The PROFUNDS TRACKER is included in your Decision Point web
site subscription.
Subscribe Now!
[About This Newsletter]
DECISION POINT
PROFUNDS TRACKER DAILY REPORT
Friday, 10/31/2008
****************************************************************************
The Decision Point ProFunds Tracker is a daily publication specializing in
the ProFunds mutual funds. It provides momentum analysis, strength
ranking and BUY and SELL Signals. This newsletter is included as part of a
DecisionPoint.com PRIME web site subscription.
****************************************************************************
INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS TO ASSIST FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY SECURITY. PAST
PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
****************************************************************************
DISTRIBUTIONS
Close $ % Distribution Adjustment
Name NAV Change Change Amount Factor
---------------------- ------ ------ ------ ---------- --------
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 33.06 -0.51 -1.5% 0.03 0.9991
****************************************************************************
TODAY'S RESULTS AND PRICE CHANGE ANALYSIS
10/31 WTD MTD YTD
Close $ %age %Price %Price %Price
Name Sym NAV Change Change Change Change Change
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
ProFund Bull BLPIX 43.76 +0.69 +1.6% +11.0% -17.0% -33%
ProFund Bear BRPIX 35.31 -0.59 -1.6% -10.7% +14.1% +38%
UltraBull ULPIX 27.72 +0.84 +3.1% +21.2% -34.4% -60%
UltraBear URPIX 21.87 -0.70 -3.1% -21.3% +23.7% +72%
Nasdaq 100 OTPIX 48.37 +0.03 +0.1% +11.0% -16.3% -36%
Short NDX SOPIX 19.51 -0.01 -0.1% -11.5% +12.9% +41%
UltraDow UDPIX 19.87 +0.66 +3.4% +23.5% -29.5% -55%
UShrt Dow 30 UWPIX 24.17 -0.88 -3.5% -23.6% +15.3% +50%
Ultra NDX UOPIX 11.58 +0.01 +0.1% +21.9% -33.3% -65%
UltraShrtNDX USPIX 16.05 -0.02 -0.1% -22.5% +19.3% +75%
UltraMid-Cap UMPIX 19.73 +1.04 +5.6% +27.0% -42.2% -61%
UShrt MidCap UIPIX 21.49 -1.27 -5.6% -25.0% +38.4% +66%
UltraSmlCap UAPIX 12.14 +0.99 +8.9% +29.0% -41.2% -57%
UShrt SmlCap UCPIX 18.40 -1.85 -9.1% -26.3% +32.2% +38%
Mid-Cap MDPIX 30.30 +0.83 +2.8% +13.3% -21.9% -34%
Small-Cap SLPIX 30.33 +1.24 +4.3% +13.9% -21.1% -30%
Short Sm-Cap SHPIX 19.84 -0.94 -4.5% -13.7% +18.9% +26%
LgCap Growth LGPIX 28.75 +0.29 +1.0% +10.3% -16.5% -33%
LgCap Value LVPIX 31.27 +0.65 +2.1% +10.8% -17.3% -35%
Mid-Cap Gth MGPIX 25.97 +0.73 +2.9% +13.7% -21.8% -35%
Mid-Cap Val MLPIX 29.67 +0.82 +2.8% +13.2% -22.2% -34%
Sml-Cap Gth SGPIX 29.35 +1.11 +3.9% +13.2% -20.8% -29%
Sml-Cap Val SVPIX 32.52 +1.51 +4.9% +15.3% -19.6% -26%
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 33.06 -0.51 -1.5% -5.7% -1.3% +4%
Rising Rates RRPIX 16.76 +0.26 +1.6% +6.0% +0.4% -7%
Rise Rate 10 RTPIX 27.22 +0.04 +0.1% +2.0% +0.5% -3%
Rise Dollar RDPIX 31.33 +0.36 +1.2% -1.0% +7.6% +11%
Fall Dollar FDPIX 26.70 -0.34 -1.3% +0.5% -8.0% -10%
Banks BKPIX 14.02 +1.13 +8.8% +20.0% -25.8% -48%
Basic Mat'l BMPIX 23.87 +0.43 +1.8% +22.3% -39.1% -63%
Biotech BIPIX 52.35 +0.36 +0.7% +9.7% -10.5% +2%
Consumer Gds CNPIX 26.37 +0.37 +1.4% +13.9% -22.8% -35%
Consumer Svc CYPIX 16.11 +0.64 +4.1% +21.4% -25.7% -43%
Financial FNPIX 8.86 +0.63 +7.7% +18.6% -33.1% -61%
Healthcare HCPIX 11.04 +0.22 +2.0% +8.2% -19.9% -35%
Industrial IDPIX 21.85 +0.68 +3.2% +19.0% -30.9% -53%
Internet INPIX 39.65 +0.56 +1.4% +14.8% -32.4% -58%
Mobile Tel WCPIX 2.41 -0.12 -4.7% +23.0% -52.5% -82%
Oil & Gas ENPIX 28.84 +0.25 +0.9% +20.1% -31.3% -51%
Shrt Oil&Gas SNPIX 19.97 -0.12 -0.6% -13.6% +6.7% +19%
