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DECISION POINT
DAILY DOW 30 STOCK REVIEW
TUESDAY 1/31/2012
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This report highlights daily results of the stocks in the DOW 30 Index.
Daily chart books of these stocks (6-Mo and 2-Yr) are also available (see
Main Menu). THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NOT A
SOLICITATION OR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
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FUNDAMENTAL DATA ARE FOR INFORMATION ONLY. THEY SHOULD BE VERIFIED.
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DOW 30 RESULTS FOR TUESDAY 1/31/12
01/31 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
3M Company MMM 86.71 -0.63 -0.7% 3486.5 81% 2.5% 15 0.4
Alcoa AA 10.16 -0.16 -1.6% 24961.5 84% 1.2% 11 0.1
American Express AXP 50.14 +1.02 +2.1% 6786.6 84% 1.4% 13 0.2
AT&T Corp T 29.41 +0.07 +0.2% 28792.3 99% 5.8% 15 0.9
BankAmerica Corp BAC 7.13 +0.06 +0.9% 211228.6 87% 0.6% D
Boeing BA 74.18 +0.02 +0.0% 4706.5 83% 2.3% 15 0.3
Caterpillar CAT 109.12 -1.29 -1.2% 7540.5 84% 1.6% 17 0.3
Chevron Corp CVX 103.12 -0.29 -0.3% 8132.4 87% 2.9% 8 0.2
Cisco Systems CSCO 19.65 +0.09 +0.5% 40301.8 67% 0.6% 17 0.1
Coca Cola KO 67.53 +0.07 +0.1% 6554.0 72% 2.7% 12 0.3
Disney DIS 38.90 -0.09 -0.2% 13833.8 115% 1.0% 15 0.2
Dupont DD 50.89 -0.08 -0.2% 6258.9 85% 3.2% 14 0.4
Exxon Mobil XOM 83.74 -1.75 -2.1% 26769.1 122% 2.2% 10 0.2
General Electric GE 18.71 -0.19 -1.0% 45123.6 69% 3.1% 15 0.5
Hewlett Packard HPQ 27.98 +0.10 +0.4% 13559.8 65% 1.4% 8 0.1
Home Depot HD 44.39 -0.38 -0.9% 10183.8 84% 2.2% 19 0.4
IBM IBM 192.60 +0.10 +0.1% 4715.3 81% 1.5% 15 0.2
Intel INTC 26.42 -0.32 -1.2% 44854.1 75% 2.8% 11 0.3
Johnson & Johns JNJ 65.91 +0.20 +0.3% 13261.4 109% 3.4% 16 0.5
JP Morgan Chase JPM 37.30 +0.29 +0.8% 29179.6 72% 1.6% 8 0.1
Kraft Foods KFT 38.30 +0.12 +0.3% 6519.8 67% 3.0% 21 0.6
McDonalds Corp MCD 99.05 +0.36 +0.4% 6466.9 101% 2.5% 19 0.5
Merck MRK 38.27 -0.62 -1.6% 16190.0 98% 4.0% 28 1.1
Microsoft MSFT 29.53 -0.08 -0.3% 49977.5 83% 2.2% 11 0.2
Pfizer PFE 21.40 -0.18 -0.8% 54782.0 112% 3.6% 15 0.5
Procter & Gamble PG 63.04 -0.17 -0.3% 11101.8 100% 3.2% 16 0.5
Travelers Cos TRV 58.30 +0.19 +0.3% 3178.7 75% 2.6% 15 0.4
United Technolgy UTX 78.35 +0.74 +1.0% 5920.3 121% 2.3% 15 0.3
Verizon VZ 37.66 +0.05 +0.1% 14230.6 85% 5.2% 15 0.8
Wal-Mart WMT 61.36 +0.06 +0.1% 9561.7 82% 2.3% 13 0.3
Average -0.09 -0.2% 24272.0 88% 2.5% 13 0.4
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DOW 30 SORTED BY PERCENTAGE CHANGE
01/31 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
American Express AXP 50.14 +1.02 +2.1% 6786.6 84% 1.4% 13 0.2
