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[About This Newsletter]
DECISION POINT
ETF TRACKER DAILY REPORT
Friday, 11/28/2008
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The Decision Point ETF Tracker Report is a daily publication specializing in
exchange traded funds (ETFs). It provides momentum analysis, strength
ranking and BUY and SELL Signals. This newsletter is included as part of a
DecisionPoint.com PRIME web site subscription.
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INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS TO ASSIST FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY SECURITY. PAST
PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
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DISTRIBUTIONS
Close $ % Distribution Adjustment
Name Price Change Change Amount Factor
---------------- ------ ------ ------ ------------ ----------
Bank Regional HL 78.57 +1.89 +2.5% 0.01 0.9999
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TODAY'S RESULTS AND PRICE CHANGE ANALYSIS
11/28 WTD MTD YTD
Close $ % Volume %Price %Price %Price
Name Sym Price Change Change X 1000 Change Change Change
---------------- ---- ------ ------ ------ --------- ------ ------ ------
Diamonds DIA 88.30 +1.12 +1.3% 6946.0 +9.6% -5.6% -32%
Nasdaq 100 Shrs QQQQ 29.12 -0.23 -0.8% 41189.1 +9.2% -11.5% -43%
SP500 LgCap SPDR SPY 90.13 +1.08 +1.2% 119043.6 +13.3% -6.9% -37%
SP100 iSh OEF 43.54 +0.51 +1.2% 1044.5 +11.6% -6.6% -37%
SP500 LgCp Grwth IVW 44.51 +0.09 +0.2% 1560.3 +9.4% -6.1% -36%
SP500 LgCp Value IVE 45.07 +0.80 +1.8% 1131.0 +14.9% -9.3% -41%
SP400 MidCp SPDR MDY 93.60 +1.10 +1.2% 2198.0 +17.7% -9.5% -39%
SP400 MdCp Grwth IJK 53.21 +0.47 +0.9% 79.2 +16.3% -9.6% -40%
SP400 MdCp Value IJJ 48.64 +0.56 +1.2% 79.4 +16.7% -9.0% -39%
SP600 SmlCp iSh IJR 42.09 +0.71 +1.7% 1704.7 +16.2% -11.9% -35%
SP600 SmCp Grwth IJT 43.00 +0.65 +1.5% 360.3 +15.1% -10.8% -36%
SP600 SmCp Value IJS 45.98 +0.70 +1.5% 159.6 +16.3% -11.8% -34%
Russell 2000 iSh IWM 47.34 +0.47 +1.0% 24158.3 +16.5% -11.9% -38%
Rus2000 Grwth iS IWO 48.80 +0.55 +1.1% 1128.2 +15.9% -11.9% -42%
Rus2000 Value iS IWN 47.15 +1.01 +2.2% 1168.6 +17.1% -11.3% -33%
SP500 Equal Wght RSP 27.11 +0.28 +1.0% 474.6 +15.0% -9.6% -42%
NDX Equal Weight QQEW 11.62 +0.29 +2.6% 24.9 +14.4% -11.6% -48%
DJ Transports iS IYT 63.16 +0.22 +0.3% 136.6 +12.4% -9.5% -22%
DJ Sel Dividend DVY 42.94 +0.71 +1.7% 355.3 +14.4% -8.9% -33%
InvesTop CrpB iS LQD 90.14 -0.26 -0.3% 825.2 -0.8% +2.8% -14%
Mini Bond iShrs MUB 95.24 -0.08 -0.1% 15.2 -1.1% -0.5% -4%
T-Bond 1-3 Yr iS SHY 84.80 +0.05 +0.1% 234.6 +0.2% +0.7% +5%
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr iS IEF 94.36 +0.19 +0.2% 134.0 +1.6% +7.4% +8%
T-Bond 20+ Yr iS TLT 105.72 +1.29 +1.2% 988.4 +2.7% +13.9% +15%
TIPS Bond iShrs TIP 93.18 +0.29 +0.3% 353.2 +0.7% +0.9% -12%
Aerospace/Def iS ITA 39.27 +1.04 +2.7% 39.7 +10.6% -9.9% -42%
Bank Regional HL RKH 78.57 +1.89 +2.5% 856.4 +27.5% -16.7% -37%
Biotech iShares IBB 65.35 +0.43 +0.7% 189.5 +7.5% -8.5% -19%
Broker/Dealer iS IAI 19.30 +0.32 +1.7% 28.3 +28.2% -15.2% -62%
Broadband HLDRs BDH 7.96 -0.01 -0.1% 1.1 +14.5% -13.8% -42%
Commodity iShare GSG 32.21 -1.39 -4.1% 101.5 +4.0% -14.9% -39%
Consumer Disc SP XLY 20.49 +0.31 +1.5% 1486.4 +17.4% -10.8% -37%
Consumer iShares IYC 40.08 +0.28 +0.7% 47.3 +13.8% -9.0% -35%
Consumer Non-Cyc IYK 46.71 +0.50 +1.1% 28.7 +5.3% -3.9% -27%
Consumer Stpl SP XLP 24.07 +0.36 +1.5% 2234.5 +4.7% -0.2% -15%
Crude Oil ETF USO 42.09 -2.45 -5.5% 4665.3 +2.7% -24.3% -44%
Energy SPDR XLE 50.28 -0.82 -1.6% 15974.3 +13.2% -2.2% -36%
Financial SPDR XLF 12.66 +0.31 +2.5% 54492.4 +30.8% -18.5% -55%
Gold GLD 80.31 -0.07 -0.1% 3659.7 +1.9% +12.6% -3%
Gold Miners GDX 26.57 +0.46 +1.8% 2678.5 +15.4% +26.8% -42%
Health Care SPDR XLV 24.92 +0.32 +1.3% 1595.0 +5.6% -6.3% -28%
Healthcare Prv IHF 31.36 +0.70 +2.3% 5.5 +15.0% -10.0% -50%
Home Const iShrs ITB 10.06 -0.12 -1.2% 120.8 +41.5% -18.8% -43%
Industrial SPDR XLI 23.11 +0.49 +2.2% 4169.3 +12.2% -8.2% -40%
Insurance iShare IAK 21.27 +0.71 +3.5% 3.2 +24.7% -6.1% -57%
Internet HLDRs HHH 28.77 +0.32 +1.1% 22.5 +15.0% -14.1% -51%
Intnet Arch HLDR IAH 31.38 -0.11 -0.3% 9000.0 +13.7% -12.0% -38%
Materials SPDR XLB 23.15 +0.10 +0.4% 2409.7 +15.2% -10.7% -44%
Medical Dev iShr IHI 37.71 +0.49 +1.3% 37.1 +7.9% -16.3% -38%
Natural Gas UNG 26.95 -1.40 -4.9% 2842.4 -1.4% -6.7% -26%
Natural Res iShr IGE 26.14 -0.31 -1.2% 561.0 +15.2% -2.5% -42%
Network iShares IGN 16.83 +0.12 +0.7% 2.3 +14.0% -9.7% -51%
Oil Svc HLDRs OIH 86.07 -1.47 -1.7% 3515.9 +16.6% -12.6% -54%
Oil/Gas Expl iSh IEO 40.54 -1.04 -2.5% 109.8 +16.6% -6.8% -39%
Pharmacutical HL PPH 58.24 +1.20 +2.1% 170.5 +4.4% -2.9% -24%
Real Estate iShr IYR 33.38 -0.29 -0.9% 11572.1 +21.9% -21.6% -49%
Retail Holders RTH 72.76 -0.61 -0.8% 2834.1 +13.4% -6.1% -21%
Semiconductor iS IGW 27.07 -0.33 -1.2% 61.3 +10.7% -18.9% -54%