Oil Eqp/Svcs OEPIX 13.94 -0.05 -0.4% +23.6% -49.3% -67%
Pharmaceutcl PHPIX 6.66 +0.10 +1.5% +8.1% -15.3% -34%
Precious Met PMPIX 12.93 -1.10 -7.8% +19.9% -55.7% -73%
Shrt Prec Mt SPPIX 29.58 +1.46 +5.2% -16.0% +34.9% +50%
Real Estate REPIX 17.62 +1.49 +9.2% +28.4% -46.1% -53%
Shrt Real Es SRPIX 31.09 -2.05 -6.2% -19.6% +28.4% +15%
Semiconductr SMPIX 7.65 +0.12 +1.6% +20.3% -26.0% -60%
Technology TEPIX 16.03 +0.08 +0.5% +15.0% -26.2% -53%
Telecom TCPIX 10.19 -0.19 -1.8% +17.8% -17.6% -54%
Utilities UTPIX 15.86 -0.27 -1.7% +11.1% -19.1% -45%
Europe 30 UEPIX 11.37 +0.13 +1.2% +13.6% -20.3% -43%
Ult Emer Mkt UUPIX 8.09 -0.17 -2.1% +49.3% -54.7% -81%
UlSht Emer M UVPIX 12.17 +0.23 +1.9% -41.3% +14.8% +69%
Ultra Intl UNPIX 9.87 +0.14 +1.4% +26.5% -43.0% -73%
UltShrt Intl UXPIX 36.14 -0.53 -1.4% -28.7% +12.6% +86%
Ultra Japan UJPIX 9.88 -0.08 -0.8% +36.5% -46.2% -70%
UltSht Japan UKPIX 53.01 +0.47 +0.9% -36.9% +15.6% +66%
Average +0.8% +7.0% -14.6% -20%
****************************************************************************
PROFUNDS FUNDS SORTED BY TODAY'S PERCENTAGE CHANGE
10/31 WTD MTD YTD
Close $ %age %Price %Price %Price
Name Sym NAV Change Change Change Change Change
---------------- ----- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Real Estate REPIX 17.62 +1.49 +9.2% +28.4% -46.1% -53%
UltraSmlCap UAPIX 12.14 +0.99 +8.9% +29.0% -41.2% -57%
Banks BKPIX 14.02 +1.13 +8.8% +20.0% -25.8% -48%
Financial FNPIX 8.86 +0.63 +7.7% +18.6% -33.1% -61%
UltraMid-Cap UMPIX 19.73 +1.04 +5.6% +27.0% -42.2% -61%
Shrt Prec Mt SPPIX 29.58 +1.46 +5.2% -16.0% +34.9% +50%
Sml-Cap Val SVPIX 32.52 +1.51 +4.9% +15.3% -19.6% -26%
Small-Cap SLPIX 30.33 +1.24 +4.3% +13.9% -21.1% -30%
Consumer Svc CYPIX 16.11 +0.64 +4.1% +21.4% -25.7% -43%
Sml-Cap Gth SGPIX 29.35 +1.11 +3.9% +13.2% -20.8% -29%
UltraDow UDPIX 19.87 +0.66 +3.4% +23.5% -29.5% -55%
Industrial IDPIX 21.85 +0.68 +3.2% +19.0% -30.9% -53%
UltraBull ULPIX 27.72 +0.84 +3.1% +21.2% -34.4% -60%
Mid-Cap Gth MGPIX 25.97 +0.73 +2.9% +13.7% -21.8% -35%
Mid-Cap MDPIX 30.30 +0.83 +2.8% +13.3% -21.9% -34%
Mid-Cap Val MLPIX 29.67 +0.82 +2.8% +13.2% -22.2% -34%
LgCap Value LVPIX 31.27 +0.65 +2.1% +10.8% -17.3% -35%
Healthcare HCPIX 11.04 +0.22 +2.0% +8.2% -19.9% -35%
UlSht Emer M UVPIX 12.17 +0.23 +1.9% -41.3% +14.8% +69%
Basic Mat'l BMPIX 23.87 +0.43 +1.8% +22.3% -39.1% -63%
ProFund Bull BLPIX 43.76 +0.69 +1.6% +11.0% -17.0% -33%
Rising Rates RRPIX 16.76 +0.26 +1.6% +6.0% +0.4% -7%
Semiconductr SMPIX 7.65 +0.12 +1.6% +20.3% -26.0% -60%
Pharmaceutcl PHPIX 6.66 +0.10 +1.5% +8.1% -15.3% -34%
Consumer Gds CNPIX 26.37 +0.37 +1.4% +13.9% -22.8% -35%
Internet INPIX 39.65 +0.56 +1.4% +14.8% -32.4% -58%
Ultra Intl UNPIX 9.87 +0.14 +1.4% +26.5% -43.0% -73%
Rise Dollar RDPIX 31.33 +0.36 +1.2% -1.0% +7.6% +11%
Europe 30 UEPIX 11.37 +0.13 +1.2% +13.6% -20.3% -43%
LgCap Growth LGPIX 28.75 +0.29 +1.0% +10.3% -16.5% -33%
Oil & Gas ENPIX 28.84 +0.25 +0.9% +20.1% -31.3% -51%
UltSht Japan UKPIX 53.01 +0.47 +0.9% -36.9% +15.6% +66%
Biotech BIPIX 52.35 +0.36 +0.7% +9.7% -10.5% +2%
Technology TEPIX 16.03 +0.08 +0.5% +15.0% -26.2% -53%
Nasdaq 100 OTPIX 48.37 +0.03 +0.1% +11.0% -16.3% -36%
Ultra NDX UOPIX 11.58 +0.01 +0.1% +21.9% -33.3% -65%
Rise Rate 10 RTPIX 27.22 +0.04 +0.1% +2.0% +0.5% -3%
Short NDX SOPIX 19.51 -0.01 -0.1% -11.5% +12.9% +41%
UltraShrtNDX USPIX 16.05 -0.02 -0.1% -22.5% +19.3% +75%
Oil Eqp/Svcs OEPIX 13.94 -0.05 -0.4% +23.6% -49.3% -67%
Shrt Oil&Gas SNPIX 19.97 -0.12 -0.6% -13.6% +6.7% +19%
Ultra Japan UJPIX 9.88 -0.08 -0.8% +36.5% -46.2% -70%
