The FIDELITY SELECTOR is included in your Decision Point web site
subscription.
Subscribe Now!
[About This Newsletter]
DECISION POINT
FIDELITY SELECT TRACKER DAILY REPORT
Tuesday, 1/31/2012
****************************************************************************
The Decision Point Fidelity Select Tracker is a daily publication
specializing in Fidelity Select mutual funds. It provides momentum analysis,
strength ranking and BUY and SELL Signals. This newsletter is included as
part of a DecisionPoint.com PRIME web site subscription.
****************************************************************************
INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS TO ASSIST FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY SECURITY. PAST
PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
****************************************************************************
DISTRIBUTIONS: None today.
****************************************************************************
TODAY'S RESULTS AND PRICE CHANGE ANALYSIS
01/31 WTD MTD YTD
Close $ %age %Price %Price %Price
Name Sym NAV Change Change Change Change Change
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Air Transprt FSAIX 37.92 +0.02 +0.1% -0.1% +9.8% +10%
Automotive FSAVX 35.32 -0.11 -0.3% -0.6% +13.4% +13%
Banking FSRBX 16.98 +0.02 +0.1% -0.4% +6.3% +6%
Biotech FBIOX 96.93 +0.30 +0.3% -0.3% +12.6% +13%
Brokerage FSLBX 44.89 +0.19 +0.4% -0.9% +12.3% +12%
Chemical FSCHX 108.10 +0.23 +0.2% +0.3% +13.6% +14%
Comm Equip FSDCX 23.46 +0.06 +0.3% +0.2% +6.3% +6%
Computers FDCPX 60.07 +0.26 +0.4% +0.6% +11.5% +11%
Const/Housng FSHOX 38.58 -0.14 -0.4% -1.3% +7.7% +8%
Consumer Fin FSVLX 11.75 +0.05 +0.4% -0.3% +6.4% +6%
Consum Stpls FDFAX 70.83 -0.08 -0.1% -0.7% -0.9% -1%
Consumer Ind FSCPX 24.67 -0.03 -0.1% -0.4% +7.0% +7%
Defnc/Aerosp FSDAX 82.20 +0.37 +0.5% 0.0% +5.4% +5%
Electronics FSELX 50.87 -0.15 -0.3% -1.1% +15.1% +15%
Energy FSENX 52.05 -0.07 -0.1% -0.7% +5.5% +5%
Energy Svcs FSESX 69.41 -0.28 -0.4% -1.5% +6.7% +7%
Environment FSLEX 15.96 -0.04 -0.2% -0.7% +5.9% +6%
Financl Svcs FIDSX 54.79 +0.36 +0.7% -0.7% +12.0% +12%
Globl Commod FFGCX 15.27 -0.05 -0.3% -1.3% +9.5% +10%
Gold FSAGX 46.78 -0.04 -0.1% -1.3% +10.8% +11%
Health Care FSPHX 129.92 +0.05 0.0% -0.3% +6.2% +6%
Indust Equip FSCGX 34.54 -0.14 -0.4% -1.0% +11.5% +11%
Industrials FCYIX 23.77 -0.10 -0.4% -0.7% +9.0% +9%
Insurance FSPCX 46.28 +0.09 +0.2% -0.4% +4.3% +4%
IT Services FBSOX 22.67 +0.17 +0.8% +0.5% +6.6% +7%
Leisure FDLSX 101.93 -0.19 -0.2% -0.3% +5.8% +6%
Materials FSDPX 68.56 +0.09 +0.1% -0.1% +11.6% +12%
Medical Del FSHCX 58.39 +0.42 +0.7% 0.0% +6.6% +7%
Medical Eqp FSMEX 27.38 +0.07 +0.3% -0.1% +8.7% +9%
Multimedia FBMPX 45.73 -0.12 -0.3% -0.6% +6.2% +6%
Natural Gas FSNGX 31.37 +0.01 0.0% -0.3% +3.1% +3%
Natural Res FNARX 33.75 +0.03 +0.1% -0.6% +7.9% +8%
Pharmaceutcl FPHAX 13.74 +0.02 +0.1% -0.1% +1.2% +1%
Retailing FSRPX 54.39 +0.06 +0.1% -0.4% +6.2% +6%
Softwr/Compt FSCSX 83.72 +0.04 0.0% +0.2% +7.9% +8%
Technology FSPTX 93.65 +0.13 +0.1% -0.3% +8.3% +8%
