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DECISION POINT
DAILY DOW 30 STOCK REVIEW
FRIDAY 11/28/2008
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This report highlights daily results of the stocks in the DOW 30 Index.
Daily chart books of these stocks (6-Mo and 2-Yr) are also available (see
Main Menu). THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NOT A
SOLICITATION OR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
*****************************************************************************
DOW 30 RESULTS FOR FRIDAY 11/28/08
11/28 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
3M Company MMM 66.93 +1.02 +1.6% 3205.5 55% 3.0% 13 0.4
Alcoa AA 10.76 +0.28 +2.7% 12408.3 67% 6.3% 5 0.3
American Express AXP 23.31 +1.01 +4.5% 7156.9 47% 3.1% 8 0.3
AT&T Corp T 28.56 +0.17 +0.6% 16046.9 50% 5.6% 13 0.7
BankAmerica Corp BAC 16.25 +0.82 +5.3% 52662.9 64% 7.9% 14 1.1
Boeing BA 42.63 +1.35 +3.3% 2608.1 33% 3.8% 8 0.3
Caterpillar CAT 40.99 +1.66 +4.2% 5429.8 61% 4.1% 7 0.3
Chevron Corp CVX 79.01 -0.92 -1.2% 8651.8 54% 3.3% 7 0.2
Citigroup C 8.29 +1.24 +17.6% 250797.0 181% 7.7% D
Coca Cola KO 46.87 +1.49 +3.3% 6282.8 48% 3.2% 18 0.6
Disney DIS 22.52 +0.02 +0.1% 7577.1 50% 1.6% 10 0.2
Dupont DD 25.06 +0.43 +1.8% 3853.4 46% 6.5% 7 0.5
Exxon Mobil XOM 80.15 -0.74 -0.9% 19600.3 54% 2.0% 9 0.2
General Electric GE 17.17 +0.98 +6.1% 59008.7 70% 7.2% 8 0.6
General Motors GM 5.24 +0.43 +8.9% 34980.8 124% D
Hewlett Packard HPQ 35.28 +0.07 +0.2% 7392.6 36% 0.9% 11
Home Depot HD 23.11 -0.44 -1.9% 10272.4 47% 3.9% 13 0.5
IBM IBM 81.60 -0.07 -0.1% 3908.3 40% 2.5% 10 0.2
Intel INTC 13.80 -0.17 -1.2% 28354.5 39% 4.1% 11 0.4
Johnson & Johns JNJ 58.58 +0.31 +0.5% 7688.7 48% 3.1% 13 0.4
JP Morgan Chase JPM 31.66 +1.04 +3.4% 22795.7 46% 4.8% 14 0.7
Kraft Foods KFT 27.21 +0.24 +0.9% 6124.8 43% 4.3% 12 0.5
McDonalds Corp MCD 58.75 +0.85 +1.5% 3916.4 38% 3.4% 15 0.5
Merck MRK 26.72 +0.41 +1.6% 5921.5 34% 5.7% 13 0.7
Microsoft MSFT 20.22 -0.27 -1.3% 29129.6 34% 2.6% 11 0.3
Pfizer PFE 16.43 +0.36 +2.2% 21110.3 40% 7.8% 10 0.8
Procter & Gamble PG 64.35 +1.19 +1.9% 7768.3 43% 2.5% 17 0.4
United Technolgy UTX 48.53 +0.80 +1.7% 3975.8 55% 3.2% 10 0.3
Verizon VZ 32.65 +0.11 +0.3% 7624.6 43% 5.6% 15 0.8
Wal-Mart WMT 55.88 -0.81 -1.4% 9072.0 38% 1.7% 16 0.3
Average +0.43 +2.2% 22177.5 54% 4.0% 17 0.5
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DOW 30 SORTED BY PERCENTAGE CHANGE
11/28 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Citigroup C 8.29 +1.24 +17.6% 250797.0 181% 7.7% D
General Motors GM 5.24 +0.43 +8.9% 34980.8 124% D