Fall Dollar FDPIX 26.70 -0.34 -1.3% +0.5% -8.0% -10%
UltShrt Intl UXPIX 36.14 -0.53 -1.4% -28.7% +12.6% +86%
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 33.06 -0.51 -1.5% -5.7% -1.3% +4%
ProFund Bear BRPIX 35.31 -0.59 -1.6% -10.7% +14.1% +38%
Utilities UTPIX 15.86 -0.27 -1.7% +11.1% -19.1% -45%
Telecom TCPIX 10.19 -0.19 -1.8% +17.8% -17.6% -54%
Ult Emer Mkt UUPIX 8.09 -0.17 -2.1% +49.3% -54.7% -81%
UltraBear URPIX 21.87 -0.70 -3.1% -21.3% +23.7% +72%
UShrt Dow 30 UWPIX 24.17 -0.88 -3.5% -23.6% +15.3% +50%
Short Sm-Cap SHPIX 19.84 -0.94 -4.5% -13.7% +18.9% +26%
Mobile Tel WCPIX 2.41 -0.12 -4.7% +23.0% -52.5% -82%
UShrt MidCap UIPIX 21.49 -1.27 -5.6% -25.0% +38.4% +66%
Shrt Real Es SRPIX 31.09 -2.05 -6.2% -19.6% +28.4% +15%
Precious Met PMPIX 12.93 -1.10 -7.8% +19.9% -55.7% -73%
UShrt SmlCap UCPIX 18.40 -1.85 -9.1% -26.3% +32.2% +38%
Average +0.8% +7.0% -14.6% -20%
****************************************************************************
PROFUNDS FUNDS SORTED BY PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR (PMO) RANK
This section ranks the securities based on Decision Point's proprietary
PMO, a measure of internal and relative strength.
|-RankChg| |--% Price Change-| Hot/Cold PMO
PMO 5 15 On 5 15 Group & Xover
Name/Symbol Rank Day Day 10/31 Day Day Blinkers Sgnl/Days
---------------------- -- --- --- ----- ---- ---- |---------|---------
UlSht Emer M UVPIX 1 0 0 +1.9% -41% -40% 5 -- -+ SELL 1
UShrt MidCap UIPIX 2 0 +3 -5.6% -25% -18% 5 -- -+ SELL 0
UShrt SmlCap UCPIX 3 +2 +3 -9.1% -26% -17% 5 -- -+ + SELL 0
UltSht Japan UKPIX 4 -1 -1 +0.9% -37% -41% 5 -- -+ SELL 1
UltShrt Intl UXPIX 5 -1 -1 -1.4% -29% -33% 5 -- -+ SELL 1
UltraShrtNDX USPIX 6 0 -4 -0.1% -23% -22% 5 -- -+ SELL 2
Shrt Prec Mt SPPIX 7 +1 +6 +5.2% -16% +11% 3 ++ -+ + BUY 28
UltraBear URPIX 8 -1 -1 -3.1% -21% -24% 5 -- -+ SELL 1
UShrt Dow 30 UWPIX 9 0 -1 -3.5% -24% -27% 5 -- -+ SELL 1
Shrt Real Es SRPIX 10 0 +4 -6.2% -20% +7% 3 +- -+ BUY 32
Short Sm-Cap SHPIX 11 +2 0 -4.5% -14% -7% 5 -- -+ + SELL 0
Shrt Oil&Gas SNPIX 12 -1 -3 -0.6% -14% -25% 5 -- -+ SELL 2
Short NDX SOPIX 13 -1 -3 -0.1% -11% -9% 5 -- -+ SELL 2
ProFund Bear BRPIX 14 0 -2 -1.6% -11% -11% 5 -- -+ SELL 1
Rise Dollar RDPIX 15 0 +1 +1.2% -1% +4% 3 ++ -+ BUY 29
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 16 0 -1 -1.5% -6% -5% 5 -- -+ SELL 3
Rise Rate 10 RTPIX 17 0 +1 +0.1% +2% +1% 1 ++ ++ BUY 2
Rising Rates RRPIX 18 0 +2 +1.6% +6% +4% 2 ++ +- BUY 3
Fall Dollar FDPIX 19 0 0 -1.3% +1% -4% 6 -- -- SELL 28
Banks BKPIX 20 0 -3 +8.8% +20% +10% 4 -+ +- SELL 24
Biotech BIPIX 21 +1 +9 +0.7% +10% +22% 2 ++ +- + BUY 8
Pharmaceutcl PHPIX 22 -1 +2 +1.5% +8% +17% 3 +- +- BUY 3
LgCap Value LVPIX 23 0 0 +2.1% +11% +8% 3 +- +- BUY 1
ProFund Bull BLPIX 24 0 +1 +1.6% +11% +8% 2 ++ +- BUY 1
LgCap Growth LGPIX 25 +1 +3 +1.0% +10% +8% 3 +- +- + BUY 1
Telecom TCPIX 26 +10 +14 -1.8% +18% +18% 3 +- +- + BUY 3
Healthcare HCPIX 27 -2 +4 +2.0% +8% +13% 3 +- +- BUY 1
Nasdaq 100 OTPIX 28 0 +8 +0.1% +11% +5% 3 +- +- BUY 2
Utilities UTPIX 29 +6 +13 -1.7% +11% +22% 2 ++ +- + BUY 3
Sml-Cap Val SVPIX 30 -3 -9 +4.9% +15% +3% 2 ++ +- BUY 0
Consumer Gds CNPIX 31 0 -9 +1.4% +14% +6% 3 +- +- BUY 0
Small-Cap SLPIX 32 -3 -6 +4.3% +14% +3% 2 ++ +- BUY 0
Sml-Cap Gth SGPIX 33 -3 -6 +3.9% +13% +1% 3 +- +- BUY 0
Europe 30 UEPIX 34 -2 +1 +1.2% +14% +5% 3 +- +- BUY 0
Mid-Cap Val MLPIX 35 -2 -6 +2.8% +13% +2% 3 +- +- BUY 0
Mid-Cap MDPIX 36 -2 -3 +2.8% +13% +3% 3 +- +- BUY 0
Mid-Cap Gth MGPIX 37 0 0 +2.9% +14% +4% 3 +- +- BUY 0
Financial FNPIX 38 0 -6 +7.7% +19% +6% 4 -- +- SELL 32
UltraDow UDPIX 39 +2 +2 +3.4% +23% +17% 2 ++ +- + BUY 1
