + BUY 5
Aerospace/Def iS ITA 68 -1 -9 +0.2% -1% 0% 3 +- +- - BUY 6
Financial SPDR XLF 69 0 +9 +0.9% -7% +3% 3 +- +- BUY 11
Pharmacutical HL PPH 70 -5 +1 -1.9% -3% 0% 3 +- -- - BUY 12
Insurance iShare IAK 71 -1 +4 +1.2% -2% +3% 3 +- +- - BUY 11
Broadband HLDRs BDH 72 +1 -15 +1.4% +1% +1% 2 ++ +- + BUY 6
South Korea iShr EWY 73 +2 -18 +1.2% +2% +1% 2 ++ +- + BUY 5
Wireless HLDRs WMH 74 +2 -2 +0.1% +2% +2% 2 ++ +- + BUY 6
Network iShares IGN 75 -1 +2 +0.3% -3% +1% 3 +- +- - BUY 7
Health Care SPDR XLV 76 -4 -14 -0.5% -1% -1% 3 +- +- - BUY 6
Malaysia iShares EWM 77 +1 -23 +1.5% +3% -1% 2 ++ +- + BUY 4
HongKong iShares EWH 78 -1 +2 -0.4% +3% +3% 2 ++ +- - BUY 6
Telecom iShares IYZ 79 0 +3 +1.3% -2% +1% 2 ++ +- BUY 11
China 25 iShares FXI 80 0 -4 -1.3% +5% -1% 3 +- +- BUY 3
Broker/Dealer iS IAI 81 0 0 +0.9% -7% -6% 3 +- -- BUY 6
Healthcare Prv IHF 82 0 -3 +0.1% -1% -11% 4 -- +- SELL 32
****************************************************************************
PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) CROSSOVER SIGNALS
The PMO generates a BUY or SELL Signals when it crosses up or down through
its 10-DMA. These signals tend to be short-term in duration, but they can
last for several weeks. Do not take them at face value because they can
whipsaw quite a bit. They should be used to alert you to possible trading
opportunities not used as a mechanical trading model. Always check our daily
stock charts to verify the price pattern and the configuration of the PMO.
Signals are best when price appears extended, is near support or resistance,
and the PMO is very overbought or oversold. These signals may also be used to
manage positions based on our ETF Top 5 signals or the longer-term
Price Momentum Model signals.
SUMMARY OF PMO CROSSOVER SIGNALS
ETF ETF
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 66 16
% of Total......: 80% 20%
Ave Days Elapsed: 13 17
Ave High Profit.: +2% +6%
Ave Profit......: 0% +2%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 76%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 35%
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
03/31 Cal
Close % Days High Today PMO
Name/Symbol Price Change Signl Elap P/L P/L R/F Days
--------------------- ------ ------ ----- ---- ------- ------- --------
Oil Svc HLDRs OIH 176.80 +1.5% BUY 3 1.5% 1.5% R 6
China 25 iShares FXI 135.14 -1.3% BUY 3 0.0% -1.3% R 6
Emerging Mkts iS EEM 134.38 +0.6% BUY 3 0.6% 0.6% R 7
Malaysia iShares EWM 11.85 +1.5% BUY 4 1.5% 1.5% R 11
Australia iShrs EWA 25.76 -0.1% BUY 5 0.0% -1.0% R 7
South Korea iShr EWY 55.79 +1.2% BUY 5 1.1% 1.1% R 11
United Kgdm iShr EWU 21.56 +0.5% BUY 5 0.0% -0.3% R 7
SP400 MidCp SPDR MDY 141.16 +0.3% BUY 6 0.0% -2.0% R 11
SP400 MdCp Grwth IJK 81.51 +0.9% BUY 6 0.0% -1.7% R 11
Aerospace/Def iS ITA 59.07 +0.2% BUY 6 0.0% -1.2% R 11
Broker/Dealer iS IAI 37.26 +0.9% BUY 6 0.0% -7.5% F 3