General Electric GE 17.17 +0.98 +6.1% 59008.7 70% 7.2% 8 0.6
BankAmerica Corp BAC 16.25 +0.82 +5.3% 52662.9 64% 7.9% 14 1.1
American Express AXP 23.31 +1.01 +4.5% 7156.9 47% 3.1% 8 0.3
Caterpillar CAT 40.99 +1.66 +4.2% 5429.8 61% 4.1% 7 0.3
JP Morgan Chase JPM 31.66 +1.04 +3.4% 22795.7 46% 4.8% 14 0.7
Coca Cola KO 46.87 +1.49 +3.3% 6282.8 48% 3.2% 18 0.6
Boeing BA 42.63 +1.35 +3.3% 2608.1 33% 3.8% 8 0.3
Alcoa AA 10.76 +0.28 +2.7% 12408.3 67% 6.3% 5 0.3
Pfizer PFE 16.43 +0.36 +2.2% 21110.3 40% 7.8% 10 0.8
Procter & Gamble PG 64.35 +1.19 +1.9% 7768.3 43% 2.5% 17 0.4
Dupont DD 25.06 +0.43 +1.8% 3853.4 46% 6.5% 7 0.5
United Technolgy UTX 48.53 +0.80 +1.7% 3975.8 55% 3.2% 10 0.3
Merck MRK 26.72 +0.41 +1.6% 5921.5 34% 5.7% 13 0.7
3M Company MMM 66.93 +1.02 +1.6% 3205.5 55% 3.0% 13 0.4
McDonalds Corp MCD 58.75 +0.85 +1.5% 3916.4 38% 3.4% 15 0.5
Kraft Foods KFT 27.21 +0.24 +0.9% 6124.8 43% 4.3% 12 0.5
AT&T Corp T 28.56 +0.17 +0.6% 16046.9 50% 5.6% 13 0.7
Johnson & Johns JNJ 58.58 +0.31 +0.5% 7688.7 48% 3.1% 13 0.4
Verizon VZ 32.65 +0.11 +0.3% 7624.6 43% 5.6% 15 0.8
Hewlett Packard HPQ 35.28 +0.07 +0.2% 7392.6 36% 0.9% 11
Disney DIS 22.52 +0.02 +0.1% 7577.1 50% 1.6% 10 0.2
IBM IBM 81.60 -0.07 -0.1% 3908.3 40% 2.5% 10 0.2
Exxon Mobil XOM 80.15 -0.74 -0.9% 19600.3 54% 2.0% 9 0.2
Chevron Corp CVX 79.01 -0.92 -1.2% 8651.8 54% 3.3% 7 0.2
Intel INTC 13.80 -0.17 -1.2% 28354.5 39% 4.1% 11 0.4
Microsoft MSFT 20.22 -0.27 -1.3% 29129.6 34% 2.6% 11 0.3
Wal-Mart WMT 55.88 -0.81 -1.4% 9072.0 38% 1.7% 16 0.3
Home Depot HD 23.11 -0.44 -1.9% 10272.4 47% 3.9% 13 0.5
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DOW 30 SORTED BY PERCENTAGE OF AVERAGE DAILY VOLUME
Each day Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the 250-EMA of
volume and report it as the percentage of average daily volume. High
percentages of average daily volume indicate that unusual interest is being
shown in a stock. Check news and other indicators.
11/28 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Citigroup C 8.29 +1.24 +17.6% 250797.0 181% 7.7% D
General Motors GM 5.24 +0.43 +8.9% 34980.8 124% D
General Electric GE 17.17 +0.98 +6.1% 59008.7 70% 7.2% 8 0.6
Alcoa AA 10.76 +0.28 +2.7% 12408.3 67% 6.3% 5 0.3
BankAmerica Corp BAC 16.25 +0.82 +5.3% 52662.9 64% 7.9% 14 1.1
Caterpillar CAT 40.99 +1.66 +4.2% 5429.8 61% 4.1% 7 0.3
United Technolgy UTX 48.53 +0.80 +1.7% 3975.8 55% 3.2% 10 0.3
3M Company MMM 66.93 +1.02 +1.6% 3205.5 55% 3.0% 13 0.4
Exxon Mobil XOM 80.15 -0.74 -0.9% 19600.3 54% 2.0% 9 0.2
Chevron Corp CVX 79.01 -0.92 -1.2% 8651.8 54% 3.3% 7 0.2