Telecom FSTCX 43.63 +0.05 +0.1% -0.3% -0.4% 0%
Telecom/Util FIUIX 16.67 +0.03 +0.2% 0.0% -3.9% -4%
Transport FSRFX 53.45 -0.10 -0.2% -0.4% +8.2% +8%
Utilities FSUTX 51.41 +0.17 +0.3% -0.2% -4.0% -4%
Wireless FWRLX 7.41 0.00 0.0% -0.1% +2.2% +2%
Average +0.1% -0.4% +7.1% +7%
****************************************************************************
FIDELITY SELECT FUNDS SORTED BY TODAY'S PERCENTAGE CHANGE
01/31 WTD MTD YTD
Close $ %age %Price %Price %Price
Name Sym NAV Change Change Change Change Change
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
IT Services FBSOX 22.67 +0.17 +0.8% +0.5% +6.6% +7%
Financl Svcs FIDSX 54.79 +0.36 +0.7% -0.7% +12.0% +12%
Medical Del FSHCX 58.39 +0.42 +0.7% 0.0% +6.6% +7%
Defnc/Aerosp FSDAX 82.20 +0.37 +0.5% 0.0% +5.4% +5%
Brokerage FSLBX 44.89 +0.19 +0.4% -0.9% +12.3% +12%
Computers FDCPX 60.07 +0.26 +0.4% +0.6% +11.5% +11%
Consumer Fin FSVLX 11.75 +0.05 +0.4% -0.3% +6.4% +6%
Biotech FBIOX 96.93 +0.30 +0.3% -0.3% +12.6% +13%
Comm Equip FSDCX 23.46 +0.06 +0.3% +0.2% +6.3% +6%
Medical Eqp FSMEX 27.38 +0.07 +0.3% -0.1% +8.7% +9%
Utilities FSUTX 51.41 +0.17 +0.3% -0.2% -4.0% -4%
Chemical FSCHX 108.10 +0.23 +0.2% +0.3% +13.6% +14%
Insurance FSPCX 46.28 +0.09 +0.2% -0.4% +4.3% +4%
Telecom/Util FIUIX 16.67 +0.03 +0.2% 0.0% -3.9% -4%
Air Transprt FSAIX 37.92 +0.02 +0.1% -0.1% +9.8% +10%
Banking FSRBX 16.98 +0.02 +0.1% -0.4% +6.3% +6%
Materials FSDPX 68.56 +0.09 +0.1% -0.1% +11.6% +12%
Natural Res FNARX 33.75 +0.03 +0.1% -0.6% +7.9% +8%
Pharmaceutcl FPHAX 13.74 +0.02 +0.1% -0.1% +1.2% +1%
Retailing FSRPX 54.39 +0.06 +0.1% -0.4% +6.2% +6%
Technology FSPTX 93.65 +0.13 +0.1% -0.3% +8.3% +8%
Telecom FSTCX 43.63 +0.05 +0.1% -0.3% -0.4% 0%
Health Care FSPHX 129.92 +0.05 0.0% -0.3% +6.2% +6%
Natural Gas FSNGX 31.37 +0.01 0.0% -0.3% +3.1% +3%
Softwr/Compt FSCSX 83.72 +0.04 0.0% +0.2% +7.9% +8%
Wireless FWRLX 7.41 0.00 0.0% -0.1% +2.2% +2%
Consum Stpls FDFAX 70.83 -0.08 -0.1% -0.7% -0.9% -1%
Consumer Ind FSCPX 24.67 -0.03 -0.1% -0.4% +7.0% +7%
Energy FSENX 52.05 -0.07 -0.1% -0.7% +5.5% +5%
Gold FSAGX 46.78 -0.04 -0.1% -1.3% +10.8% +11%
Environment FSLEX 15.96 -0.04 -0.2% -0.7% +5.9% +6%
Leisure FDLSX 101.93 -0.19 -0.2% -0.3% +5.8% +6%
Transport FSRFX 53.45 -0.10 -0.2% -0.4% +8.2% +8%
Automotive FSAVX 35.32 -0.11 -0.3% -0.6% +13.4% +13%
Electronics FSELX 50.87 -0.15 -0.3% -1.1% +15.1% +15%
Globl Commod FFGCX 15.27 -0.05 -0.3% -1.3% +9.5% +10%
Multimedia FBMPX 45.73 -0.12 -0.3% -0.6% +6.2% +6%
Const/Housng FSHOX 38.58 -0.14 -0.4% -1.3% +7.7% +8%
Energy Svcs FSESX 69.41 -0.28 -0.4% -1.5% +6.7% +7%
Indust Equip FSCGX 34.54 -0.14 -0.4% -1.0% +11.5% +11%
Industrials FCYIX 23.77 -0.10 -0.4% -0.7% +9.0% +9%
Average +0.1% -0.4% +7.1% +7%
****************************************************************************
FIDELITY SELECT FUNDS SORTED BY PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR (PMO) RANK
This section ranks the securities based on Decision Point's proprietary
PMO, a measure of internal and relative strength.