Silver ETF SLV 10.23 +0.04 +0.4% 2359.2 +7.5% +6.8% -30%
Software iShares IGV 30.95 -0.19 -0.6% 40.9 +8.7% -8.7% -40%
Technology SPDR XLK 15.25 +0.02 +0.1% 1859.4 +9.8% -8.4% -42%
Telecom iShares IYZ 16.53 +0.29 +1.8% 158.3 +21.2% +2.1% -44%
Utilities SPDR XLU 30.12 +0.52 +1.8% 2974.6 +4.5% +4.2% -27%
Wireless HLDRs WMH 37.15 +1.21 +3.4% 2000.0 +10.1% -7.7% -48%
Australian Doll FXA 65.74 +0.19 +0.3% 62.2 +4.3% -1.6% -25%
British Pound FXB 154.21 +0.52 +0.3% 25.2 +3.5% -4.5% -23%
Euro Currency iS FXE 127.36 -1.97 -1.5% 292.7 +1.1% -0.3% -13%
Japanese Yen FXY 104.32 +0.05 0.0% 46.8 +0.2% +3.3% +16%
US Dollar Index UUP 26.55 +0.28 +1.1% 293.6 -1.5% +0.2% +12%
Australia iShrs EWA 13.66 +0.14 +1.0% 827.5 +10.4% -8.9% -53%
Brazil iShares EWZ 35.16 -1.13 -3.1% 8019.5 +19.8% -6.6% -56%
China 25 iShares FXI 26.59 -0.64 -2.4% 18467.9 +8.7% +5.7% -53%
Canada iShares EWC 17.11 +0.36 +2.1% 736.5 +12.6% -10.8% -47%
EAFE Index iShrs EFA 41.73 -0.02 0.0% 17630.3 +9.0% -6.4% -47%
Emerging Mkts iS EEM 22.95 -0.45 -1.9% 36642.7 +9.9% -9.8% -54%
EMU iShares EZU 27.73 -0.59 -2.1% 1123.0 +9.9% -7.4% -54%
France iShares EWQ 19.35 -0.19 -1.0% 139.7 +11.2% -5.6% -49%
Germany iShares EWG 16.59 -0.20 -1.2% 160.0 +9.4% -10.2% -53%
HongKong iShares EWH 10.28 -0.06 -0.6% 1540.9 +8.3% -1.3% -53%
India ETN INP 28.41 -0.32 -1.1% 591.9 +2.3% -13.6% -71%
Japan iShares EWJ 8.66 -0.13 -1.5% 9850.7 +4.6% -3.8% -35%
Malaysia iShares EWM 7.04 -0.05 -0.7% 377.4 0.0% -1.5% -45%
Mexico iShares EWW 29.39 -0.72 -2.4% 1345.3 +11.5% -4.9% -48%
Russia ETF RSX 14.56 -0.37 -2.5% 689.3 +19.3% -23.0% -71%
Singapore iShrs EWS 6.80 -0.12 -1.7% 1595.9 +4.6% -3.3% -51%
South Africa EZA 35.31 -0.07 -0.2% 162.4 +14.2% +2.3% -46%
South Korea iShr EWY 23.93 +0.53 +2.3% 1574.3 +6.0% -15.7% -63%
Switzerland iShr EWL 16.66 +0.44 +2.7% 92.8 +11.7% -9.3% -36%
Taiwan iShares EWT 7.78 +0.07 +0.9% 5261.0 +3.7% -11.7% -48%
United Kgdm iShr EWU 12.50 +0.22 +1.8% 505.8 +13.6% -6.4% -48%
Average +0.3% +11.2% -6.9% -37%
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ETFs SORTED BY TODAY'S PERCENTAGE CHANGE
11/28 WTD MTD YTD
Close $ % Volume %Price %Price %Price
Name Sym Price Change Change X 1000 Change Change Change
---------------- ---- ------ ------ ------ --------- ------ ------ ------
Insurance iShare IAK 21.27 +0.71 +3.5% 3.2 +24.7% -6.1% -57%
Wireless HLDRs WMH 37.15 +1.21 +3.4% 2000.0 +10.1% -7.7% -48%
Aerospace/Def iS ITA 39.27 +1.04 +2.7% 39.7 +10.6% -9.9% -42%
Switzerland iShr EWL 16.66 +0.44 +2.7% 92.8 +11.7% -9.3% -36%
NDX Equal Weight QQEW 11.62 +0.29 +2.6% 24.9 +14.4% -11.6% -48%
Bank Regional HL RKH 78.57 +1.89 +2.5% 856.4 +27.5% -16.7% -37%
Financial SPDR XLF 12.66 +0.31 +2.5% 54492.4 +30.8% -18.5% -55%
Healthcare Prv IHF 31.36 +0.70 +2.3% 5.5 +15.0% -10.0% -50%
South Korea iShr EWY 23.93 +0.53 +2.3% 1574.3 +6.0% -15.7% -63%
Rus2000 Value iS IWN 47.15 +1.01 +2.2% 1168.6 +17.1% -11.3% -33%
Industrial SPDR XLI 23.11 +0.49 +2.2% 4169.3 +12.2% -8.2% -40%
Pharmacutical HL PPH 58.24 +1.20 +2.1% 170.5 +4.4% -2.9% -24%
Canada iShares EWC 17.11 +0.36 +2.1% 736.5 +12.6% -10.8% -47%
SP500 LgCp Value IVE 45.07 +0.80 +1.8% 1131.0 +14.9% -9.3% -41%
Gold Miners GDX 26.57 +0.46 +1.8% 2678.5 +15.4% +26.8% -42%
Telecom iShares IYZ 16.53 +0.29 +1.8% 158.3 +21.2% +2.1% -44%
Utilities SPDR XLU 30.12 +0.52 +1.8% 2974.6 +4.5% +4.2% -27%
United Kgdm iShr EWU 12.50 +0.22 +1.8% 505.8 +13.6% -6.4% -48%
SP600 SmlCp iSh IJR 42.09 +0.71 +1.7% 1704.7 +16.2% -11.9% -35%
DJ Sel Dividend DVY 42.94 +0.71 +1.7% 355.3 +14.4% -8.9% -33%
Broker/Dealer iS IAI 19.30 +0.32 +1.7% 28.3 +28.2% -15.2% -62%
SP600 SmCp Grwth IJT 43.00 +0.65 +1.5% 360.3 +15.1% -10.8% -36%
SP600 SmCp Value IJS 45.98 +0.70 +1.5% 159.6 +16.3% -11.8% -34%
Consumer Disc SP XLY 20.49 +0.31 +1.5% 1486.4 +17.4% -10.8% -37%
Consumer Stpl SP XLP 24.07 +0.36 +1.5% 2234.5 +4.7% -0.2% -15%
Diamonds DIA 88.30 +1.12 +1.3% 6946.0 +9.6% -5.6% -32%
Health Care SPDR XLV 24.92 +0.32 +1.3% 1595.0 +5.6% -6.3% -28%
Medical Dev iShr IHI 37.71 +0.49 +1.3% 37.1 +7.9% -16.3% -38%
SP500 LgCap SPDR SPY 90.13 +1.08 +1.2% 119043.6 +13.3% -6.9% -37%
SP100 iSh OEF 43.54 +0.51 +1.2% 1044.5 +11.6% -6.6% -37%
SP400 MidCp SPDR MDY 93.60 +1.10 +1.2% 2198.0 +17.7% -9.5% -39%
SP400 MdCp Value IJJ 48.64 +0.56 +1.2% 79.4 +16.7% -9.0% -39%
T-Bond 20+ Yr iS TLT 105.72 +1.29 +1.2% 988.4 +2.7% +13.9% +15%
Rus2000 Grwth iS IWO 48.80 +0.55 +1.1% 1128.2 +15.9% -11.9% -42%
Consumer Non-Cyc IYK 46.71 +0.50 +1.1% 28.7 +5.3% -3.9% -27%
Internet HLDRs HHH 28.77 +0.32 +1.1% 22.5 +15.0% -14.1% -51%
US Dollar Index UUP 26.55 +0.28 +1.1% 293.6 -1.5% +0.2% +12%
Russell 2000 iSh IWM 47.34 +0.47 +1.0% 24158.3 +16.5% -11.9% -38%
SP500 Equal Wght RSP 27.11 +0.28 +1.0% 474.6 +15.0% -9.6% -42%
Australia iShrs EWA 13.66 +0.14 +1.0% 827.5 +10.4% -8.9% -53%
SP400 MdCp Grwth IJK 53.21 +0.47 +0.9% 79.2 +16.3% -9.6% -40%
Taiwan iShares EWT 7.78 +0.07 +0.9% 5261.0 +3.7% -11.7% -48%
Biotech iShares IBB 65.35 +0.43 +0.7% 189.5 +7.5% -8.5% -19%