Disney DIS 22.52 +0.02 +0.1% 7577.1 50% 1.6% 10 0.2
AT&T Corp T 28.56 +0.17 +0.6% 16046.9 50% 5.6% 13 0.7
Johnson & Johns JNJ 58.58 +0.31 +0.5% 7688.7 48% 3.1% 13 0.4
Coca Cola KO 46.87 +1.49 +3.3% 6282.8 48% 3.2% 18 0.6
Home Depot HD 23.11 -0.44 -1.9% 10272.4 47% 3.9% 13 0.5
American Express AXP 23.31 +1.01 +4.5% 7156.9 47% 3.1% 8 0.3
Dupont DD 25.06 +0.43 +1.8% 3853.4 46% 6.5% 7 0.5
JP Morgan Chase JPM 31.66 +1.04 +3.4% 22795.7 46% 4.8% 14 0.7
Kraft Foods KFT 27.21 +0.24 +0.9% 6124.8 43% 4.3% 12 0.5
Procter & Gamble PG 64.35 +1.19 +1.9% 7768.3 43% 2.5% 17 0.4
Verizon VZ 32.65 +0.11 +0.3% 7624.6 43% 5.6% 15 0.8
IBM IBM 81.60 -0.07 -0.1% 3908.3 40% 2.5% 10 0.2
Pfizer PFE 16.43 +0.36 +2.2% 21110.3 40% 7.8% 10 0.8
Intel INTC 13.80 -0.17 -1.2% 28354.5 39% 4.1% 11 0.4
Wal-Mart WMT 55.88 -0.81 -1.4% 9072.0 38% 1.7% 16 0.3
McDonalds Corp MCD 58.75 +0.85 +1.5% 3916.4 38% 3.4% 15 0.5
Hewlett Packard HPQ 35.28 +0.07 +0.2% 7392.6 36% 0.9% 11
Merck MRK 26.72 +0.41 +1.6% 5921.5 34% 5.7% 13 0.7
Microsoft MSFT 20.22 -0.27 -1.3% 29129.6 34% 2.6% 11 0.3
Boeing BA 42.63 +1.35 +3.3% 2608.1 33% 3.8% 8 0.3
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DOW 30 STOCKS SORTED BY YIELD
11/28 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
BankAmerica Corp BAC 16.25 +0.82 +5.3% 52662.9 64% 7.9% 14 1.1
Pfizer PFE 16.43 +0.36 +2.2% 21110.3 40% 7.8% 10 0.8
Citigroup C 8.29 +1.24 +17.6% 250797.0 181% 7.7% D
General Electric GE 17.17 +0.98 +6.1% 59008.7 70% 7.2% 8 0.6
Dupont DD 25.06 +0.43 +1.8% 3853.4 46% 6.5% 7 0.5
Alcoa AA 10.76 +0.28 +2.7% 12408.3 67% 6.3% 5 0.3
Merck MRK 26.72 +0.41 +1.6% 5921.5 34% 5.7% 13 0.7
Verizon VZ 32.65 +0.11 +0.3% 7624.6 43% 5.6% 15 0.8
AT&T Corp T 28.56 +0.17 +0.6% 16046.9 50% 5.6% 13 0.7
JP Morgan Chase JPM 31.66 +1.04 +3.4% 22795.7 46% 4.8% 14 0.7
Kraft Foods KFT 27.21 +0.24 +0.9% 6124.8 43% 4.3% 12 0.5
Caterpillar CAT 40.99 +1.66 +4.2% 5429.8 61% 4.1% 7 0.3
Intel INTC 13.80 -0.17 -1.2% 28354.5 39% 4.1% 11 0.4
Home Depot HD 23.11 -0.44 -1.9% 10272.4 47% 3.9% 13 0.5
Boeing BA 42.63 +1.35 +3.3% 2608.1 33% 3.8% 8 0.3
McDonalds Corp MCD 58.75 +0.85 +1.5% 3916.4 38% 3.4% 15 0.5
Chevron Corp CVX 79.01 -0.92 -1.2% 8651.8 54% 3.3% 7 0.2
Coca Cola KO 46.87 +1.49 +3.3% 6282.8 48% 3.2% 18 0.6
United Technolgy UTX 48.53 +0.80 +1.7% 3975.8 55% 3.2% 10 0.3
Johnson & Johns JNJ 58.58 +0.31 +0.5% 7688.7 48% 3.1% 13 0.4
American Express AXP 23.31 +1.01 +4.5% 7156.9 47% 3.1% 8 0.3
3M Company MMM 66.93 +1.02 +1.6% 3205.5 55% 3.0% 13 0.4
Microsoft MSFT 20.22 -0.27 -1.3% 29129.6 34% 2.6% 11 0.3
Procter & Gamble PG 64.35 +1.19 +1.9% 7768.3 43% 2.5% 17 0.4