Broadband HLDRs BDH 12.33 +1.4% BUY 6 0.0% -1.8% R 7
Health Care SPDR XLV 31.17 -0.5% BUY 6 0.0% -1.2% R 13
Medical Dev iShr IHI 56.80 +0.5% BUY 6 0.0% -0.5% R 11
Wireless HLDRs WMH 60.20 +0.1% BUY 6 0.2% -0.9% R 7
HongKong iShares EWH 17.95 -0.4% BUY 6 1.4% 1.0% R 7
Mexico iShares EWW 59.10 +2.5% BUY 6 1.9% 1.9% R 7
SP400 MdCp Value IJJ 73.03 +1.5% BUY 7 0.7% -1.1% R 0
SP600 SmlCp iSh IJR 59.93 +0.4% BUY 7 0.4% -2.6% R 11
SP600 SmCp Grwth IJT 123.64 +1.1% BUY 7 0.5% -1.3% R 11
Rus2000 Grwth iS IWO 72.45 -1.4% BUY 7 0.8% -2.3% R 13
SP500 Equal Wght RSP 42.81 +0.2% BUY 7 0.5% -2.9% R 0
NDX Equal Weight QQEW 19.23 +0.9% BUY 7 0.4% -2.9% R 0
InvesTop CrpB iS LQD 105.20 +0.3% BUY 7 0.8% 0.8% R 12
Biotech iShares IBB 75.78 +1.7% BUY 7 0.9% 0.9% R 13
Consumer Disc SP XLY 30.72 +0.6% BUY 7 0.0% -4.9% F 3
Consumer iShares IYC 57.54 +1.1% BUY 7 0.0% -4.2% R 0
Network iShares IGN 27.24 +0.3% BUY 7 1.4% -2.6% R 11
EAFE Index iShrs EFA 71.90 +0.4% BUY 7 1.7% 1.7% R 7
Germany iShares EWG 31.51 +0.6% BUY 7 1.8% 1.8% R 7
Japan iShares EWJ 12.37 -0.7% BUY 7 1.0% -0.4% R 11
Taiwan iShares EWT 15.85 -0.3% BUY 7 0.0% -8.0% F 4
SP500 LgCap SPDR SPY 131.97 +0.3% BUY 11 2.1% -0.1% R 11
SP500 LgCp Grwth IVW 62.70 +0.5% BUY 11 2.0% 0.4% R 0
SP500 LgCp Value IVE 69.24 +0.6% BUY 11 1.4% -2.3% R 0
SP600 SmCp Value IJS 65.44 +1.0% BUY 11 2.9% -0.1% R 0
Russell 2000 iSh IWM 68.29 +0.1% BUY 11 4.1% 1.2% R 11
Rus2000 Value iS IWN 65.57 +0.2% BUY 11 2.9% -0.6% R 0
DJ Sel Dividend DVY 57.87 +0.3% BUY 11 1.0% -4.3% F 4
Bank Regional HL RKH 118.01 -0.1% BUY 11 0.0% -8.8% F 4
Financial SPDR XLF 24.87 +0.9% BUY 11 1.3% -5.5% R 0
Home Const iShrs ITB 20.09 +3.4% BUY 11 5.8% 1.1% R 13
Insurance iShare IAK 42.47 +1.2% BUY 11 0.9% -1.5% R 13
Internet HLDRs HHH 55.09 +0.5% BUY 11 3.4% 1.5% R 13
Retail Holders RTH 91.65 +0.8% BUY 11 2.5% -1.9% R 0
Telecom iShares IYZ 23.37 +1.3% BUY 11 3.3% 1.4% R 13
Singapore iShrs EWS 12.77 0.0% BUY 11 6.4% 5.3% R 11
Consumer Non-Cyc IYK 60.58 +0.3% BUY 12 3.0% 1.8% R 13
Consumer Stpl SP XLP 27.86 -0.1% BUY 12 2.6% 2.1% R 13
Pharmacutical HL PPH 69.74 -1.9% BUY 12 0.6% -2.0% F 0
Diamonds DIA 122.40 +0.1% BUY 13 1.3% -1.1% R 0
SP100 iSh OEF 61.35 +0.4% BUY 13 1.7% -1.5% R 0
Industrial SPDR XLI 37.40 +1.5% BUY 13 0.2% -0.6% R 13
Real Estate iShr IYR 65.10 +0.7% BUY 13 4.8% 0.4% R 0
Software iShares IGV 44.82 0.0% BUY 13 3.9% 0.3% R 13
Utilities SPDR XLU 37.94 +0.8% BUY 13 0.0% -1.0% R 7
Semiconductor iS IGW 49.56 +1.1% BUY 19 3.6% -0.5% F 4
Nasdaq 100 Shrs QQQQ 43.72 +0.5% BUY 20 4.7% 2.1% R 13
T-Bond 20+ Yr iS TLT 95.89 +0.4% BUY 21 3.8% 2.5% R 3
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr iS IEF 91.69 +0.2% BUY 28 2.5% 1.6% F 7
Euro Currency iS FXE 158.29 -0.1% BUY 39 6.9% 6.6% R 6
Switzerland iShr EWL 25.88 +1.1% BUY 40 8.2% 8.2% R 7
France iShares EWQ 34.94 +1.3% BUY 45 6.8% 5.8% R 7