Oil & Gas ENPIX 40 +2 +5 +0.9% +20% +24% 3 +- +- + BUY 2
Technology TEPIX 41 -2 +2 +0.5% +15% +5% 3 +- +- BUY 1
Consumer Svc CYPIX 42 -2 -4 +4.1% +21% +9% 2 ++ +- BUY 1
Semiconductr SMPIX 43 0 +4 +1.6% +20% +4% 3 +- +- BUY 1
UltraBull ULPIX 44 +1 +2 +3.1% +21% +11% 3 +- +- + BUY 1
Industrial IDPIX 45 -1 -1 +3.2% +19% 0% 3 +- +- BUY 0
Internet INPIX 46 0 +2 +1.4% +15% -1% 3 +- +- BUY 1
Ultra NDX UOPIX 47 +1 +6 +0.1% +22% +6% 3 +- +- + BUY 2
Ultra Intl UNPIX 48 +2 +3 +1.4% +27% +4% 3 +- +- + BUY 1
Real Estate REPIX 49 -2 -15 +9.2% +28% -22% 4 -- +- SELL 32
UltraSmlCap UAPIX 50 -1 -1 +8.9% +29% +2% 3 +- +- BUY 0
Ultra Japan UJPIX 51 +1 +1 -0.8% +36% +12% 3 +- +- + BUY 1
Basic Mat'l BMPIX 52 +1 +2 +1.8% +22% +2% 3 +- +- + BUY 1
UltraMid-Cap UMPIX 53 -2 -3 +5.6% +27% +3% 3 +- +- BUY 0
Precious Met PMPIX 54 0 -15 -7.8% +20% -32% 4 -- +- SELL 28
Ult Emer Mkt UUPIX 55 +1 +2 -2.1% +49% -6% 3 +- +- + BUY 1
Oil Eqp/Svcs OEPIX 56 -1 -1 -0.4% +24% +5% 3 +- +- BUY 1
Mobile Tel WCPIX 57 0 -1 -4.7% +23% -1% 3 +- +- BUY 1
****************************************************************************
PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) CROSSOVER SIGNALS
The PMO generates a BUY or SELL Signals when it crosses up or down through
its 10-DMA. These signals tend to be short-term in duration, but they can
last for several weeks. Do not take them at face value because they can
whipsaw quite a bit. They should be used to alert you to possible trading
opportunities not used as a mechanical trading model. Always check our daily
stock charts to verify the price pattern and the configuration of the PMO.
Signals are best when price appears extended, is near support or resistance,
and the PMO is very overbought or oversold. These signals may also be used to
manage positions based on our ProFnd Top 5 signals or the longer-term
Price Momentum Model signals.
SUMMARY OF PMO CROSSOVER SIGNALS
ProFnd ProFnd
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 39 18
% of Total......: 68% 32%
Ave Days Elapsed: 3 9
Ave High Profit.: +5% +12%
Ave Profit......: +11% +14%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 70%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 28%
10/31 Cal
Close % Days High Today PMO
Name/Symbol NAV Change Signl Elap P/L P/L R/F Days
---------------------- ------ ------ ----- ---- ------- ------- --------
UltraMid-Cap UMPIX 19.73 +5.6% BUY 0 0.0% 51.3% R 3
UltraSmlCap UAPIX 12.14 +8.9% BUY 0 0.0% 48.2% R 2
Mid-Cap MDPIX 30.30 +2.8% BUY 0 0.0% 27.5% R 3
Small-Cap SLPIX 30.33 +4.3% BUY 0 0.0% 25.1% R 2
Mid-Cap Gth MGPIX 25.97 +2.9% BUY 0 0.0% 28.5% R 3
Mid-Cap Val MLPIX 29.67 +2.8% BUY 0 0.0% 26.5% R 3
Sml-Cap Gth SGPIX 29.35 +3.9% BUY 0 0.0% 27.4% R 2
Sml-Cap Val SVPIX 32.52 +4.9% BUY 0 0.0% 22.5% R 2
Consumer Gds CNPIX 26.37 +1.4% BUY 0 0.0% 24.6% R 3
Industrial IDPIX 21.85 +3.2% BUY 0 0.0% 40.1% R 3
Europe 30 UEPIX 11.37 +1.2% BUY 0 0.0% 17.4% R 3
ProFund Bull BLPIX 43.76 +1.6% BUY 1 1.6% 1.6% R 3
UltraBull ULPIX 27.72 +3.1% BUY 1 3.1% 3.1% R 3
UltraDow UDPIX 19.87 +3.4% BUY 1 3.4% 3.4% R 3
LgCap Growth LGPIX 28.75 +1.0% BUY 1 1.0% 1.0% R 3
LgCap Value LVPIX 31.27 +2.1% BUY 1 2.1% 2.1% R 3
Basic Mat'l BMPIX 23.87 +1.8% BUY 1 1.8% 1.8% R 3
Consumer Svc CYPIX 16.11 +4.1% BUY 1 4.1% 4.1% R 3
Healthcare HCPIX 11.04 +2.0% BUY 1 2.0% 2.0% R 3
Internet INPIX 39.65 +1.4% BUY 1 1.4% 1.4% R 3
Mobile Tel WCPIX 2.41 -4.7% BUY 1 0.0% -4.7% R 3
Oil Eqp/Svcs OEPIX 13.94 -0.4% BUY 1 0.0% -0.4% R 3
Semiconductr SMPIX 7.65 +1.6% BUY 1 1.6% 1.6% R 3
Technology TEPIX 16.03 +0.5% BUY 1 0.5% 0.5% R 3