IBM IBM 81.60 -0.07 -0.1% 3908.3 40% 2.5% 10 0.2
Exxon Mobil XOM 80.15 -0.74 -0.9% 19600.3 54% 2.0% 9 0.2
Wal-Mart WMT 55.88 -0.81 -1.4% 9072.0 38% 1.7% 16 0.3
Disney DIS 22.52 +0.02 +0.1% 7577.1 50% 1.6% 10 0.2
Hewlett Packard HPQ 35.28 +0.07 +0.2% 7392.6 36% 0.9% 11
General Motors GM 5.24 +0.43 +8.9% 34980.8 124% D
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DOW 30 STOCKS SORTED BY P/E RATIO
11/28 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Alcoa AA 10.76 +0.28 +2.7% 12408.3 67% 6.3% 5 0.3
Caterpillar CAT 40.99 +1.66 +4.2% 5429.8 61% 4.1% 7 0.3
Chevron Corp CVX 79.01 -0.92 -1.2% 8651.8 54% 3.3% 7 0.2
Dupont DD 25.06 +0.43 +1.8% 3853.4 46% 6.5% 7 0.5
American Express AXP 23.31 +1.01 +4.5% 7156.9 47% 3.1% 8 0.3
Boeing BA 42.63 +1.35 +3.3% 2608.1 33% 3.8% 8 0.3
General Electric GE 17.17 +0.98 +6.1% 59008.7 70% 7.2% 8 0.6
Exxon Mobil XOM 80.15 -0.74 -0.9% 19600.3 54% 2.0% 9 0.2
IBM IBM 81.60 -0.07 -0.1% 3908.3 40% 2.5% 10 0.2
Disney DIS 22.52 +0.02 +0.1% 7577.1 50% 1.6% 10 0.2
United Technolgy UTX 48.53 +0.80 +1.7% 3975.8 55% 3.2% 10 0.3
Pfizer PFE 16.43 +0.36 +2.2% 21110.3 40% 7.8% 10 0.8
Microsoft MSFT 20.22 -0.27 -1.3% 29129.6 34% 2.6% 11 0.3
Hewlett Packard HPQ 35.28 +0.07 +0.2% 7392.6 36% 0.9% 11
Intel INTC 13.80 -0.17 -1.2% 28354.5 39% 4.1% 11 0.4
Kraft Foods KFT 27.21 +0.24 +0.9% 6124.8 43% 4.3% 12 0.5
AT&T Corp T 28.56 +0.17 +0.6% 16046.9 50% 5.6% 13 0.7
3M Company MMM 66.93 +1.02 +1.6% 3205.5 55% 3.0% 13 0.4
Merck MRK 26.72 +0.41 +1.6% 5921.5 34% 5.7% 13 0.7
Home Depot HD 23.11 -0.44 -1.9% 10272.4 47% 3.9% 13 0.5
Johnson & Johns JNJ 58.58 +0.31 +0.5% 7688.7 48% 3.1% 13 0.4
BankAmerica Corp BAC 16.25 +0.82 +5.3% 52662.9 64% 7.9% 14 1.1
JP Morgan Chase JPM 31.66 +1.04 +3.4% 22795.7 46% 4.8% 14 0.7
McDonalds Corp MCD 58.75 +0.85 +1.5% 3916.4 38% 3.4% 15 0.5
Verizon VZ 32.65 +0.11 +0.3% 7624.6 43% 5.6% 15 0.8
Wal-Mart WMT 55.88 -0.81 -1.4% 9072.0 38% 1.7% 16 0.3
Procter & Gamble PG 64.35 +1.19 +1.9% 7768.3 43% 2.5% 17 0.4
Coca Cola KO 46.87 +1.49 +3.3% 6282.8 48% 3.2% 18 0.6
Citigroup C 8.29 +1.24 +17.6% 250797.0 181% 7.7% D
General Motors GM 5.24 +0.43 +8.9% 34980.8 124% D
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DOW 30 DAILY BLUE CHIP STOCK PMO STRENGTH RANK ANALYSIS
This report presents ranking of DOW 30 stocks based on Decision
Point's proprietary PMO (Price Momentum Oscillator). The PMO measures a
stock's absolute strength based on price momentum. THIS REPORT IS TO ASSIST
RESEARCH AND IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL SECURITIES.
The Hot/Cold Groups & Blinkers are explained at the end of this report.