United Technolgy UTX 78.35 +0.74 +1.0% 5920.3 121% 2.3% 15 0.3
BankAmerica Corp BAC 7.13 +0.06 +0.9% 211228.6 87% 0.6% D
JP Morgan Chase JPM 37.30 +0.29 +0.8% 29179.6 72% 1.6% 8 0.1
Cisco Systems CSCO 19.65 +0.09 +0.5% 40301.8 67% 0.6% 17 0.1
Hewlett Packard HPQ 27.98 +0.10 +0.4% 13559.8 65% 1.4% 8 0.1
McDonalds Corp MCD 99.05 +0.36 +0.4% 6466.9 101% 2.5% 19 0.5
Travelers Cos TRV 58.30 +0.19 +0.3% 3178.7 75% 2.6% 15 0.4
Kraft Foods KFT 38.30 +0.12 +0.3% 6519.8 67% 3.0% 21 0.6
Johnson & Johns JNJ 65.91 +0.20 +0.3% 13261.4 109% 3.4% 16 0.5
AT&T Corp T 29.41 +0.07 +0.2% 28792.3 99% 5.8% 15 0.9
Verizon VZ 37.66 +0.05 +0.1% 14230.6 85% 5.2% 15 0.8
Coca Cola KO 67.53 +0.07 +0.1% 6554.0 72% 2.7% 12 0.3
Wal-Mart WMT 61.36 +0.06 +0.1% 9561.7 82% 2.3% 13 0.3
IBM IBM 192.60 +0.10 +0.1% 4715.3 81% 1.5% 15 0.2
Boeing BA 74.18 +0.02 +0.0% 4706.5 83% 2.3% 15 0.3
Dupont DD 50.89 -0.08 -0.2% 6258.9 85% 3.2% 14 0.4
Disney DIS 38.90 -0.09 -0.2% 13833.8 115% 1.0% 15 0.2
Microsoft MSFT 29.53 -0.08 -0.3% 49977.5 83% 2.2% 11 0.2
Procter & Gamble PG 63.04 -0.17 -0.3% 11101.8 100% 3.2% 16 0.5
Chevron Corp CVX 103.12 -0.29 -0.3% 8132.4 87% 2.9% 8 0.2
3M Company MMM 86.71 -0.63 -0.7% 3486.5 81% 2.5% 15 0.4
Pfizer PFE 21.40 -0.18 -0.8% 54782.0 112% 3.6% 15 0.5
Home Depot HD 44.39 -0.38 -0.9% 10183.8 84% 2.2% 19 0.4
General Electric GE 18.71 -0.19 -1.0% 45123.6 69% 3.1% 15 0.5
Caterpillar CAT 109.12 -1.29 -1.2% 7540.5 84% 1.6% 17 0.3
Intel INTC 26.42 -0.32 -1.2% 44854.1 75% 2.8% 11 0.3
Alcoa AA 10.16 -0.16 -1.6% 24961.5 84% 1.2% 11 0.1
Merck MRK 38.27 -0.62 -1.6% 16190.0 98% 4.0% 28 1.1
Exxon Mobil XOM 83.74 -1.75 -2.1% 26769.1 122% 2.2% 10 0.2
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DOW 30 SORTED BY PERCENTAGE OF AVERAGE DAILY VOLUME
Each day Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the 250-EMA of
volume and report it as the percentage of average daily volume. High
percentages of average daily volume indicate that unusual interest is being
shown in a stock. Check news and other indicators.
01/31 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Exxon Mobil XOM 83.74 -1.75 -2.1% 26769.1 122% 2.2% 10 0.2
United Technolgy UTX 78.35 +0.74 +1.0% 5920.3 121% 2.3% 15 0.3
Disney DIS 38.90 -0.09 -0.2% 13833.8 115% 1.0% 15 0.2
Pfizer PFE 21.40 -0.18 -0.8% 54782.0 112% 3.6% 15 0.5
Johnson & Johns JNJ 65.91 +0.20 +0.3% 13261.4 109% 3.4% 16 0.5
McDonalds Corp MCD 99.05 +0.36 +0.4% 6466.9 101% 2.5% 19 0.5
Procter & Gamble PG 63.04 -0.17 -0.3% 11101.8 100% 3.2% 16 0.5
AT&T Corp T 29.41 +0.07 +0.2% 28792.3 99% 5.8% 15 0.9
Merck MRK 38.27 -0.62 -1.6% 16190.0 98% 4.0% 28 1.1
BankAmerica Corp BAC 7.13 +0.06 +0.9% 211228.6 87% 0.6% D
Chevron Corp CVX 103.12 -0.29 -0.3% 8132.4 87% 2.9% 8 0.2