Consumer iShares IYC 40.08 +0.28 +0.7% 47.3 +13.8% -9.0% -35%
Network iShares IGN 16.83 +0.12 +0.7% 2.3 +14.0% -9.7% -51%
Materials SPDR XLB 23.15 +0.10 +0.4% 2409.7 +15.2% -10.7% -44%
Silver ETF SLV 10.23 +0.04 +0.4% 2359.2 +7.5% +6.8% -30%
DJ Transports iS IYT 63.16 +0.22 +0.3% 136.6 +12.4% -9.5% -22%
TIPS Bond iShrs TIP 93.18 +0.29 +0.3% 353.2 +0.7% +0.9% -12%
Australian Doll FXA 65.74 +0.19 +0.3% 62.2 +4.3% -1.6% -25%
British Pound FXB 154.21 +0.52 +0.3% 25.2 +3.5% -4.5% -23%
SP500 LgCp Grwth IVW 44.51 +0.09 +0.2% 1560.3 +9.4% -6.1% -36%
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr iS IEF 94.36 +0.19 +0.2% 134.0 +1.6% +7.4% +8%
T-Bond 1-3 Yr iS SHY 84.80 +0.05 +0.1% 234.6 +0.2% +0.7% +5%
Technology SPDR XLK 15.25 +0.02 +0.1% 1859.4 +9.8% -8.4% -42%
Japanese Yen FXY 104.32 +0.05 0.0% 46.8 +0.2% +3.3% +16%
EAFE Index iShrs EFA 41.73 -0.02 0.0% 17630.3 +9.0% -6.4% -47%
Mini Bond iShrs MUB 95.24 -0.08 -0.1% 15.2 -1.1% -0.5% -4%
Broadband HLDRs BDH 7.96 -0.01 -0.1% 1.1 +14.5% -13.8% -42%
Gold GLD 80.31 -0.07 -0.1% 3659.7 +1.9% +12.6% -3%
South Africa EZA 35.31 -0.07 -0.2% 162.4 +14.2% +2.3% -46%
InvesTop CrpB iS LQD 90.14 -0.26 -0.3% 825.2 -0.8% +2.8% -14%
Intnet Arch HLDR IAH 31.38 -0.11 -0.3% 9000.0 +13.7% -12.0% -38%
Software iShares IGV 30.95 -0.19 -0.6% 40.9 +8.7% -8.7% -40%
HongKong iShares EWH 10.28 -0.06 -0.6% 1540.9 +8.3% -1.3% -53%
Malaysia iShares EWM 7.04 -0.05 -0.7% 377.4 0.0% -1.5% -45%
Nasdaq 100 Shrs QQQQ 29.12 -0.23 -0.8% 41189.1 +9.2% -11.5% -43%
Retail Holders RTH 72.76 -0.61 -0.8% 2834.1 +13.4% -6.1% -21%
Real Estate iShr IYR 33.38 -0.29 -0.9% 11572.1 +21.9% -21.6% -49%
France iShares EWQ 19.35 -0.19 -1.0% 139.7 +11.2% -5.6% -49%
India ETN INP 28.41 -0.32 -1.1% 591.9 +2.3% -13.6% -71%
Home Const iShrs ITB 10.06 -0.12 -1.2% 120.8 +41.5% -18.8% -43%
Natural Res iShr IGE 26.14 -0.31 -1.2% 561.0 +15.2% -2.5% -42%
Semiconductor iS IGW 27.07 -0.33 -1.2% 61.3 +10.7% -18.9% -54%
Germany iShares EWG 16.59 -0.20 -1.2% 160.0 +9.4% -10.2% -53%
Euro Currency iS FXE 127.36 -1.97 -1.5% 292.7 +1.1% -0.3% -13%
Japan iShares EWJ 8.66 -0.13 -1.5% 9850.7 +4.6% -3.8% -35%
Energy SPDR XLE 50.28 -0.82 -1.6% 15974.3 +13.2% -2.2% -36%
Oil Svc HLDRs OIH 86.07 -1.47 -1.7% 3515.9 +16.6% -12.6% -54%
Singapore iShrs EWS 6.80 -0.12 -1.7% 1595.9 +4.6% -3.3% -51%
Emerging Mkts iS EEM 22.95 -0.45 -1.9% 36642.7 +9.9% -9.8% -54%
EMU iShares EZU 27.73 -0.59 -2.1% 1123.0 +9.9% -7.4% -54%
China 25 iShares FXI 26.59 -0.64 -2.4% 18467.9 +8.7% +5.7% -53%
Mexico iShares EWW 29.39 -0.72 -2.4% 1345.3 +11.5% -4.9% -48%
Oil/Gas Expl iSh IEO 40.54 -1.04 -2.5% 109.8 +16.6% -6.8% -39%
Russia ETF RSX 14.56 -0.37 -2.5% 689.3 +19.3% -23.0% -71%
Brazil iShares EWZ 35.16 -1.13 -3.1% 8019.5 +19.8% -6.6% -56%
Commodity iShare GSG 32.21 -1.39 -4.1% 101.5 +4.0% -14.9% -39%
Natural Gas UNG 26.95 -1.40 -4.9% 2842.4 -1.4% -6.7% -26%
Crude Oil ETF USO 42.09 -2.45 -5.5% 4665.3 +2.7% -24.3% -44%
Average +0.3% +11.2% -6.9% -37%
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ETFs SORTED BY PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR (PMO) RANK
This section ranks the securities based on Decision Point's proprietary
PMO, a measure of internal and relative strength.
|-RankChg| |--% Price Change-| Hot/Cold PMO
PMO 5 15 On 5 15 Group & Xover
Name/Symbol Rank Day Day 11/28 Day Day Blinkers Sgnl/Days
--------------------- --- --- --- ----- ---- ---- |---------|---------
T-Bond 20+ Yr iS TLT 1 +2 +3 +1.2% +1% +11% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 10
Japanese Yen FXY 2 0 0 +0.1% -2% +2% 4 -+ -+ SELL 4
US Dollar Index UUP 3 -2 -2 +1.1% -2% 0% 4 -+ -+ - SELL 15
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr iS IEF 4 0 +1 +0.2% +1% +6% 1 ++ ++ BUY 23
T-Bond 1-3 Yr iS SHY 5 +1 -2 +0.1% 0% +1% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 2
InvesTop CrpB iS LQD 6 +1 +1 -0.3% 0% -1% 1 ++ ++ + BUY 39
Mini Bond iShrs MUB 7 -2 -1 -0.1% -2% -1% 5 -- -+ - SELL 2
Gold GLD 8 +4 +10 -0.1% +9% +11% 2 ++ +- + BUY 11
Gold Miners GDX 9 +45 +77 +1.8% +46% +21% 2 ++ +- + BUY 24
Utilities SPDR XLU 10 0 +9 +1.8% +15% +8% 2 ++ +- BUY 31
China 25 iShares FXI 11 +12 +64 -2.4% +26% +17% 2 ++ +- + BUY 25
South Africa EZA 12 +20 +49 -0.2% +36% +14% 2 ++ +- + BUY 7
TIPS Bond iShrs TIP 13 -5 -4 +0.3% 0% -2% 3 +- +- - BUY 23
Energy SPDR XLE 14 +5 +15 -1.6% +26% +6% 2 ++ +- + BUY 30
Euro Currency iS FXE 15 -4 -2 -1.5% +2% 0% 3 +- +- - BUY 23
Silver ETF SLV 16 +9 +19 +0.4% +15% +3% 2 ++ +- + BUY 25
Pharmacutical HL PPH 17 -8 -7 +2.1% +10% +2% 2 ++ +- - BUY 3
Japan iShares EWJ 18 -4 -2 -1.5% +11% +1% 3 +- +- - BUY 4
Consumer Stpl SP XLP 19 -6 -7 +1.5% +10% 0% 2 ++ +- - BUY 3
Oil/Gas Expl iSh IEO 20 +7 +17 -2.5% +33% 0% 2 ++ +- + BUY 4
Malaysia iShares EWM 21 -4 +7 -0.7% +5% -2% 3 +- +- - BUY 24
Australian Doll FXA 22 -4 +4 +0.3% +8% -2% 3 +- +- - BUY 29
Diamonds DIA 23 -2 -6 +1.3% +16% +1% 2 ++ +- - BUY 2