STOCKS SORTED BY PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) RANK
|RankChg-| |---- % Price Change ----| Hot/Cold
PMO 5 15 On 5 15 Group &
Stock Name/Symbol Rank Day Day 11/28 Day Day YTD Blinkers
--------------------- ---- ---- ---- ------ ----- ----- ------ |---------|
Exxon Mobil XOM 1 0 +1 -0.9% +17% +15% -13% 1 ++ ++
Chevron Corp CVX 2 0 +4 -1.2% +23% +14% -13% 1 ++ ++
Verizon VZ 3 +1 0 +0.3% +23% +12% -21% 1 ++ ++ +
AT&T Corp T 4 -1 +1 +0.6% +17% +10% -28% 2 ++ ++ -
3M Company MMM 5 +1 +2 +1.6% +18% +8% -18% 1 ++ ++ +
McDonalds Corp MCD 6 +1 +4 +1.5% +12% +9% +3% 1 ++ ++ +
Procter & Gamble PG 7 -2 +2 +1.9% +8% +2% -10% 2 ++ +- -
Home Depot HD 8 +4 +7 -1.9% +25% +10% -12% 2 ++ +- +
Wal-Mart WMT 9 -1 -1 -1.4% +10% +4% +19% 2 ++ +- -
Coca Cola KO 10 +1 +8 +3.3% +15% +6% -21% 2 ++ +- +
Pfizer PFE 11 -2 -7 +2.2% +14% 0% -23% 2 ++ +- -
Johnson & Johns JNJ 12 -2 +2 +0.5% +6% +2% -10% 3 +- +- -
United Technolgy UTX 13 0 0 +1.7% +12% -3% -35% 3 +- +-
Kraft Foods KFT 14 0 -2 +0.9% +9% -3% -14% 3 +- +-
Merck MRK 15 0 -4 +1.6% +13% -4% -53% 4 -- +-
Hewlett Packard HPQ 16 +2 +5 +0.2% +11% +5% -30% 2 ++ +- +
Microsoft MSFT 17 0 0 -1.3% +15% -3% -42% 3 +- +-
Disney DIS 18 +4 +4 +0.1% +20% -1% -30% 2 ++ +- +
Intel INTC 19 +2 +5 -1.2% +13% -1% -47% 3 +- +- +
IBM IBM 20 0 +5 -0.1% +14% -4% -23% 3 +- +-
Boeing BA 21 -2 -5 +3.3% +15% -7% -50% 4 -- +- -
Caterpillar CAT 22 +1 +7 +4.2% +25% +9% -42% 2 ++ +- +
JP Morgan Chase JPM 23 -7 -22 +3.4% +35% -17% -25% 4 -- +- -
American Express AXP 24 +2 -4 +4.5% +35% -6% -55% 2 ++ +- +
General Electric GE 25 0 +1 +6.1% +34% -6% -53% 2 ++ +-
Dupont DD 26 -2 +1 +1.8% +14% -12% -41% 4 -- +- -
Alcoa AA 27 +1 +3 +2.7% +57% +5% -70% 2 ++ +- +
BankAmerica Corp BAC 28 -1 -9 +5.3% +44% -19% -58% 4 -- +- -
General Motors GM 29 +1 -1 +8.9% +82% +9% -78% 2 ++ +- +
Citigroup C 30 -1 -7 +17.6% +76% -28% -70% 4 -- +- -
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DOW 30 STOCKS PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) CROSSOVER SIGNALS
The PMO generates a BUY or SELL Signals when it crosses up or down through
its 10-DMA. These signals tend to be short-term in duration, but they can
last for several weeks. Do not take them at face value because they can
whipsaw quite a bit. They should be used to alert you to possible trading
opportunities not used as a mechanical trading model. Always check our daily
stock charts to verify the price pattern and the configuration of the PMO.
Signals are best when price appears extended, is near support or resistance,
and the PMO is very overbought or oversold. These signals may also be used to
manage positions based on our Price Momentum Model signals.
SUMMARY OF PMO CROSSOVER SIGNALS
DJIA DJIA
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 24 6
% of Total......: 80% 20%
Ave Days Elapsed: 8 24
Ave High Profit.: +5% +34%
Ave Profit......: +4% +16%
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
11/28 Cal
Close % Days High Today PMO
Name/Symbol Price Change Signl Elap P/L P/L R/F Days
---------------------- ------ ------ ----- ---- ------- ------- --------
General Electric GE 17.17 +6.1% BUY 0 0.0% -5.4% R 4
Kraft Foods KFT 27.21 +0.9% BUY 0 0.0% 0.8% R 7
Pfizer PFE 16.43 +2.2% BUY 0 0.0% -3.8% R 4
United Technolgy UTX 48.53 +1.7% BUY 0 0.0% -5.5% R 2
American Express AXP 23.31 +4.5% BUY 2 4.5% 4.5% R 4
General Motors GM 5.24 +8.9% BUY 2 8.9% 8.9% R 7
Intel INTC 13.80 -1.2% BUY 2 0.0% -1.2% R 7
Microsoft MSFT 20.22 -1.3% BUY 2 0.0% -1.3% R 7
AT&T Corp T 28.56 +0.6% BUY 3 4.7% 4.7% R 4
Disney DIS 22.52 +0.1% BUY 3 2.2% 2.2% R 7
IBM IBM 81.60 -0.1% BUY 3 1.3% 1.2% R 4
Verizon VZ 32.65 +0.3% BUY 3 6.8% 6.8% R 4
Wal-Mart WMT 55.88 -1.4% BUY 3 3.7% 2.2% R 7
3M Company MMM 66.93 +1.5% BUY 4 5.8% 5.8% R 7
Alcoa AA 10.76 +2.7% BUY 4 17.6% 17.6% R 7
Home Depot HD 23.11 -1.9% BUY 4 9.9% 7.9% R 4
Johnson & Johns JNJ 58.58 +0.5% BUY 4 0.0% -0.9% R 7
Coca Cola KO 46.87 +3.3% BUY 7 7.4% 7.4% R 7