EMU iShares EZU 108.80 +0.8% BUY 46 5.2% 4.1% R 7
Technology SPDR XLK 22.40 -0.1% BUY 47 0.0% -3.7% R 13
Intnet Arch HLDR IAH 45.85 +0.4% BUY 48 9.4% 5.7% F 4
TIPS Bond iShrs TIP 109.90 +0.2% SELL 11 1.9% 0.5% R 0
Crude Oil ETF USO 81.36 -3.6% SELL 11 1.3% -0.1% F 3
T-Bond 1-3 Yr iS SHY 84.24 0.0% SELL 12 0.5% 0.1% F 13
Commodity iShare GSG 57.86 -2.4% SELL 12 0.0% -3.1% F 3
Gold Miners GDX 47.70 -2.8% SELL 12 4.9% 3.4% F 13
Gold GLD 90.41 -1.6% SELL 13 6.8% 6.3% F 13
Natural Gas UNG 48.50 +2.1% SELL 13 5.1% -5.0% R 0
Silver ETF SLV 170.41 -4.0% SELL 13 13.8% 12.1% F 14
Natural Res iShr IGE 127.72 +0.1% SELL 14 3.5% -0.8% F 4
Energy SPDR XLE 74.06 +0.9% SELL 17 5.4% 0.7% R 0
Oil/Gas Expl iSh IEO 68.95 +0.7% SELL 17 6.9% 0.8% R 0
Brazil iShares EWZ 77.03 +0.2% SELL 21 4.2% 1.4% F 4
Canada iShares EWC 30.31 +0.2% SELL 21 4.1% -0.2% F 3
Materials SPDR XLB 40.17 -0.1% SELL 24 3.0% -1.8% F 0
Intnet Infra HLD IIH 5.36 -0.2% SELL 26 13.1% 5.1% F 4
Healthcare Prv IHF 47.06 +0.1% SELL 32 18.1% 16.8% R 6
Average +0.3% 13 2.7% 0.2% 7
*****************************************************************************
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
The SWENLIN PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL is intended to catch long-term price moves.
Model Signals are mechanically generated by a 200-day exponential moving
average crossover in conjunction with a 10% price move in the opposite
direction of the current signal extreme. For example, assume that the current
signal is a BUY. If the price drops 10% from the signal high, and also drops
below the 200 DMA, a SELL Signal will be generated automatically. The
MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS work best when prices are trending and changing
direction smoothly. When prices are volatile, particularly in a 10% range,
results will be extremely poor. By design, these signals will always miss at
least the first 10% of a move. Rather than wait for a signal reversal, it is
best to use trend analysis and other indicators to decide when to exit a
position. New signals should alert you to the possibility that a change in
direction is taking place. Once alerted, watch price movement and other
indicators to determine an optimum entry point, if any.
SUMMARY OF PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
ETF ETF
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 24 58
% of Total......: 29% 71%
Ave Days Elapsed: 464 119
Ave High Profit.: +22% +13%
Ave Profit......: +15% +8%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +10% -8%
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
This is a list of PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS for the ETFs we follow.
The newest signals give notice that the trend may be in the process of
making a long-term change of direction.