Verizon VZ 37.66 +0.05 +0.1% 14230.6 85% 5.2% 15 0.8
Dupont DD 50.89 -0.08 -0.2% 6258.9 85% 3.2% 14 0.4
Caterpillar CAT 109.12 -1.29 -1.2% 7540.5 84% 1.6% 17 0.3
Home Depot HD 44.39 -0.38 -0.9% 10183.8 84% 2.2% 19 0.4
American Express AXP 50.14 +1.02 +2.1% 6786.6 84% 1.4% 13 0.2
Alcoa AA 10.16 -0.16 -1.6% 24961.5 84% 1.2% 11 0.1
Boeing BA 74.18 +0.02 +0.0% 4706.5 83% 2.3% 15 0.3
Microsoft MSFT 29.53 -0.08 -0.3% 49977.5 83% 2.2% 11 0.2
Wal-Mart WMT 61.36 +0.06 +0.1% 9561.7 82% 2.3% 13 0.3
IBM IBM 192.60 +0.10 +0.1% 4715.3 81% 1.5% 15 0.2
3M Company MMM 86.71 -0.63 -0.7% 3486.5 81% 2.5% 15 0.4
Travelers Cos TRV 58.30 +0.19 +0.3% 3178.7 75% 2.6% 15 0.4
Intel INTC 26.42 -0.32 -1.2% 44854.1 75% 2.8% 11 0.3
JP Morgan Chase JPM 37.30 +0.29 +0.8% 29179.6 72% 1.6% 8 0.1
Coca Cola KO 67.53 +0.07 +0.1% 6554.0 72% 2.7% 12 0.3
General Electric GE 18.71 -0.19 -1.0% 45123.6 69% 3.1% 15 0.5
Cisco Systems CSCO 19.65 +0.09 +0.5% 40301.8 67% 0.6% 17 0.1
Kraft Foods KFT 38.30 +0.12 +0.3% 6519.8 67% 3.0% 21 0.6
Hewlett Packard HPQ 27.98 +0.10 +0.4% 13559.8 65% 1.4% 8 0.1
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DOW 30 STOCKS SORTED BY YIELD
01/31 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
AT&T Corp T 29.41 +0.07 +0.2% 28792.3 99% 5.8% 15 0.9
Verizon VZ 37.66 +0.05 +0.1% 14230.6 85% 5.2% 15 0.8
Merck MRK 38.27 -0.62 -1.6% 16190.0 98% 4.0% 28 1.1
Pfizer PFE 21.40 -0.18 -0.8% 54782.0 112% 3.6% 15 0.5
Johnson & Johns JNJ 65.91 +0.20 +0.3% 13261.4 109% 3.4% 16 0.5
Dupont DD 50.89 -0.08 -0.2% 6258.9 85% 3.2% 14 0.4
Procter & Gamble PG 63.04 -0.17 -0.3% 11101.8 100% 3.2% 16 0.5
General Electric GE 18.71 -0.19 -1.0% 45123.6 69% 3.1% 15 0.5
Kraft Foods KFT 38.30 +0.12 +0.3% 6519.8 67% 3.0% 21 0.6
Chevron Corp CVX 103.12 -0.29 -0.3% 8132.4 87% 2.9% 8 0.2
Intel INTC 26.42 -0.32 -1.2% 44854.1 75% 2.8% 11 0.3
Coca Cola KO 67.53 +0.07 +0.1% 6554.0 72% 2.7% 12 0.3
Travelers Cos TRV 58.30 +0.19 +0.3% 3178.7 75% 2.6% 15 0.4
3M Company MMM 86.71 -0.63 -0.7% 3486.5 81% 2.5% 15 0.4
McDonalds Corp MCD 99.05 +0.36 +0.4% 6466.9 101% 2.5% 19 0.5
United Technolgy UTX 78.35 +0.74 +1.0% 5920.3 121% 2.3% 15 0.3
Wal-Mart WMT 61.36 +0.06 +0.1% 9561.7 82% 2.3% 13 0.3
Boeing BA 74.18 +0.02 +0.0% 4706.5 83% 2.3% 15 0.3
Home Depot HD 44.39 -0.38 -0.9% 10183.8 84% 2.2% 19 0.4
Exxon Mobil XOM 83.74 -1.75 -2.1% 26769.1 122% 2.2% 10 0.2
Microsoft MSFT 29.53 -0.08 -0.3% 49977.5 83% 2.2% 11 0.2
Caterpillar CAT 109.12 -1.29 -1.2% 7540.5 84% 1.6% 17 0.3
JP Morgan Chase JPM 37.30 +0.29 +0.8% 29179.6 72% 1.6% 8 0.1
IBM IBM 192.60 +0.10 +0.1% 4715.3 81% 1.5% 15 0.2
American Express AXP 50.14 +1.02 +2.1% 6786.6 84% 1.4% 13 0.2
Hewlett Packard HPQ 27.98 +0.10 +0.4% 13559.8 65% 1.4% 8 0.1