Hewlett Packard HPQ 35.28 +0.2% BUY 7 3.1% 1.8% R 10
Caterpillar CAT 40.99 +4.2% BUY 25 8.3% 5.1% R 7
Procter & Gamble PG 64.35 +1.9% BUY 29 4.7% 2.0% R 7
McDonalds Corp MCD 58.75 +1.5% BUY 30 3.7% 3.7% R 7
Chevron Corp CVX 79.01 -1.2% BUY 31 15.1% 13.8% R 7
Exxon Mobil XOM 80.15 -0.9% BUY 31 8.7% 7.7% R 7
Boeing BA 42.63 +3.3% SELL 14 9.6% -3.9% R 4
Merck MRK 26.72 +1.6% SELL 14 13.8% 2.2% R 3
Dupont DD 25.06 +1.7% SELL 16 19.3% 7.9% R 2
JP Morgan Chase JPM 31.66 +3.4% SELL 22 40.6% 17.3% R 3
BankAmerica Corp BAC 16.25 +5.3% SELL 23 48.3% 25.3% R 4
Citigroup C 8.29 +17.6% SELL 52 74.8% 44.6% R 4
Average +2.2% 11 10.8% 6.0% 6
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DOW 30 STOCKS PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
The SWENLIN PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL is intended to catch long-term price moves.
Model Signals are mechanically generated by a 200-day exponential moving
average crossover in conjunction with a 10% price move in the opposite
direction of the current signal extreme. For example, assume that the current
signal is a BUY. If the price drops 10% from the signal high, and also drops
below the 200 DMA, a SELL Signal will be generated automatically. The
MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS work best when prices are trending and changing
direction smoothly. When prices are volatile, particularly in a 10% range,
results will be extremely poor. By design, these signals will always miss at
least the first 10% of a move. Rather than wait for a signal reversal, it is
best to use trend analysis and other indicators to decide when to exit a
position. New signals should alert you to the possibility that a change in
direction is taking place. Once alerted, watch price movement and other
indicators to determine an optimum entry point, if any.
SUMMARY OF MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
DJIA DJIA
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 3 27
% of Total......: 10% 90%
Ave Days Elapsed: 21 155
Ave High Profit.: +2% +43%
Ave Profit......: +1% +30%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +10% -24%
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
This is a list of PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS for the DOW 30 stocks.
The newest signals give notice that the trend may be in the process of
making a long-term change of direction.
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
11/28 Cal Price
Close % Days High Today Rel to
Name/Symbol Price Change Sgnl Elap P/L P/L STOP Stop
---------------------- ------ ------ ---- ---- ------ ------ ------ -------
Exxon Mobil XOM 80.15 -0.9% BUY 2 0.0% -0.9% 72.80 +10.1%
McDonalds Corp MCD 58.75 +1.5% BUY 29 2.4% 2.4% 52.88 +11.1%
Wal-Mart WMT 55.88 -1.4% BUY 31 2.8% 1.3% 51.02 +9.5%
Procter & Gamble PG 64.35 +1.9% SELL 8 0.0% -8.5% 65.56 -1.9%
JP Morgan Chase JPM 31.66 +3.4% SELL 21 39.8% 16.1% 39.33 -19.5%
Kraft Foods KFT 27.21 +0.9% SELL 52 19.1% 11.5% 30.22 -10.0%
BankAmerica Corp BAC 16.25 +5.3% SELL 53 65.1% 49.6% 29.38 -44.7%
Johnson & Johns JNJ 58.58 +0.5% SELL 53 13.5% 8.4% 64.07 -8.6%
Hewlett Packard HPQ 35.28 +0.2% SELL 57 32.2% 18.4% 42.56 -17.1%
Chevron Corp CVX 79.01 -1.2% SELL 60 25.4% -2.8% 81.07 -2.5%
Disney DIS 22.52 +0.1% SELL 60 37.0% 24.3% 29.19 -22.9%
Dupont DD 25.06 +1.7% SELL 64 47.7% 40.3% 39.60 -36.7%
Home Depot HD 23.11 -1.9% SELL 72 27.8% 9.8% 25.16 -8.2%
IBM IBM 81.60 -0.1% SELL 85 37.3% 28.6% 106.66 -23.5%
Intel INTC 13.80 -1.2% SELL 86 42.7% 35.4% 19.35 -28.7%
Caterpillar CAT 40.99 +4.2% SELL 116 50.9% 38.6% 60.19 -31.9%
Alcoa AA 10.76 +2.7% SELL 155 80.2% 68.9% 25.66 -58.1%
Verizon VZ 32.65 +0.3% SELL 161 27.1% 5.1% 33.23 -1.7%
3M Company MMM 66.93 +1.5% SELL 162 27.3% 8.3% 69.48 -3.7%
AT&T Corp T 28.56 +0.6% SELL 170 36.2% 18.7% 31.17 -8.4%
United Technolgy UTX 48.53 +1.7% SELL 175 34.7% 26.7% 61.07 -20.5%
Boeing BA 42.63 +3.3% SELL 178 51.8% 44.7% 63.12 -32.5%