Retail Holders RTH 24 +5 +1 -0.8% +17% +1% 2 ++ +- + BUY 3
Consumer Non-Cyc IYK 25 -1 -2 +1.1% +12% -1% 2 ++ +- - BUY 3
Natural Res iShr IGE 26 +12 +42 -1.2% +30% +4% 2 ++ +- + BUY 4
Natural Gas UNG 27 -7 -3 -4.9% +2% -9% 3 +- -- - BUY 30
British Pound FXB 28 -6 -8 +0.3% +4% -2% 3 +- +- - BUY 3
Biotech iShares IBB 29 -14 -14 +0.7% +8% -5% 4 -- +- - SELL 8
Health Care SPDR XLV 30 -14 -16 +1.3% +6% -5% 4 -- +- - SELL 9
Telecom iShares IYZ 31 +2 +11 +1.8% +27% +5% 2 ++ +- + BUY 3
Emerging Mkts iS EEM 32 +7 +17 -1.9% +26% +1% 2 ++ +- + BUY 4
HongKong iShares EWH 33 +4 +19 -0.6% +21% +3% 2 ++ +- + BUY 4
SP100 iSh OEF 34 -6 -12 +1.2% +18% 0% 2 ++ +- - BUY 2
SP500 LgCp Grwth IVW 35 -4 -1 +0.2% +17% 0% 2 ++ +- - BUY 3
DJ Sel Dividend DVY 36 -10 -25 +1.7% +20% -2% 2 ++ +- - BUY 0
EAFE Index iShrs EFA 37 -2 +3 -0.1% +17% -1% 2 ++ +- - BUY 3
SP500 LgCap SPDR SPY 38 -4 -11 +1.2% +19% -1% 2 ++ +- - BUY 2
Switzerland iShr EWL 39 -9 -18 +2.7% +16% -3% 2 ++ +- - BUY 0
France iShares EWQ 40 +1 +19 -1.0% +17% -1% 3 +- +- + BUY 3
United Kgdm iShr EWU 41 +1 +2 +1.8% +18% +2% 2 ++ +- + BUY 3
Technology SPDR XLK 42 -2 -11 +0.1% +16% -1% 2 ++ +- - BUY 2
DJ Transports iS IYT 43 -7 -10 +0.4% +17% -3% 2 ++ +- - BUY 2
Aerospace/Def iS ITA 44 -1 -12 +2.7% +18% -2% 2 ++ +- - BUY 2
EMU iShares EZU 45 +4 +28 -2.1% +17% -2% 3 +- +- + BUY 4
Germany iShares EWG 46 +1 +20 -1.2% +16% -3% 3 +- +- + BUY 3
Industrial SPDR XLI 47 -3 -3 +2.2% +16% -2% 2 ++ +- - BUY 2
Consumer iShares IYC 48 +2 -10 +0.7% +19% -2% 2 ++ +- + BUY 2
SP500 LgCp Value IVE 49 -4 -19 +1.8% +21% -3% 2 ++ +- - BUY 2
Brazil iShares EWZ 50 +10 +31 -3.1% +31% -2% 2 ++ +- + BUY 3
Singapore iShrs EWS 51 +7 +31 -1.7% +16% +1% 2 ++ +- + BUY 7
Intnet Arch HLDR IAH 52 -1 -5 -0.4% +13% -3% 3 +- +- - BUY 3
Mexico iShares EWW 53 +2 +34 -2.4% +15% +1% 2 ++ +- + BUY 28
Nasdaq 100 Shrs QQQQ 54 -6 -15 -0.8% +14% -5% 3 +- +- - BUY 2
Taiwan iShares EWT 55 +2 +5 +0.9% +18% -2% 3 +- +- + BUY 3
Software iShares IGV 56 -3 +1 -0.6% +14% -3% 3 +- +- - BUY 2
SP400 MidCp SPDR MDY 57 -1 +6 +1.2% +23% -2% 2 ++ +- - BUY 2
Consumer Disc SP XLY 57 +14 -12 +1.5% +25% -1% 2 ++ +- + BUY 2
SP400 MdCp Value IJJ 59 +3 +5 +1.2% +24% -2% 2 ++ +- + BUY 2
Rus2000 Value iS IWN 60 -1 -19 +2.2% +24% -3% 2 ++ +- - BUY 2
Bank Regional HL RKH 61 -15 -53 +2.5% +29% -8% 4 -+ +- - SELL 18
Wireless HLDRs WMH 62 -10 +7 +3.4% +6% -8% 2 ++ +- - BUY 4
SP600 SmCp Value IJS 63 +2 -17 +1.6% +24% -4% 2 ++ +- + BUY 2
SP500 Equal Wght RSP 64 0 -8 +1.0% +21% -3% 2 ++ +- BUY 2
Australia iShrs EWA 65 +9 -17 +1.0% +25% -8% 3 +- +- + BUY 2
SP600 SmlCp iSh IJR 66 +1 -16 +1.7% +23% -4% 2 ++ +- + BUY 2
SP600 SmCp Grwth IJT 67 +1 -9 +1.5% +22% -4% 2 ++ +- + BUY 2
Russell 2000 iSh IWM 68 +1 -14 +1.0% +23% -5% 2 ++ +- + BUY 2
SP400 MdCp Grwth IJK 69 +6 +3 +0.9% +23% -3% 2 ++ +- + BUY 2
Materials SPDR XLB 70 +2 +4 +0.4% +16% -5% 2 ++ +- + BUY 2
South Korea iShr EWY 71 +2 +6 +2.3% +26% -6% 3 +- +- + BUY 0
Network iShares IGN 72 +5 +7 +0.7% +19% -2% 2 ++ +- + BUY 3
Rus2000 Grwth iS IWO 73 +3 -6 +1.1% +22% -5% 2 ++ +- + BUY 2
Canada iShares EWC 74 -11 +2 +2.2% +18% -11% 3 +- +- - BUY 2
Healthcare Prv IHF 75 -9 -13 +2.3% +18% -7% 3 +- +- - BUY 0
Russia ETF RSX 76 +11 +8 -2.5% +37% -14% 3 +- +- + BUY 4
Oil Svc HLDRs OIH 77 +4 +12 -1.7% +28% -5% 3 +- +- + BUY 3
Insurance iShare IAK 78 +4 +2 +3.5% +36% -2% 2 ++ +- + BUY 2
India ETN INP 79 0 +4 -1.1% +16% -8% 3 +- +- BUY 3
NDX Equal Weight QQEW 80 -19 -10 +2.6% +9% -12% 3 +- +- - BUY 2
Broadband HLDRs BDH 81 -3 -16 -0.1% +15% -4% 3 +- +- - BUY 2
Medical Dev iShr IHI 82 -12 -29 +1.3% +12% -14% 4 -- +- - SELL 11
Internet HLDRs HHH 83 +2 -5 +1.1% +24% -8% 2 ++ +- + BUY 2
Semiconductor iS IGW 84 -4 -29 -1.2% +16% -11% 3 +- +- - BUY 0
Broker/Dealer iS IAI 85 +1 -34 +1.7% +37% -6% 2 ++ +- + BUY 2
Financial SPDR XLF 86 -3 -50 +2.5% +35% -9% 2 ++ +- - BUY 0
Commodity iShare GSG 87 -3 +1 -4.1% +7% -10% 3 +- +- - BUY 3
Real Estate iShr IYR 88 +1 -3 -0.9% +32% -11% 3 +- +- + BUY 2
Home Const iShrs ITB 89 -1 -18 -1.2% +40% -14% 2 ++ +- - BUY 0
Crude Oil ETF USO 90 0 0 -5.5% +6% -16% 3 +- +- BUY 2
****************************************************************************
PMO (PRICE MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR) CROSSOVER SIGNALS
The PMO generates a BUY or SELL Signals when it crosses up or down through
its 10-DMA. These signals tend to be short-term in duration, but they can
last for several weeks. Do not take them at face value because they can
whipsaw quite a bit. They should be used to alert you to possible trading
opportunities not used as a mechanical trading model. Always check our daily
stock charts to verify the price pattern and the configuration of the PMO.
Signals are best when price appears extended, is near support or resistance,
and the PMO is very overbought or oversold. These signals may also be used to
manage positions based on our ETF Top 5 signals or the longer-term
Price Momentum Model signals.