Ult Emer Mkt UUPIX 8.09 -2.1% BUY 1 0.0% -2.1% R 3
Ultra Intl UNPIX 9.87 +1.4% BUY 1 1.4% 1.4% R 3
Ultra Japan UJPIX 9.88 -0.8% BUY 1 0.0% -0.8% R 3
Nasdaq 100 OTPIX 48.37 +0.1% BUY 2 2.5% 2.5% R 3
Ultra NDX UOPIX 11.58 +0.1% BUY 2 5.5% 5.5% R 3
Rise Rate 10 RTPIX 27.22 +0.1% BUY 2 1.0% 1.0% R 3
Oil & Gas ENPIX 28.84 +0.9% BUY 2 7.5% 7.5% R 3
Rising Rates RRPIX 16.76 +1.6% BUY 3 3.7% 3.7% R 3
Pharmaceutcl PHPIX 6.66 +1.5% BUY 3 0.0% 0.0% R 3
Telecom TCPIX 10.19 -1.8% BUY 3 0.0% -4.4% R 3
Utilities UTPIX 15.86 -1.7% BUY 3 4.1% 2.3% R 3
Biotech BIPIX 52.35 +0.7% BUY 8 7.9% 7.9% R 3
Shrt Prec Mt SPPIX 29.58 +5.2% BUY 28 53.1% 18.2% F 2
Rise Dollar RDPIX 31.33 +1.2% BUY 29 7.5% 6.1% F 2
Shrt Real Es SRPIX 31.09 -6.2% BUY 32 57.8% 20.0% F 3
UShrt MidCap UIPIX 21.49 -5.6% SELL 0 0.0% 50.7% F 3
UShrt SmlCap UCPIX 18.40 -9.1% SELL 0 0.0% 38.1% F 2
Short Sm-Cap SHPIX 19.84 -4.5% SELL 0 0.0% 22.4% F 2
ProFund Bear BRPIX 35.31 -1.6% SELL 1 1.6% 1.6% F 3
UltraBear URPIX 21.87 -3.1% SELL 1 3.1% 3.1% F 3
UShrt Dow 30 UWPIX 24.17 -3.5% SELL 1 3.5% 3.5% F 3
UlSht Emer M UVPIX 12.17 +1.9% SELL 1 0.0% -1.9% F 3
UltShrt Intl UXPIX 36.14 -1.4% SELL 1 1.4% 1.4% F 3
UltSht Japan UKPIX 53.01 +0.9% SELL 1 0.0% -0.9% F 3
Short NDX SOPIX 19.51 -0.1% SELL 2 2.8% 2.8% F 3
UltraShrtNDX USPIX 16.05 -0.1% SELL 2 5.0% 5.0% F 3
Shrt Oil&Gas SNPIX 19.97 -0.6% SELL 2 4.9% 4.9% F 3
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 33.06 -1.5% SELL 3 3.7% 3.7% F 3
Banks BKPIX 14.02 +8.8% SELL 24 19.9% -0.5% R 1
Fall Dollar FDPIX 26.70 -1.3% SELL 28 7.5% 6.6% F 0
Precious Met PMPIX 12.93 -7.8% SELL 28 59.1% 43.3% R 2
Financial FNPIX 8.86 +7.7% SELL 32 37.9% 21.5% R 3
Real Estate REPIX 17.62 +9.2% SELL 32 57.8% 40.7% R 3
Average +0.8% 5 6.7% 11.8% 3
*****************************************************************************
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
The SWENLIN PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL is intended to catch long-term price moves.
Model Signals are mechanically generated by a 200-day exponential moving
average crossover in conjunction with a 10% price move in the opposite
direction of the current signal extreme. For example, assume that the current
signal is a BUY. If the price drops 10% from the signal high, and also drops
below the 200 DMA, a SELL Signal will be generated automatically. The
MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS work best when prices are trending and changing
direction smoothly. When prices are volatile, particularly in a 10% range,
results will be extremely poor. By design, these signals will always miss at
least the first 10% of a move. Rather than wait for a signal reversal, it is
best to use trend analysis and other indicators to decide when to exit a
position. New signals should alert you to the possibility that a change in
direction is taking place. Once alerted, watch price movement and other
indicators to determine an optimum entry point, if any.
SUMMARY OF PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
ProFnd ProFnd
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 16 41
% of Total......: 28% 72%
Ave Days Elapsed: 85 133
Ave High Profit.: +82% +50%
Ave Profit......: +32% +40%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +21% -35%
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
This is a list of PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS for the ProFunds Funds.
The newest signals give notice that the trend may be in the process of
making a long-term change of direction.