|-RankChg| |--% Price Change-| Hot/Cold PMO
PMO 5 15 On 5 15 Group & Xover
Name/Symbol Rank Day Day 01/31 Day Day Blinkers Sgnl/Days
---------------------- -- --- --- ----- ---- ---- |---------|---------
Biotech FBIOX 1 0 +2 +0.3% +3% +8% 1 ++ ++ BUY 42
Electronics FSELX 2 +4 +27 -0.3% -1% +8% 3 ++ -+ + BUY 35
Automotive FSAVX 3 +1 +18 -0.3% -1% +7% 3 ++ -+ + BUY 40
Chemical FSCHX 4 +4 +4 +0.2% +3% +9% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 40
Financl Svcs FIDSX 5 0 +10 +0.7% -1% +8% 3 ++ -+ BUY 40
Brokerage FSLBX 6 +1 +12 +0.4% -1% +7% 3 ++ -+ + BUY 39
Const/Housng FSHOX 7 -4 -5 -0.4% 0% +5% 3 ++ -+ BUY 41
Indust Equip FSCGX 8 +1 +3 -0.4% 0% +6% 3 ++ -+ + BUY 33
Materials FSDPX 9 +1 +8 +0.1% +2% +7% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 39
Banking FSRBX 10 -8 -9 +0.1% -2% +1% 4 -+ -+ SELL 5
Industrials FCYIX 11 0 -2 -0.4% +1% +5% 3 ++ -+ BUY 39
Air Transprt FSAIX 12 +6 +7 +0.1% +3% +8% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 42
Transport FSRFX 13 +3 -3 -0.2% +3% +6% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 40
Computers FDCPX 14 +9 +19 +0.4% +2% +9% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 27
Health Care FSPHX 15 -3 -10 0.0% +1% +3% 3 ++ -+ BUY 42
Multimedia FBMPX 16 -2 -9 -0.3% 0% +3% 3 ++ -+ BUY 40
Medical Eqp FSMEX 17 +5 +11 +0.3% +2% +7% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 42
Leisure FDLSX 18 -1 -4 -0.2% 0% +4% 3 ++ -+ BUY 39
Medical Del FSHCX 19 -6 -13 +0.7% 0% +1% 4 -+ -+ SELL 1
Consumer Fin FSVLX 20 -5 -7 +0.4% 0% +3% 3 ++ -+ BUY 41
Globl Commod FFGCX 21 +5 +15 -0.3% +1% +6% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 33
Defnc/Aerosp FSDAX 22 -3 -10 +0.5% 0% +4% 3 ++ -+ BUY 40
Consumer Ind FSCPX 23 -2 +1 -0.1% 0% +4% 3 ++ -+ BUY 35
Softwr/Compt FSCSX 24 +6 +7 0.0% +1% +7% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 25
Insurance FSPCX 25 -5 -9 +0.2% -1% +3% 3 ++ -+ BUY 39
Natural Res FNARX 26 +2 +6 +0.1% +1% +5% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 32
Energy Svcs FSESX 27 +4 +7 -0.4% 0% +4% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 28
Energy FSENX 28 -4 -2 -0.1% -1% +3% 3 ++ -+ BUY 35
Environment FSLEX 29 0 +6 -0.2% 0% +4% 3 ++ -+ BUY 35
Comm Equip FSDCX 30 -3 +7 +0.3% -2% +4% 3 ++ -+ BUY 33
Technology FSPTX 30 +3 +10 +0.1% +1% +6% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 27
IT Services FBSOX 32 0 -2 +0.8% +1% +7% 1 ++ ++ BUY 19
Pharmaceutcl FPHAX 33 -8 -29 +0.1% 0% 0% 4 -+ -+ SELL 11
Retailing FSRPX 34 +2 +5 +0.1% 0% +5% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 25
Natural Gas FSNGX 35 0 -10 0.0% 0% 0% 3 ++ -+ BUY 33
Telecom FSTCX 36 -2 -9 +0.1% 0% +1% 5 -- -+ SELL 5
Consum Stpls FDFAX 37 0 -17 -0.1% 0% 0% 5 -- -+ SELL 20