American Express AXP 23.31 +4.5% SELL 191 61.8% 48.3% 36.86 -36.8%
Coca Cola KO 46.87 +3.3% SELL 205 27.1% 16.0% 50.97 -8.1%
Microsoft MSFT 20.22 -1.3% SELL 212 37.6% 28.1% 25.78 -21.6%
General Electric GE 17.17 +6.1% SELL 231 59.4% 45.7% 26.32 -34.8%
Merck MRK 26.72 +1.6% SELL 311 52.7% 46.4% 35.15 -24.0%
Pfizer PFE 16.43 +2.2% SELL 375 32.2% 22.9% 18.42 -10.8%
General Motors GM 5.24 +8.9% SELL 386 91.3% 83.7% 13.10 -60.0%
Citigroup C 8.29 +17.6% SELL 493 91.7% 81.8% 19.18 -56.8%
Average +2.2% 142 38.5% 27.3% -20.1%
****************************************************************************
DOW 30 SHORT-TERM (PMO) and LONG-TERM (PMM) SIGNAL COMPARISONS
The Price Momentum Model (PMM) signal provides guidance regarding the
longer-term trend, and the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signals identify
the shorter-term trend. A logical trading methodology is to open positions
on new PMO signals when they are compatable with the PMM signals. Positions
may be closed or hedged when the PMM and PMO signals are in conflict.
This section compares the PMM and PMO signals side by side and provides
some mechanical analysis. A "Warn!" flag is an alert that the PMO signal is
in conflict with the PMM -- closing or hedging the PMM position may be
considered. A "Buy?" or "Sell?" flag is an alert that the PMO signal has
just changed and is the same as the PMM signal -- opening new PMM positions
may be considered.
SUMMARY OF SHORT-TERM AND LONG-TERM SIGNALS FOR DOW 30 STOCKS
SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM
PMO PMO PMM PMM
BUY SELL BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 24 6 3 27
% of Total......: 80% 20% 10% 90%
Ave Days Elapsed: 8 24 21 155
Ave High Profit.: +5% +34% +2% +43%
Ave Profit......: +4% +16% +1% +30%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +10% -24%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 100%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 20%
|-- PMO Crossover Model ---|-- Price Momentum Model --|
| PMO High Today | PMM High Today|
Name Flag| Sgnl Day P/L P/L | Sgnl Days P/L P/L|
--------------- -----| ---- --- ------- ------- | ---- ---- ------- -------|
3M Company Warn! BUY 4 +5.8% +5.8% SELL 162 +27.3% +8.3%
Alcoa Warn! BUY 4 +17.6% +17.6% SELL 155 +80.2% +68.9%
American Expre Warn! BUY 2 +4.5% +4.5% SELL 191 +61.8% +48.3%
AT&T Corp Warn! BUY 3 +4.7% +4.7% SELL 170 +36.2% +18.7%
BankAmerica Co SELL 23 +48.3% +25.3% SELL 53 +65.1% +49.6%
Boeing SELL 14 +9.6% -3.9% SELL 178 +51.8% +44.7%
Caterpillar Warn! BUY 25 +8.3% +5.1% SELL 116 +50.9% +38.6%
Chevron Corp Warn! BUY 31 +15.1% +13.8% SELL 60 +25.4% -2.8%
Citigroup SELL 52 +74.8% +44.6% SELL 493 +91.7% +81.8%
Coca Cola Warn! BUY 7 +7.4% +7.4% SELL 205 +27.1% +16.0%
Disney Warn! BUY 3 +2.2% +2.2% SELL 60 +37.0% +24.3%
Dupont SELL 16 +19.3% +7.9% SELL 64 +47.7% +40.3%
Exxon Mobil BUY 31 +8.7% +7.7% BUY 2 0.0% -0.9%
General Electr Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% -5.4% SELL 231 +59.4% +45.7%
General Motors Warn! BUY 2 +8.9% +8.9% SELL 386 +91.3% +83.7%
Hewlett Packar Warn! BUY 7 +3.1% +1.9% SELL 57 +32.2% +18.5%
Home Depot Warn! BUY 4 +9.9% +7.9% SELL 72 +27.8% +9.8%
IBM Warn! BUY 3 +1.3% +1.2% SELL 85 +37.3% +28.7%
Intel Warn! BUY 2 0.0% -1.2% SELL 86 +42.7% +35.4%
Johnson & John Warn! BUY 4 0.0% -0.9% SELL 53 +13.5% +8.4%
JP Morgan Chas SELL 22 +40.6% +17.3% SELL 21 +39.8% +16.1%
Kraft Foods Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% +0.8% SELL 52 +19.1% +11.5%
McDonalds Corp BUY 30 +3.7% +3.7% BUY 29 +2.4% +2.4%
Merck SELL 14 +13.8% +2.2% SELL 311 +52.7% +46.4%
Microsoft Warn! BUY 2 0.0% -1.3% SELL 212 +37.6% +28.1%
Pfizer Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% -3.8% SELL 375 +32.2% +22.9%
Procter & Gamb Warn! BUY 29 +4.7% +2.0% SELL 8 0.0% -8.5%
United Technol Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% -5.5% SELL 175 +34.7% +26.7%