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
10/31 Cal Price
Close % Days High Today Rel to
Name/Symbol NAV Change Sgnl Elap P/L P/L STOP Stop
---------------------- ------ ------ ---- ---- ------ ------ ------ -------
UShrt SmlCap UCPIX 18.40 -9.1% BUY 32 82.4% 22.3% 15.26 +20.6%
Short Sm-Cap SHPIX 19.84 -4.5% BUY 32 38.4% 14.0% 17.23 +15.1%
Shrt Prec Mt SPPIX 29.58 +5.2% BUY 32 77.2% 36.8% 21.71 +36.3%
Shrt Real Es SRPIX 31.09 -6.2% BUY 32 57.8% 20.0% 26.92 +15.5%
UShrt MidCap UIPIX 21.49 -5.6% BUY 38 114.0% 47.6% 15.64 +37.4%
Rise Dollar RDPIX 31.33 +1.2% BUY 53 9.0% 7.5% 28.31 +10.7%
UltraShrtNDX USPIX 16.05 -0.1% BUY 59 105.2% 50.8% 12.33 +30.1%
US Gvt Plus GVPIX 33.06 -1.5% BUY 59 8.0% -0.6% 32.32 +2.3%
UlSht Emer M UVPIX 12.17 +1.9% BUY 99 159.0% 41.0% 10.40 +17.0%
Shrt Oil&Gas SNPIX 19.97 -0.6% BUY 106 57.3% 17.7% 18.24 +9.5%
ProFund Bear BRPIX 35.31 -1.6% BUY 127 41.3% 22.3% 29.77 +18.6%
Short NDX SOPIX 19.51 -0.1% BUY 127 48.1% 27.6% 16.30 +19.7%
UltSht Japan UKPIX 53.01 +0.9% BUY 133 160.6% 49.2% 43.50 +21.9%
UltraBear URPIX 21.87 -3.1% BUY 142 100.4% 48.3% 16.94 +29.1%
UltShrt Intl UXPIX 36.14 -1.4% BUY 144 164.7% 70.5% 28.30 +27.7%
UShrt Dow 30 UWPIX 24.17 -3.5% BUY 150 89.4% 37.9% 20.51 +17.8%
Small-Cap SLPIX 30.33 +4.3% SELL 32 31.8% 18.4% 38.66 -21.6%
Sml-Cap Gth SGPIX 29.35 +3.9% SELL 32 31.5% 19.1% 37.66 -22.1%
Sml-Cap Val SVPIX 32.52 +4.9% SELL 32 31.4% 17.3% 40.33 -19.4%
Consumer Gds CNPIX 26.37 +1.4% SELL 32 31.5% 19.4% 34.57 -23.7%
UltraSmlCap UAPIX 12.14 +8.9% SELL 38 62.2% 45.9% 22.07 -45.0%
Banks BKPIX 14.02 +8.8% SELL 39 43.3% 28.8% 20.47 -31.5%
Biotech BIPIX 52.35 +0.7% SELL 39 25.9% 9.9% 56.46 -7.3%
Real Estate REPIX 17.62 +9.2% SELL 39 60.6% 44.7% 33.12 -46.8%
Healthcare HCPIX 11.04 +2.0% SELL 44 30.2% 20.2% 14.23 -22.4%
Pharmaceutcl PHPIX 6.66 +1.5% SELL 44 26.5% 14.0% 8.25 -19.3%
Fall Dollar FDPIX 26.70 -1.3% SELL 51 8.2% 7.3% 29.79 -10.4%
Rising Rates RRPIX 16.76 +1.6% SELL 58 7.9% 0.7% 17.49 -4.2%
Ultra NDX UOPIX 11.58 +0.1% SELL 59 63.0% 52.2% 22.76 -49.1%
Basic Mat'l BMPIX 23.87 +1.8% SELL 88 68.1% 56.9% 52.93 -54.9%
Oil Eqp/Svcs OEPIX 13.94 -0.4% SELL 99 76.3% 67.3% 35.10 -60.3%
Precious Met PMPIX 12.93 -7.8% SELL 100 79.9% 72.1% 37.60 -65.6%
Utilities UTPIX 15.86 -1.7% SELL 107 48.6% 37.2% 23.12 -31.4%
Oil & Gas ENPIX 28.84 +0.9% SELL 108 61.7% 49.6% 48.86 -41.0%
LgCap Growth LGPIX 28.75 +1.0% SELL 114 33.5% 23.9% 36.95 -22.2%
Mid-Cap Gth MGPIX 25.97 +2.9% SELL 120 41.8% 30.8% 35.51 -26.9%
Mid-Cap MDPIX 30.30 +2.8% SELL 121 39.9% 28.8% 40.95 -26.0%
Europe 30 UEPIX 11.37 +1.2% SELL 121 45.5% 34.7% 16.32 -30.3%
Nasdaq 100 OTPIX 48.37 +0.1% SELL 123 36.5% 27.5% 63.67 -24.0%
Mid-Cap Val MLPIX 29.67 +2.8% SELL 123 39.1% 27.9% 39.64 -25.1%
ProFund Bull BLPIX 43.76 +1.6% SELL 126 33.3% 23.6% 56.08 -22.0%
UltraMid-Cap UMPIX 19.73 +5.6% SELL 129 70.4% 58.6% 40.07 -50.8%
Technology TEPIX 16.03 +0.5% SELL 129 52.7% 43.6% 25.41 -36.9%
Industrial IDPIX 21.85 +3.2% SELL 135 57.5% 47.0% 36.68 -40.4%
UltraBull ULPIX 27.72 +3.1% SELL 142 62.4% 51.2% 50.75 -45.4%
Internet INPIX 39.65 +1.4% SELL 142 60.7% 53.0% 72.56 -45.4%
Telecom TCPIX 10.19 -1.8% SELL 142 50.1% 41.3% 15.62 -34.8%
Semiconductr SMPIX 7.65 +1.6% SELL 143 60.2% 51.9% 13.39 -42.9%
Ult Emer Mkt UUPIX 8.09 -2.1% SELL 143 86.2% 77.7% 26.78 -69.8%
UltraDow UDPIX 19.87 +3.4% SELL 147 57.8% 45.2% 32.24 -38.4%
Ultra Intl UNPIX 9.87 +1.4% SELL 147 77.8% 68.3% 24.23 -59.3%
Rise Rate 10 RTPIX 27.22 +0.1% SELL 340 5.9% 1.9% 28.72 -5.2%
LgCap Value LVPIX 31.27 +2.1% SELL 347 41.9% 33.7% 40.52 -22.8%
Consumer Svc CYPIX 16.11 +4.1% SELL 359 57.9% 46.4% 23.78 -32.2%
Financial FNPIX 8.86 +7.7% SELL 378 74.2% 67.4% 16.13 -45.1%
Mobile Tel WCPIX 2.41 -4.7% SELL 378 90.3% 87.4% 8.05 -70.0%
Ultra Japan UJPIX 9.88 -0.8% SELL 378 84.1% 75.7% 23.58 -58.1%
Average +0.8% 120 59.0% 37.6% -19.7%
****************************************************************************
SHORT-TERM (PMO) and LONG-TERM (PMM) SIGNAL COMPARISONS
The Price Momentum Model (PMM) signal provides guidance regarding the
longer-term trend, and the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signals identify
the shorter-term trend. A logical trading methodology is to open positions
on new PMO signals when they are compatable with the PMM signals. Positions
may be closed or hedged when the PMM and PMO signals are in conflict.