Wireless FWRLX 38 0 0 0.0% 0% +2% 1 ++ ++ BUY 35
Gold FSAGX 39 +2 +2 -0.1% +8% +6% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 26
Telecom/Util FIUIX 40 -1 -18 +0.2% 0% -2% 6 -- -- SELL 25
Utilities FSUTX 41 -1 -18 +0.3% 0% -2% 6 -- -- SELL 22
****************************************************************************
PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) CROSSOVER SIGNALS
The PMO generates BUY or SELL Signals when it crosses up or down through
its 10-DMA. These signals tend to be short-term in duration, but they can
last for several weeks. Do not take them at face value because they can
whipsaw quite a bit. They should be used to alert you to possible trading
opportunities not used as a mechanical trading model. Always check our daily
stock charts to verify the price pattern and the configuration of the PMO.
Signals are best when price appears extended, is near support or resistance,
and the PMO is very overbought or oversold. These signals may also be used to
manage positions based on the longer-term Price Momentum Model signals.
SUMMARY OF PMO CROSSOVER SIGNALS
FSel FSel
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 34 7
% of Total......: 83% 17%
Ave Days Elapsed: 35 13
Ave High Profit.: +9% +1%
Ave High Profit.: +9% +1%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 39%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 98%
01/31 Cal
Close % Days High Today PMO
Name/Symbol NAV Change Signl Elap P/L P/L R/F Days
---------------------- ------ ------ ----- ---- ------- ------- --------
IT Services FBSOX 22.67 +0.8% BUY 19 4.9% 4.9% R 14
Retailing FSRPX 54.39 +0.1% BUY 25 5.1% 4.5% R 27
Softwr/Compt FSCSX 83.72 0.0% BUY 25 6.8% 6.6% R 28
Gold FSAGX 46.78 -0.1% BUY 26 7.8% 6.4% R 6
Computers FDCPX 60.07 +0.4% BUY 27 10.2% 10.2% R 28
Technology FSPTX 93.65 +0.1% BUY 27 8.1% 7.8% R 33
Energy Svcs FSESX 69.41 -0.4% BUY 28 5.4% 3.8% R 13
Natural Res FNARX 33.75 +0.1% BUY 32 9.4% 7.9% R 33
Comm Equip FSDCX 23.46 +0.3% BUY 33 8.3% 6.0% F 4
Globl Commod FFGCX 15.27 -0.3% BUY 33 11.5% 10.1% R 33
Indust Equip FSCGX 34.54 -0.4% BUY 33 12.3% 10.9% F 0
Natural Gas FSNGX 31.37 0.0% BUY 33 5.2% 3.4% F 1
Consumer Ind FSCPX 24.67 -0.1% BUY 35 6.9% 6.1% F 0
Electronics FSELX 50.87 -0.3% BUY 35 15.5% 13.8% F 0
Energy FSENX 52.05 -0.1% BUY 35 7.0% 4.5% F 1
Environment FSLEX 15.96 -0.2% BUY 35 6.3% 5.4% F 0
Wireless FWRLX 7.41 0.0% BUY 35 2.6% 2.3% R 42
Brokerage FSLBX 44.89 +0.4% BUY 39 11.7% 10.4% F 1
Industrials FCYIX 23.77 -0.4% BUY 39 9.1% 8.1% F 0
Insurance FSPCX 46.28 +0.2% BUY 39 5.3% 3.6% F 5
Leisure FDLSX 101.93 -0.2% BUY 39 6.1% 5.6% F 1
Materials FSDPX 68.56 +0.1% BUY 39 10.7% 10.5% R 33
Automotive FSAVX 35.32 -0.3% BUY 40 16.1% 14.2% F 0