Alcoa AA 10.16 -0.16 -1.6% 24961.5 84% 1.2% 11 0.1
Disney DIS 38.90 -0.09 -0.2% 13833.8 115% 1.0% 15 0.2
Cisco Systems CSCO 19.65 +0.09 +0.5% 40301.8 67% 0.6% 17 0.1
BankAmerica Corp BAC 7.13 +0.06 +0.9% 211228.6 87% 0.6% D
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DOW 30 STOCKS SORTED BY P/E RATIO
01/31 % Ave
Close $ % Daily Payout
Name Symbl Price Change Change Volume Vol Yield P/E Ratio
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ -------- ----- ----- --- -----
Chevron Corp CVX 103.12 -0.29 -0.3% 8132.4 87% 2.9% 8 0.2
JP Morgan Chase JPM 37.30 +0.29 +0.8% 29179.6 72% 1.6% 8 0.1
Hewlett Packard HPQ 27.98 +0.10 +0.4% 13559.8 65% 1.4% 8 0.1
Exxon Mobil XOM 83.74 -1.75 -2.1% 26769.1 122% 2.2% 10 0.2
Alcoa AA 10.16 -0.16 -1.6% 24961.5 84% 1.2% 11 0.1
Microsoft MSFT 29.53 -0.08 -0.3% 49977.5 83% 2.2% 11 0.2
Intel INTC 26.42 -0.32 -1.2% 44854.1 75% 2.8% 11 0.3
Coca Cola KO 67.53 +0.07 +0.1% 6554.0 72% 2.7% 12 0.3
American Express AXP 50.14 +1.02 +2.1% 6786.6 84% 1.4% 13 0.2
Wal-Mart WMT 61.36 +0.06 +0.1% 9561.7 82% 2.3% 13 0.3
Dupont DD 50.89 -0.08 -0.2% 6258.9 85% 3.2% 14 0.4
Boeing BA 74.18 +0.02 +0.0% 4706.5 83% 2.3% 15 0.3
United Technolgy UTX 78.35 +0.74 +1.0% 5920.3 121% 2.3% 15 0.3
3M Company MMM 86.71 -0.63 -0.7% 3486.5 81% 2.5% 15 0.4
AT&T Corp T 29.41 +0.07 +0.2% 28792.3 99% 5.8% 15 0.9
Pfizer PFE 21.40 -0.18 -0.8% 54782.0 112% 3.6% 15 0.5
Travelers Cos TRV 58.30 +0.19 +0.3% 3178.7 75% 2.6% 15 0.4
Verizon VZ 37.66 +0.05 +0.1% 14230.6 85% 5.2% 15 0.8
General Electric GE 18.71 -0.19 -1.0% 45123.6 69% 3.1% 15 0.5
IBM IBM 192.60 +0.10 +0.1% 4715.3 81% 1.5% 15 0.2
Disney DIS 38.90 -0.09 -0.2% 13833.8 115% 1.0% 15 0.2
Procter & Gamble PG 63.04 -0.17 -0.3% 11101.8 100% 3.2% 16 0.5
Johnson & Johns JNJ 65.91 +0.20 +0.3% 13261.4 109% 3.4% 16 0.5
Caterpillar CAT 109.12 -1.29 -1.2% 7540.5 84% 1.6% 17 0.3
Cisco Systems CSCO 19.65 +0.09 +0.5% 40301.8 67% 0.6% 17 0.1
Home Depot HD 44.39 -0.38 -0.9% 10183.8 84% 2.2% 19 0.4
McDonalds Corp MCD 99.05 +0.36 +0.4% 6466.9 101% 2.5% 19 0.5
Kraft Foods KFT 38.30 +0.12 +0.3% 6519.8 67% 3.0% 21 0.6
Merck MRK 38.27 -0.62 -1.6% 16190.0 98% 4.0% 28 1.1
BankAmerica Corp BAC 7.13 +0.06 +0.9% 211228.6 87% 0.6% D
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DOW 30 DAILY BLUE CHIP STOCK PMO STRENGTH RANK ANALYSIS
This report presents ranking of DOW 30 stocks based on Decision
Point's proprietary PMO (Price Momentum Oscillator). The PMO measures a
stock's absolute strength based on price momentum. THIS REPORT IS TO ASSIST
RESEARCH AND IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL SECURITIES.
The Hot/Cold Groups & Blinkers are explained at the end of this report.