This section compares the PMM and PMO signals side by side and provides
some mechanical analysis. A "Warn!" flag is an alert that the PMO signal is
in conflict with the PMM -- closing or hedging the PMM position may be
considered. A "Buy?" or "Sell?" flag is an alert that the PMO signal has
just changed and is the same as the PMM signal -- opening new PMM positions
may be considered.
SUMMARY OF SHORT-TERM AND LONG-TERM SIGNALS FOR PROFUNDS FUNDS
SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM
PMO PMO PMM PMM
BUY SELL BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 39 18 16 41
% of Total......: 68% 32% 28% 72%
Ave Days Elapsed: 3 9 85 133
Ave High Profit.: +5% +12% +82% +50%
Ave Profit......: +11% +14% +32% +40%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +21% -35%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 70%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 28%
|-- PMO Crossover Model ---|-- Price Momentum Model --|
| PMO High Today | PMM High Today|
Name Flag| Sgnl Day P/L P/L | Sgnl Days P/L P/L|
--------------- -----| ---- --- ------- ------- | ---- ---- ------- -------|
ProFund Bull Warn! BUY 1 +1.6% +1.6% SELL 126 +33.3% +23.6%
ProFund Bear Warn! SELL 1 +1.6% +1.6% BUY 127 +41.3% +22.4%
UltraBull Warn! BUY 1 +3.1% +3.1% SELL 142 +62.4% +51.3%
UltraBear Warn! SELL 1 +3.1% +3.1% BUY 142 +100.4% +48.3%
Nasdaq 100 Warn! BUY 2 +2.5% +2.5% SELL 123 +36.5% +27.5%
Short NDX Warn! SELL 2 +2.8% +2.8% BUY 127 +48.1% +27.6%
UltraDow Warn! BUY 1 +3.4% +3.4% SELL 147 +57.8% +45.3%
UShrt Dow 30 Warn! SELL 1 +3.5% +3.5% BUY 150 +89.5% +37.9%
Ultra NDX Warn! BUY 2 +5.5% +5.5% SELL 59 +63.0% +52.3%
UltraShrtNDX Warn! SELL 2 +5.0% +5.0% BUY 59 +105.2% +50.9%
UltraMid-Cap Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% +51.3% SELL 129 +70.4% +58.7%
UShrt MidCap Warn! *SELL 0 0.0% +50.7% BUY 38 +114.0% +47.6%
UltraSmlCap Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% +48.2% SELL 38 +62.2% +45.9%
UShrt SmlCap Warn! *SELL 0 0.0% +38.1% BUY 32 +82.4% +22.3%
Mid-Cap Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% +27.6% SELL 121 +39.9% +28.8%
Small-Cap Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% +25.1% SELL 32 +31.8% +18.4%
Short Sm-Cap Warn! *SELL 0 0.0% +22.4% BUY 32 +38.4% +14.0%
LgCap Growth Warn! BUY 1 +1.0% +1.0% SELL 114 +33.5% +23.9%
LgCap Value Warn! BUY 1 +2.1% +2.1% SELL 347 +41.9% +33.7%
Mid-Cap Gth Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% +28.5% SELL 120 +41.8% +30.8%
Mid-Cap Val Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% +26.5% SELL 123 +39.1% +27.9%
Sml-Cap Gth Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% +27.4% SELL 32 +31.6% +19.1%
Sml-Cap Val Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% +22.5% SELL 32 +31.4% +17.3%
US Gvt Plus Warn! SELL 3 +3.7% +3.7% BUY 59 +8.0% -0.6%
Rising Rates Warn! BUY 3 +3.7% +3.7% SELL 58 +7.9% +0.7%
Rise Rate 10 Warn! BUY 2 +1.0% +1.0% SELL 340 +5.9% +2.0%
Rise Dollar BUY 29 +7.5% +6.1% BUY 53 +9.0% +7.5%
Fall Dollar SELL 28 +7.5% +6.6% SELL 51 +8.2% +7.3%
Banks SELL 24 +19.9% -0.5% SELL 39 +43.3% +28.8%
Basic Mat'l Warn! BUY 1 +1.8% +1.8% SELL 88 +68.1% +56.9%
Biotech Warn! BUY 8 +7.9% +7.9% SELL 39 +25.9% +9.9%
Consumer Gds Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% +24.6% SELL 32 +31.5% +19.4%
Consumer Svc Warn! BUY 1 +4.1% +4.1% SELL 359 +57.9% +46.4%
Financial SELL 32 +37.9% +21.5% SELL 378 +74.2% +67.4%
Healthcare Warn! BUY 1 +2.0% +2.0% SELL 44 +30.2% +20.2%
Industrial Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% +40.1% SELL 135 +57.5% +47.0%
Internet Warn! BUY 1 +1.4% +1.4% SELL 142 +60.7% +53.0%
Mobile Tel Warn! BUY 1 0.0% -4.7% SELL 378 +90.3% +87.4%
Oil & Gas Warn! BUY 2 +7.5% +7.5% SELL 108 +61.7% +49.6%
Shrt Oil&Gas Warn! SELL 2 +4.9% +4.9% BUY 106 +57.3% +17.7%
Oil Eqp/Svcs Warn! BUY 1 0.0% -0.4% SELL 99 +76.3% +67.3%
Pharmaceutcl Warn! BUY 3 0.0% 0.0% SELL 44 +26.5% +14.0%
Precious Met SELL 28 +59.1% +43.3% SELL 100 +79.9% +72.1%
Shrt Prec Mt BUY 28 +53.1% +18.2% BUY 32 +77.2% +36.8%
Real Estate SELL 32 +57.8% +40.7% SELL 39 +60.6% +44.7%
Shrt Real Es BUY 32 +57.8% +20.0% BUY 32 +57.8% +20.0%