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
03/31 Cal Price
Close % Days High Today Rel to
Name/Symbol Price Change Sgnl Elap P/L P/L STOP Stop
--------------------- ------- ------ ---- ---- ------ ------ ------ -------
Malaysia iShares EWM 11.85 +1.5% BUY 0 0.0% -12.1% 10.67 +11.1%
Singapore iShrs EWS 12.77 0.0% BUY 6 0.0% -1.1% 11.62 +9.9%
Intnet Arch HLDR IAH 45.85 +0.4% BUY 7 0.0% -3.4% 42.71 +7.4%
Retail Holders RTH 91.65 +0.8% BUY 7 0.0% -4.3% 86.21 +6.3%
Intnet Infra HLD IIH 5.36 -0.2% BUY 13 2.7% -1.8% 5.05 +6.2%
Taiwan iShares EWT 15.85 -0.3% BUY 38 14.5% 5.3% 15.02 +5.5%
Oil Svc HLDRs OIH 176.80 +1.5% BUY 41 6.2% 2.8% 164.31 +7.6%
Natural Gas UNG 48.50 +2.1% BUY 46 17.5% 13.7% 41.19 +17.8%
Oil/Gas Expl iSh IEO 68.95 +0.7% BUY 49 11.3% 6.3% 62.18 +10.9%
Materials SPDR XLB 40.17 -0.1% BUY 59 3.8% -1.5% 38.11 +5.4%
Mexico iShares EWW 59.10 +2.5% BUY 60 7.0% 6.5% 53.44 +10.6%
Gold Miners GDX 47.70 -2.8% BUY 94 21.0% 2.3% 46.09 +3.5%
Silver ETF SLV 170.41 -4.0% BUY 196 62.3% 34.1% 153.61 +10.9%
Crude Oil ETF USO 81.36 -3.6% BUY 207 51.3% 41.2% 69.68 +16.8%
Brazil iShares EWZ 77.03 +0.2% BUY 222 55.7% 36.0% 72.25 +6.6%
Commodity iShare GSG 57.86 -2.4% BUY 339 47.1% 37.3% 50.85 +13.8%
Gold GLD 90.41 -1.6% BUY 514 59.2% 45.1% 80.94 +11.7%
T-Bond 20+ Yr iS TLT 95.89 +0.4% BUY 556 14.9% 13.4% 87.46 +9.6%
Euro Currency iS FXE 158.29 -0.1% BUY 691 24.0% 23.7% 142.85 +10.8%
TIPS Bond iShrs TIP 109.90 +0.2% BUY 1285 19.2% 17.5% 100.37 +9.5%
Consumer Stpl SP XLP 27.86 -0.1% BUY 1547 41.7% 35.3% 26.26 +6.1%
T-Bond 1-3 Yr iS SHY 84.24 0.0% BUY 1592 17.8% 17.5% 76.06 +10.8%
InvesTop CrpB iS LQD 105.20 +0.3% BUY 1778 16.2% 13.7% 96.81 +8.7%
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr iS IEF 91.69 +0.2% BUY 1778 23.4% 22.3% 83.28 +10.1%
Energy SPDR XLE 74.06 +0.9% SELL 12 0.0% -5.0% 77.55 -4.5%
Natural Res iShr IGE 127.72 +0.1% SELL 12 0.3% -4.2% 134.48 -5.0%
Canada iShares EWC 30.31 +0.2% SELL 12 0.0% -4.4% 31.92 -5.0%
Emerging Mkts iS EEM 134.38 +0.6% SELL 21 3.5% -2.6% 139.12 -3.4%
Medical Dev iShr IHI 56.80 +0.5% SELL 24 2.1% -2.5% 59.71 -4.9%
Australia iShrs EWA 25.76 -0.1% SELL 24 2.0% -2.1% 27.18 -5.2%
China 25 iShares FXI 135.14 -1.3% SELL 25 9.4% 1.0% 149.28 -9.5%
Health Care SPDR XLV 31.17 -0.5% SELL 66 7.1% 5.1% 33.93 -8.1%
Healthcare Prv IHF 47.06 +0.1% SELL 66 19.9% 18.7% 57.28 -17.8%
Biotech iShares IBB 75.78 +1.7% SELL 69 11.2% 3.5% 79.15 -4.3%
Utilities SPDR XLU 37.94 +0.8% SELL 69 2.7% 1.1% 41.07 -7.6%
Consumer Non-Cyc IYK 60.58 +0.3% SELL 73 1.8% -2.2% 64.02 -5.4%
Germany iShares EWG 31.51 +0.6% SELL 74 8.4% 2.6% 32.58 -3.3%
HongKong iShares EWH 17.95 -0.4% SELL 74 12.8% 6.9% 19.03 -5.7%
Switzerland iShr EWL 25.88 +1.1% SELL 74 3.2% -6.3% 25.93 -0.2%
EMU iShares EZU 108.80 +0.8% SELL 75 8.7% 1.6% 111.06 -2.0%
France iShares EWQ 34.94 +1.3% SELL 75 10.1% 1.3% 35.61 -1.9%
SP500 LgCp Grwth IVW 62.70 +0.5% SELL 76 7.0% 4.2% 66.91 -6.3%
EAFE Index iShrs EFA 71.90 +0.4% SELL 80 9.1% 4.3% 75.17 -4.4%
Diamonds DIA 122.40 +0.1% SELL 83 6.1% 2.3% 129.46 -5.5%