STOCKS SORTED BY PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) RANK
|RankChg-| |---- % Price Change ----| Hot/Cold
PMO 5 15 On 5 15 Group &
Stock Name/Symbol Rank Day Day 01/31 Day Day YTD Blinkers
--------------------- ---- ---- ---- ------ ----- ----- ------ |---------|
BankAmerica Corp BAC 1 0 +23 +0.9% -2% +14% +28% 3 ++ -+
Caterpillar CAT 2 +2 +19 -1.2% +3% +13% +21% 1 ++ ++ +
JP Morgan Chase JPM 3 -1 +4 +0.8% -1% +6% +13% 3 ++ -+ -
Home Depot HD 4 +1 -2 -0.9% -1% +3% +6% 4 -+ -+ +
General Electric GE 5 -2 -4 -1.0% -1% -1% +4% 4 -+ -+ -
Microsoft MSFT 6 0 +9 -0.3% +1% +6% +14% 1 ++ ++
Intel INTC 7 +3 +9 -1.2% -2% +4% +9% 3 ++ -+ +
Dupont DD 8 +6 +17 -0.2% +3% +10% +11% 1 ++ ++ +
Disney DIS 9 -2 -6 -0.2% -1% -2% +4% 4 -+ -+ -
Alcoa AA 10 +8 +20 -1.6% -1% +8% +17% 3 ++ -+ +
Merck MRK 11 -3 -7 -1.6% -1% 0% +2% 5 -- -+ -
Cisco Systems CSCO 12 -1 +5 +0.5% -1% +4% +9% 3 ++ -+ -
3M Company MMM 13 +4 +1 -0.7% +1% +3% +6% 3 ++ -+ +
Boeing BA 14 -5 -8 +0.0% -2% 0% +1% 5 -- -+ -
Exxon Mobil XOM 15 -3 -7 -2.1% -4% -2% -1% 5 -- -+ -
Kraft Foods KFT 16 -1 -4 +0.3% 0% +2% +3% 4 -+ -+ -
Hewlett Packard HPQ 17 +6 +11 +0.4% -2% +6% +9% 1 ++ ++ +
Pfizer PFE 18 -5 -13 -0.8% -1% -2% -1% 5 -- -+ -
Wal-Mart WMT 19 +2 -1 +0.1% 0% +4% +3% 1 ++ ++ +
American Express AXP 20 +4 +6 +2.1% +2% +4% +7% 1 ++ ++ +
United Technolgy UTX 21 +5 +8 +1.0% +1% +6% +7% 1 ++ ++ +
Travelers Cos TRV 22 -6 -13 +0.3% +1% -2% -1% 5 -- -+ -
McDonalds Corp MCD 23 -4 -12 +0.4% 0% -1% -1% 5 -- -+ -
AT&T Corp T 24 -4 -5 +0.2% -2% -1% -1% 5 -- -+ -
IBM IBM 25 +5 +2 +0.1% 0% +6% +5% 1 ++ ++ +
Chevron Corp CVX 26 -4 -16 -0.3% -3% -6% -3% 5 -- -+ -
Johnson & Johns JNJ 27 +1 -4 +0.3% +1% +2% +1% 4 -+ ++ +
Verizon VZ 28 -3 -15 +0.1% 0% -2% -5% 5 -- -+ -
Coca Cola KO 29 0 -7 +0.1% -1% -2% -3% 5 -- -+
Procter & Gamble PG 30 -3 -10 -0.3% -2% -5% -5% 5 -- -+ -
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DOW 30 STOCKS PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) CROSSOVER SIGNALS
The PMO generates BUY or SELL Signals when it crosses up or down through
its 10-EMA. These signals tend to be short-term in duration, but they can
last for several weeks. Do not take them at face value because they can
whipsaw quite a bit. They should be used to alert you to possible trading
opportunities not used as a mechanical trading model. Always check our daily
stock charts to verify the price pattern and the configuration of the PMO.
Signals are best when price appears extended, is near support or resistance,
and the PMO is very overbought or oversold. These signals may also be used to
manage positions based on our Price Momentum Model signals.
SUMMARY OF PMO CROSSOVER SIGNALS
DJIA DJIA
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 14 16
% of Total......: 47% 53%
Ave Days Elapsed: 31 15
Ave High Profit.: +11% +2%
Ave Profit......: +9% +1%
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
01/31 Cal
Close % Days High Today PMO
Name/Symbol Price Change Signl Elap P/L P/L R/F Days
---------------------- ------ ------ ----- ---- ------- ------- --------
IBM IBM 192.60 +0.1% BUY 8 1.4% 1.4% R 11
Wal-Mart WMT 61.36 +0.1% BUY 11 0.8% 0.6% R 1
Hewlett Packard HPQ 27.98 +0.4% BUY 21 7.5% 4.8% R 28
Cisco Systems CSCO 19.65 +0.5% BUY 26 5.3% 3.9% F 4
Caterpillar CAT 109.12 -1.2% BUY 27 17.9% 15.6% R 28
United Technolgy UTX 78.35 +1.0% BUY 27 4.4% 4.4% R 22
Alcoa AA 10.16 -1.6% BUY 28 13.5% 10.1% F 0
American Express AXP 50.14 +2.1% BUY 28 5.7% 4.0% R 0
Intel INTC 26.42 -1.2% BUY 28 9.6% 7.7% F 0
Dupont DD 50.89 -0.2% BUY 35 10.3% 10.1% R 42
3M Company MMM 86.71 -0.7% BUY 39 6.5% 5.5% F 0
BankAmerica Corp BAC 7.13 +0.8% BUY 40 34.4% 30.3% F 1
Microsoft MSFT 29.53 -0.3% BUY 55 16.1% 15.4% R 62
JP Morgan Chase JPM 37.30 +0.8% BUY 57 13.2% 12.1% F 4
Home Depot HD 44.39 -0.8% SELL 4 1.1% 1.1% F 5
AT&T Corp T 29.41 +0.2% SELL 5 1.0% 0.1% F 7
Exxon Mobil XOM 83.74 -2.0% SELL 6 4.0% 4.0% F 7