Verizon Warn! BUY 3 +6.8% +6.8% SELL 161 +27.1% +5.1%
Wal-Mart BUY 3 +3.7% +2.2% BUY 31 +2.8% +1.3%
Average 11 +10.8% +6.0% 142 +38.5% +27.3%
*****************************************************************************
EXPLANATION OF TABLE HEADINGS
Close Price: The last price at which the stock traded today.
% Change: Percentage that price has changed from prior day's close.
% Ave Daily Vol: Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the
Each day Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the 250-EMA of
250-EMA of volume and report it as the percentage of average daily volume.
High percentages of average daily volume indicate that unusual interest is
being shown in a stock. Check news and other indicators.
Yield: Dividend expressed as a percentage of the closing price.
Payout Ratio: Dividend divided by the earnings. If this number is greater
than 1.0 it means that the company is paying out more in dividends than it
is earning. Not good.
PMO Rank: Shows the rank of the PMO in relation to the other stocks
this group.
5 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) in the last 5 days.
15 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) in the last 15 days.
YTD Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) since the beginning of the year.
Signl: The signal designations of BUY and SELL indicate the current
direction of momentum and are not an indication that continuous buying or
selling should take place. Signals that are a few days or weeks old give the
best indication that profitable action MIGHT be taken.
Cal Days Elap: Indicates the number of calendar days that have elapsed since
the current signal was initiated.
High P/L: Highest profit or least loss experienced since the current signal
was initiated. On the first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the
closing P/L for the prior signal.
Today P/L: Profit or loss for the signal since it was initiated. On the
first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the closing P/L for the prior
signal.
STOP: The price at which the mechanical PMM signal will reverse.
Price Rel to Stop: This column shows the relationship of the current price
to the price at which the signal will change. (i.e. +5.3% means the current
price is 5.3% above the signal change price.
PMO R/F Days: The direction of the PMO (rising/falling) and number of
calendar days trend has been effect.
The Hot/Cold grouping ranks securities/indexes into six (6) groups ranging
from 1 (Hot) to 6 (Cold) according to price strength, internal strength,
and relative strength. We can quickly assess the condition of these
elements by the group number and "blinker" fields. Moving from left to
right: The first blinker tells us if the PMO is above (+) or below (-) its
10-day exponential moving average (EMA). The second blinker indicates if
the closing price is above (+) or below (-) it's 20-DMA. The third and
fourth blinkers tell us if the PMO is rising (+) or falling (-), and if it
is above (+) or below (-) zero. The fifth blinker tells us if the 5-day PMO
rank change is positive (+), negative (-), or no change ( ). Groups 1-3
should be considered as buy candidates, 4-6 as sell candidates.
CAVEAT
We make every effort to insure the accuracy of this information, but we
cannot guarantee it. It is always possible that errors will creep in. If it
doesn't make sense, let us know about it. Also, we make every effort to upload
this data each market day, but circumstances may be such that it is not
possible due to circumstances beyond our control.
End of Daily DOW 30 Stock Review for Friday 11/28/2008
Copyright 2008 Decision Point. This publication is not to be summarized,
reproduced, or rebroadcast in any fashion without our written permission.
Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or
sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee or imply future
results.
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