SUMMARY OF PMO CROSSOVER SIGNALS
ETF ETF
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 83 7
% of Total......: 92% 8%
Ave Days Elapsed: 7 10
Ave High Profit.: +3% +7%
Ave Profit......: +2% 0%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 96%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 8%
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
11/28 Cal
Close % Days High Today PMO
Name/Symbol Price Change Signl Elap P/L P/L R/F Days
--------------------- ------ ------ ----- ---- ------- ------- --------
DJ Sel Dividend DVY 42.94 +1.7% BUY 0 0.0% -1.8% R 4
Financial SPDR XLF 12.66 +2.5% BUY 0 0.0% 5.0% R 4
Healthcare Prv IHF 31.36 +2.3% BUY 0 0.0% -1.2% R 4
Home Const iShrs ITB 10.06 -1.2% BUY 0 0.0% 3.3% R 3
Semiconductor iS IGW 27.07 -1.2% BUY 0 0.0% 2.2% R 4
South Korea iShr EWY 23.93 +2.3% BUY 0 0.0% -13.7% R 2
Switzerland iShr EWL 16.66 +2.7% BUY 0 0.0% -2.1% R 4
Diamonds DIA 88.30 +1.3% BUY 2 1.3% 1.3% R 4
Nasdaq 100 Shrs QQQQ 29.12 -0.8% BUY 2 0.0% -0.8% R 4
SP500 LgCap SPDR SPY 90.13 +1.2% BUY 2 1.0% 1.3% R 4
SP100 iSh OEF 43.54 +1.2% BUY 2 1.2% 1.2% R 4
SP500 LgCp Value IVE 45.07 +1.8% BUY 2 1.8% 1.8% R 4
SP400 MidCp SPDR MDY 93.60 +1.2% BUY 2 1.2% 1.2% R 4
SP400 MdCp Grwth IJK 53.21 +0.9% BUY 2 0.9% 0.9% R 4
SP400 MdCp Value IJJ 48.64 +1.2% BUY 2 1.2% 1.2% R 4
SP600 SmlCp iSh IJR 42.09 +1.7% BUY 2 1.7% 1.7% R 4
SP600 SmCp Grwth IJT 43.00 +1.5% BUY 2 1.5% 1.5% R 4
SP600 SmCp Value IJS 45.98 +1.5% BUY 2 1.5% 1.5% R 4
Russell 2000 iSh IWM 47.34 +1.0% BUY 2 1.0% 1.0% R 4
Rus2000 Grwth iS IWO 48.80 +1.1% BUY 2 1.1% 1.1% R 4
Rus2000 Value iS IWN 47.15 +2.2% BUY 2 2.2% 2.2% R 4
SP500 Equal Wght RSP 27.11 +1.0% BUY 2 1.0% 1.0% R 4
NDX Equal Weight QQEW 11.62 +2.6% BUY 2 0.0% 0.0% R 4
DJ Transports iS IYT 63.16 +0.3% BUY 2 0.3% 0.3% R 4
T-Bond 1-3 Yr iS SHY 84.80 +0.1% BUY 2 0.1% 0.1% R 2
Aerospace/Def iS ITA 39.27 +2.7% BUY 2 2.7% 2.7% R 4
Broker/Dealer iS IAI 19.30 +1.7% BUY 2 1.7% 1.7% R 4
Broadband HLDRs BDH 7.96 -0.1% BUY 2 0.0% -0.1% R 4
Consumer Disc SP XLY 20.49 +1.5% BUY 2 1.5% 1.5% R 4
Consumer iShares IYC 40.08 +0.7% BUY 2 0.7% 0.7% R 4
Crude Oil ETF USO 42.09 -5.5% BUY 2 0.0% -5.5% R 2
Industrial SPDR XLI 23.11 +2.2% BUY 2 2.2% 2.2% R 4
Insurance iShare IAK 21.27 +3.5% BUY 2 3.5% 3.5% R 4
Internet HLDRs HHH 28.77 +1.1% BUY 2 1.1% 1.1% R 4
Materials SPDR XLB 23.15 +0.4% BUY 2 0.4% 0.4% R 4
Real Estate iShr IYR 33.38 -0.9% BUY 2 0.0% -0.9% R 4
Software iShares IGV 30.95 -0.6% BUY 2 0.0% -0.6% R 4
Technology SPDR XLK 15.25 +0.1% BUY 2 0.1% 0.1% R 4
Australia iShrs EWA 13.66 +1.0% BUY 2 1.0% 1.0% R 4
Canada iShares EWC 17.11 +2.1% BUY 2 2.1% 2.1% R 4
SP500 LgCp Grwth IVW 44.51 +0.2% BUY 3 3.8% 3.8% R 4
Commodity iShare GSG 32.21 -4.1% BUY 3 6.6% 2.2% R 4
Consumer Non-Cyc IYK 46.71 +1.1% BUY 3 3.2% 3.2% R 7
Consumer Stpl SP XLP 24.07 +1.5% BUY 3 2.8% 2.8% R 7
Intnet Arch HLDR IAH 31.38 -0.3% BUY 3 2.6% 2.3% R 4
Network iShares IGN 16.83 +0.7% BUY 3 5.8% 5.8% R 4
Oil Svc HLDRs OIH 86.07 -1.7% BUY 3 8.9% 7.1% R 4
Pharmacutical HL PPH 58.24 +2.1% BUY 3 1.7% 1.7% R 3
Retail Holders RTH 72.76 -0.8% BUY 3 3.4% 2.5% R 4
Telecom iShares IYZ 16.53 +1.8% BUY 3 8.0% 8.0% R 4
British Pound FXB 154.21 +0.3% BUY 3 0.0% -0.8% R 7
Brazil iShares EWZ 35.16 -3.1% BUY 3 9.9% 6.5% R 4
EAFE Index iShrs EFA 41.73 0.0% BUY 3 1.1% 1.0% R 4
France iShares EWQ 19.35 -1.0% BUY 3 1.0% 0.0% R 4
Germany iShares EWG 16.59 -1.2% BUY 3 0.5% -0.7% R 4
India ETN INP 28.41 -1.1% BUY 3 4.1% 2.9% R 7
Taiwan iShares EWT 7.78 +0.9% BUY 3 4.3% 4.3% R 7
United Kgdm iShr EWU 12.50 +1.8% BUY 3 3.8% 3.8% R 4
Natural Res iShr IGE 26.14 -1.2% BUY 4 8.7% 7.4% R 7
Oil/Gas Expl iSh IEO 40.54 -2.5% BUY 4 9.7% 6.9% R 4
Wireless HLDRs WMH 37.15 +3.4% BUY 4 3.8% 3.8% R 4
Emerging Mkts iS EEM 22.95 -1.9% BUY 4 5.6% 3.6% R 7
EMU iShares EZU 27.73 -2.1% BUY 4 3.6% 1.4% R 4
HongKong iShares EWH 10.28 -0.6% BUY 4 6.8% 6.2% R 7
Japan iShares EWJ 8.66 -1.5% BUY 4 1.4% -0.1% R 4
Russia ETF RSX 14.56 -2.5% BUY 4 0.0% -2.9% R 4
Singapore iShrs EWS 6.80 -1.7% BUY 7 6.5% 4.6% R 7
South Africa EZA 35.31 -0.2% BUY 7 14.5% 14.2% R 7
T-Bond 20+ Yr iS TLT 105.72 +1.2% BUY 10 9.2% 9.2% R 14
Gold GLD 80.31 -0.1% BUY 11 11.4% 10.5% R 15
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr iS IEF 94.36 +0.2% BUY 23 5.7% 5.7% R 24
TIPS Bond iShrs TIP 93.18 +0.3% BUY 23 0.4% -2.2% R 2
Euro Currency iS FXE 127.36 -1.5% BUY 23 1.5% -1.4% R 15
Gold Miners GDX 26.57 +1.8% BUY 24 11.2% 11.2% R 7
Malaysia iShares EWM 7.04 -0.7% BUY 24 0.0% -8.7% R 7
Silver ETF SLV 10.23 +0.4% BUY 25 8.4% 6.3% R 7
China 25 iShares FXI 26.59 -2.4% BUY 25 8.7% 4.5% R 7
Mexico iShares EWW 29.39 -2.4% BUY 28 8.4% -4.9% R 4
Australian Doll FXA 65.74 +0.3% BUY 29 2.2% -3.9% R 4
Energy SPDR XLE 50.28 -1.6% BUY 30 10.2% 4.5% R 7
Natural Gas UNG 26.95 -4.9% BUY 30 4.2% -9.4% F 0
Utilities SPDR XLU 30.12 +1.8% BUY 31 3.6% 3.6% R 7
InvesTop CrpB iS LQD 90.14 -0.3% BUY 39 3.7% 2.9% R 43
Mini Bond iShrs MUB 95.24 -0.1% SELL 2 0.1% 0.1% F 7
Japanese Yen FXY 104.32 0.0% SELL 4 0.0% -1.3% F 7
Biotech iShares IBB 65.35 +0.7% SELL 8 0.0% -7.8% R 2
Health Care SPDR XLV 24.92 +1.3% SELL 9 2.8% -2.8% R 2
Medical Dev iShr IHI 37.71 +1.3% SELL 11 14.4% 4.3% R 2
US Dollar Index UUP 26.55 +1.1% SELL 15 2.1% -0.1% F 7
Bank Regional HL RKH 78.57 +2.5% SELL 18 27.6% 6.8% R 3
Average +0.3% 7 3.4% 1.7% 5
*****************************************************************************
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
The SWENLIN PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL is intended to catch long-term price moves.