Kraft Foods KFT 38.30 +0.3% SELL 6 0.5% 0.2% F 8
General Electric GE 18.71 -1.0% SELL 7 0.7% 0.7% F 11
Travelers Cos TRV 58.30 +0.3% SELL 8 3.8% 3.3% F 8
Disney DIS 38.90 -0.2% SELL 11 1.0% 1.0% F 11
Merck MRK 38.27 -1.6% SELL 14 1.4% 1.4% F 11
Chevron Corp CVX 103.12 -0.3% SELL 18 2.8% 2.8% F 20
Coca Cola KO 67.53 +0.1% SELL 20 1.6% 0.8% F 5
Johnson & Johns JNJ 65.91 +0.3% SELL 20 0.2% -1.2% R 5
Procter & Gamble PG 63.04 -0.3% SELL 20 3.3% 3.3% F 26
Boeing BA 74.18 0.0% SELL 25 0.0% -0.3% F 18
Pfizer PFE 21.40 -0.8% SELL 25 0.8% 0.8% F 27
Verizon VZ 37.66 +0.1% SELL 25 2.9% 1.7% F 28
McDonalds Corp MCD 99.05 +0.4% SELL 27 0.7% 0.3% F 8
Average -0.2% 22 5.7% 4.9% 14
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DOW 30 STOCKS PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
The SWENLIN PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL is intended to catch long-term price moves.
Model Signals are mechanically generated by a 200-day exponential moving
average (EMA) crossover in conjunction with a 10% price move in the opposite
direction of the current signal extreme. For example, assume that the current
signal is a BUY. If the price drops 10% from the signal high, and also drops
below the 200-EMA, a SELL Signal will be generated automatically. The
MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS work best when prices are trending and changing
direction smoothly. When prices are volatile, particularly in a 10% range,
results will be extremely poor. By design, these signals will always miss at
least the first 10% of a move. Rather than wait for a signal reversal, it is
best to use trend analysis and other indicators to decide when to exit a
position. New signals should alert you to the possibility that a change in
direction is taking place. Once alerted, watch price movement and other
indicators to determine an optimum entry point, if any.
SUMMARY OF MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
DJIA DJIA
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 27 3
% of Total......: 90% 10%
Ave Days Elapsed: 171 300
Ave High Profit.: +18% +51%
Ave Profit......: +15% +38%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +10% -10%
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
This is a list of PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS for the DOW 30 stocks.
The newest signals give notice that the trend may be in the process of
making a long-term change of direction.
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
01/31 Cal Price
Close % Days High Today Rel to
Name/Symbol Price Change Sgnl Elap P/L P/L STOP Stop
---------------------- ------ ------ ---- ---- ------ ------ ------ -------
United Technolgy UTX 78.35 +1.0% BUY 0 0.0% -10.4% 70.52 +11.1%
American Express AXP 50.14 +2.1% BUY 19 2.6% 1.0% 45.86 +9.3%
Dupont DD 50.89 -0.2% BUY 19 6.0% 5.8% 45.87 +10.9%
Caterpillar CAT 109.12 -1.2% BUY 25 16.8% 14.5% 92.93 +17.4%
JP Morgan Chase JPM 37.30 +0.8% BUY 26 5.5% 4.5% 33.89 +10.0%
Microsoft MSFT 29.53 -0.3% BUY 28 11.1% 10.3% 26.23 +12.6%
3M Company MMM 86.71 -0.7% BUY 35 6.4% 5.4% 78.82 +10.0%
AT&T Corp T 29.41 +0.2% BUY 39 3.6% -0.1% 27.46 +7.1%
Travelers Cos TRV 58.30 +0.3% BUY 42 5.9% 0.3% 55.43 +5.2%
General Electric GE 18.71 -1.0% BUY 46 13.6% 11.0% 17.19 +8.9%
Chevron Corp CVX 103.12 -0.3% BUY 62 7.3% 0.3% 99.33 +3.8%
Boeing BA 74.18 0.0% BUY 96 13.0% 10.6% 68.24 +8.7%
Disney DIS 38.90 -0.2% BUY 96 11.8% 9.0% 35.92 +8.3%
Merck MRK 38.27 -1.6% BUY 102 19.2% 16.1% 34.57 +10.7%
Cisco Systems CSCO 19.65 +0.5% BUY 113 17.0% 15.4% 17.83 +10.2%
Exxon Mobil XOM 83.74 -2.0% BUY 113 15.4% 10.4% 78.74 +6.3%
Procter & Gamble PG 63.04 -0.3% BUY 113 4.2% -1.1% 59.80 +5.4%
IBM IBM 192.60 +0.1% BUY 133 11.8% 10.7% 175.07 +10.0%
Intel INTC 26.42 -1.2% BUY 139 28.5% 26.2% 22.96 +15.1%
Johnson & Johns JNJ 65.91 +0.3% BUY 155 1.2% 1.0% 59.42 +10.9%
Pfizer PFE 21.40 -0.8% BUY 155 17.7% 14.5% 19.57 +9.4%