Chemical FSCHX 108.10 +0.2% BUY 40 14.2% 14.2% R 42
Defnc/Aerosp FSDAX 82.20 +0.5% BUY 40 6.1% 5.1% F 5
Financl Svcs FIDSX 54.79 +0.7% BUY 40 12.5% 11.1% F 1
Multimedia FBMPX 45.73 -0.3% BUY 40 8.7% 7.4% F 4
Transport FSRFX 53.45 -0.2% BUY 40 8.2% 7.8% R 6
Const/Housng FSHOX 38.58 -0.4% BUY 41 9.6% 8.1% F 1
Consumer Fin FSVLX 11.75 +0.4% BUY 41 7.8% 7.2% F 5
Air Transprt FSAIX 37.92 +0.1% BUY 42 9.6% 9.5% R 28
Biotech FBIOX 96.93 +0.3% BUY 42 15.9% 15.6% R 7
Health Care FSPHX 129.92 0.0% BUY 42 8.7% 8.4% F 1
Medical Eqp FSMEX 27.38 +0.3% BUY 42 10.3% 10.2% R 42
Medical Del FSHCX 58.39 +0.7% SELL 1 0.0% -0.7% F 8
Banking FSRBX 16.98 +0.1% SELL 5 0.0% -0.4% F 8
Telecom FSTCX 43.63 +0.1% SELL 5 0.0% -0.1% F 8
Pharmaceutcl FPHAX 13.74 +0.1% SELL 11 0.3% -0.1% F 12
Consum Stpls FDFAX 70.83 -0.1% SELL 20 0.5% 0.0% F 4
Utilities FSUTX 51.41 +0.3% SELL 22 2.0% 1.6% F 4
Telecom/Util FIUIX 16.67 +0.2% SELL 25 1.5% 1.3% F 28
Average +0.1% 31 7.5% 6.7% 13
*****************************************************************************
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
The SWENLIN PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL is intended to catch long-term price moves.
Model Signals are mechanically generated by a 200-day exponential moving
average crossover in conjunction with a 10% price move in the opposite
direction of the current signal extreme. For example, assume that the current
signal is a BUY. If the price drops 10% from the signal high, and also drops
below the 200 DMA, a SELL Signal will be generated automatically. The
MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS work best when prices are trending and changing
direction smoothly. When prices are volatile, particularly in a 10% range,
results will be extremely poor. By design, these signals will always miss at
least the first 10% of a move. Rather than wait for a signal reversal, it is
best to use trend analysis and other indicators to decide when to exit a
position. New signals should alert you to the possibility that a change in
direction is taking place. Once alerted, watch price movement and other
indicators to determine an optimum entry point, if any.
SUMMARY OF PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL (PMM) SIGNALS
FSel FSel
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 41 0
% of Total......: 100% 0%
Ave Days Elapsed: 61 0
Ave High Profit.: +7% 0%
Ave Profit......: +5% 0%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +10% 0%
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
This is a list of PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS for the Fidelity Select Funds.
The newest signals give notice that the trend may be in the process of
making a long-term change of direction.