SP500 LgCap SPDR SPY 131.97 +0.3% SELL 83 7.9% 4.5% 140.23 -5.9%
SP100 iSh OEF 61.35 +0.4% SELL 83 9.0% 6.1% 65.98 -7.0%
SP400 MdCp Grwth IJK 81.51 +0.9% SELL 83 6.9% 2.4% 85.50 -4.7%
Aerospace/Def iS ITA 59.07 +0.2% SELL 83 8.4% 5.7% 63.17 -6.5%
Software iShares IGV 44.82 0.0% SELL 83 9.4% 6.4% 47.75 -6.1%
Nasdaq 100 Shrs QQQQ 43.72 +0.5% SELL 87 14.8% 9.7% 46.76 -6.5%
Broker/Dealer iS IAI 37.26 +0.9% SELL 87 27.7% 21.3% 47.83 -22.1%
Wireless HLDRs WMH 60.20 +0.1% SELL 87 17.3% 11.8% 65.69 -8.4%
South Korea iShr EWY 55.79 +1.2% SELL 105 18.9% 9.1% 59.58 -6.4%
Technology SPDR XLK 22.40 -0.1% SELL 126 13.3% 10.8% 24.39 -8.2%
SP500 LgCp Value IVE 69.24 +0.6% SELL 131 10.1% 6.9% 75.32 -8.1%
SP400 MidCp SPDR MDY 141.16 +0.3% SELL 131 9.1% 5.1% 149.98 -5.9%
SP400 MdCp Value IJJ 73.03 +1.5% SELL 131 9.9% 5.7% 78.41 -6.9%
Industrial SPDR XLI 37.40 +1.5% SELL 131 7.5% -0.2% 37.98 -1.5%
Russell 2000 iSh IWM 68.29 +0.1% SELL 133 13.6% 8.5% 74.43 -8.2%
Rus2000 Grwth iS IWO 72.45 -1.4% SELL 133 15.6% 10.5% 79.33 -8.7%
United Kgdm iShr EWU 21.56 +0.5% SELL 133 12.1% 8.1% 23.06 -6.5%
SP600 SmlCp iSh IJR 59.93 +0.4% SELL 140 12.8% 8.1% 64.45 -7.0%
SP600 SmCp Grwth IJT 123.64 +1.1% SELL 140 12.9% 8.0% 131.44 -5.9%
SP600 SmCp Value IJS 65.44 +1.0% SELL 140 12.9% 7.4% 70.32 -6.9%
NDX Equal Weight QQEW 19.23 +0.9% SELL 140 14.9% 11.6% 21.05 -8.7%
Network iShares IGN 27.24 +0.3% SELL 140 23.2% 19.4% 31.89 -14.6%
Broadband HLDRs BDH 12.33 +1.4% SELL 143 16.4% 11.9% 14.02 -12.1%
Internet HLDRs HHH 55.09 +0.5% SELL 144 17.0% 7.4% 57.20 -3.7%
Rus2000 Value iS IWN 65.57 +0.2% SELL 145 14.3% 9.2% 71.57 -8.4%
Insurance iShare IAK 42.47 +1.2% SELL 145 17.8% 13.4% 48.48 -12.4%
Real Estate iShr IYR 65.10 +0.7% SELL 147 17.8% 9.3% 69.88 -6.8%
Bank Regional HL RKH 118.01 -0.1% SELL 150 15.6% 11.6% 133.26 -11.4%
Financial SPDR XLF 24.87 +0.9% SELL 151 26.3% 21.1% 29.73 -16.3%
Japan iShares EWJ 12.37 -0.7% SELL 227 14.3% 8.1% 13.20 -6.3%
SP500 Equal Wght RSP 42.81 +0.2% SELL 229 11.4% 8.2% 46.39 -7.7%
Semiconductor iS IGW 49.56 +1.1% SELL 229 22.8% 21.1% 57.70 -14.1%
Telecom iShares IYZ 23.37 +1.3% SELL 229 29.2% 25.5% 28.28 -17.4%
Consumer iShares IYC 57.54 +1.1% SELL 230 14.6% 11.2% 62.78 -8.3%
Consumer Disc SP XLY 30.72 +0.6% SELL 234 18.1% 14.6% 33.81 -9.1%
DJ Sel Dividend DVY 57.87 +0.3% SELL 248 16.3% 14.6% 65.07 -11.1%
Pharmacutical HL PPH 69.74 -1.9% SELL 248 9.0% 7.8% 76.42 -8.7%
Home Const iShrs ITB 20.09 +3.4% SELL 398 64.5% 49.1% 22.39 -10.3%
Average +0.3% 220 15.3% 9.8% -2.6%
****************************************************************************
SHORT-TERM (PMO) and LONG-TERM (PMM) SIGNAL COMPARISONS
The Price Momentum Model (PMM) signal provides guidance regarding the
longer-term trend, and the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signals identify
the shorter-term trend. A logical trading methodology is to open positions
on new PMO signals when they are compatable with the PMM signals. Positions
may be closed or hedged when the PMM and PMO signals are in conflict.