Home Depot HD 44.39 -0.8% BUY 160 34.2% 31.1% 37.19 +19.4%
Verizon VZ 37.66 +0.1% BUY 160 11.5% 6.1% 35.64 +5.7%
Wal-Mart WMT 61.36 +0.1% BUY 160 15.9% 15.7% 55.32 +10.9%
Coca Cola KO 67.53 +0.1% BUY 557 34.8% 28.8% 63.65 +6.1%
Kraft Foods KFT 38.30 +0.3% BUY 977 64.6% 62.8% 34.63 +10.6%
McDonalds Corp MCD 99.05 +0.4% BUY 1034 95.6% 90.4% 89.18 +11.1%
Alcoa AA 10.16 -1.6% SELL 187 42.3% 31.2% 11.62 -12.6%
Hewlett Packard HPQ 27.98 +0.4% SELL 342 48.5% 34.8% 30.17 -7.2%
BankAmerica Corp BAC 7.13 +0.8% SELL 371 63.2% 47.5% 8.05 -11.4%
Average -0.2% 183 21.0% 16.8% +7.8%
****************************************************************************
DOW 30 SHORT-TERM (PMO) and LONG-TERM (PMM) SIGNAL COMPARISONS
The Price Momentum Model (PMM) signal provides guidance regarding the
longer-term trend, and the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signals identify
the shorter-term trend. A logical trading methodology is to open positions
on new PMO signals when they are compatable with the PMM signals. Positions
may be closed or hedged when the PMM and PMO signals are in conflict.
This section compares the PMM and PMO signals side by side and provides
some mechanical analysis. A "Warn!" flag is an alert that the PMO signal is
in conflict with the PMM -- closing or hedging the PMM position may be
considered. A "Buy?" or "Sell?" flag is an alert that the PMO signal has
just changed and is the same as the PMM signal -- opening new PMM positions
may be considered.
SUMMARY OF SHORT-TERM AND LONG-TERM SIGNALS FOR DOW 30 STOCKS
SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM
PMO PMO PMM PMM
BUY SELL BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 14 16 27 3
% of Total......: 47% 53% 90% 10%
Ave Days Elapsed: 31 15 171 300
Ave High Profit.: +11% +2% +18% +51%
Ave Profit......: +9% +1% +15% +38%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +10% -10%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 30%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 100%
|-- PMO Crossover Model ---|-- Price Momentum Model --|
| PMO High Today | PMM High Today|
Name Flag| Sgnl Day P/L P/L | Sgnl Days P/L P/L|
--------------- -----| ---- --- ------- ------- | ---- ---- ------- -------|
3M Company BUY 39 +6.6% +5.5% BUY 35 +6.4% +5.4%
Alcoa Warn! BUY 28 +13.5% +10.1% SELL 187 +42.3% +31.2%
American Expre BUY 28 +5.7% +4.0% BUY 19 +2.6% +1.0%
AT&T Corp Warn! SELL 5 +1.0% +0.1% BUY 39 +3.6% -0.1%
BankAmerica Co Warn! BUY 40 +34.4% +30.4% SELL 371 +63.2% +47.5%
Boeing Warn! SELL 25 0.0% -0.3% BUY 96 +13.0% +10.6%
Caterpillar BUY 27 +17.9% +15.6% BUY 25 +16.8% +14.5%
Chevron Corp Warn! SELL 18 +2.8% +2.8% BUY 62 +7.3% +0.3%
Cisco Systems BUY 26 +5.3% +3.9% BUY 113 +17.0% +15.4%
Coca Cola Warn! SELL 20 +1.6% +0.8% BUY 557 +34.8% +28.8%
Disney Warn! SELL 11 +1.0% +1.0% BUY 96 +11.8% +9.0%
Dupont BUY 35 +10.3% +10.1% BUY 19 +6.0% +5.8%
Exxon Mobil Warn! SELL 6 +4.0% +4.0% BUY 113 +15.4% +10.4%
General Electr Warn! SELL 7 +0.7% +0.7% BUY 46 +13.7% +11.0%
Hewlett Packar Warn! BUY 21 +7.5% +4.8% SELL 342 +48.5% +34.8%
Home Depot Warn! SELL 4 +1.1% +1.1% BUY 160 +34.2% +31.1%
IBM BUY 8 +1.4% +1.4% BUY 133 +11.8% +10.7%
Intel BUY 28 +9.6% +7.7% BUY 139 +28.5% +26.2%
Johnson & John Warn! SELL 20 +0.2% -1.2% BUY 155 +1.2% +1.0%
JP Morgan Chas BUY 57 +13.2% +12.1% BUY 26 +5.6% +4.5%
Kraft Foods Warn! SELL 6 +0.5% +0.2% BUY 977 +64.6% +62.8%
McDonalds Corp Warn! SELL 27 +0.7% +0.3% BUY 1034 +95.6% +90.4%
Merck Warn! SELL 14 +1.4% +1.4% BUY 102 +19.2% +16.2%
Microsoft BUY 55 +16.1% +15.4% BUY 28 +11.1% +10.3%
Pfizer Warn! SELL 25 +0.8% +0.8% BUY 155 +17.7% +14.5%
Procter & Gamb Warn! SELL 20 +3.3% +3.3% BUY 113 +4.2% -1.1%
Travelers Cos Warn! SELL 8 +3.8% +3.3% BUY 42 +5.9% +0.3%
United Technol BUY 27 +4.4% +4.4% * BUY 0 0.0% -10.4%
Verizon Warn! SELL 25 +2.9% +1.8% BUY 160 +11.5% +6.1%
Wal-Mart BUY 11 +0.8% +0.6% BUY 160 +15.9% +15.7%