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
01/31 Cal Price
Close % Days High Today Rel to
Name/Symbol NAV Change Sgnl Elap P/L P/L STOP Stop
---------------------- ------ ------ ---- ---- ------ ------ ------ -------
Gold FSAGX 46.78 -0.1% BUY 4 0.0% -1.3% 42.65 +9.7%
Energy Svcs FSESX 69.41 -0.4% BUY 6 0.0% -1.5% 63.45 +9.4%
Environment FSLEX 15.96 -0.2% BUY 6 0.0% -0.8% 14.48 +10.2%
Globl Commod FFGCX 15.27 -0.3% BUY 8 1.7% 0.4% 13.92 +9.7%
Comm Equip FSDCX 23.46 +0.3% BUY 12 0.4% -1.8% 21.57 +8.7%
Medical Eqp FSMEX 27.38 +0.3% BUY 13 4.2% 4.1% 24.66 +11.0%
Natural Res FNARX 33.75 +0.1% BUY 13 2.6% 1.2% 30.80 +9.6%
Automotive FSAVX 35.32 -0.3% BUY 19 4.9% 3.2% 32.32 +9.3%
Brokerage FSLBX 44.89 +0.4% BUY 21 5.3% 4.1% 40.86 +9.9%
Financl Svcs FIDSX 54.79 +0.7% BUY 21 6.0% 4.7% 49.92 +9.7%
Consumer Ind FSCPX 24.67 -0.1% BUY 25 5.0% 4.2% 22.38 +10.2%
Electronics FSELX 50.87 -0.3% BUY 25 11.7% 10.1% 46.46 +9.5%
Chemical FSCHX 108.10 +0.2% BUY 28 11.1% 11.1% 95.75 +12.9%
Energy FSENX 52.05 -0.1% BUY 28 4.4% 2.0% 47.96 +8.5%
Industrials FCYIX 23.77 -0.4% BUY 28 7.5% 6.6% 21.57 +10.2%
Insurance FSPCX 46.28 +0.2% BUY 28 4.7% 2.9% 42.35 +9.3%
Telecom FSTCX 43.63 +0.1% BUY 28 1.1% -1.3% 40.22 +8.5%
Banking FSRBX 16.98 +0.1% BUY 40 8.0% 5.7% 15.62 +8.7%
Softwr/Compt FSCSX 83.72 0.0% BUY 53 4.0% 3.8% 75.47 +10.9%
Natural Gas FSNGX 31.37 0.0% BUY 56 1.3% -0.5% 28.73 +9.2%
Air Transprt FSAIX 37.92 +0.1% BUY 57 9.0% 8.9% 34.17 +11.0%
Computers FDCPX 60.07 +0.4% BUY 57 7.1% 7.1% 54.06 +11.1%
Consumer Fin FSVLX 11.75 +0.4% BUY 57 6.3% 5.8% 10.63 +10.5%
IT Services FBSOX 22.67 +0.8% BUY 57 2.7% 2.7% 20.40 +11.1%
Technology FSPTX 93.65 +0.1% BUY 57 2.4% 2.0% 84.56 +10.8%
Transport FSRFX 53.45 -0.2% BUY 57 7.8% 7.4% 48.28 +10.7%
Indust Equip FSCGX 34.54 -0.4% BUY 62 10.3% 9.0% 31.47 +9.7%
Materials FSDPX 68.56 +0.1% BUY 62 8.8% 8.7% 61.79 +11.0%
Consum Stpls FDFAX 70.83 -0.1% BUY 96 2.3% 0.8% 64.70 +9.5%
Medical Del FSHCX 58.39 +0.7% BUY 97 9.9% 8.8% 53.06 +10.1%
Const/Housng FSHOX 38.58 -0.4% BUY 99 17.4% 15.8% 34.23 +12.7%
Health Care FSPHX 129.92 0.0% BUY 99 10.2% 9.9% 117.29 +10.8%
Multimedia FBMPX 45.73 -0.3% BUY 102 8.2% 7.0% 41.63 +9.9%
Wireless FWRLX 7.41 0.0% BUY 109 1.2% -2.0% 6.89 +7.6%
Biotech FBIOX 96.93 +0.3% BUY 110 22.7% 22.3% 81.87 +18.4%
Defnc/Aerosp FSDAX 82.20 +0.5% BUY 111 12.4% 11.3% 74.68 +10.1%
Leisure FDLSX 101.93 -0.2% BUY 112 13.3% 12.8% 92.16 +10.6%
Pharmaceutcl FPHAX 13.74 +0.1% BUY 153 8.2% 7.2% 12.48 +10.1%
Retailing FSRPX 54.39 +0.1% BUY 155 8.7% 7.8% 49.37 +10.2%
Telecom/Util FIUIX 16.67 +0.2% BUY 155 7.0% 2.5% 15.66 +6.4%
Utilities FSUTX 51.41 +0.3% BUY 160 8.6% 3.6% 48.47 +6.1%
Average +0.1% 61 6.5% 5.3% +10.1%
****************************************************************************
SHORT-TERM (PMO) and LONG-TERM (PMM) SIGNAL COMPARISONS
The Price Momentum Model (PMM) signal provides guidance regarding the
longer-term trend, and the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signals identify
the shorter-term trend. A logical trading methodology is to open positions
on new PMO signals when they are compatable with the PMM signals. Positions
may be closed or hedged when the PMM and PMO signals are in conflict.
