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[ Glossary menu ]
Many analysts, myself included, refer
to the "Plunge Protection Team" (PPT), and I am often asked what
it is.
To begin, the PPT does not officially
exist, but we often see their fingerprints all over the place. What
is generally believed is that the government (Fed? Treasury?) and/or
major financial institutions (the ones who do large amounts of program
trading) sometimes conspire individually or together to support the
market in order to prevent or stop a major crash. This can be done
when "somebody" begins buying large amounts of index or stock futures
at a time when the market is declining and is giving signs that the
bottom may fall out. This buying can turn the tide by scaring the
shorts and getting them to cover, and this can cause the market to
reverse course, driven by a wave of short-covering, which in turn
can encourage real buyers to come into the market.
While PPT action can have affect
on short-term market moves, there is no evidence that anyone has
so much money that they can change the long-term trend of the market.
If it could be done, surely the bear market that began in 2000 would
have been prevented. In my opinion, manipulation of the markets by
anyone is undesirable. While it may provide temporary relief, the
market must (and will) go to where it must go.
Not all upside reversals are the result
of the PPT. The market can suddenly change directions in mid-crash
simply because of traders taking profits when the market has gone "too
far, too fast." But just imagine how quickly traders will cover their
shorts if they are encourages to do so by sudden buying interest
that appears out of nowhere.
Whether or not there is an entity
that fits the exact definition of the PPT, I don't know; but I do
know that the government does manipulate the market openly through
the action of the Fed, and I am paranoid enough to believe that,
if there is a way for the government to secretly manipulate the markets,
the government will do it. As for the major Wall Street institutions,
they already manipulate the markets through program trading. Whether
the two conspire together from time to time is speculation.
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