Average 22 +5.7% +4.9% 183 +21.0% +16.8%
*****************************************************************************
EXPLANATION OF TABLE HEADINGS
Close Price: The last price at which the stock traded today.
% Change: Percentage that price has changed from prior day's close.
% Ave Daily Vol: Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the
Each day Decision Point divides the current day's volume by the 250-EMA of
250-EMA of volume and report it as the percentage of average daily volume.
High percentages of average daily volume indicate that unusual interest is
being shown in a stock. Check news and other indicators.
Yield: Dividend expressed as a percentage of the closing price.
Payout Ratio: Dividend divided by the earnings. If this number is greater
than 1.0 it means that the company is paying out more in dividends than it
is earning. Not good.
PMO Rank: Shows the rank of the PMO in relation to the other stocks
this group.
5 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) in the last 5 days.
15 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) in the last 15 days.
YTD Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the stock has moved
up (+) or down (-) since the beginning of the year.
Signl: The signal designations of BUY and SELL indicate the current
direction of momentum and are not an indication that continuous buying or
selling should take place. Signals that are a few days or weeks old give the
best indication that profitable action MIGHT be taken.
Cal Days Elap: Indicates the number of calendar days that have elapsed since
the current signal was initiated.
High P/L: Highest profit or least loss experienced since the current signal
was initiated. On the first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the
closing P/L for the prior signal.
Today P/L: Profit or loss for the signal since it was initiated. On the
first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the closing P/L for the prior
signal.
STOP: The price at which the mechanical PMM signal will reverse.
Price Rel to Stop: This column shows the relationship of the current price
to the price at which the signal will change. (i.e. +5.3% means the current
price is 5.3% above the signal change price.
PMO R/F Days: The direction of the PMO (rising/falling) and number of
calendar days trend has been effect.
The Hot/Cold grouping ranks securities/indexes into six (6) groups ranging
from 1 (Hot) to 6 (Cold) according to price strength, internal strength,
and relative strength. We can quickly assess the condition of these
elements by the group number and "blinker" fields. Moving from left to
right: The first blinker tells us if the PMO is above (+) or below (-) its
10-day exponential moving average (EMA). The second blinker indicates if
the closing price is above (+) or below (-) it's 20-EMA. The third and
fourth blinkers tell us if the PMO is rising (+) or falling (-), and if it
is above (+) or below (-) zero. The fifth blinker tells us if the 5-day PMO
rank change is positive (+), negative (-), or no change ( ). Groups 1-3
should be considered as buy candidates, 4-6 as sell candidates.
CAVEAT
We make every effort to insure the accuracy of this information, but we
cannot guarantee it. It is always possible that errors will creep in. If it
doesn't make sense, let us know about it. Also, we make every effort to upload
this data each market day, but circumstances may be such that it is not
possible due to circumstances beyond our control.
End of Daily DOW 30 Stock Review for Tuesday 1/31/2012
Copyright 2012 Decision Point. This publication is not to be summarized,
reproduced, or rebroadcast in any fashion without our written permission.
Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or
sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee or imply future
results.
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