This section compares the PMM and PMO signals side by side and provides
some mechanical analysis. A "Warn!" flag is an alert that the PMO signal is
in conflict with the PMM -- closing or hedging the PMM position may be
considered. A "Buy?" or "Sell?" flag is an alert that the PMO signal has
just changed and is the same as the PMM signal -- opening new PMM positions
may be considered.
SUMMARY OF SHORT-TERM AND LONG-TERM SIGNALS FOR FIDELITY SELECT FUNDS
SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM
PMO PMO PMM PMM
BUY SELL BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 34 7 41 0
% of Total......: 83% 17% 100% 0%
Ave Days Elapsed: 35 13 61 0
Ave High Profit.: +9% +1% +7% 0%
Ave Profit......: +8% 0% +5% 0%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +10% 0%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 39%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 98%
|-- PMO Crossover Model ---|-- Price Momentum Model --|
| PMO High Today | PMM High Today|
Name Flag| Sgnl Day P/L P/L | Sgnl Days P/L P/L|
--------------- -----| ---- --- ------- ------- | ---- ---- ------- -------|
Air Transprt BUY 42 +9.6% +9.5% BUY 57 +9.0% +8.9%
Automotive BUY 40 +16.1% +14.2% BUY 19 +4.9% +3.2%
Banking Warn! SELL 5 0.0% -0.4% BUY 40 +8.0% +5.7%
Biotech BUY 42 +15.9% +15.6% BUY 110 +22.7% +22.3%
Brokerage BUY 39 +11.7% +10.4% BUY 21 +5.3% +4.1%
Chemical BUY 40 +14.2% +14.2% BUY 28 +11.1% +11.1%
Comm Equip BUY 33 +8.3% +6.0% BUY 12 +0.4% -1.8%
Computers BUY 27 +10.2% +10.2% BUY 57 +7.1% +7.1%
Const/Housng BUY 41 +9.6% +8.1% BUY 99 +17.4% +15.8%
Consumer Fin BUY 41 +7.8% +7.2% BUY 57 +6.3% +5.8%
Consum Stpls Warn! SELL 20 +0.5% +0.0% BUY 96 +2.3% +0.8%
Consumer Ind BUY 35 +6.9% +6.1% BUY 25 +5.0% +4.2%
Defnc/Aerosp BUY 40 +6.1% +5.1% BUY 111 +12.4% +11.3%
Electronics BUY 35 +15.5% +13.8% BUY 25 +11.7% +10.1%
Energy BUY 35 +7.0% +4.5% BUY 28 +4.4% +2.0%
Energy Svcs BUY 28 +5.4% +3.8% BUY 6 0.0% -1.6%
Environment BUY 35 +6.3% +5.4% BUY 6 0.0% -0.8%
Financl Svcs BUY 40 +12.5% +11.1% BUY 21 +6.0% +4.7%
Globl Commod BUY 33 +11.5% +10.1% BUY 8 +1.7% +0.4%
Gold BUY 26 +7.8% +6.4% BUY 4 0.0% -1.3%
Health Care BUY 42 +8.7% +8.4% BUY 99 +10.2% +9.9%
Indust Equip BUY 33 +12.3% +10.9% BUY 62 +10.3% +9.0%
Industrials BUY 39 +9.1% +8.1% BUY 28 +7.5% +6.6%
Insurance BUY 39 +5.3% +3.6% BUY 28 +4.7% +2.9%
IT Services BUY 19 +4.9% +4.9% BUY 57 +2.7% +2.7%
Leisure BUY 39 +6.1% +5.6% BUY 112 +13.3% +12.8%
Materials BUY 39 +10.7% +10.5% BUY 62 +8.8% +8.7%
Medical Del Warn! SELL 1 0.0% -0.7% BUY 97 +9.9% +8.8%
Medical Eqp BUY 42 +10.3% +10.2% BUY 13 +4.2% +4.1%
Multimedia BUY 40 +8.7% +7.5% BUY 102 +8.2% +7.0%
Natural Gas BUY 33 +5.2% +3.4% BUY 56 +1.3% -0.5%
Natural Res BUY 32 +9.4% +7.9% BUY 13 +2.6% +1.2%
Pharmaceutcl Warn! SELL 11 +0.3% -0.1% BUY 153 +8.2% +7.2%
Retailing BUY 25 +5.1% +4.5% BUY 155 +8.7% +7.8%
Softwr/Compt BUY 25 +6.8% +6.6% BUY 53 +4.0% +3.8%
Technology BUY 27 +8.1% +7.8% BUY 57 +2.4% +2.0%
Telecom Warn! SELL 5 0.0% -0.1% BUY 28 +1.1% -1.3%
Telecom/Util Warn! SELL 25 +1.5% +1.3% BUY 155 +7.0% +2.5%
Transport BUY 40 +8.2% +7.8% BUY 57 +7.8% +7.4%
Utilities Warn! SELL 22 +2.0% +1.6% BUY 160 +8.6% +3.7%
Wireless BUY 35 +2.6% +2.4% BUY 109 +1.2% -2.0%
Average 31 +7.5% +6.7% 61 +6.5% +5.3%
*****************************************************************************
EXPLANATION OF TABLE HEADINGS