This section compares the PMM and PMO signals side by side and provides
some mechanical analysis. A "Warn!" flag is an alert that the PMO signal is
in conflict with the PMM -- closing or hedging the PMM position may be
considered. A "Buy?" or "Sell?" flag is an alert that the PMO signal has
just changed and is the same as the PMM signal -- opening new PMM positions
may be considered.
SUMMARY OF SHORT-TERM AND LONG-TERM SIGNALS FOR ETF
SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM
PMO PMO PMM PMM
BUY SELL BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 66 16 24 58
% of Total......: 80% 20% 29% 71%
Ave Days Elapsed: 13 17 464 119
Ave High Profit.: +2% +6% +22% +13%
Ave Profit......: 0% +2% +15% +8%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +10% -8%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 76%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 35%
|-- PMO Crossover Model ---|-- Price Momentum Model --|
| PMO High Today | PMM High Today|
Name Flag| Sgnl Day P/L P/L | Sgnl Days P/L P/L|
--------------- -----| ---- --- ------- ------- | ---- ---- ------- -------|
Diamonds Warn! BUY 13 +1.3% -1.1% SELL 83 +6.1% +2.3%
Nasdaq 100 Shr Warn! BUY 20 +4.7% +2.1% SELL 87 +14.8% +9.7%
SP500 LgCap SP Warn! BUY 11 +2.1% -0.1% SELL 83 +7.9% +4.5%
SP100 iSh Warn! BUY 13 +1.7% -1.5% SELL 83 +9.0% +6.1%
SP500 LgCp Grw Warn! BUY 11 +2.0% +0.4% SELL 76 +7.0% +4.2%
SP500 LgCp Val Warn! BUY 11 +1.4% -2.3% SELL 131 +10.1% +6.9%
SP400 MidCp SP Warn! BUY 6 0.0% -2.0% SELL 131 +9.1% +5.1%
SP400 MdCp Grw Warn! BUY 6 0.0% -1.8% SELL 83 +6.9% +2.4%
SP400 MdCp Val Warn! BUY 7 +0.8% -1.1% SELL 131 +9.9% +5.7%
SP600 SmlCp iS Warn! BUY 7 +0.4% -2.6% SELL 140 +12.8% +8.1%
SP600 SmCp Grw Warn! BUY 7 +0.5% -1.3% SELL 140 +12.9% +8.0%
SP600 SmCp Val Warn! BUY 11 +2.9% -0.1% SELL 140 +12.9% +7.4%
Russell 2000 i Warn! BUY 11 +4.1% +1.2% SELL 133 +13.6% +8.5%
Rus2000 Grwth Warn! BUY 7 +0.9% -2.4% SELL 133 +15.6% +10.5%
Rus2000 Value Warn! BUY 11 +2.9% -0.6% SELL 145 +14.3% +9.2%
SP500 Equal Wg Warn! BUY 7 +0.5% -2.9% SELL 229 +11.4% +8.2%
NDX Equal Weig Warn! BUY 7 +0.4% -2.9% SELL 140 +14.9% +11.6%
DJ Sel Dividen Warn! BUY 11 +1.0% -4.3% SELL 248 +16.3% +14.7%
InvesTop CrpB BUY 7 +0.8% +0.8% BUY 1778 +16.2% +13.7%
T-Bond 1-3 Yr Warn! SELL 12 +0.5% +0.1% BUY 1592 +17.9% +17.5%
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr BUY 28 +2.5% +1.6% BUY 1778 +23.4% +22.3%
T-Bond 20+ Yr BUY 21 +3.8% +2.5% BUY 556 +14.9% +13.4%
TIPS Bond iShr Warn! SELL 11 +1.9% +0.5% BUY 1285 +19.2% +17.5%
Aerospace/Def Warn! BUY 6 0.0% -1.2% SELL 83 +8.4% +5.7%
Bank Regional Warn! BUY 11 0.0% -8.8% SELL 150 +15.6% +11.6%
Biotech iShare Warn! BUY 7 +0.9% +0.9% SELL 69 +11.2% +3.5%
Broker/Dealer Warn! BUY 6 0.0% -7.5% SELL 87 +27.7% +21.3%
Broadband HLDR Warn! BUY 6 0.0% -1.8% SELL 143 +16.4% +11.9%
Commodity iSha Warn! SELL 12 0.0% -3.1% BUY 339 +47.1% +37.3%
Consumer Disc Warn! BUY 7 0.0% -4.9% SELL 234 +18.1% +14.6%
Consumer iShar Warn! BUY 7 0.0% -4.2% SELL 230 +14.6% +11.2%
Consumer Non-C Warn! BUY 12 +3.0% +1.9% SELL 73 +1.8% -2.2%
Consumer Stpl BUY 12 +2.6% +2.1% BUY 1547 +41.7% +35.3%
Crude Oil ETF Warn! SELL 11 +1.3% -0.1% BUY 207 +51.3% +41.2%
