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The following (green highlights) is an excerpt from our November 20th Global Seasonal Analysis report (access requires subscription).
It also appears in our Friday November 22nd blog posting. Our financial blog, Logic-Over-Emotion Investing, features excerpts from our premium research reports where we discuss price and trend analysis, investor sentiment, seasonal patterns and inter-market relationships for the US stock market and sectors, US interest rates, the US Dollar and economically-sensitive commodities like crude oil and gold.
Global Seasonal Analysis is a monthly report that displays both long-term, month-to-month seasonal patterns and intra-month seasonal price trends for global equity prices, global benchmark interest rates, global foreign exchange rates and key commodity prices based on historical data going back to the 1950s.
The blue columns on the chart display the intra-month seasonal pattern in gold prices (London PM fixing) during the month of November since 1982. The red line on the chart plots the actual daily closing prices for gold during November 2007.
Note how closely the 2007 data tracked the 36-year seasonal pattern of rising prices into Day 5 followed by a decline into Day 11, and then a rally into the end of the month.
The rest of this blog posting can be viewed by visiting our Logic-Over-Emotion Blog.
You can get more information about our premium research by visiting The Asbury Research Website.
Asbury Research provides a unique blend of technical, behavioral and quantitative analysis from a 25-year veteran of the US financial markets. Our research is directed to a small group of sophisticated investors that understand the value of limited distribution, independent thinking and personalized attention. Asbury Research offers the Asbury Indicator Matrix™(AIM) which integrates price action, investor sentiment and intermarket analysis to produce a forward-looking, multi-dimensional assessment of WHERE the major US financial markets are headed, WHAT market factors are most likely to affect their current price trends, WHEN these trends are likely to change, and WHY, and HOW to determine when they do. Our clients include the Chief Investment Officers, Portfolio Managers and Head Traders for some of the most prominent portfolio and hedge fund managers in the world.
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