Close NAV: The fund's net asset value as of today's close.
% Change: Percentage that price has changed from prior day's close.
PMO Rank: Shows the rank of the PMO in relation to the other securities
in the list.
5 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) in the last 5 days.
15 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) in the last 15 days.
YTD Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) since the beginning of the year.
Signl: The signal designations of BUY and SELL indicate the current
direction of momentum and are not an indication that continuous buying or
selling should take place. Signals that are a few days or weeks old give the
best indication that profitable action MIGHT be taken.
Signal Flag: When the PMO signal disagrees with the PMM signal, the flag
will be "Warn!" On the day the PMO signal changes back into agreement
with the PMM signal, the flag will remind that new positions may be
considered by indicating "Buy?" or "Sell?"
Cal Days Elap: Indicates the number of calendar days that have elapsed since
the current signal was initiated.
High P/L: Highest profit or least loss experienced since the current signal
was initiated. On the first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the
closing P/L for the prior signal.
Today P/L: Profit or loss for the signal since it was initiated. On the
first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the closing P/L for the prior
signal.
STOP: The price at which the mechanical PMM signal will reverse.
Price Rel to Stop: This column shows the relationship of the current price
to the price at which the signal will change. (i.e. +5.3% means the current
price is 5.3% above the signal change price.
PMO R/F Days: The direction of the PMO (rising/falling) and number of
calendar days trend has been effect.
The Hot/Cold grouping ranks securities/indexes into six (6) groups ranging
from 1 (Hot) to 6 (Cold) according to price strength, internal strength,
and relative strength. We can quickly assess the condition of these
elements by the group number and "blinker" fields. Moving from left to
right: The first blinker tells us if the PMO is above (+) or below (-) its
10-day exponential moving average (EMA). The second blinker indicates if
the closing price is above (+) or below (-) it's 20-DMA. The third and
fourth blinkers tell us if the PMO is rising (+) or falling (-), and if it
is above (+) or below (-) zero. The fifth blinker tells us if the 5-day PMO
rank change is positive (+), negative (-), or no change ( ). Groups 1-3
should be considered as buy candidates, 4-6 as sell candidates.
CAVEAT
We make every effort to insure the accuracy of this information, but we
cannot guarantee it. It is always possible that errors will creep in. If it
doesn't make sense, let us know about it. Also, we make every effort to
upload this data each market day, but circumstances may be such that it is
not possible due to circumstances beyond our control.
End of Fidelity Select Tracker Daily Report for Tuesday 1/31/2012
Copyright 2012 Decision Point. This publication is not to be summarized,
reproduced, or rebroadcast in any fashion without our written permission.
Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or
sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee or imply future
results.
|
Back to Top Advisors Corner Menu