Semiconductr Warn! BUY 1 +1.6% +1.6% SELL 143 +60.2% +51.9%
Technology Warn! BUY 1 +0.5% +0.5% SELL 129 +52.7% +43.6%
Telecom Warn! BUY 3 0.0% -4.4% SELL 142 +50.1% +41.3%
Utilities Warn! BUY 3 +4.1% +2.3% SELL 107 +48.6% +37.2%
Europe 30 Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% +17.4% SELL 121 +45.5% +34.7%
Ult Emer Mkt Warn! BUY 1 0.0% -2.1% SELL 143 +86.2% +77.7%
UlSht Emer M Warn! SELL 1 0.0% -1.9% BUY 99 +159.0% +41.0%
Ultra Intl Warn! BUY 1 +1.4% +1.4% SELL 147 +77.8% +68.3%
UltShrt Intl Warn! SELL 1 +1.5% +1.5% BUY 144 +164.7% +70.5%
Ultra Japan Warn! BUY 1 0.0% -0.8% SELL 378 +84.1% +75.7%
UltSht Japan Warn! SELL 1 0.0% -0.9% BUY 133 +160.6% +49.2%
Average 5 +6.7% +11.8% 120 +59.0% +37.6%
*****************************************************************************
EXPLANATION OF TABLE HEADINGS
Close NAV: The fund's net asset value as of today's close.
% Change: Percentage that price has changed from prior day's close.
PMO Rank: Shows the rank of the PMO in relation to the other securities
in the list.
5 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) in the last 5 days.
15 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) in the last 15 days.
YTD Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) since the beginning of the year.
Signl: The signal designations of BUY and SELL indicate the current
direction of momentum and are not an indication that continuous buying or
selling should take place. Signals that are a few days or weeks old give the
best indication that profitable action MIGHT be taken.
Signal Flag: When the PMO signal disagrees with the PMM signal, the flag
will be "Warn!" On the day the PMO signal changes back into agreement
with the PMM signal, the flag will remind that new positions may be
considered by indicating "Buy?" or "Sell?"
Cal Days Elap: Indicates the number of calendar days that have elapsed since
the current signal was initiated.
High P/L: Highest profit or least loss experienced since the current signal
was initiated. On the first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the
closing P/L for the prior signal.
Today P/L: Profit or loss for the signal since it was initiated. On the
first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the closing P/L for the prior
signal.
STOP: The price at which the mechanical PMM signal will reverse.
Price Rel to Stop: This column shows the relationship of the current price
to the price at which the signal will change. (i.e. +5.3% means the current
price is 5.3% above the signal change price.
PMO R/F Days: The direction of the PMO (rising/falling) and number of
calendar days trend has been effect.
The Hot/Cold grouping ranks securities/indexes into six (6) groups ranging
from 1 (Hot) to 6 (Cold) according to price strength, internal strength,
and relative strength. We can quickly assess the condition of these
elements by the group number and "blinker" fields. Moving from left to
right: The first blinker tells us if the PMO is above (+) or below (-) its
10-day exponential moving average (EMA). The second blinker indicates if
the closing price is above (+) or below (-) it's 20-DMA. The third and
fourth blinkers tell us if the PMO is rising (+) or falling (-), and if it
is above (+) or below (-) zero. The fifth blinker tells us if the 5-day PMO
rank change is positive (+), negative (-), or no change ( ). Groups 1-3
should be considered as buy candidates, 4-6 as sell candidates.
CAVEAT
We make every effort to insure the accuracy of this information, but we
cannot guarantee it. It is always possible that errors will creep in. If it
doesn't make sense, let us know about it. Also, we make every effort to upload
this data each market day, but circumstances may be such that it is not
possible due to circumstances beyond our control.
End of Profunds Tracker Daily Report for Friday 10/31/2008
Copyright 2008 Decision Point. This publication is not to be summarized,
reproduced, or rebroadcast in any fashion without our written permission.
Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or
sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee or imply future
results.
|
Back
to Top Advisors Corner Menu