Model Signals are mechanically generated by a 200-day exponential moving
average crossover in conjunction with a 10% price move in the opposite
direction of the current signal extreme. For example, assume that the current
signal is a BUY. If the price drops 10% from the signal high, and also drops
below the 200 DMA, a SELL Signal will be generated automatically. The
MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS work best when prices are trending and changing
direction smoothly. When prices are volatile, particularly in a 10% range,
results will be extremely poor. By design, these signals will always miss at
least the first 10% of a move. Rather than wait for a signal reversal, it is
best to use trend analysis and other indicators to decide when to exit a
position. New signals should alert you to the possibility that a change in
direction is taking place. Once alerted, watch price movement and other
indicators to determine an optimum entry point, if any.
SUMMARY OF PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
ETF ETF
BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 6 84
% of Total......: 7% 93%
Ave Days Elapsed: 758 136
Ave High Profit.: +15% +45%
Ave Profit......: +14% +35%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +10% -28%
PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS
This is a list of PRICE MOMENTUM MODEL SIGNALS for the ETFs we follow.
The newest signals give notice that the trend may be in the process of
making a long-term change of direction.
THIS IS A LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH AND IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL THE LISTED SECURITIES.
11/28 Cal Price
Close % Days High Today Rel to
Name/Symbol Price Change Sgnl Elap P/L P/L STOP Stop
--------------------- ------- ------ ---- ---- ------ ------ ------ -------
Mini Bond iShrs MUB 95.24 -0.1% BUY 14 0.4% -2.4% 88.21 +8.0%
Japanese Yen FXY 104.32 0.0% BUY 51 6.7% 4.4% 95.63 +9.1%
US Dollar Index UUP 26.55 +1.1% BUY 81 10.3% 8.1% 24.30 +9.3%
T-Bond 20+ Yr iS TLT 105.72 +1.2% BUY 798 26.4% 26.4% 93.57 +13.0%
T-Bond 1-3 Yr iS SHY 84.80 +0.1% BUY 1586 18.5% 18.5% 76.32 +11.1%
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr iS IEF 94.36 +0.2% BUY 2020 25.8% 25.8% 84.92 +11.1%
Gold GLD 80.31 -0.1% SELL 43 11.7% -1.3% 81.99 -2.0%
TIPS Bond iShrs TIP 93.18 +0.3% SELL 51 7.4% 4.9% 102.21 -8.8%
Consumer Stpl SP XLP 24.07 +1.5% SELL 52 14.3% 6.0% 26.34 -8.6%
SP600 SmlCp iSh IJR 42.09 +1.7% SELL 60 41.0% 27.6% 56.59 -25.6%
SP600 SmCp Grwth IJT 43.00 +1.5% SELL 60 40.1% 27.2% 58.21 -26.1%
SP600 SmCp Value IJS 45.98 +1.5% SELL 60 40.9% 26.7% 61.21 -24.9%
Russell 2000 iSh IWM 47.34 +1.0% SELL 60 40.8% 27.2% 64.69 -26.8%
Rus2000 Value iS IWN 47.15 +2.2% SELL 60 40.0% 25.6% 62.17 -24.2%
DJ Transports iS IYT 63.16 +0.3% SELL 60 32.8% 21.5% 80.69 -21.7%
DJ Sel Dividend DVY 42.94 +1.7% SELL 60 31.2% 17.7% 52.79 -18.7%
Consumer Disc SP XLY 20.49 +1.5% SELL 60 40.2% 24.9% 27.62 -25.8%
Consumer iShares IYC 40.08 +0.7% SELL 60 35.1% 22.7% 52.81 -24.1%
Consumer Non-Cyc IYK 46.71 +1.1% SELL 60 25.9% 17.1% 55.59 -16.0%
Medical Dev iShr IHI 37.71 +1.3% SELL 60 40.0% 33.0% 53.47 -29.5%
Real Estate iShr IYR 33.38 -0.9% SELL 65 58.1% 44.8% 56.69 -41.1%
Bank Regional HL RKH 78.57 +2.5% SELL 66 43.5% 27.3% 102.72 -23.5%
Health Care SPDR XLV 24.92 +1.3% SELL 66 21.6% 17.1% 30.02 -17.0%
Home Const iShrs ITB 10.06 -1.2% SELL 67 59.9% 43.3% 15.96 -37.0%
Retail Holders RTH 72.76 -0.8% SELL 67 31.2% 19.3% 86.19 -15.6%
Biotech iShares IBB 65.35 +0.7% SELL 72 24.2% 18.4% 76.81 -14.9%
Healthcare Prv IHF 31.36 +2.3% SELL 72 42.0% 31.5% 44.82 -30.0%
InvesTop CrpB iS LQD 90.14 -0.3% SELL 73 12.1% 3.1% 97.22 -7.3%
Rus2000 Grwth iS IWO 48.80 +1.1% SELL 74 45.3% 33.0% 68.76 -29.0%
Software iShares IGV 30.95 -0.6% SELL 74 40.4% 31.8% 42.71 -27.5%
Network iShares IGN 16.83 +0.7% SELL 85 48.2% 38.3% 25.47 -33.9%
Wireless HLDRs WMH 37.15 +3.4% SELL 85 43.1% 35.9% 53.99 -31.2%
Euro Currency iS FXE 127.36 -1.5% SELL 85 12.9% 11.1% 143.11 -11.0%
Broadband HLDRs BDH 7.96 -0.1% SELL 86 47.5% 39.5% 11.85 -32.8%
Crude Oil ETF USO 42.09 -5.5% SELL 87 55.7% 52.8% 77.05 -45.4%
British Pound FXB 154.21 +0.3% SELL 108 22.3% 18.8% 182.59 -15.5%
Australian Doll FXA 65.74 +0.3% SELL 109 31.4% 25.6% 82.00 -19.8%
Commodity iShare GSG 32.21 -4.1% SELL 112 49.0% 45.4% 52.18 -38.3%
Silver ETF SLV 10.23 +0.4% SELL 115 45.4% 36.9% 13.46 -24.0%
Oil Svc HLDRs OIH 86.07 -1.7% SELL 116 63.3% 53.0% 151.19 -43.1%
Utilities SPDR XLU 30.12 +1.8% SELL 119 29.8% 17.9% 34.85 -13.6%
Gold Miners GDX 26.57 +1.8% SELL 128 63.3% 40.4% 35.74 -25.7%
Natural Gas UNG 26.95 -4.9% SELL 129 44.1% 43.2% 39.49 -31.8%
Natural Res iShr IGE 26.14 -1.2% SELL 134 54.8% 41.3% 37.24 -29.8%
Oil/Gas Expl iSh IEO 40.54 -2.5% SELL 134 57.0% 42.6% 58.53 -30.7%
Energy SPDR XLE 50.28 -1.6% SELL 135 47.8% 34.4% 65.83 -23.6%
SP500 LgCp Grwth IVW 44.51 +0.2% SELL 142 38.5% 28.1% 57.60 -22.7%
Brazil iShares EWZ 35.16 -3.1% SELL 142 66.1% 55.7% 62.56 -43.8%
Canada iShares EWC 17.11 +2.1% SELL 144 54.5% 46.2% 26.64 -35.8%
Russia ETF RSX 14.56 -2.5% SELL 144 78.9% 71.1% 34.94 -58.3%
SP400 MdCp Grwth IJK 53.21 +0.9% SELL 148 49.1% 37.3% 75.38 -29.4%
SP400 MidCp SPDR MDY 93.60 +1.2% SELL 149 47.0% 34.9% 130.35 -28.2%
Materials SPDR XLB 23.15 +0.4% SELL 150 51.2% 43.1% 34.57 -33.0%
Technology SPDR XLK 15.25 +0.1% SELL 150 41.8% 32.7% 20.64 -26.1%
Nasdaq 100 Shrs QQQQ 29.12 -0.8% SELL 151 43.4% 35.5% 40.75 -28.5%
Intnet Arch HLDR IAH 31.38 -0.3% SELL 151 40.8% 32.7% 42.47 -26.1%
SP500 LgCap SPDR SPY 90.13 +1.2% SELL 154 40.5% 28.9% 117.85 -23.5%
SP400 MdCp Value IJJ 48.64 +1.2% SELL 154 47.0% 34.5% 67.19 -27.6%
Diamonds DIA 88.30 +1.3% SELL 155 33.1% 22.4% 108.44 -18.6%
SP100 iSh OEF 43.54 +1.2% SELL 155 37.0% 25.5% 55.57 -21.7%
SP500 Equal Wght RSP 27.11 +1.0% SELL 155 46.6% 35.2% 38.27 -29.2%
NDX Equal Weight QQEW 11.62 +2.6% SELL 155 48.1% 40.6% 17.50 -33.6%
Internet HLDRs HHH 28.77 +1.1% SELL 155 54.8% 44.0% 45.37 -36.6%
Semiconductor iS IGW 27.07 -1.2% SELL 155 55.1% 48.0% 44.48 -39.1%
Japan iShares EWJ 8.66 -1.5% SELL 155 37.0% 30.0% 11.13 -22.2%
Mexico iShares EWW 29.39 -2.4% SELL 155 56.1% 47.7% 46.63 -37.0%