Energy SPDR SELL 17 +5.4% +0.7% SELL 12 0.0% -5.1%
Financial SPDR Warn! BUY 11 +1.3% -5.5% SELL 151 +26.3% +21.2%
Gold Warn! SELL 13 +6.8% +6.3% BUY 514 +59.2% +45.1%
Gold Miners Warn! SELL 12 +4.9% +3.4% BUY 94 +21.0% +2.3%
Health Care SP Warn! BUY 6 0.0% -1.2% SELL 66 +7.1% +5.1%
Healthcare Prv SELL 32 +18.1% +16.8% SELL 66 +19.9% +18.7%
Home Const iSh Warn! BUY 11 +5.8% +1.1% SELL 398 +64.5% +49.1%
Industrial SPD Warn! BUY 13 +0.2% -0.6% SELL 131 +7.5% -0.2%
Insurance iSha Warn! BUY 11 +0.9% -1.5% SELL 145 +17.8% +13.4%
Internet HLDRs Warn! BUY 11 +3.4% +1.5% SELL 144 +17.0% +7.4%
Intnet Arch HL BUY 48 +9.4% +5.7% BUY 7 0.0% -3.4%
Intnet Infra H Warn! SELL 26 +13.1% +5.1% BUY 13 +2.8% -1.8%
Materials SPDR Warn! SELL 24 +3.0% -1.8% BUY 59 +3.8% -1.5%
Medical Dev iS Warn! BUY 6 0.0% -0.5% SELL 24 +2.1% -2.5%
Natural Gas Warn! SELL 13 +5.1% -5.0% BUY 46 +17.5% +13.7%
Natural Res iS SELL 14 +3.5% -0.8% SELL 12 +0.3% -4.2%
Network iShare Warn! BUY 7 +1.4% -2.6% SELL 140 +23.3% +19.4%
Oil Svc HLDRs BUY 3 +1.5% +1.5% BUY 41 +6.2% +2.8%
Oil/Gas Expl i Warn! SELL 17 +6.9% +0.8% BUY 49 +11.3% +6.3%
Pharmacutical Warn! BUY 12 +0.6% -2.0% SELL 248 +9.0% +7.8%
Real Estate iS Warn! BUY 13 +4.8% +0.4% SELL 147 +17.8% +9.3%
Retail Holders BUY 11 +2.5% -1.9% BUY 7 0.0% -4.3%
Semiconductor Warn! BUY 19 +3.6% -0.5% SELL 229 +22.8% +21.1%
Silver ETF Warn! SELL 13 +13.8% +12.1% BUY 196 +62.3% +34.1%
Software iShar Warn! BUY 13 +3.9% +0.3% SELL 83 +9.4% +6.4%
Technology SPD Warn! BUY 47 0.0% -3.7% SELL 126 +13.3% +10.8%
Telecom iShare Warn! BUY 11 +3.3% +1.4% SELL 229 +29.2% +25.5%
Utilities SPDR Warn! BUY 13 0.0% -1.0% SELL 69 +2.7% +1.1%
Wireless HLDRs Warn! BUY 6 +0.2% -0.9% SELL 87 +17.3% +11.8%
Australia iShr Warn! BUY 5 0.0% -1.0% SELL 24 +2.0% -2.1%
Brazil iShares Warn! SELL 21 +4.2% +1.4% BUY 222 +55.8% +36.0%
China 25 iShar Warn! BUY 3 0.0% -1.3% SELL 25 +9.4% +1.0%
Canada iShares SELL 21 +4.1% -0.2% SELL 12 0.0% -4.5%
EAFE Index iSh Warn! BUY 7 +1.7% +1.7% SELL 80 +9.1% +4.3%
Emerging Mkts Warn! BUY 3 +0.6% +0.6% SELL 21 +3.5% -2.6%
EMU iShares Warn! BUY 46 +5.2% +4.1% SELL 75 +8.7% +1.6%
Euro Currency BUY 39 +6.9% +6.6% BUY 691 +24.0% +23.7%
France iShares Warn! BUY 45 +6.8% +5.8% SELL 75 +10.1% +1.3%
Germany iShare Warn! BUY 7 +1.8% +1.8% SELL 74 +8.4% +2.6%
HongKong iShar Warn! BUY 6 +1.4% +1.0% SELL 74 +12.8% +6.9%
Japan iShares Warn! BUY 7 +1.1% -0.4% SELL 227 +14.3% +8.1%
Malaysia iShar BUY 4 +1.5% +1.5% * BUY 0 0.0% -12.1%
Mexico iShares BUY 6 +1.9% +1.9% BUY 60 +7.1% +6.5%
Singapore iShr BUY 11 +6.4% +5.3% BUY 6 0.0% -1.1%
South Korea iS Warn! BUY 5 +1.1% +1.1% SELL 105 +18.9% +9.1%
Switzerland iS Warn! BUY 40 +8.2% +8.2% SELL 74 +3.2% -6.3%
Taiwan iShares BUY 7 0.0% -8.0% BUY 38 +14.5% +5.3%
United Kgdm iS Warn! BUY 5 0.0% -0.3% SELL 133 +12.1% +8.1%
Average 13 +2.7% +0.2% 220 +15.3% +9.8%
*****************************************************************************
EXPLANATION OF TABLE HEADINGS
Close Price: The last price at which the security traded today.
% Change: Percentage that price has changed from prior day's close.
PMO Rank: Shows the rank of the PMO in relation to the other securities