Germany iShares EWG 16.59 -1.2% SELL 156 52.7% 45.1% 25.66 -35.3%
Switzerland iShr EWL 16.66 +2.7% SELL 156 40.2% 30.5% 21.88 -23.8%
United Kgdm iShr EWU 12.50 +1.8% SELL 156 49.4% 40.2% 18.15 -31.1%
Industrial SPDR XLI 23.11 +2.2% SELL 157 43.4% 34.6% 31.48 -26.6%
EAFE Index iShrs EFA 41.73 0.0% SELL 157 49.3% 40.7% 60.26 -30.7%
Telecom iShares IYZ 16.53 +1.8% SELL 161 46.7% 32.5% 21.87 -24.4%
EMU iShares EZU 27.73 -2.1% SELL 161 54.1% 46.4% 43.25 -35.9%
France iShares EWQ 19.35 -1.0% SELL 161 51.0% 42.8% 28.60 -32.3%
Singapore iShrs EWS 6.80 -1.7% SELL 161 53.3% 45.8% 10.49 -35.2%
HongKong iShares EWH 10.28 -0.6% SELL 164 52.9% 43.1% 14.95 -31.3%
South Korea iShr EWY 23.93 +2.3% SELL 169 65.4% 56.4% 43.76 -45.3%
Australia iShrs EWA 13.66 +1.0% SELL 170 59.5% 49.6% 21.87 -37.6%
Emerging Mkts iS EEM 22.95 -1.9% SELL 170 60.6% 50.4% 36.70 -37.5%
Taiwan iShares EWT 7.78 +0.9% SELL 171 57.3% 49.4% 12.14 -35.9%
Aerospace/Def iS ITA 39.27 +2.7% SELL 172 44.2% 33.9% 52.78 -25.6%
South Africa EZA 35.31 -0.2% SELL 172 57.4% 41.9% 49.05 -28.0%
China 25 iShares FXI 26.59 -2.4% SELL 177 60.0% 45.2% 38.66 -31.2%
Malaysia iShares EWM 7.04 -0.7% SELL 177 40.4% 36.2% 9.45 -25.5%
India ETN INP 28.41 -1.1% SELL 199 64.8% 59.1% 52.37 -45.8%
Broker/Dealer iS IAI 19.30 +1.7% SELL 329 70.3% 59.2% 32.20 -40.1%
SP500 LgCp Value IVE 45.07 +1.8% SELL 373 49.9% 39.4% 61.01 -26.1%
Insurance iShare IAK 21.27 +3.5% SELL 387 68.1% 56.6% 34.48 -38.3%
Financial SPDR XLF 12.66 +2.5% SELL 393 69.7% 59.1% 20.56 -38.4%
Pharmacutical HL PPH 58.24 +2.1% SELL 490 28.3% 21.2% 66.23 -12.1%
Average +0.3% 178 43.1% 33.8% -25.7%
****************************************************************************
SHORT-TERM (PMO) and LONG-TERM (PMM) SIGNAL COMPARISONS
The Price Momentum Model (PMM) signal provides guidance regarding the
longer-term trend, and the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signals identify
the shorter-term trend. A logical trading methodology is to open positions
on new PMO signals when they are compatable with the PMM signals. Positions
may be closed or hedged when the PMM and PMO signals are in conflict.
This section compares the PMM and PMO signals side by side and provides
some mechanical analysis. A "Warn!" flag is an alert that the PMO signal is
in conflict with the PMM -- closing or hedging the PMM position may be
considered. A "Buy?" or "Sell?" flag is an alert that the PMO signal has
just changed and is the same as the PMM signal -- opening new PMM positions
may be considered.
SUMMARY OF SHORT-TERM AND LONG-TERM SIGNALS FOR ETF
SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM
PMO PMO PMM PMM
BUY SELL BUY SELL
Total Signals...: 83 7 6 84
% of Total......: 92% 8% 7% 93%
Ave Days Elapsed: 7 10 758 136
Ave High Profit.: +3% +7% +15% +45%
Ave Profit......: +2% 0% +14% +35%
Ave Rel to Stop.: +10% -28%
Percentage of PMOs Rising ..........: 96%
Percentage of PMOs Above Zero.......: 8%
|-- PMO Crossover Model ---|-- Price Momentum Model --|
| PMO High Today | PMM High Today|
Name Flag| Sgnl Day P/L P/L | Sgnl Days P/L P/L|
--------------- -----| ---- --- ------- ------- | ---- ---- ------- -------|
Diamonds Warn! BUY 2 +1.3% +1.3% SELL 155 +33.1% +22.4%
Nasdaq 100 Shr Warn! BUY 2 0.0% -0.8% SELL 151 +43.4% +35.5%
SP500 LgCap SP Warn! BUY 2 +1.0% +1.3% SELL 154 +40.5% +28.9%
SP100 iSh Warn! BUY 2 +1.2% +1.2% SELL 155 +37.0% +25.5%
SP500 LgCp Grw Warn! BUY 3 +3.8% +3.8% SELL 142 +38.5% +28.1%
SP500 LgCp Val Warn! BUY 2 +1.8% +1.8% SELL 373 +49.9% +39.4%
SP400 MidCp SP Warn! BUY 2 +1.2% +1.2% SELL 149 +47.0% +34.9%
SP400 MdCp Grw Warn! BUY 2 +0.9% +0.9% SELL 148 +49.1% +37.3%
SP400 MdCp Val Warn! BUY 2 +1.2% +1.2% SELL 154 +47.0% +34.5%
SP600 SmlCp iS Warn! BUY 2 +1.7% +1.7% SELL 60 +41.0% +27.6%
SP600 SmCp Grw Warn! BUY 2 +1.5% +1.5% SELL 60 +40.1% +27.2%
SP600 SmCp Val Warn! BUY 2 +1.6% +1.6% SELL 60 +40.9% +26.7%
Russell 2000 i Warn! BUY 2 +1.0% +1.0% SELL 60 +40.8% +27.2%
Rus2000 Grwth Warn! BUY 2 +1.1% +1.1% SELL 74 +45.3% +33.0%
Rus2000 Value Warn! BUY 2 +2.2% +2.2% SELL 60 +40.0% +25.6%
SP500 Equal Wg Warn! BUY 2 +1.0% +1.0% SELL 155 +46.6% +35.2%
NDX Equal Weig Warn! BUY 2 0.0% 0.0% SELL 155 +48.1% +40.6%
DJ Transports Warn! BUY 2 +0.4% +0.4% SELL 60 +32.8% +21.5%
DJ Sel Dividen Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% -1.8% SELL 60 +31.2% +17.7%
InvesTop CrpB Warn! BUY 39 +3.7% +2.9% SELL 73 +12.1% +3.1%
Mini Bond iShr Warn! SELL 2 +0.1% +0.1% BUY 14 +0.4% -2.4%
T-Bond 1-3 Yr BUY 2 +0.1% +0.1% BUY 1586 +18.5% +18.5%
T-Bnd 7-10 Yr BUY 23 +5.8% +5.8% BUY 2020 +25.8% +25.8%
T-Bond 20+ Yr BUY 10 +9.2% +9.2% BUY 798 +26.4% +26.4%
TIPS Bond iShr Warn! BUY 23 +0.4% -2.2% SELL 51 +7.4% +4.9%
Aerospace/Def Warn! BUY 2 +2.7% +2.7% SELL 172 +44.2% +33.9%
Bank Regional SELL 18 +27.6% +6.8% SELL 66 +43.5% +27.3%
Biotech iShare SELL 8 0.0% -7.8% SELL 72 +24.3% +18.4%
Broker/Dealer Warn! BUY 2 +1.7% +1.7% SELL 329 +70.3% +59.2%
Broadband HLDR Warn! BUY 2 0.0% -0.1% SELL 86 +47.5% +39.5%
Commodity iSha Warn! BUY 3 +6.6% +2.2% SELL 112 +49.0% +45.4%
Consumer Disc Warn! BUY 2 +1.5% +1.5% SELL 60 +40.2% +25.0%
Consumer iShar Warn! BUY 2 +0.7% +0.7% SELL 60 +35.1% +22.7%
Consumer Non-C Warn! BUY 3 +3.3% +3.3% SELL 60 +25.9% +17.1%
Consumer Stpl Warn! BUY 3 +2.8% +2.8% SELL 52 +14.3% +6.0%
Crude Oil ETF Warn! BUY 2 0.0% -5.5% SELL 87 +55.7% +52.8%
Energy SPDR Warn! BUY 30 +10.2% +4.5% SELL 135 +47.8% +34.4%
Financial SPDR Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% +5.0% SELL 393 +69.7% +59.1%
Gold Warn! BUY 11 +11.4% +10.5% SELL 43 +11.7% -1.3%
Gold Miners Warn! BUY 24 +11.2% +11.2% SELL 128 +63.3% +40.4%
Health Care SP SELL 9 +2.9% -2.8% SELL 66 +21.7% +17.1%
Healthcare Prv Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% -1.2% SELL 72 +42.0% +31.5%
Home Const iSh Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% +3.3% SELL 67 +59.9% +43.3%
Industrial SPD Warn! BUY 2 +2.2% +2.2% SELL 157 +43.4% +34.6%
Insurance iSha Warn! BUY 2 +3.5% +3.5% SELL 387 +68.1% +56.6%
Internet HLDRs Warn! BUY 2 +1.1% +1.1% SELL 155 +54.8% +44.0%
Intnet Arch HL Warn! BUY 3 +2.6% +2.3% SELL 151 +40.8% +32.7%
Materials SPDR Warn! BUY 2 +0.4% +0.4% SELL 150 +51.2% +43.2%