in the list.
5 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) in the last 5 days.
15 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) in the last 15 days.
YTD Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) since the beginning of the year.
Signl: The signal designations of BUY and SELL indicate the current
direction of momentum and are not an indication that continuous buying or
selling should take place. Signals that are a few days or weeks old give the
best indication that profitable action MIGHT be taken.
Signal Flag: When the PMO signal disagrees with the PMM signal, the flag
will be "Warn!" On the day the PMO signal changes back into agreement
with the PMM signal, the flag will remind that new positions may be
considered by indicating "Buy?" or "Sell?"
Cal Days Elap: Indicates the number of calendar days that have elapsed since
the current signal was initiated.
High P/L: Highest profit or least loss experienced since the current signal
was initiated. On the first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the
closing P/L for the prior signal.
Today P/L: Profit or loss for the signal since it was initiated. On the
first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the closing P/L for the prior
signal.
STOP: The price at which the mechanical PMM signal will reverse.
Price Rel to Stop: This column shows the relationship of the current price
to the price at which the signal will change. (i.e. +5.3% means the current
price is 5.3% above the signal change price.
PMO R/F Days: The direction of the PMO (rising/falling) and number of
calendar days trend has been effect.
The Hot/Cold grouping ranks securities/indexes into six (6) groups ranging
from 1 (Hot) to 6 (Cold) according to price strength, internal strength,
and relative strength. We can quickly assess the condition of these
elements by the group number and "blinker" fields. Moving from left to
right: The first blinker tells us if the PMO is above (+) or below (-) its
10-day exponential moving average (EMA). The second blinker indicates if
the closing price is above (+) or below (-) it's 20-DMA. The third and
fourth blinkers tell us if the PMO is rising (+) or falling (-), and if it
is above (+) or below (-) zero. The fifth blinker tells us if the 5-day PMO
rank change is positive (+), negative (-), or no change ( ). Groups 1-3
should be considered as buy candidates, 4-6 as sell candidates.
CAVEAT
We make every effort to insure the accuracy of this information, but we
cannot guarantee it. It is always possible that errors will creep in. If it
doesn't make sense, let us know about it. Also, we make every effort to upload
this data each market day, but circumstances may be such that it is not
possible due to circumstances beyond our control.
End of Daily ETF Tracker Report for Monday 3/31/2008
Copyright 2008 Decision Point. This publication is not to be summarized,
reproduced, or rebroadcast in any fashion without our written permission.
Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or
sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee or imply future
results.
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