Medical Dev iS SELL 11 +14.4% +4.3% SELL 60 +40.0% +33.0%
Natural Gas Warn! BUY 30 +4.2% -9.4% SELL 129 +44.1% +43.2%
Natural Res iS Warn! BUY 4 +8.7% +7.4% SELL 134 +54.8% +41.3%
Network iShare Warn! BUY 3 +5.8% +5.8% SELL 85 +48.2% +38.3%
Oil Svc HLDRs Warn! BUY 3 +8.9% +7.1% SELL 116 +63.3% +53.0%
Oil/Gas Expl i Warn! BUY 4 +9.7% +6.9% SELL 134 +57.0% +42.6%
Pharmacutical Warn! BUY 3 +1.7% +1.7% SELL 490 +28.3% +21.2%
Real Estate iS Warn! BUY 2 0.0% -0.9% SELL 65 +58.1% +44.8%
Retail Holders Warn! BUY 3 +3.4% +2.5% SELL 67 +31.2% +19.3%
Semiconductor Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% +2.2% SELL 155 +55.1% +48.0%
Silver ETF Warn! BUY 25 +8.4% +6.3% SELL 115 +45.4% +36.9%
Software iShar Warn! BUY 2 0.0% -0.6% SELL 74 +40.4% +31.8%
Technology SPD Warn! BUY 2 +0.1% +0.1% SELL 150 +41.8% +32.7%
Telecom iShare Warn! BUY 3 +8.0% +8.0% SELL 161 +46.7% +32.5%
Utilities SPDR Warn! BUY 31 +3.7% +3.7% SELL 119 +29.8% +17.9%
Wireless HLDRs Warn! BUY 4 +3.8% +3.8% SELL 85 +43.1% +35.9%
Australian Dol Warn! BUY 29 +2.2% -3.9% SELL 109 +31.4% +25.6%
British Pound Warn! BUY 3 0.0% -0.8% SELL 108 +22.3% +18.8%
Euro Currency Warn! BUY 23 +1.5% -1.4% SELL 85 +12.9% +11.2%
Japanese Yen Warn! SELL 4 0.0% -1.3% BUY 51 +6.7% +4.5%
US Dollar Inde Warn! SELL 15 +2.1% -0.1% BUY 81 +10.3% +8.1%
Australia iShr Warn! BUY 2 +1.0% +1.0% SELL 170 +59.5% +49.6%
Brazil iShares Warn! BUY 3 +9.9% +6.5% SELL 142 +66.1% +55.7%
China 25 iShar Warn! BUY 25 +8.7% +4.5% SELL 177 +60.0% +45.2%
Canada iShares Warn! BUY 2 +2.2% +2.2% SELL 144 +54.5% +46.2%
EAFE Index iSh Warn! BUY 3 +1.1% +1.0% SELL 157 +49.3% +40.7%
Emerging Mkts Warn! BUY 4 +5.6% +3.6% SELL 170 +60.6% +50.4%
EMU iShares Warn! BUY 4 +3.6% +1.4% SELL 161 +54.1% +46.4%
France iShares Warn! BUY 3 +1.0% 0.0% SELL 161 +51.0% +42.8%
Germany iShare Warn! BUY 3 +0.5% -0.7% SELL 156 +52.7% +45.1%
HongKong iShar Warn! BUY 4 +6.8% +6.2% SELL 164 +52.9% +43.1%
India ETN Warn! BUY 3 +4.1% +2.9% SELL 199 +64.9% +59.1%
Japan iShares Warn! BUY 4 +1.4% -0.1% SELL 155 +37.0% +30.1%
Malaysia iShar Warn! BUY 24 0.0% -8.7% SELL 177 +40.4% +36.2%
Mexico iShares Warn! BUY 28 +8.5% -4.9% SELL 155 +56.1% +47.7%
Russia ETF Warn! BUY 4 0.0% -2.9% SELL 144 +78.9% +71.1%
Singapore iShr Warn! BUY 7 +6.5% +4.6% SELL 161 +53.3% +45.8%
South Africa Warn! BUY 7 +14.5% +14.2% SELL 172 +57.4% +41.9%
South Korea iS Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% -13.7% SELL 169 +65.4% +56.4%
Switzerland iS Warn! * BUY 0 0.0% -2.2% SELL 156 +40.2% +30.5%
Taiwan iShares Warn! BUY 3 +4.3% +4.3% SELL 171 +57.3% +49.4%
United Kgdm iS Warn! BUY 3 +3.8% +3.8% SELL 156 +49.4% +40.2%
Average 7 +3.4% +1.7% 178 +43.1% +33.8%
*****************************************************************************
EXPLANATION OF TABLE HEADINGS
Close Price: The last price at which the security traded today.
% Change: Percentage that price has changed from prior day's close.
PMO Rank: Shows the rank of the PMO in relation to the other securities
in the list.
5 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) in the last 5 days.
15 Day Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) in the last 15 days.
YTD Rank Chg: The total number of PMO ranks the security has moved up (+)
or down (-) since the beginning of the year.
Signl: The signal designations of BUY and SELL indicate the current
direction of momentum and are not an indication that continuous buying or
selling should take place. Signals that are a few days or weeks old give the
best indication that profitable action MIGHT be taken.
Signal Flag: When the PMO signal disagrees with the PMM signal, the flag
will be "Warn!" On the day the PMO signal changes back into agreement
with the PMM signal, the flag will remind that new positions may be
considered by indicating "Buy?" or "Sell?"
Cal Days Elap: Indicates the number of calendar days that have elapsed since
the current signal was initiated.
High P/L: Highest profit or least loss experienced since the current signal
was initiated. On the first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the
closing P/L for the prior signal.
Today P/L: Profit or loss for the signal since it was initiated. On the
first day of a new signal the P/L displayed is the closing P/L for the prior
signal.
STOP: The price at which the mechanical PMM signal will reverse.
Price Rel to Stop: This column shows the relationship of the current price
to the price at which the signal will change. (i.e. +5.3% means the current
price is 5.3% above the signal change price.
PMO R/F Days: The direction of the PMO (rising/falling) and number of
calendar days trend has been effect.
The Hot/Cold grouping ranks securities/indexes into six (6) groups ranging
from 1 (Hot) to 6 (Cold) according to price strength, internal strength,
and relative strength. We can quickly assess the condition of these
elements by the group number and "blinker" fields. Moving from left to
right: The first blinker tells us if the PMO is above (+) or below (-) its
10-day exponential moving average (EMA). The second blinker indicates if
the closing price is above (+) or below (-) it's 20-DMA. The third and
fourth blinkers tell us if the PMO is rising (+) or falling (-), and if it
is above (+) or below (-) zero. The fifth blinker tells us if the 5-day PMO
rank change is positive (+), negative (-), or no change ( ). Groups 1-3
should be considered as buy candidates, 4-6 as sell candidates.
CAVEAT
We make every effort to insure the accuracy of this information, but we
cannot guarantee it. It is always possible that errors will creep in. If it
doesn't make sense, let us know about it. Also, we make every effort to upload
this data each market day, but circumstances may be such that it is not
possible due to circumstances beyond our control.
End of Daily ETF Tracker Report for Friday 11/28/2008
Copyright 2008 Decision Point. This publication is not to be summarized,
reproduced, or rebroadcast in any fashion without our written permission.
Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or
sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee or imply future
results.
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